2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

sivab · Post by **sivab** » 09 Feb 2020 10:59

https://twitter.com/nisheethsharan/stat ... 6655565824

Nisheeth Sharan
@nisheethsharan
Just had a detailed discussion with an Electoral Wizard who was part of Delhi planning.
Lets call him YR.
According to YR the gameplan was restricted to 45 seats.
BJP may lose some seats with huge margins, but will win many with 1K-3K margins.
YR is confident of 38 seats for BJP.

YR is not deshmukh. NS is an insider, but not from delhi.

kittoo · Post by **kittoo** » 09 Feb 2020 11:06

I dont see much possibility of BJP winning, even with theories of late surge in voting etc. And while that is slightly disheartening, lets not lose our minds over half a state. There is distinction in local and central elections and Modi Shah juggernaut will keep moving, i have little doubt about that.
Yes liberandus will be ecstatic for a few days and yes the complacency and inability of most Hindus to see bigger picture is a huge concern, but let that not affect us in what we strive for. This we should learn from the liberandus. No matter how big the defeat, they are always only down but not out.

eklavya · Post by **eklavya** » 09 Feb 2020 11:07

Tavleen Singh in IE:

BJP losing Delhi will be just punishment for shameless attempt to divide and rule

It horrified me to hear senior BJP leaders like Yogi Adityanath make the word ‘biryani’ a term of abuse and to hear other BJP leaders speak of this election as a choice between ‘India and Pakistan’. Horrified to hear a minister in the government of India urge his audience to ‘shoot traitors’ and to hear Home Minister Amit Shah say at a public rally that he wanted voters to press so hard on the ‘button’ that registered their vote that it would send a shock all the way to Shaheen Bagh.

Had he bothered instead to actually go and talk to the women in Shaheen Bagh, he would have discovered that they are not Pakistanis or traitors.

All they want from him is an assurance that he will not implement, as he has threatened more than once, a nationwide National Register of Citizens (NRC).

Sadly, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, instead of controlling his troops, has actually encouraged them. Last week in the Lok Sabha, he accused opposition leaders of spreading lies about the new citizenship law. And, during the campaign for Delhi, he said much too often that he saw in the Shaheen Bagh protest a sinister attempt to spread anarchy in India.

If he examines the protests without prejudice, he will discover that the protesters have genuine fears that if an NRC is held, they will be unable to produce the documents that prove that they are Indian. He may also discover that their fears have been exacerbated by the sort of speeches that were made by BJP leaders during the election campaign for Delhi.

nandakumar · Post by **nandakumar** » 09 Feb 2020 11:15

pankajs wrote:This is how narrative is sought to be created, sometimes quoting imaginary people, some times imaginary conversations, sometimes quoting even dead people! BUT is rarely it is so blatantly false that it is caught.

Problem is the only former CM of Delhi from CON is DEAD. How did he ring her up?

A possible MKVenu response. Don't be nitpicking. The reference to former Delhi CM is 'metaphorical'. It might have been a former CM not necessarily Delhi. He might not have been a CM either or even a congressman.

Yagnasri · Post by **Yagnasri** » 09 Feb 2020 11:29

Very well put. It is the basic ideas behind the CAA which are a big problem to Seculars and also peacefuls. They can not admit the reality of the sufferings of the Hindus in Islamic nations in our borders. If they do then they will be asked why they are not being critical of that. They can not do that and still have aman ki asha cocktail parties in gora lands etc. They can not write articles critical of BJP in WoPo etc if they are critical of Islam even indirectly. Their entire earning model will be hit for a six if they do.

chetak · Post by **chetak** » 09 Feb 2020 11:38

this is how these demented urban naxal, congi house negro journos generate fake news

M K Venu @mkvenu1
A very senior Congress leader & former CM of Delhi told me AAP would have got an additional 2 to 3 percentage vote share simply because BJP leaders launched a personal attack on Kejriwal, calling him a “terrorist”. This vicious attack angered voters who have been on the fence.
8:35 PM · Feb 8, 2020·

this urban naxal is very accomplished. he can commune with the dead

twitter

All former CMs of Delhi are Dead

List of former Dilli CMs:

1952-55: Brahm Prakash: d 1993
1955-56: Nihal Singh d unknown
1993-96: Madan Lal Khurana d 2018
1996-98: Sahib Singh Verma d 2007
1998-98: Sushma Swaraj d 2019
1998-2013: Sheila Dixit d 2019

Which former CM did you speak to sir?

Krita · Post by **Krita** » 09 Feb 2020 11:47

The bjp folks at Dwarka Matiala area were having a bike rally with drums and music yesterday night. While the AAP folks in my society were looking down. I hope I am not being overly optimistic by reading these signs incorrectly.
The locals and the colleagues in my company had said that Kejriwaal will easily win. Delhites have been brainwashed to believe that Shri Modi ji at the center and Kejriwaal at the state level is good for them.
Centre will either ways invest in infrastructure since it is the capital.Mr Kejriwaal will give them freebies in the form of water and electricity subsidy.
Win Win situation for them.
(My voting is in Kerala so I a m not eligible to vote in Delhi inspite of having lived here for past 4 years.)

chetak · Post by **chetak** » 09 Feb 2020 12:08

Krita wrote:The bjp folks at Dwarka Matiala area were having a bike rally with drums and music yesterday night. While the AAP folks in my society were looking down. I hope I am not being overly optimistic by reading these signs incorrectly.
The locals and the colleagues in my company had said that Kejriwaal will easily win. Delhites have been brainwashed to believe that Shri Modi ji at the center and Kejriwaal at the state level is good for them.
Centre will either ways invest in infrastructure since it is the capital.Mr Kejriwaal will give them freebies in the form of water and electricity subsidy.
Win Win situation for them.
(My voting is in Kerala so I a m not eligible to vote in Delhi inspite of having lived here for past 4 years.)

he has bribed them openly

twitter

In the last many months, about 30 lac households or 75 lac voters have received a Nill electricity bill in Delhi. The rest have seen a spike of 35-50%.
Thats the reason for Kejriwal’s confidence in Delhi elections.

chetak · Post by **chetak** » 09 Feb 2020 12:11

twitter

Remember liberals trolled Modi government for inviting Brazilian President as chief guest for Republic Day parade.

Press Trust of India @PTI_News

A Brazilian air force plane has evacuated an Indian from novel coronavirus-hit Wuhan in China along with a group of Brazilian citizens: Diplomatic sources #coronavirus

7:24 PM · Feb 8, 2020

kittoo · Post by **kittoo** » 09 Feb 2020 13:28

eklavya wrote:Tavleen Singh in IE:

BJP losing Delhi will be just punishment for shameless attempt to divide and rule

It horrified me to hear senior BJP leaders like Yogi Adityanath make the word ‘biryani’ a term of abuse and to hear other BJP leaders speak of this election as a choice between ‘India and Pakistan’. Horrified to hear a minister in the government of India urge his audience to ‘shoot traitors’ and to hear Home Minister Amit Shah say at a public rally that he wanted voters to press so hard on the ‘button’ that registered their vote that it would send a shock all the way to Shaheen Bagh.

Had he bothered instead to actually go and talk to the women in Shaheen Bagh, he would have discovered that they are not Pakistanis or traitors.

All they want from him is an assurance that he will not implement, as he has threatened more than once, a nationwide National Register of Citizens (NRC).

Sadly, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, instead of controlling his troops, has actually encouraged them. Last week in the Lok Sabha, he accused opposition leaders of spreading lies about the new citizenship law. And, during the campaign for Delhi, he said much too often that he saw in the Shaheen Bagh protest a sinister attempt to spread anarchy in India.

If he examines the protests without prejudice, he will discover that the protesters have genuine fears that if an NRC is held, they will be unable to produce the documents that prove that they are Indian. He may also discover that their fears have been exacerbated by the sort of speeches that were made by BJP leaders during the election campaign for Delhi.

Tavleen ji went to dark side again because of putra-moh. Theek hai let her be. Its not like even 4 votes get swayed because of this.
Calling Kejriwal a terrorist might've been a bit too much though. Of course shaheen bagh is a jihadi nest and attacking that is just fine, but most Indian electorate is emotional and doesn't get nuance and media highlights even minor slip ups of BJP. Add to it the fact that most Hindus wont care until the fire reaches their home, BJP was always fighting a losing game here. Hats off to their fighting spirit and getting Hindu causes done despite little actual electoral benefits. Lets keep supporting them and ignoring dhritarashtras like Tavleen.

Yagnasri · Post by **Yagnasri** » 09 Feb 2020 13:46

The fact of support to Paki views by PAAPis and AK47 is well known. The funding and other details of the creation of this group was done by BIF. He was supported by INC from the day of its creation. INC never fought the election seriously in 2015. There is no explanation for the lacklustre effort they are putting up even this elections. What other explanation we can give for these actions of INC other than PAAPis are their B team? One defeat of PAAPis will destroy their power to a large extent. A very big section of MSM is being funded by Delhi State advertisements. The MSM then supports INC and it BIF teams.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 09 Feb 2020 14:10

Yagnasri wrote:The fact of support to Paki views by PAAPis and AK47 is well known. The funding and other details of the creation of this group was done by BIF. He was supported by INC from the day of its creation. INC never fought the election seriously in 2015. There is no explanation for the lacklustre effort they are putting up even this elections. What other explanation we can give for these actions of INC other than PAAPis are their B team? One defeat of PAAPis will destroy their power to a large extent. A very big section of MSM is being funded by Delhi State advertisements. The MSM then supports INC and it BIF teams.

Delhi state advertisements keep the MSM on pAAP's side and the CON rules state funding makes them toe the INC line. MP gave a lefty advertisements budget to rNDTV after they came to power.

Other news ...
https://twitter.com/iMac_too/status/1226333942149787648

iMac_too @iMac_too

Case registered against 300 women anti-CAA protesters in Mumbai who are holding a sit-in protest in Nagpada area
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne ... 030392.cms

Why is the "seckular" Maha government so much against the anti-CAA protesters. How is CON tolerating, from their pov, such nonsense being done by a government that they are part of and for which they have sought NOC from the Muslims?

Something is not right here.

Moving on .. on a very unrelated topic ...
https://twitter.com/iMac_too/status/1226337185546113024

iMac_too @iMac_too

Today afternoon Painter @RajThackeray will take out a 200000 strong march from Hindu Gymkhana to Azad Maidan against Pak/BD infiltrators

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 09 Feb 2020 14:34

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/in ... 022884.cms
Middle East’s $2 trillion wealth could just vanish in 15 years

Has strategic implications for our country, our neighborhood and the world in general at multiple levels.

https://twitter.com/maryashakil/status/ ... 3202478081

Marya Shakil @maryashakil

It was बिजली, पानी, शिक्षा, सुरक्षा chunav till a few weeks ago & then Shaheenbagh became the centrepiece of BJP’s campaign. For weeks women of shaheenbagh were demonised. If exit poll numbers hold then it’s a message that divisive campaigns have no place in aspirational societies

In reply
https://twitter.com/YRDeshmukh/status/1 ... 4678689792

Yashwant Deshmukh @YRDeshmukh

Sorry to spoil the party, but majority of non-Muslim AAP voters said they support CAA, and they also said they would vote Modi in Lok Sabha elections.

AK appreciated this fact very well and this is why he is what RaGa is not. The problem with LeLi is in their denialism.

This from a guy who is giving Delhi to pAAP.

kit · Post by **kit** » 09 Feb 2020 14:44

kittoo wrote:
eklavya wrote:Tavleen Singh in IE:

BJP losing Delhi will be just punishment for shameless attempt to divide and rule

Tavleen ji went to dark side again because of putra-moh. Theek hai let her be. Its not like even 4 votes get swayed because of this.
Calling Kejriwal a terrorist might've been a bit too much though. Of course shaheen bagh is a jihadi nest and attacking that is just fine, but most Indian electorate is emotional and doesn't get nuance and media highlights even minor slip ups of BJP. Add to it the fact that most Hindus wont care until the fire reaches their home, BJP was always fighting a losing game here. Hats off to their fighting spirit and getting Hindu causes done despite little actual electoral benefits. Lets keep supporting them and ignoring dhritarashtras like Tavleen.

Does anyone remember incriminating material being seized from kejriwals office sometime back ? .. nothing was made public

kit · Post by **kit** » 09 Feb 2020 14:45

I think kejriwal will only jump to the extent the BJP lets him to.

SRajesh · Post by **SRajesh** » 09 Feb 2020 16:02

pankajs wrote:https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/in ... 022884.cms
Middle East’s $2 trillion wealth could just vanish in 15 years

Has strategic implications for our country, our neighborhood and the world in general at multiple level.

PankajJi
The west are moving towards Greener energy/Carbon footprint/Hybrid cars/and eventually electric automobiles.
At the moment China has almost monopoly on the Li-ion battery starting from control of Lithium mines in Africa/South America possibly most of Australian mineral to processing and making batteries.
Read something about the research into Aluminium-air/Aluminium-ion batteries.
If that comes through India can possible have a field day??? as we seem tom have large Al deposits.

anmol · Post by **anmol** » 09 Feb 2020 16:18

Tavleen ji went to dark side again because of putra-moh. Theek hai let her be. Its not like even 4 votes get swayed because of this.

Tavleen and putra went to the dark side because Modiji didn't bailout Gulabchand. Notice the timeline, from unabashed support of Modiji's policies, to lukewarm support, and finally unabashed opposition.

Hindustan Construction lenders to restructure debt
MUMBAI:, July 13, 2016 23:45 IST

Mumbai : Ajit Gulabchand, Chairman of Hindustan Construction Company (HCC), addressing a press conference on Lavasa issue in Mumbai on Friday. PTI Photo by Vishal Kelkar(PTI1_21_2011_000074A)

A consortium of 27 lenders led by ICICI Bank have decided to restructure more than Rs.2,000 crore worth of debts of infrastructure major Hindustan Construction Company (HCC) — one of the first instances where the ‘Scheme for Sustainable Structuring of Stressed Assets’ or S4A has been invoked has since it was introduced by Reserve Bank of India on June 13.[..]

Billionaire Ajit Gulabchand's folly Lavasa turns into a nightmare for Indian bankers
Last Updated: Jun 19, 2018, 05.39 PM IST

The days of zero crime are over. Garbage collection is sporadic, so litter soils the man-made lake. Storefronts are vacant. Signs of neglect are everywhere: maintenance is late or nonexistent. And that’s for the construction already done. For the unfinished building works—i.e. most of it—there is little happening.

Two decades ago, then-billionaire Ajit Gulabchand envisioned something very different: a city called Lavasa, modeled on the cotton-candy harbor of Italy’s Portofino, a four-hour drive from the slums and pollution that pervade so much of India’s financial capital of Mumbai. To deliver that dream, he hired the architects at HOK, creators of LaGuardia’s Airport Central Terminal B in New York and the Barclays world headquarters in London. Design awards and global news coverage followed.[..]

Lavasa was conceived by Gulabchand as India’s first private hill city in 2000, following similar private developments in the U.S. like Seaside, Florida, or the Disney development of Celebration. Now the unit of his Hindustan Construction Ltd. is struggling to repay its 41.5 billion rupees ($610 million) of debt, leaving the township to slowly slip into disrepair. Neglect has taken the Mediterranean sheen off once-bright red and yellow buildings. The cobblestone streets and stone bridges are growing moss. Sidewalks are crumbling in places.[..]

It may not be easy to find the right suitor for Lavasa considering the cost involved. Reviving the project would require as much as 100 billion rupees ($1.5 billion) just to start with, Gulabchand estimates.[..]

Haldiram, 2 others in race to buy out Lavasa for about Rs 2,046 cr
Last Updated at October 31, 2019 01:58 IST

Oberoi, New York group express interest in reviving Lavasa project

Nisha Nambiar | TNN | Updated: Jan 12, 2020, 08:26 IST

Residents of Lavasa told TOI that the Oberoi Group and Interups Inc had put out their EoI on December 27 and January 6, respectively. According to sources in the know, the final hearing at the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) is expected on January 20.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 09 Feb 2020 18:37

If pressed for time, start @ ~44:25 .. Modi starts by addressing CAA and the rest ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cz0txwZDiUw
PM Modi's reply to the motion of thanks on the President's Address in the Rajya Sabha

Just noticed: @ 1:09:42 >> Modi says that GOI has used the NPR data collected by UPA and update in 2015 for RM Aawas yogna and Direct benefit transfer like schemes to benefit/Cover the left out folks (Left out of what ???).

Note:
1. NPR already being used for beneficiary validation!

I was under the impression that NPR to subsidy/benefit will happen over time in the future.
2. The press reports always suggested that Aadhar was the basis of state subsidy/benefit. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that the validation is either/or and NPR, whatever has been collected, has been seeded with Aadhar.
3. The only thing to do is to get the missing population into the NPR database and make it the sole identity for the purpose of state subsidy/benefits.

@ 1:10:20 >> Modi says that by opposing NPR you are depriving crores of poor people form availing state subsidy/benefits.

1. Signal that NPR identity will be the sole for the purpose of availing state subsidy/benefits.
2. Will Modi make the opposition to NPR == Anti-poor stand?

Added Later: Why is the GOI hellbent on creating a duplicate database to Aadhar when it would be much easy to update Aadhar in theory? Easy to guess the reason if you have followed the Aadhar debate with any interest.

Context: IIRC, Aadhar has 90+% coverage compared to ~60% coverage for NPR and therefore logical to push for Aadhar update if one doesn't understand the Aadhar debate.

hanumadu · Post by **hanumadu** » 09 Feb 2020 19:12

Chintamani
@IamIconoclast
Here it is, the #Chintamani5Dots post-poll for #DelhiElections #DelhiElections2020 #DelhiAssemblyPolls

https://www.elections.in/delhi/exit-poll.html

Chintamani
@IamIconoclast
·
4h
Replying to
@IamIconoclast
(2/n) We have sifted through the polling data for all seats. There is a uniform drop of 5-7% in all seats. M voting is the same as earlier polls. Our ground reports corroborate that the drop is in AAP and Cong voters
1
36
61

Chintamani
@IamIconoclast
·
4h
(3/n) The factotum of 58.8% polling in Okhla and 68% in Krishnanagar is not lost on us, unlike most others. So we reject the theory that Ms voted higher this time. It is same or less. Again, corroborated from the ground.
2
32
52

Chintamani
@IamIconoclast
·
4h
(4/n) The polling itself happened in 2 clear phases: pre-3 pm, and post-3pm. In phase 1, AAP led by 15-20% votes. In 2nd, BJP led by 30-40% votes. 75% votes cast in phase 1, 25% in phase 2

[This still gives a 4-5% voting advantage to AAP
7
46
82

Chintamani
@IamIconoclast
·
4h
(5/5) That is why we have given a variation that is larger than usual. This election was polarised in more ways than just one. BJP finally put together an architecture for a functional party. That it required central leadership at the ground level doesn’t speak well of
@BJP4Delhi

chetak · Post by **chetak** » 09 Feb 2020 20:27

x posted from KER TN AP thread

twitter

Kerala: Kannur Collectorate receives three citizenship applications under Citizenship Act
WHAT WILL CPM govt do now ?

Kerala: Kannur Collectorate receives three citizenship applications under Citizenship Act

The juggernaut

The applicant is an 18-year-old Malayali Muslim boy from Kannur

While his father is an Indian citizen by birth, his mother (a Malayali) was born in Pakistan

The teen was also born in Pakistan, in 2002

The family relocated to their ancestral home in Kannur in 2008. He currently holds an OIC card, the lawyer said

CRamS · Post by **CRamS** » 09 Feb 2020 21:55

Looks like either crazy is a bit nervous, or he is being extra paranoid to complain about EVMs and EC even before votes are counted, and that too when all exit polls show him comfortably ahead.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 09 Feb 2020 22:51

https://twitter.com/ANI/status/1226373222305677315

ANI @ANI

CP Joshi, Rajasthan Assembly Speaker in Udaipur on 7th February: Government of India has passed Citizenship Amendment Act and State government has to implement it. Under the Constitution, citizenship is a subject of the Centre, not of the State.

https://twitter.com/amitmalviya/status/ ... 2563840000

Amit Malviya @amitmalviya

CP Joshi joins the long list of Congress leaders who have voiced their support for the CAA in a sharp departure from the position held by the Gandhis. Does this point to growing disenchantment with the Gandhi brand of politics within Congress? When will they grow a spine to snap?

Wrong reading! Raful and CON Central is busy virtue signalling and NGO/BIF politics, the state politicos have to deal with ground realities of electoral politics and the general sentiments on the ground.

Reading too much into this is too much.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 09 Feb 2020 23:22

https://twitter.com/LotusforTN/status/1 ... 3732925446

LOTUS for Tamil Nadu @LotusforTN

Our Raja Annamalaipuram Chennai team enrolled about 100 families for our health cards. Thanks to great team, Arvind Ramanathan and Venkatakrishnan. In spite of being handicapped by 2 team members not joining them, did all work - spread the news, managed crowd, enrolled them.

https://twitter.com/LotusforTN/status/1 ... 9525072896

LOTUS for Tamil Nadu @LotusforTN

Our Mylapore Chennai team enrolled 250 plus people giving them our health cards. Great team work by Sai, Natesan, Govindarajan, Arvind. Srinivasan made the crowd have fun. People were happy to receive the cards, which they were not aware of ....

https://twitter.com/ambarish_g/status/1 ... 7785788416

Ambarish @ambarish_g

Helped a few more people get hold of their #Ayushmanbharath cards. The word is spreading in Chennai !
All thanks to @LotusforTN and @mahesh10816 ji !

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 09 Feb 2020 23:48

https://twitter.com/Retributions/status ... 9256163330

Rohit @Retributions

Serious point: the ideological hegemony, and the polarization is real and has national implications: Kejriwal avoided virtually all *Muslim* constituencies, and carefully avoided any ideological arguments. A local election doesn’t change that.

BJP was making the arguments in Delhi but fighting the future elections in Bihar and Bengal......

and for GE 2024!

Bitter critic of BJP understands BJP politics better than some so called "Hard core" BJP supporters who shit bricks at the first wiff of a minor setback.

OTOH, I disagree with him at another level. BJP did not polarize the elections but the opposition did by creating the Tauheen bagh spectacle. They setup a clash between the BJP and the Muslims and were waiting in the wings with cameras and records like a vulture to feast on the aftermath.

All Modi/BJP did was to side-step landmine and allow the spectacle to continue and in the process morph into a anti-Hindu gathering that became the focus of the country and thus polarized the rest of the electorate. BJP mean while collected all the photos and clips of the obnoxious slogans, etc to be used in future campaigns.

Theek hai.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 09 Feb 2020 23:52

ART ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0iCdcZwS3eE
Shiv Sena SLAMS BJP; launches 'Hindutva Taliban' attack on NDA

ARTIST ..

https://twitter.com/ANI/status/1226422649863061504

ANI @ANI

Mumbai: Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) workers gather to participate in a rally at Azad Maidan, demanding the ouster of illegal Bangladeshi and Pakistani immigrants.

https://twitter.com/iMac_too/status/122 ... e]iMac_too @iMac_too

Raj is repeating Modi's speech in Parliament on #CAA[/quote]

ARTIST behind the ARTIST ...

https://twitter.com/iMac_too/status/1226440289654431744

iMac_too @iMac_too

Kaka @pawarspeaks, why is Marathi media giving blanket coverage to Painter's rally?

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 10 Feb 2020 00:10

https://twitter.com/ashoswai/status/1226189616635617285

Ashok Swain @ashoswai

Some who were celebrating Modi in 2014, now saying likely defeat of BJP in Delhi is the defeat of Hindutva politics in India. Pure Nonsense.
1. AAP has NOT challenged BJP on Hindutva
2. AAP has NOT challenged Modi's Leadership
3. AAP has NOT gone to JNU, Jamia or Shaheenbagh.

https://twitter.com/YRDeshmukh/status/1 ... 1402307584

Yashwant Deshmukh @YRDeshmukh

There you see. Even the most rabidly biased minds are capable of saying some objective things on rare occasions.

Some very pathological haters of Modi/BJP/Hindus, are at times, able to draw some right conclusions, even while some of Modi/BJP's hardcore supporters are overtaken by fear at a minor setback!

Kujli did NOT challenge Modi/BJP on Sickularism or Modi's record of omissions/commissions from their pov or take Modi head-on on CAA/NPR/NRC or on JNU/Jamia/Tauheen bagh!!!

Kujli ran away from all such confrontation and he might just retain his CMship i.e. to say, Modi will WIN even when Kujli becomes the CM of Delhi because, in the view of the sickulars of India, Modi made Kujli abandon his principles to win!

hanumadu · Post by **hanumadu** » 10 Feb 2020 00:13

If we see caste wise polling data on Delhi (by Axis), the sudden surge late in the day is not going to make any difference.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 10 Feb 2020 00:26

https://twitter.com/milindkhandekar/sta ... 7497625602

Milind Khandekar @milindkhandekar

मुंबई की सड़कों पर नए राजनीतिक समीकरण

राज ठाकरे घुसपैठियों के ख़िलाफ़ सड़क पर उतरे है

राज बीजेपी की तरफ़ बढ़ रहे है, उद्धव कांग्रेस के साथ सरकार में बैठे है

राज साल भर पहले मोदी के ख़िलाफ़ प्रचार कर रहे थे और उद्धव बीजेपी के साथ चुनाव लड़ रहे थे

Translated from Hindi by

New political equations on the streets of Mumbai

Raj Thackeray has landed on the road against the intruders

Raj is moving towards BJP, Uddhav is sitting in government with Congress

Raj was campaigning against Modi a year ago and Uddhav was contesting with BJP

Push and pull of politics but the sootradhaar behind Raj is more likely to be Pawarful given how much play this rally is getting in Marathi media as per media watchers. The Marathi media is Pawarful allies and do his bidding.

https://twitter.com/iMac_too/status/1226461219256586241

iMac_too @iMac_too

Raj says Muslim "protests" were शक्ति प्रदर्शन

How is CON tolerating such language in its rule?

Pawarful is trying to trap both Sena and CON with the Raj gambit.

https://twitter.com/ANI/status/1226465597447213056

ANI @ANI

Raj Thackeray, Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) in Mumbai: I don't understand why the Muslims who were protesting against the Citizenship Amendment Act, were doing so. CAA is not for the Muslims who were born here. To whom are you showing your strength?

Manish_Sharma · Post by **Manish_Sharma** » 10 Feb 2020 00:28

pankajs wrote: Modi will WIN even when Kujli becomes the CM of Delhi because, in the view of the sickulars of India, Modi made Kujli abandon his principles to win!

Golden words!

At the beginning of their rise khujli and sisodia had Bharat Mata picture removed from Anna Hazare 'anti corruption protest'. By making that same khujli recite Hanuman chalisa and visit Temple is INDEED FORCING HIM TO ABANDON HIS PRINCIPLES. BIG VICTORY!

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 10 Feb 2020 01:27

https://twitter.com/RituRathaur/status/ ... 0731921410

Ritu (सत्यसाधक) #EqualRightsForHindus @RituRathaur

Okay so @ECISVEEP has given the final Voter turnout at 62.59%

At 3:30PM voting was just 40.51%

So 22% voting happened after rhe time most of pollsters had collated their data!
Assuming most of BJP voters came after 3PM to vote bcoz of match, it wud be safe to predict a BJP win!

vijayk · Post by **vijayk** » 10 Feb 2020 01:53

pankajs wrote:https://twitter.com/RituRathaur/status/ ... 0731921410
Ritu (सत्यसाधक) #EqualRightsForHindus @RituRathaur

Okay so @ECISVEEP has given the final Voter turnout at 62.59%

At 3:30PM voting was just 40.51%

So 22% voting happened after rhe time most of pollsters had collated their data!
Assuming most of BJP voters came after 3PM to vote bcoz of match, it wud be safe to predict a BJP win!

Lets hope so. A WIN in Delhi would destroy the spirit of Anti-national bozos.

Just an example of how filthy garbage BIF forces work ... Tell how bad economy is before elections and then slowly change the tune

https://theprint.in/opinion/modi-hasnt- ... ts/361623/

Modi hasn’t done so badly on the economy. But more needs to be done on many fronts
Modi & his Cabinet need to get over their hostility to criticism, and frontally address the jobs problem as it is central to tackling the growing inequality.

Before going further, it is worth noting the socioeconomic changes that Mr Modi has wrought: Dramatic improvements in access to financial services, clean cooking fuel, toilets, electricity, digital transactions, and now free medical insurance, not to mention cash handouts for farmers. In addition, as Sitharaman mentioned, macro-economic balances are comfortable, including on core inflation. Her reference to the fiscal challenge fell short of an explanation and therefore offered no answers. Still, the transport infrastructure has improved, as has the digital one. There is striking growth in data consumption, and improved access to higher education. In another few years the metrics on all of the above should improve further. Many lives are being transformed.

Modi’s critics often fail to acknowledge these changes and their importance. This may well be because the failures are both manifest and urgent: The worsening picture on employment, the loss of momentum in consumption, its downstream impact on investment, the stagnation in exports, legislative inaction on key aspects of policy reform, the many challenges confronting farmers, and much else. To that list you could add the fear factor and institutional erosion.

Modi and his Cabinet colleagues need to get over their hostility to any and all criticism on such issues, and frontally address the jobs problem because it is central to tackling the growing inequality and uneven sharing of the benefits of growth. Sitharaman has tried to address some of these in her speech, but the general impact after 160 minutes has been underwhelming. More needs to be done on more fronts, and sometimes differently, than is now the case. If that effort is mounted and growth revives, the Modi government’s economic record could still shine. If not, the next phase of rapid growth will be some time coming.

hanumadu · Post by **hanumadu** » 10 Feb 2020 01:54

The voting percentage numbers have a lag. It would be more than what was displayed on the EC website at that time. It would be more than 40% by 3:30. But look at the caste wise polling I have posted above. That picture is scary. It actually gives a higher percentage of total votes to AAP than in 2015 and BJP is not even able to hold on to its share. I just hope those numbers are wrong.

CRamS · Post by **CRamS** » 10 Feb 2020 02:41

pankajs wrote: Modi will WIN even when Kujli becomes the CM of Delhi because, in the view of the sickulars of India, Modi made Kujli abandon his principles to win!

Respectfully disagree. The narrative BIF spokeswomen like Burka bibi are spinning as follows:

1. Crazy’s temple visits are ‘mainstream’ Hindu in contrast to BJP’s ‘aggressive Hinduthva’ which Delhites supposedly rejected if as expected crazy canters home comfortably

2. Crazy was actually pro Shaheen Bagh because by staying away, he did not get into a dog fight with BJP therby highlighting his development agenda which Delhites allegedly supported

3. Crazy’s support base cuts across religious lines

I expect her to pen a WP propaganda op-ed along these lines post Feb 11.

Finally, I don’t want to get on your nerves, and lets agree to disagree, but a BJP whitewash as predicted by India Today Axis exit poll will surely energize BIF IMO.

Even if BJP does not win, they should at least get 25 ofd seats to show BIF that there is price to pay electorally for their break India machinations

Mukesh.Kumar · Post by **Mukesh.Kumar** » 10 Feb 2020 02:54

CRamS wrote:
pankajs wrote: Modi will WIN even when Kujli becomes the CM of Delhi because, in the view of the sickulars of India, Modi made Kujli abandon his principles to win!
Respectfully disagree. The narrative BIF spokeswomen like Burka bibi are spinning as follows:

1. Crazy’s temple visits are ‘mainstream’ Hindu in contrast to BJP’s ‘aggressive Hinduthva’ which Delhites supposedly rejected if as expected crazy canters home comfortably

2. Crazy was actually pro Shaheen Bagh because by staying away, he did not get into a dog fight with BJP therby highlighting his development agenda which Delhites allegedly supported

3. Crazy’s support base cuts across religious lines

I expect her to pen a WP propaganda op-ed along these lines post Feb 11.

Finally, I don’t want to get on your nerves, and lets agree to disagree, but a BJP whitewash as predicted by India Today Axis exit poll will surely energize BIF IMO.

Even if BJP does not win, they should at least get 25 ofd seats to show BIF that there is price to pay electorally for their break India machinations

All goes to say that slowly the Overton Window had shifted in mainstream. Slowly there's pushback building up against the victimhood narrative

chetak · Post by **chetak** » 10 Feb 2020 03:00

hanumadu wrote:The voting percentage numbers have a lag. It would be more than what was displayed on the EC website at that time. It would be more than 40% by 3:30. But look at the caste wise polling I have posted above. That picture is scary. It actually gives a higher percentage of total votes to AAP than in 2015 and BJP is not even able to hold on to its share. I just hope those numbers are wrong.

twitter

Exit poll says AAP is winning Delhi.

But...

Amit shah says BJP will win 45+ seats.
Manoj Tiwari says BJP will win 48 seats.
ECI not declaring final voter turnout.

What's cooking?

vijayk · Post by **vijayk** » 10 Feb 2020 03:34

no matter what is the surge, it is very difficult numbers will be skewed so much in the end.

Last election, CON made all vote transfer to AAP at the end.

This year if BJP sensing it waiting till the end to bring their vote bank and got 80% in the last 2 hours may be a great paper idea but doubt it.

vijayk · Post by **vijayk** » 10 Feb 2020 03:42

chetak · Post by **chetak** » 10 Feb 2020 04:02

vijayk wrote:no matter what is the surge, it is very difficult numbers will be skewed so much in the end.

Last election, CON made all vote transfer to AAP at the end.

This year if BJP sensing it waiting till the end to bring their vote bank and got 80% in the last 2 hours may be a great paper idea but doubt it.

It wasn't the strategy because no one can depend on such dicey parameters to work at the last minute.

looks like the people who may not have otherwise voted for various reasons may have been contacted by the karyakarthas to urge them to go and vote.

These are booth management guys who know the families who would be voting in their booths and all it needs is a physical check for the inked finger.

The BJPs booth management is awesome in the sense that they activate more than a month before any other party does and they are local guys from the mohallas. They are constantly in touch with their voters and actively trying to convert the fence sitters.

Don't go by what any party says. In every case where the BJP has not done well, its only the bhaktas who are surprised and disappointed at the results. The BJP always knows that they either have or do not have the firepower to win and they are always aware of the ground realities before the elections actually take place and yet, win or lose, they fight like it is a matter of life and death.

That is AS and NM for you.

In the earlier days we had the BJP leadership hobnobbing with the lootyens liberandus and treating elections like it was a friendly game of neighborhood cricket on a warm and lazy sunday.

KJo · Post by **KJo** » 10 Feb 2020 04:50

BJP should have announced a CM face. I don't like the idea of keeping it secret and then springing a surprise after election. Same with a PM face. People need to know who their leader would be. Last them they picked an unpopular leader. It's possible they don't have any good leaders in Dilli and would parachute someone in. Gambhir is too young and too hot headed, he needs to calm down and show his capability before he can be the face.

vijayk · Post by **vijayk** » 10 Feb 2020 04:54

chetak wrote:
vijayk wrote:no matter what is the surge, it is very difficult numbers will be skewed so much in the end.

Last election, CON made all vote transfer to AAP at the end.

This year if BJP sensing it waiting till the end to bring their vote bank and got 80% in the last 2 hours may be a great paper idea but doubt it.
It wasn't the strategy because no one can depend on such dicey parameters to work at the last minute.

looks like the people who may not have otherwise voted for various reasons may have been contacted by the karyakarthas to urge them to go and vote.

These are booth management guys who know the families who would be voting in their booths and all it needs is a physical check for the inked finger.

The BJPs booth management is awesome in the sense that they activate more than a month before any other party does and they are local guys from the mohallas. They are constantly in touch with their voters and actively trying to convert the fence sitters.

Don't go by what any party says. In every case where the BJP has not done well, its only the bhaktas who are surprised and disappointed at the results. The BJP always knows that they either have or do not have the firepower to win and they are always aware of the ground realities before the elections actually take place and yet, win or lose, they fight like it is a matter of life and death.

That is AS and NM for you.

In the earlier days we had the BJP leadership hobnobbing with the lootyens liberandus and treating elections like it was a friendly game of neighborhood cricket on a warm and lazy sunday.

I want to be pleasantly surprised. Praying for that.

If there is a surprise, expect Burkha to every mad dog BIF rep, crapping all onver in NYT/WaPo/BBC how EVMs have been rigged