Re: Predicting and forestalling the next terrorist atrocity
Posted: 14 Jul 2011 11:50
we need to look @ geopolitics to predict terror attack. The paki army threatened pulling out of western border an we have an attack in a weeks time.
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I think we have enough data to model the Ind Muj terrorist mind which is relevant to India.Jerrold M. Post - The Mind of the Terrorist: The Psychology of Terrorism from the IRA to al-Qaeda
Published: 2007-12-10 | ISBN: 1403966117 | 320 pages |
In contrast to the widely held assumption that terrorists as crazed fanatics, Jerrold Post demonstrates they are psychologically "normal" and that "hatred has been bred in the bone". He reveals the powerful motivations that drive these ordinary people to such extraordinary evil by exploring the different types of terrorists, from national-separatists like the Irish Republican Army to social revolutionary terrorists like the Shining Path, as well as religious extremists like al-Qaeda and Aum Shinrikyo. In The Mind of the Terrorist, Post uses his expertise to explain how the terrorist mind works and how this information can help us to combat terrorism more effectively.
In the run up to and immediately beyond c. 2014, terror strikes against India will only increase. If Afghanistan descends into an internal strife as happened after c. 1989, the terror strikes will prolong until the Taliban gain an upper hand. There can be some lull during this period if the available jihadi resources have to marshalled into Afghanistan to fight some tactical battles against non-Taliban entities. Else, it is going to be one long, bloody mess.gakakkad wrote:we need to look @ geopolitics to predict terror attack. The paki army threatened pulling out of western border an we have an attack in a weeks time.