Re: The Levant crisis.(Israel,SYRIA,Lebanon,etc) - II
Posted: 31 Jan 2016 16:14
Consortium of Indian Defence Websites
https://forums.bharat-rakshak.com/
![]()
![]()
Turkey now faces military developments in northern Syria that pose a much more serious threat to its interests than that brief incursion into its airspace, even though Ankara made fresh claims yesterday over a new Russian violation on Friday.
The Syrian war is at a crucial stage. Over the past year the Syrian Kurds and their highly effective army, the People’s Protection Units (YPG), have taken over half of Syria’s frontier with Turkey. The main supply line for Islamic State (Isis), through the border crossing of Tal Abyad north of Raqqa, was captured by the YPG last June. Supported by intense bombardment from the US Air Force, the Kurds have been advancing in all directions, sealing off northern Syria from Turkey in the swath of territory between the Tigris and Euphrates.
The YPG only has another 60 miles to go, west of Jarabulus on the Euphrates, to close off Isis’s supply lines and those of the non-IS armed opposition, through Azzaz to Aleppo. Turkey had said that its “red line” is that there should be no YPG crossing west of the Euphrates river, though it did not react when the YPG’s Arab proxy, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), seized the dam at Tishrin on the Euphrates and threatened the IS stronghold of Manbij. Syrian Kurds are now weighing whether they dare take the strategic territory north of Aleppo and link up with a Kurdish enclave at Afrin.
Developments in the next few months may determine who are the long-term winners and losers in the region for decades. President Bashar al-Assad’s forces are advancing on several fronts under a Russian air umbrella. The five-year campaign by Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s to overthrow Assad in Damascus, by backing the armed opposition, looks to be close to defeat.
Turkey could respond to this by accepting a fait accompli, conceding that it would be difficult for it to send its army into northern Syria in the face of strong objections from the US and Russia. But, if the alternative is failure and humiliation, then it may do just that. Gerard Challiand, the French expert on irregular warfare and the politics of the Middle East, speaking in Erbil last week, said that “without Erdogan as leader, I would say the Turks would not intervene militarily [in northern Syria], but, since he is, I think they will do so”.
Erdogan has a reputation for raising the stakes as he did last year when he failed to win a parliamentary majority in the first of two elections. He took advantage of a fresh confrontation with the Turkish Kurds and the fragmentation of his opponents to win a second election in November. Direct military intervention in Syria would be risky, but Mr Challiand believes that Turkey “is capable of doing this militarily and will not be deterred by Russia”. Of course, it would not be easy. Moscow has planes in the air and anti-aircraft missiles on the ground, but Putin probably has a clear idea of the limitations on Russia’s military engagement in Syria.
Omar Sheikhmous, a veteran Syrian Kurdish leader living in Europe, says that the Syrian Kurds “should realise that the Russians and the Syrian government are not going to go to war with the Turkish army for them”. He warns that the ruling Kurdish political party, the PYD, should not exaggerate its own strength, because President Erdogan’s reaction is unpredictable.
The Syrian Army and its allies have encircled and killed the terrorists in Darayya, striking several neighborhoods under the control of Ajnad Al-Sham and Al-Nusra Front (Syrian Al-Qaeda group).
According to a military source in the Syrian capital of Damascus, the Syrian government Forces have already seized a number of building blocks near the 4 Seasons Hotel, while also advancing 200 meters west of the Masjid Bilal Al-Habshi in the Darayya Association District.
The terrorist groups of Ajnad Al-Sham and Al-Nusra Front are currently surrounded by the Syrian army at both Darayya and Mo’adhimiyah, with no roads linking these two major cities together in order for the militants to exchange supplies and send reinforcements.
The army has laid a siege on Darayya, but has not yet started a similar move to surround the strategic city of Mo’adhimiyah as it has proposed to the Ajnad Al-Sham and the Free Syrian Army militants to lay down army and surrender peacefully. The militants have 2 days left to accept the terms, FNA reported.
- See more at: http://en.alalam.ir/news/1784687#sthash.utO6DW05.dpuf
ISIS offensive in northwestern Deir Ezzor fails again SYRIA - by Leith Fadel on 31/01/20164:56 pm
On Sunday morning in the northwestern countryside of the Deir Ezzor Governorate, the so-called “Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham” (ISIS) launched another large-scale offensive at the Al-Baghayliyah District near the western bank of the Euphrates River, targeting the Al-Jazeera University campus, Al-Rawad Hill, and the Firat Al-Sham Hotel for the 3rd time in 4 days.
The aforementioned terrorist group began their assault by storming the imperative hilltop of Tal Al-Rawad, where they were confronted by their old foes from the Syrian Arab Army’s 104th Airborne Brigade of the Republican Guard at the northern perimeter.
For three hours this morning, the Syrian Arab Army’s 104th Brigade and the ISIS terrorists battled for Tal Al-Rawad; however, once again, the aforementioned terrorist group was routed from this strategic hilltop after failing to break-through the Syrian Armed Forces’ 1st line of defense.
According to a military source from the 104th Brigade, ISIS lost another field commander during this battle for Tal Al-Rawad in the Al-Baghayliyah District.
The source added that the terrorist leader was identified as “Abu Hadhefah Al-Maghrabi” (Moroccan) – he possessed an identification card that was issued to him from the so called “Caliphate”. Firefights are still ongoing north of Tal Al-Rawad; however, the primary ISIS attack has failed – they are now attempting to withdraw in order to evade the Syrian Army’s artillery.
http://www.almasdarnews.com/article/isi ... ils-again/ | Al-Masdar News
I saw images of super structure tanks posted from battle of Darayya in Damascus provinceUlanBatori wrote:So these tanks, and ones in the Damascus suburb video above, don't have the fancy superstructures.
Hassan Ridha @sayed_ridha now2 minutes ago
#SAA armoured vehicles in Daraya #Damascus
That is a good video. I think even if 25% of the Arab population started to think like her, 75% of the Arab problems will be solved.ThiruV wrote:Arab lady uses the baton of truth to slap some sense into some fool anchor on Arab TV, who gives the standard arab-islamist whining about ISIS not being an arab responsiblity
link
Terrorists detonated the car bomb at the bus station in Koua Soudan area, and after people gathered to help the injured, two suicide bombers with explosive belts blew themselves up at the site, the source explained to military source.
Dr. Bashar al-Jaafari, head of the delegation of the Syrian Arab Republic to the intra-Syrian talks in Geneva, said Sunday that the interest of the Syrian people is the compass for the delegation in Geneva and must be the compass for dialogue.
Al-Jaafari added in a press conference in Geneva “Our delegation believes that any political solution to the crisis in Syria can’t be achieved without the presence of a serious party to the dialogue process.”
He made it clear that the text of the international resolution no. 2254 and that of the invitation addressed to the Syrian government have not been respected, referring to the opposition delegation’s delayed attendance at Geneva, which he said was a sign of “lack of seriousness and responsibility”.
There is an accumulative political process to start with, and to speak of preconditions means that those sides are coming to the meeting to undermine it, said al-Jaafari.
“We want to implement what was previously agreed on. We don’t want to start from scratch as that would be a waste of time at the expense of the Syrian people’s pains,” he added. { as expected Western ploy was to cooperate on talks, get a breather from Russian attacks, and then reneg on the talk promise later. The way in which everyone falls for these basic tricks embolden the westerns to never abandon these tricks and they continue to wield it }
Syria’s delegation, he noted, stressed to the UN Special Envoy for Syria Staffan de Mistura its readiness to work for finding a solution to end the crisis as long as there are parties with a serious will to work to that effect.
“We have proved our good intentions and the government’s positive attitude towards any international UN effort to find a solution, but the problem has always been with the other party,” said al-Jaafari.
The other party, in case they are serious and keen to have the crisis solved, should come to Geneva with a national agenda in line with the resolution no. 2254 and the two Vienna statements, he added.
“No one up till the present moment knows who the other party is, and there hasn’t been a final list of the participants so far,” said al-Jaafari
He clarified that the UN still does not have a final list of the participants from the other party, pointing out that there are regional, Arab and international sides who try to take things back to square one through insisting on imposing one party.
Some parties and countries are repeating the same mistake that occurred in Geneva 2, he added.
“When the Security Council resolution states that the broadest possible spectrum of the position be brought together by the Syrians themselves, and this resolution is being violated, then it means that there are some who want to impose a fait accompli by selectivity and double standards,” said al-Jaafari.
He said the failure to reach a list of the terrorist organizations and opposition groups was because this task has been entrusted to two countries { I thought Jordan is the only country to have been given the task of preparing the list and we commented on this decision before - It is funny choice but could be Russian gambit to cause division within the enemy camp } that are not neutral, adding that the absence of such a list is a key gap that needs yet to be bridged.
Lots of tire damage! About a week's worth of Pentagon Action Reports.Considering the casualties in Merc, should be someone inside the core.
Russia Is Exploiting Syria's Kurds And U.S. Frustrations To Complicate The Fight Against ISIS
"These talks started in a very troublesome manner with the Kurds not being there," said Mutlu Civiroglu, a Washington-based analyst who monitors the Syrian Kurds. "Kurds being the pioneers of the fight against ISIS, having lost more than 4,000 fighters, were sure they were going to be invited."
Michael Werz, a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress who just returned from a major Kurdish conference in Brussels, told The Huffington Post the current view among some in the PYD is, "we know that the Russians are going to betray us, but they’re the only ones actually lobbying for us to be part of the Geneva talks."
"'We are the only secular fighting force, we are the only movement giving freedom to women, and the United States doesn’t even stand up to the Turks when it comes to participating in the peace negotiations," Werz added in his summing up of Kurdish sentiment. "'Nobody is publicly supporting us, so what are we supposed to do?'"
The popularity of that thinking is a problem for Washington because it could bolster distrust among Syrian Kurds already nervous about their fledgling relationship with the U.S.
American ally Turkey dislikes the PYD because of its links to the PKK, a Kurdish militant organization battling the Turkish state. That's been a key reason why it did not have direct talks with the U.S. until recent years. (Turkey and Russia have their own tensions, which makes this a point of sympathy for Moscow and the Kurds.) The PYD also has strained ties with many of thenon-extremist Syrian Arab rebel groups that the West has supported since the beginning of the Syrian uprising in 2011. The Arabs see the PYD as too tolerant of brutal Syrian president Bashar Assad, a Russian ally who has an uneasy truce with the Kurds, and oppressive of Arabs in areas the Kurdish fighters now control.
Their U.S.-supported stand in Kobani and eventual anti-ISIS campaign out of that town helped them connect the two in northeastern Syria, shown in the map below. Yet Afrin, in the northwest, remains apart -- separated by a long stretch of ISIS-controlled territory on the Syrian-Turkish border and a slim corridor that Sunni Arab rebel groups hold.
"The Afrin region's situation is getting worse day by the day, with food and medicine shortages and internally displaced people," Civiroglu, the Kurdish affairs analyst, told HuffPost. He said the siege-caused suffering around the region, home to hundreds of thousands of people, has made the Kurdish militia, the YPG, more focused on pushing through to it.
If it succeeds, that offensive will leave Turkey with its biggest Kurd-related nightmare yet: a long, contiguous YPG and PYD-controlled border, which it describes as terrorists on par with ISIS.
Govt sources in Syria say that ISIS has claimed responsibility for this act on their websiteDAMASCUS: At least 50 people were killed and 110 wounded on Sunday in three bomb blasts near the revered shrine of Hazrat Zainab (RA) outside the Syrian capital Damascus, state media said.
State news agency SANA said the first blast was caused by a car bomb that detonated at a bus station near the shrine.
It said two suicide bombers then detonated their explosive belts when people gathered at the scene.