Re: Telangana Monitor
Posted: 09 Jan 2010 01:15
Stan saar: If I am not mistaken DMK actually sided with BJP in 1998.
Consortium of Indian Defence Websites
https://forums.bharat-rakshak.com/
There was this fear during the election time, no? After the results came in, we saw everyone settle into the standard dance routine, na?! The problem is this: sleeping with Amma and Ramadoss is like keeping a gun and a can of kerosene next to you when you go to sleep, lack of a better simile. Ramadoss is the number 1 color-changer in TN and he has a "venerability" for it. Historically, DMK-INC has been a stable marriage except for the emergency fights with IG. In fact, IG did a favor for MK and dismissed MGR, but he came back with a vengeance in the popular mandate. There is enough institutional memory, why will INC suddenly run off to chameleons and screw the game unless they have so much to really really gain?Muppalla wrote: Even in the current TN Assembly, AIADMK+INC+PMK can form the government by putting DMK in the dock. Why do you say that INC is not a master here?
It is tit for tat, the game is this: INC gets more seats for LS elections than its due share, but DMK gets more ministers and prime portfolios where they can milk cash, like communications, health, etc. Otoh, INC gets zero respectability in running the state and cant whine much. Now tell me who is the winner and who is the loser in this deal.
INC though has less vote share, it negotiated substantial LS seats and DMK was willing to give more as INC played an either-or- game.
It is alway true after elections. One thing that you may not have observed the pattern is INC is on an agressive expantion. I am not a TN expert so please throw in your expertise. Come next assembly elections - my take is if the Central Government can still run without DMK (which is possible) then it will ask for a lot more seats than it has now. DMK will be in double mind. It either has to lose the state or succumb. Watch all the sons, daughters and MK along with marans and how they succumb/play to INC mechanisms. INC will threaten to go with PMK+MDMK+AIADMK+whatever. Even that government it will not lose much strategically. The loser is DMK and hence I am saying that by-force DMK is married to INC.Stan_Savljevic wrote: There was this fear during the election time, no? After the results came in, we saw everyone settle into the standard dance routine, na?! The problem is this: sleeping with Amma and Ramadoss is like keeping a gun and a can of kerosene next to you when you go to sleep, lack of a better simile. Ramadoss is the number 1 color-changer in TN and he has a "venerability" for it. Historically, DMK-INC has been a stable marriage except for the emergency fights with IG. In fact, IG did a favor for MK and dismissed MGR, but he came back with a vengeance in the popular mandate. There is enough institutional memory, why will INC suddenly run off to chameleons and screw the game unless they have so much to really really gain?
It has no respectability and hence nothing to lose to unleash anything. INC's respectability is a joke as far as my bias is concerned. AP had it nice going until 2004. From 2004 it is now way too complicated with Jagans and multiple caste parties.
It is tit for tat, the game is this: INC gets more seats for LS elections than its due share, but DMK gets more ministers and prime portfolios where they can milk cash, like communications, health, etc. Otoh, INC gets zero respectability in running the state and cant whine much. Now tell me who is the winner and who is the loser in this deal.
I dont know, dont see much from what I read. Too much noise in the system to make any good observations. But more so, TN is a weirdo state with its own dynamics that needless to say, INC or BJP has no bloody idea of. It is a travesty when three of the major national parties (INC, BJP, commies) are utterly clueless about what runs TN. Even a baby will tell where the pulse lies: roti, kapda, makaan, self-respect, tamil, not in that order of priority.Muppalla wrote: One thing that you may not have observed the pattern is INC is on an agressive expantion.
If I were in DMK, I will say, "
INC will threaten to go with PMK+MDMK+AIADMK+whatever.
True, neither does DMK, ADMK, PMK or DMDK. So it is a free market full of cheats and bozos. And I dont expect INC to grow a brain and a pair of ba*** in 1 1/2 years. The problem is this: people think INC and Sonia mata are all powerful people. Much of the victories have been serendepity rather than active chankian moves, but thats just what I think.
INC has no respectability and hence nothing to lose to unleash anything.
This is a very important. In JHK -JMM, JVM and AJSU are all tribal parties and they are exactly same. Similarly TRS is also same. The parties that represent a very small sub-regional-identities (percieved ? ) are all same. There is no plan or strategy to improve the state either economically of make the state an important one politically. What we are seeing is the national parties instead of using rough-shod power and pass some election reforms to make these entities as useless they are succumbing and manipulating the state boundaries. If there is a simple rule of re-run in case of the candidate getting less than 50% polled all these parties are mostly kaput. ( offcource RM thorises with a preferential voting system that I disagreeRamadoss is the number 1 color-changer in TN and he has a "venerability" for it.
This is when I brought my Bihar's theory. When you have multiple players/parties and the national party like INC has no say in the state like that happened in Bihar is when you will have all sorts of scenarios. I am neither remotely wishing that TN should split nor any bad. All I am trying to say is the parties like PMK or MDMK in TN, TRS or PRP in AP and multiple-JDs and JHKs in Bihar are same. The national parties neither have a vision nor national strategy and they also do weird things.Stan_Savljevic wrote: If I were in DMK, I will say, ", go ahead." When MK gets enquired by his maker about what engg degree MK thinks he has, we will see a new equilibrium in the state. But I cant see it to be very far off from what exists now, as the progenies run the state now, and the senile man is a rudder-less man. If JJ seeks an early appt with her maker, which is more imminent than that of the senile man, it is really a O.Henry-type farce. In any case,
If we take all politcal parties are just junk then yes they are junk but they do junkie things that affects national and other issues.
True, neither does DMK, ADMK, PMK or DMDK. So it is a free market full of cheats and bozos. And I dont expect INC to grow a brain and a pair of ba*** in 1 1/2 years. The problem is this: people think INC and Sonia mata are all powerful people. Much of the victories have been serendepity rather than active chankian moves, but thats just what I think.
Fact is, INC is out of the picture in TN out of its own stupidities. For that, one has to understand TN politics pre- and post-Madras province of 53. INC in those days was dominated by brahmins. Periyar pushed for affirmative actions, but felt a huge stumbling block. In the sake of going out and trying to empower the non-brahmins, he went after root causes and blamed the brahmins, and ergo, hindus, for all ills. The JP movement just wanted empowerment, but were staunch Hindus. But due to electoral machinations and various other causes, Periyar came back from prison after serving a 2 yr term for asking the Brits to leave and started leading the JP. That was when his extremist streak came through rather vociferously. His maverick acts of Dravida-stan did nt help create new friends. In fact, folks such as Tanguturi Prakasam moved away and got back on talking terms with Rajaji, with whom Prakasam had a major fight over linguistic issues.Muppalla wrote: When you have multiple players/parties and the national party like INC has no say in the state like that happened in Bihar is when you will have all sorts of scenarios.
It is not like folks are super-sensitive about a split TN, certainly not me. A few politicians are, for their own vested interest. Most folks in TN seem to be in a dont care state. KMP (Kongunaadu Munnetra Peravai) asked for a separate Kongunaadu around the last election time, and except for a cursory glance, most did nt even bother with it. It still exists.You have already made your point right? No need to press further lest you be tarred a spilltist.
Right...... the politics in India kept on showing the world like how low one can stoop.ShyamSP wrote:Political experiments to counter political experiments.
- Lagadapati fasting was to show people fasting protests are not genuine
After that nobody believes in fasting and fastings became less effective.
- Attacks on Reliance stores/Petrol bunks for fake analysis of YSR death.
Now leaders are urging people not to raise up when some leaders ask them to protest. Chankian.
The violence against Reliance group, allegedly provoked by a news telecast claiming the business giant got Y S Rajasekhara Reddy killed in a helicopter crash, has triggered unrest in Congress with fingers pointing at Jaganmohan Reddy. While the Telangana faction of the party accused Jagamohan faction of trying to derail division of Andhra Pradesh, others felt it was only an attempt to show that chief minister K Rosaiah was not fit to steer a difficult situation as well as to block the process of formation of Telangana.
I agree with this. There is feudalism in this movement which was not there in the earlier state formation. There is revisionist movement. Economic progress can be made with right resource allocation. Here there are too many players and the people who are in the forefront are not honest.KLNMurthy wrote:Ramana garu can speak for himself but I'll put down some concerns I have about the nature of the Telangana movement (as opposed to the question of a separate Telangana state itself, on which one can be objectively neutral). It is different from the splitting of Uttarakhand or Jharkhand or Chattisgarh in that the Telangana movement has a strong flavor of reversion to a zero-sum feudal economy and mindset that existed prior to the ouster of the Nizam. The feudal mindset manifested itself in 3 ways:Stan_Savljevic wrote: ...
Ramana, can I request you to bat with a straight bat? How is a separate Telengana an impediment to national integration? How is it a threat to the territorial integrity of India? I am getting plain confused by this hide-hide-wink-wink that goes on in this thread. If there is an issue, why dont people, including you, articulate it in English so that people like me who want to learn can try to understand what the real issues are.
...
A splendid and insightful article that I have been searching for. From Deepal Jayasekara, published in WSWS.a_kumar wrote:If we are looking at the same numbers and still fail to find "any places of agreement", it is fair to say the factors could are not the obvious ones and are "non-quantifiable". How do we figure it out through the rhetoric?
Chidambaran, who less than one month ago announced that the central government was resolved to give Telangana statehood, dodged a reporter’s question as to whether Telangana will in fact become India’s twenty-ninth state, “We are trying,” said Chidambaran, “to help the political parties of Andhra Pradesh find the answer to the issues of the state. We are here to help.”
{Flip-flop!!}
Chidambaran denied that the decision to create Telangana had been taken in haste. But Chidambaran’s declamations cannot obscure the fact that the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance government is reeling from widespread criticism from India’s elite of its handling of the Telangana issue. Not only has India’s most populous southern state been thrust into a major political crisis that has disrupted economic activity, especially in Hyderabad, a vital Information Technology hub. The central government’s readiness to bifurcate Andhra Pradesh is seen as potentially opening a Pandora’s Box of demands for the redrawing of the internal borders of India, a country peopled by a myriad of ethno-linguistic groups and marked by profound social, and ever-increasing regional, inequalities.
...............
Last week, the Congress Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh, K. Rosaiah, told reporters that the political unrest had caused major companies, including the French automaker Peugeot Citroën, to defer or relocate projects. “The image of Hyderabad as an investment destination and a hub of information technology, pharmaceuticals and other industries has taken a beating because of the unrest.”
Rosaiah, whose cabinet is hopelessly split over the Telangana question, took no stand at yesterday’s meeting. He simply said that he would endorse whatever decision the Congress Party-dominated central government takes.
{Guess we are back on that track.. "Classic Congress peons" bandwagon. Amma you decide and we will follow!! And then later complain "But we didn't think she would do this!!!" Maybe this is what Jagan is trying to highlight. Is Rossiah the fall guy!!!}
..................
Apart from Hyderabad and its immediate environs, the 10 districts that comprise the Telangana region are known for their economic backwardness and higher incidence of poverty, illiteracy and general social deprivation.
Sections of the local elite and petty bourgeoisie have long advocated separate statehood, claiming that this will provide jobs and facilitate development.
They are being bitterly opposed by more powerful sections of Andhra’s Telugu bourgeoisie. The latter calculate that a “united Andhra” is the best platform to assert their interests on the national stage and are determined to maintain political control over Hyderabad, the current state capital and one of India’s most dynamic metropolitan areas.
{elites vs elites}
..................
This week has seen rival bandhs in favor of and against Telangana. Members of the Joint Action Committee (JAC) at Osmania University in Hyderabad, the center of the pro-Telangana movement, threatened to demolish offices of all parties opposing a separate Telangana state, declaring “No anti-Telangana activists will be allowed to stay in Hyderabad.”
Neither the movement for Telangana nor the counter-agitation for a “united Andhra” represents the interests of the working class, oppressed peasantry and other toilers.
{Said enough times on this thread.}
.................
Led by well-known bourgeois politicians, the rival agitations aim to uphold or alter the existing administrative structure of the Indian capitalist state so as to further the interests of big business and other privileged layers. They are serving to further divide the working class and channel the social anger born of the economic deprivation that confronts all of India’s toilers irrespective of ethnicity, religion or region into a reactionary regional conflict.
{Again said enough times on this thread.}
Proponents of Telangana have vowed to use violence to thwart any measure that would not give a future Telangana state exclusive control over Hyderabad.
Meanwhile, senior TDP senior leaders, Dhulipalla Narendra Kumar and Bojjala Gopalakrishna have sought to exploit traditional frictions between the Telugu and Tamil elites, by accusing Chidambaran of supporting the bifurcation of Andhra Pradesh while opposing the division of his native Tamil Nadu. Chidambaran, they declared, “is against the bifurcation of his native state Tamil Nadu but is ready to divide AP. Why these double standards? It only exposes the vengeful attitude of Chidambaran against the fast-developing Andhra Pradesh.”
The advocates of Telangana are seeking to manipulate the anger over the social crisis that stalks the region, while their “united Andhra” opponents are fomenting ethno-linguistic chauvinism.
..................
The students believe that the creation of a separate state administration for Telangana will give them access to jobs, both because the new state will need to be staffed and because it will be in a legal position to provide Telangana “natives” preferential hiring for public, and potentially private, sector jobs. Explains Professor S. Simhadri of Osmania University, a member of the Telangana Intellectuals Forum, “Unemployment is the biggest issue worrying students. Since most of them are first-generation or second-generation students, they genuinely believe they will have dramatically improved opportunities in a separate state.”
{There he nails it. It was not the numbers we have been discussing to death, this is at the root. }
........
CPM Politburo member and West Bengal Chief Minister Bhuddadeb Bhattacharjee, said January 3, “The whole country is disappointed with you (Chidambaran) the way you have dealt with the Telangana issue. We are facing consequences in Darjeeling and Coochbehar districts where demand for separate states have got a new lease of life… I told the Prime Minister how could such an important decision be taken overnight. And for that we have now got a rejuvenated demand for Gorkhaland.”
The more I think about it, the Telangana movement is about competition for the jobs, promotions which are being gobbled up by people moving in from Kosta/Seema because of variety of reasons:Acharya wrote:I agree with this. There is feudalism in this movement which was not there in the earlier state formation. There is revisionist movement. Economic progress can be made with right resource allocation. Here there are too many players and the people who are in the forefront are not honest.KLNMurthy wrote: Ramana garu can speak for himself but I'll put down some concerns I have about the nature of the Telangana movement (as opposed to the question of a separate Telangana state itself, on which one can be objectively neutral). It is different from the splitting of Uttarakhand or Jharkhand or Chattisgarh in that the Telangana movement has a strong flavor of reversion to a zero-sum feudal economy and mindset that existed prior to the ouster of the Nizam. The feudal mindset manifested itself in 3 ways:
Comment
1. Rosaiah has been quite open about who decides in the Congress Party. When things go right it is Soniaji and the High Command and when things go wrong it is the state leadership. That probably explains why the decision was taken on someone’s birthday as a gift and when it comes to defending the decision the decision maker goes into hiding.
2. I even think some power that be would have caused P.V. Narshimah Rao to die. He knew so many things.
The core committee of the Congress party today discussed its next course of action on the Telangana statehood issue
There is pressure on the party from its factions in Andhra Pradesh about the very structure of the core committee.
Shourie has concerns over the new state. HereThe pro-Telangana lobby wants the committee to be headed by a retired judge. This, according to the camp, would signal that the government wants to move forward and looking at the legal options to form the state.
The anti-Telangana group, for obvious reasons, wants a politician to head the committee. The committee would first deliberate on the issue of the political decision on if at all a separate Telangana is needed. A strong section of the Congress favours to keep the committee within the political contours.
Remember, OU exams begin from 19th jan.Taking off from the headlines on Telangana, Shourie said: “I feel that we should not come to any sweeping principle that small states are always good.” He cited the example of Jharkhand and how, in governance, it stood in contrast to smaller states like Himachal Pradesh and Haryana. Pointing out that there were strong views on statehood for Telengana, Shourie noted how the government had to factor in the reality of internal security: how Naxals had taken advantage of administrative loopholes in newer states Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh and could do the same in Telangana.
Telangana has led to the demand for smaller states across the country. Members of various political parties, including the Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD), have planned to meet on Saturday to start a joint movement demanding the division of Uttar Pradesh into smaller states.
RLD will be leading the movement demanding for a separate Harit Pradesh that shall include Western Uttar Pradesh districts. Bundelkhand Vikas Sena (BVS) demands for a Bundelkhadn state that shall comprise of seven districts of Uttar Pradesh and six districts of the state Madhya Pradesh. Purvanchal Vikas Parishad (PVP) is asking for a new state to be carved out of eastern Uttar Pradesh
Thing to look, may be in a rather unrealistic way, is what is in it for a mangoman to be fundamentalist about having United AP and not for a model that allows the mangoman to have more say in the governance?vijayk wrote:The more I think about it, the Telangana movement is about competition for the jobs, promotions which are being gobbled up by people moving in from Kosta/Seema because of variety of reasons:
could be people from Kosta/Seema are better equipped to take advantage of opportunities because of better private education facilities in that area
connections as RM explained because Kosta/Seema people got into babudom earlier than their Telangana brothers in 60s/70s/80s.
Resourceful Kosta/Seema people started more industries even in Telangana. They bring in their relatives/friends from their place into upper/middle management because they are more comfortable with them or trust them.
All powerful politicians/relatives during CBN/YSR rule grabbed a lot of lands and became so much wealthier in so little time and most of them are from Kosta/Seema
High paced growth left a lot of people in Telangana less wealthier comparatively because the prices shot up too high, too quick.
These are valid concerns. A separate state might be able to solve some of these grievances at the cost of some investment/growth because people from Kosta/Seema will be seen with suspicion and less co-operation for them in starting new businesses. A lot of money will also will flow to the new capital.
But slow growth may be one way for the people in Telangana to feel not overwhelmed and feel poorer by raising prices of everything from housing to health care.
send an email. He replied me immediately. I was the one who sent him emails with you intial question and he came here too. may be just drop an email. Just my 2 cents.Satya_anveshi wrote:After having waited for 3 days without response from Nalapotu Chakravarthy garu on my couple questions, I will take it that the author either vamoosed or doesn't have time to answer my questions. I will continue wait.
I am hoping this is not being suggested as a justification. If breaking states is the only way we can develop more tier2 cities, it is a disastrous model. Where does it stop?Satya_anveshi wrote:Currently AP has 3 major urban centers (Hyd, Vijaywada, Vizag) of which 2 (Hyd and Vizag) are of significance from a large scale investment perspective.
If we have 2 states, obviously it is fair to assume that there will be at least 2 major urban cities in Telangana (Hyd and next logical choice is Warangal) whereas in Andhra will have at least 2 current ones and at least major one developed in Rayalaseema (Kurnool being the obvious choice).
So, the net-net - 2 additional Tier3 cities will develop into Tier2; 1 Tier2 will become Tier1. Now, admistratively, a lot more jobs will be created, local issues come will become election issues and therefore grab politicians focus to eventually resolve them. If Hyd alone is driving so much activity all over AP, why would the above scenario bad at all for the mangomens?
FwiwHow is a separate Telengana an impediment to national integration?
This is more than 10 year old idea that was proposed. Tvadis oppose it as they can lose the grip on how state will be formed as commission has to consider facts instead of what Tvadis come and say on TVs.Satya_anveshi wrote:I must also say that Stan ji's post on inviting 2nd SRC also is a fabulous idea/post.
Right......Satya_anveshi wrote:Currently AP has 3 major urban centers (Hyd, Vijaywada, Vizag) of which 2 (Hyd and Vizag) are of significance from a large scale investment perspective.
If we have 2 states, obviously it is fair to assume that there will be at least 2 major urban cities in Telangana (Hyd and next logical choice is Warangal) whereas in Andhra will have at least 2 current ones and at least major one developed in Rayalaseema (Kurnool being the obvious choice).
So, the net-net - 2 additional Tier3 cities will develop into Tier2; 1 Tier2 will become Tier1. Now, admistratively, a lot more jobs will be created, local issues come will become election issues and therefore grab politicians focus to eventually resolve them. If Hyd alone is driving so much activity all over AP, why would the above scenario bad at all for the mangomens?
(1) is a lesser reason than (2). When a more qualified person gets a position, irrespective of reason why he is more qualified, the grudge is minimal and gets reconciled, and is limited to those who are job aspirant and not infectious across the non-qualified non-aspirant population. But (2) is important. When a Coasta guy and a Teli are equally qualified and Coasta gets the job because his uncles dominate administration/courts, the grudge is immense and spreads across even those who do not aspire for that job. After all, in India, 90% people dont aspire for Govt jobs and middle management jobs in private as they know and understand that they dont qualify.vijayk wrote:The more I think about it, the Telangana movement is about competition for the jobs, promotions which are being gobbled up by people moving in from Kosta/Seema because of variety of reasons:
1. could be people from Kosta/Seema are better equipped to take advantage of opportunities because of better private education facilities in that area
2. connections as RM explained because Kosta/Seema people got into babudom earlier than their Telangana brothers in 60s/70s/80s.
3. Resourceful Kosta/Seema people started more industries even in Telangana. They bring in their relatives/friends from their place into upper/middle management because they are more comfortable with them or trust them.
4. All powerful politicians/relatives during CBN/YSR rule grabbed a lot of lands and became so much wealthier in so little time and most of them are from Kosta/Seema
5. High paced growth left a lot of people in Telangana less wealthier comparatively because the prices shot up too high, too quick.
It is amazing how people cook up things to make their city, the capital of the new state. Mumbai with Naval head quarters, less than 500 Km away from Pakistan border can be the state capital and financial center of India, but Vizag, the second largest city, cannot be the state capital due to some fake security risk, being on coast. Therefore, let us make Viajayawada/Guntur as state capital - govt buys huge lands with thousands of crores, the real state rates double, then all the Vijayawada/Guntur real estate tycoons will take their appreciated wealth and buy rest of Andhra, and in 50 years from now we will start another Telangana, one from UA and one from Rayalaseema. Seriously, here is a city infested with disgusting caste and money politics with no ethics and making this as state capital is one of the worst thing that can happen to the new state.jaladipc wrote: And the real trouble will show up when selecting the capital for Andhra.
Previously people were okay with a capital center between guntur and vijayawada{ since the T game started, real estate saw peaks in these regions}
And people ruled out Vizag being a capital because of its security issues being on the coast.{ might have to see many more peddlers comeby and attack hot spots}8 Districts people of Andhra wont agreee with Kurnol being the capital again.
So GOV has to endup buying the prime land in between Guntur/Vijayawada? for establishing its command centres?
Jarita wrote:^^^ Or maybe he has changed his stance after observing the problems of small states and has the humility to admit it
Now, now, Ramana garu...are we in hurry here? I bet you haven't the faintest idea of ground reality and appears that you are believing NC's cookup hook, line and sinker.ramana wrote:All data and reports show its not ike what you postulate.
As long as their is demand and viability, there is no need to disagree with more states.a_kumar wrote:Tomorrow when we need to build more tier2 cities in Telangana, should Telangana seperate into two parts (one with Hyd and other with Warangal as capital)?
Similarly, should Coastal and Rayalaseema break into two so that other tier2 cities come up?
You missed the keyword-"at least" in my post. One can even dream of having all the 9/10 cities as Tier1. It will do whole long good for many people of the region and our country.Why should there be only two developed cities in state? Why can't there be 3 or 4 well-developed cities in a state?