Israel-Hezbollah-Iran War

[Cyrano]

Its no longer just Israel, Iran joining BRICS makes it a "target of particular interest" to the US to go after BRICS indirectly.

Bibi's interests are nicely aligned with those of Unkil now.

[chetak]

[VinodTK]

^^^ If true hope they hit them hard.

[Deans]

My latest blog post in my Hamas/Hezbollah war series . Thought I had posted it on the 2nd but better late than never.

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/11/is ... ollah.html

I have linked a video which does a detailed analysis of the first month's fighting in Lebanon.

[Baikul]

Israeli cabinet to meet on Tuesday to consider a ceasefire proposal.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/ ... -hezbollah

Lots of speculation on the terms of the deal.

[A_Gupta]

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cyvqr00278no
Netanyahu vows response after Houthi missile hits near Israel's main airport

[Sachin]

BBC uvacha:Israel attacks main airport in Yemen's capital Sanaa

[Shameek]

Israel launches preemptive strike on Iranian nuclear sites, military targets.

The IDF has started to attack dozens of Iranian nuclear sites.
Warning sirens have been set off to get the public ready for potential Iranian counter attacks of ballistic missiles on Israel.
Iran has not yet fired ballistic missiles, but has thousands of them.
According to the IDF, Iran has enough uranium to weaponize it to nuclear levels, for 15 nuclear weapons within days.

Link

[VinodTK]

As per Israel they have hit Iran's main nuclear site and taken out their chief of staff and other military leadership.

[chanakyaa]

Well, well, well, the skies between Israel to Tehran are all clear for commercial flights, and Iran has issued a NOTAM. Their press is reporting multiple attacks. I read somewhere that a final meeting was supposed to take place on Sunday. I guess not.

[bala]

xPost:

AP news:

Israel attacks Iran’s nuclear and missile sites with explosions heard across Tehran

Iranian state television has confirmed the head of country’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard, Gen. Hossein Salami, was killed in an Israeli strike Friday. An anchor read a statement saying: “The news of assassination and martyrdom of Gen. Hossein Salami was confirmed.”

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel targeted both nuclear and military sites, officials leading Iran’s nuclear program, and its ballistic missile arsenal.

https://apnews.com/article/iran-explosi ... b140297299

[Cain Marko]

This will be Trump's and America's new war. The lines were drawn years ago if you remember Wesley Clark's interview. It's basically a sunni (amenable to US hegemony) combine (including the Gulf states, Israel) vs the (Shia) Islamic regime, Iran, Iraq and Syria. The latter two they have more or less achieved.

They will aim for regime change in Iran and probably get it thereby taking out any remaining obstacles in the middle east.

This explains the cozying up to Pakistan as well. But Pakistan will feel the heat once the Italian objective is achieved. Once again it will be used and discarded.

Now the big question is what will Russia and China do? If the US falls back to its original low traffic policy vs China and allows Russia to get it's point of flesh vs Ukraine, will they stay out of it?

India is more or less a non actor in this.

[bala]

This YT has a clip by PM Netanyahu. Aadi Achint, Col. Mayank Chaubey, Pathikrit Payne, Gabriel Israeli.

Lots of details on the strike by Israel on Iran. Israel is flying over Iran, their AD is completely kaput by Israel.

Israel Hits Iranian Nuke Sites, USA, Saudi, Russia China India Response, Netanyahu I Aadi



// The world is now embroiled in tussles all over e.g., Ukr-Rus, Israel-Iran, the recent Sindoor India-Pak show. Just awaiting turkey, china will take on Taiwan?

[williams]

India’s Ministry of External Affairs spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal said the country was “closely monitoring the evolving situation, including reports related to attacks on nuclear sites,” and urged both sides to avoid escalation. He said India had “close and friendly” relations with both Israel and Iran.

Nice

[Deans]

Info so far (from Israeli media)

2 rounds of air strikes - 240 sorties.
Missiles seem to have been launched from Iraqi airspace.
8 locations hit, around 12 targets, incl the nuclear facility at Natanz, Tehran airport and the homes of the Revolutionary guard leadership.

Iran confirmed the Chief of staff of the revolutionary guard and one more general killed, along with 2 senior nuclear scientists.
Iran has fired 100 drones at Israel, they are yet to reach.

[Tanaji]

Xposting list of Iranian entities killed

• Hossein Salami, the commander-in-chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards
• Gholamali Rashid, the commander of Khatam-al Anbiya Central Headquarters
• Fereydoon Abbasi, nuclear scientist and former head Iran's Atomic Energy Organization
• Mohammad Mahdi Tehranchi, another nuclear scientist involved in Iran's nuclear weapons programme
• Mohammad Bagheri, Chief of Staff of Iran's armed forces
• Ali Shamkhani, senior adviser to Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has been seriously injured, according to Iranian reports.

[Tanaji]

Iran seems to be incapable of protecting its key human assets from Israel. The latter has kept picking off many key personnel with impunity pointing to availability of timely intelligence. And this is not just now - its a pattern through last 2-3 years.

[Dilbu]

From X.@DrEliDavid

Breaking: Reports that Israel has conveyed the message that if Iran retaliates, Khamenei will be eliminated

Breaking: Not a single Iran Air Force plane managed to take off. All destroyed or incapacitated.

[Dilbu]

Vacation ruse, phantom trip, hostage decoy: How Israel misled Tehran before Iran strike – source

Israel deliberately labeled Thursday night’s security-cabinet meeting as a discussion on hostage negotiations in order to lull Tehran and green-light the pre-dawn strike inside Iran, a senior Israeli source told The Jerusalem Post on Friday.

According to the official, ministers were briefed in advance that the agenda would focus on the stalled talks for the release of Israelis held in Gaza. “The aim was to put Iran to sleep,” the source said.

Once inside the secure forum, the cabinet unanimously approved the military operation and every minister signed a strict non-disclosure agreement, known as a Shomer Sod (“guardian of the secret”) document. Only a handful of officials—including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer, Mossad director David (Dedi) Barnea and senior defense chiefs—were read into the full plan.

In the days leading up to the strike, the Prime Minister’s Office orchestrated a series of false signals:
-Vacation ruse: Netanyahu’s aides briefed reporters that he was planning a family holiday in the Galilee and would be attending his son Avner’s wedding next Tuesday, reinforcing the impression that no major military action was imminent.
-Washington decoy: The PMO issued a statement claiming that Dermer and Barnea would fly to Washington on Friday to meet US envoy Steve Witkoff for a “sixth round” of Iran-US nuclear talks in Oman— talks that do not exist. Both men remained in Israel.
-Leak strategy: For the first time, Netanyahu’s office declined to deny fabricated quotes describing a dispute between the prime minister and former US president Donald Trump over a potential strike, creating the sense of a diplomatic rift and further lowering Iranian alert levels.

The deception campaign unfolded against a backdrop of domestic political drama over the IDF draft law and speculation that the coalition might collapse. “It was the perfect smoke screen,” the source said, adding that US officials were fully briefed despite the public theatrics.

Channel 12 journalist Amit Segal noted on X that Trump had publicly given Iran “60 days to reach a deal” on April 12. “Today is day 61,” he wrote, hinting that the deadline factored into Jerusalem’s timing.

Israeli defense officials believe the element of surprise maximized the operation’s impact and may buy Israel critical time as Iran edges closer to nuclear breakout capability.

[Deans]

Xposting list of Iranian entities killed

• Hossein Salami, the commander-in-chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards
• Gholamali Rashid, the commander of Khatam-al Anbiya Central Headquarters
• Fereydoon Abbasi, nuclear scientist and former head Iran's Atomic Energy Organization
• Mohammad Mahdi Tehranchi, another nuclear scientist involved in Iran's nuclear weapons programme
• Mohammad Bagheri, Chief of Staff of Iran's armed forces
• Ali Shamkhani, senior adviser to Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has been seriously injured, according to Iranian reports.

Iranian media confirmed the deaths. They say F-35s fired missiles, along with drone strikes.

[Dilbu]

What are the real military options available to Iran? After the assassination of Qasim Sleimani and even in recent conflicts all they have done is send some drones and fire and forget missiles into Israel. Their military responses have been very underwhelming in comparison to the big rallies calling for elimination of Israel and hitting US as the great Satan. Is this another WMD kind of situation where western media was hyping Saddam as huge military threat?

[A_Gupta]

MEA, India:

https://www.mea.gov.in/Speeches-Stateme ... ?dtl/39666

Statement on the situation between Iran and Israel
June 13, 2025

We are deeply concerned at the recent developments between Iran and Israel.

We are closely monitoring the evolving situation, including reports related to attacks on nuclear sites.

India urges both sides to avoid any escalatory steps. Existing channels of dialogue and diplomacy should be utilised to work towards a de-escalation of the situation and resolving underlying issues. India enjoys close and friendly relations with both the countries and stands ready to extend all possible support.

Our Missions in both countries are in contact with the Indian community. All Indian nationals in the region are advised to exercise caution, stay safe and follow local security advisories.

New Delhi
June 13, 2025

[A_Gupta]

"The head of the IAEA, Rafael Grossi, stated that there have been no elevated radiation levels detected around the Natanz nuclear site, according to The New York Times. This was confirmed by Iranian authorities, according to Reuters. The IAEA also confirmed that Natanz had been impacted."

Question - can Israel actually set back Iran's nuclear program sufficiently to be secure for years? Or is the end of nuclearization the secondary and regime change the primary objectives?

[Hriday]

Had anyone noticed that even after Iran rained missiles on Israel in their last conflict, they didn't hit back with sufficient force ? Now unilateral and all-round strike by Israel that too even in civilian areas to kill senior military leaders. What changed now? I am certain that it is due to the support of Trump govt. Iran as a nuclear weapons power is a threat to India too in future. Hopefully this strike will pave for a sustained attack to fully disable the nuclear weapons program in Iran.

A good summary post from military commentator Patricia Marins.

https://x.com/pati_marins64/status/1933 ... Sso4Q&s=19

Absolutely no one was aware that Mossad operated a drone facility within Tehran, and it was from there that many of these targets were hit, along with a vast array of Iranian anti-aircraft defense radars.

Mossad utilized numerous civilian vehicles equipped with Spike launchers to target another portion of the main Israeli defense radars, as well as some positioned launchers.
..
Iranian radars had already detected and locked onto Israeli F-35 fighters on two occasions. Specifically, during the last attack, these fighters were locked onto while still in Iraq, prompting Israel to abort any attempt at an aerial incursion into Iranian skies during the attack some months ago.
..
In a new phase of deterrence, Americans and Israelis are trying to force an agreement with Iran.
...
Iran has more anti-aircraft batteries than all of Europe combined.

https://x.com/ScharoMaroof/status/19334 ... PMy-g&s=19
In the above link see three videos of Spike missile attack by Mossad teams inside Iran.

As per Babak Taghvaee a well known military commentator, - see the link below.
https://x.com/BabakTaghvaee1/status/193 ... w1sIA&s=19

#Breaking: #Israel Air Force is destroying every single one of the #IRGC's ballistic missiles that are deployed to be launched at #Israel. Over 50 #Mossad teams consisted of #Israeli and #Iranian operatives are also inside #Iran destroying these missiles by means of their Spike NLOS anti-tank missiles during Operation #RisingLion. Over a 1,300 Iranians are involved in #OperationRisingLion.

[Hriday]

Picture is worth thousand words. Every Iranian leaders will remember these photos. First photo shared by Eli David is the penthouse like apartments of senior military leaders of Iran.
Alpha Defense commented about the second photo that the penetration is by Delilah missile. Some are commenting that these are to pressure the Iranian leaders to abandon their nuclear weapons program.