You mean it was a natural disaster?ramana wrote:should start a new CT that it was predator drone that triggered the avalanche@!
I thought it was the collective effect of having pindi channa the night before.
You mean it was a natural disaster?ramana wrote:should start a new CT that it was predator drone that triggered the avalanche@!
The seeming intractability of this dispute would be easy to understand if the two sides had strong interests at stake. In fact, the Siachen glacier is of no strategic advantage to either side. On the Indian side, a number of specious arguments have been advanced by opponents of demilitarization about the ostensible strategic value of occupying the glacier....
The military, moreover, is competent only to assess risks. It is the politicians who must judge them, and decide what chances are worth taking. It is up to the political leadership to consider whether the dubious risks attached to a withdrawal without demarcation outweigh the decided benefits of improved relations with Pakistan. At a time when India-Pakistan ties are improving – especially on the economic front – an agreement on demilitarization of Siachen will undoubtedly impart greater confidence and stability to the relationship. Indeed, the case for an accord has never been stronger. The Indian political leadership must seize this opportunity and not remain in thrall to imagined insecurities.
rohitvats: Is it your contention then that J.J Singh making a statement on Siachen on the day of the 12th round and VK Singh, making informal statements in an interview just before retirement and on the eve of the 13th round of talks, is proper conduct? Not defending the weakness of political leadership, who should do what they think is best for the national interest. However, the above are two examples of uncooperative conduct on the matter, which could have been avoided.rohitvats wrote:
Quite funny how the article talks about political superiority over military and yet, blames the military for being impediment in the action plan. As if IA is going to overthrow the GOI if it orders withdrawal from Siachen. Talk about confused thinking...
You are strechtching things a lot. When you are vacating a ground occupied by military, I am pretty sure that military's views also have to be taken into cognizance. Military is also a part of govt and has its right to influence the govt.ShauryaT wrote:rohitvats: Is it your contention then that J.J Singh making a statement on Siachen on the day of the 12th round and VK Singh, making informal statements in an interview just before retirement and on the eve of the 13th round of talks, is proper conduct? Not defending the weakness of political leadership, who should do what they think is best for the national interest. However, the above are two examples of uncooperative conduct on the matter, which could have been avoided.rohitvats wrote:
Quite funny how the article talks about political superiority over military and yet, blames the military for being impediment in the action plan. As if IA is going to overthrow the GOI if it orders withdrawal from Siachen. Talk about confused thinking...
The place for debate is in the public, media and parliament. Not between military and GoI, in public on national security matters. What we lack is proper oversight where a parliamentary body such as the defense committee being able to take the testimony of service chiefs on such matters. This way their considered views are known to the entire nation and if their views are overridden then parliament and executive are fully accountable to the public.
2 killed on LoCShauryaT wrote:The Siachen Impasse - Srinath RaghavanThe seeming intractability of this dispute would be easy to understand if the two sides had strong interests at stake. In fact, the Siachen glacier is of no strategic advantage to either side. On the Indian side, a number of specious arguments have been advanced by opponents of demilitarization about the ostensible strategic value of occupying the glacier....
The military, moreover, is competent only to assess risks. It is the politicians who must judge them, and decide what chances are worth taking. It is up to the political leadership to consider whether the dubious risks attached to a withdrawal without demarcation outweigh the decided benefits of improved relations with Pakistan. At a time when India-Pakistan ties are improving – especially on the economic front – an agreement on demilitarization of Siachen will undoubtedly impart greater confidence and stability to the relationship. Indeed, the case for an accord has never been stronger. The Indian political leadership must seize this opportunity and not remain in thrall to imagined insecurities.
You want the Army Chief to lend credibility to the government by not questioning plans that may put hundreds nay thousands of soldiers liives at risk?ShauryaT wrote:However, the above are two examples of uncooperative conduct on the matter, which could have been avoided.
When it comes to glaciers, stability represents a refreshing change of pace. In contrast to regional and global trends — which, scientists say, have unambiguously indicated ice loss in recent decades — a team of French glaciologists has confirmed that glaciers in a portion of the northwestern Himalayas remained stable on average, or may have even grown slightly, in recent years. The results have implications for local water supplies and glacial hazards and, the team says, underscore the value of high-resolution monitoring in accurately determining regional-scale glacial changes.
Using spaceborne data to study a 5,615-square-kilometer section of the Karakoram Range of northern Pakistan and western China, the researchers found an increase in ice thickness of 0.11 (plus or minus 0.22) meters of water equivalent (w.e.) per year between 1999 and 2008. Although small in magnitude, the value is significant because it diverges from best estimates of glacial ice volume change globally and over the entire Himalayan mountain range, which suggest a loss of about 0.4 to 0.8 meters w.e. per year, the team reported in Nature Geoscience.Given the uncertainty in the measurement, “it’s not 100 percent sure” that there was really a mass gain, says Tobias Bolch, a glaciologist at the University of Zurich in Switzerland. But, says Bolch, who was not involved in the study but was lead author of a recent review article on the current state of Himalayan glaciers published in Science, “what is clear is there is no significant mass loss.”Additionally, the results “show that we need to be careful as glaciologists when we are extrapolating measurements made on a few small glaciers,” says Etienne Berthier, a glaciologist at the Université de Toulouse in France and a co-author of the Nature Geoscience study. Estimating the past and future behavior of glaciers for which there is no direct evidence available — as well as their impact on sea-level change — based on observations of other glaciers is a necessity, to some extent, he says. But such extrapolations must be done carefully “because not all glacial regions are changing in the same way.”
The study’s results imply that the Karakoram glaciers might have lowered global sea levels over the period studied, albeit by only 0.006 millimeters per year. But previous estimates — assuming the Karakoram glaciers had behaved like others in the Himalayas that had been better characterized — suggested that their expected ice loss would have raised sea level by roughly 10 times as much.Over the years, there have been other indications of anomalous behavior among Karakoram glaciers, which account for about 3 percent of the total glacial ice-covered area in the world, excluding Greenland and Antarctica. Many had experienced surges — relatively sudden increases in ice flow rate — that transferred large amounts of ice downslope and extended glacial termini to lower elevations. Increased snow cover along with decreased summer temperatures and runoff to nearby rivers was also reported in preceding decades. But these were all indirect or empirical indicators of glacial growth. Direct measurements had not been attempted, largely because the region is so vast and remote. That is why a geodetic survey was particularly useful in helping piece together a more complete picture, Berthier says.The team used radar measurements taken from the space shuttle Endeavour in early 2000 along with data from a 2008 satellite survey to create separate pixelated digital elevation models of the study area. Looking at the difference between the two models, the researchers identified where the ice had thickened or thinned and by how much. They found significant heterogeneity, with particular glaciers thickening or thinning by as much as 16 meters per year on average. They also found that detrital debris-covered and debris-free glaciers showed similar behavior, contradicting the conventional wisdom that such debris cover — when more than several centimeters thick — insulates underlying ice and slows melting.
ShauryaT wrote:rohitvats: Did not mean "uncooperative" to imply the military needs to agree with all political judgments. It was in context of conduct not opinion. No compromise on the need and duty of the military to give its views on matters of security to the government.
Sorry, but you're using the word conduct in a very narrow sense. And using it at all because this so called 'misconduct' does not allow the 'peace nicks' to have their way. It is not as if IA has leaked some report to the public or organized an impromptu press conference to let its view be know - there is a general level of awareness about the topic and on both the occasions, the COAS was replying to the question of the reporter. If the GOI needs to sanitize the environment (rather than educate the people) and for that it needs the IA to keep mum, well, the problem is with GOI and not IA. IA will tomorrow vacate the Saltoro Ridge if the political leadership asks it to do so. The fact that GOI needs to indulge in some sort of secret diplomacy on the subject means something is not good. And demands of propriety cannot always be laid only at the doorsteps of the Services - even if such demands are specious to begin with.
The fact that IA has been painted as a villain holding back the Siachen resolution clearly indicates to the lack of leadership abilities of political leaders....as if IA is same as PA in terms of leverage in decision making. The GOI clearly wants to hide more than reveal.
Lack of processes and mature systems cannot be an excuse for something worse. An attempt to influence an issue in subjudice (a legal metaphor). It reflects poorly on the nation and its system of decision making and cuts into the confidence reposed in civilian authority. Our democratic processes are not so weak that the military has to resort to this. There are enough differing opinions on the matter at ALL levels for a healthy public debate.
Again - what influence are you talking about? Is not the same military under government control? All it has done is aired its opinion. And who is it trying to influence? The opposition or the people of India? And why should the GOI be afraid of the people if it is so sound in its decision making? After all, did not the article you posted claim that political masters will be punished at the altars of elections if they did wrong? So, what gives?
OK - let us have your clear cut opinion on this - Do you think GOI can order withdrawal from Siachen even if the incumbent COAS airs only his opinion (against withdrawal) in private to RM/MOD/PM? Is that all which stands in the way of a deal? And what answer will the GOI give to any question in parliament on stand of army?
What exactly is sub judice?? Oh right, when govt is trying to bury a parliament resolution using all types of subvertage, somehow it becomes subjudice.ShauryaT wrote:
Lack of processes and mature systems cannot be an excuse for something worse. An attempt to influence an issue in subjudice (a legal metaphor). It reflects poorly on the nation and its system of decision making and cuts into the confidence reposed in civilian authority. Our democratic processes are not so weak that the military has to resort to this. There are enough differing opinions on the matter at ALL levels for a healthy debate in private and public.
This is precisely the "perception" created of the IA - especially in foreign circles, IMO wrongly for I believe the IA's views are probably more nuanced than the answers to questions in the media. These could have been handled better, IMO and in the opinion of others close to the matter. These type of public statements, do not represent the full views of the IA, IMO and do not serve the institution well, IMO. It does not serve any purpose to have a politician vs military public debate on a policy matter in India.rohitvats wrote: The fact that IA has been painted as a villain holding back the Siachen resolution clearly indicates to the lack of leadership abilities of political leaders....as if IA is same as PA in terms of leverage in decision making. The GOI clearly wants to hide more than reveal.
Yes.OK - let us have your clear cut opinion on this - Do you think GOI can order withdrawal from Siachen even if the incumbent COAS airs only his opinion (against withdrawal) in private to RM/MOD/PM?
I do not believe so. As mentioned earlier, I think there are differences within all levels and across various departments on Siachen, that need to be resolved to make a deal or not.Is that all which stands in the way of a deal?
I can only tell you the expected answer, not what GoI WILL do. The RM has to represent the full truth on questioning, either in private to a parliament committee or a public session.And what answer will the GOI give to any question in parliament on stand of army? [/color]
Taken into account by the govt based on internal consultations and not as a result of a public face-off.Virupaksha wrote:You are strechtching things a lot. When you are vacating a ground occupied by military, I am pretty sure that military's views also have to be taken into cognizance. Military is also a part of govt and has its right to influence the govt.
And who's to say when it is ideal for the military to go public and when its not? What are these 'some matters' that you refer to? Because one cannot afford to let such questions be subjective. Today the army is saying something you like so you encourage it, tomorrow if it publicly opposes say.... the induction of the Arjun Mk2 while the MoD supports it, you'll hold a contrary position.You are confusing civilian superiority with military dumbness. What was shown in 1962 was military dumbness. Dont confuse the right of military to also express its views and influence military impacting decisions with civilian superiority. This was the mistake of 1962.
and yes the military also can and should influence public opinion on some matters(especially when foreign funded lobbies try to masqurade the truth. Eg: Kashmir when Pakistan cries out about 1000000000000000 IA soldiers, killing and raping every day or say about Siachen issue right now.). When the final orders are given, not following them - that is where civilian authority comes into picture. not while taking the decision itself.
You've got that backwards. It was FM Manekshaw's advice to wait till 1971, and Indira Gandhi's decision to do so. Advice that was rendered in a closed meeting and not communicated through the newspapers.I am pretty sure what you think of Manekshaw's decision to wait when Indira was roaring to go into BD in july 1971, if I apply your same principles.
Why should the public not hear it directly from the Chief. Public should know what the Chief thinks about plans to demilitarise the glacier. Government is always free to ignore the Chief or to change his date of birth or whatever they like.Viv S wrote:Taken into account by the govt based on internal consultations and not as a result of a public face-off.
Obviously it is up to the military, and it is up to the politicians to decide what they want to do about it. If Manmohan Singh had any credibility on military issues, he would not be so worried about the generals pee'ing on his Siachen Pee Park.Viv S wrote:And who's to say when it is ideal for the military to go public and when its not?
Why are you so panicked by the military voicing its opinion. No Chief has ever threated a coup or refused an order. Military is not execising any checks and balances, just offering a viewpoint for the public to be aware of. Government can do what it likes ... what irks you is that government will look reckless and the PM self-serving when he decides to throw the military's advice in the dust bin (which he has every right to do).Viv S wrote:There are checks and balances but those are exercised through the parliament, judiciary and media, NOT through the military.
Quite simply because that will introduce the leaders of the military into the political arena, a place they should stay far far away from. All your laissez-faire approach does is give whichever government is in power an incentive to promote an 'uncontroversial' though otherwise unsuitable individual, instead of the best man for the job who may end up embarrassing the govt. As things stand the govt has relatively little political stake in such appointments but that would change very fast if the COAS attained political clout. By the way, this holds true for the civil services though that equation is muddier.eklavya wrote:Why should the public not hear it directly from the Chief. Public should know what the Chief thinks about plans to demilitarise the glacier. Government is always free to ignore the Chief or to change his date of birth or whatever they like.
Policy making doesn't take place in air and cannot be subject to opinions or exist in a grey area. Your 'it is up to the military' approach would imply the COAS would have freedom to publicly comment on say... Telengana, GST, NREGA etc subject to his personal discretion. That being the case, why just the COAS, why not give every officer and enlisted man in the three branches of the military complete freedom to talk to the press? Why just a general or admiral?Obviously it is up to the military, and it is up to the politicians to decide what they want to do about it. If Manmohan Singh had any credibility on military issues, he would not be so worried about the generals pee'ing on his Siachen Pee Park.
I'm perfectly calm. Public policy isn't formulated on BRF.Why are you so panicked by the military voicing its opinion.
Who's talking about a coup? I'm not and I don't believe ShauryaT is either. When Gen Stanley McChrystal was asked to tender his resignation it wasn't because he was threatening a coup. It was because there is a chain of command that needs to be respected and it doesn't terminate at the four star level. There are systems in place for a reason. Its no accident that the Indian military is avowedly apolitical institution.No Chief has ever threated a coup or refused an order. Military is not execising any checks and balances, just offering a viewpoint for the public to be aware of. Government can do what it likes ... what irks you is that government will look reckless and the PM self-serving when he decides to throw the military's advice in the dust bin (which he has every right to do).
abhishek_sharma wrote:>> Your 'it is up to the military' approach would imply the COAS would have freedom to publicly comment on say... Telengana, GST, NREGA etc subject to his personal discretion
This Lahori Logic jump deserves a place in the hall of fame.
Read it again and see if I said that or something else. Read slowly.abhishek_sharma wrote:Yes. Why did I dare to point out your fallacious arguments? If the military comments on Siachen then it would "imply" that COAS would "comment" on GST. Wow. Post that in the trash thread.
And yet you chose to quote it taken out of context while making a snide one-liner.abhishek_sharma wrote:I understood your point when I first read it.
I have never pretended to be a philosopher.Your views are not very profound.
My post wasn't about Siachen. And GST, NREGA was a randomly chosen domestic policy issue.It really requires a special mind to bring in GST and NREGA to a discussion on Siachen.
Its a perfectly valid point when viewed in context. If you'd rather have read some other word used instead of uncontroversial, 'pliable' perhaps, so be it.By the way, it is not the only gem in your post. Your point on choosing an "uncontroversial" candidate is pretty bad too. Think about it. Take your time.
A public opinion expressed on a policy matter will be read by all, not just the people of India. We have a working parliament and vigorous media to question and debate policy. The military has NO role to play in this public debate directly. Once you open this can of worms, it directly undermines civilian authority and IMO, the institution itself. It is a slippery slope here. No need to imagine all the way to a coup et al.rohitvats wrote: Again - what influence are you talking about? Is not the same military under government control? All it has done is aired its opinion. And who is it trying to influence? The opposition or the people of India? And why should the GOI be afraid of the people if it is so sound in its decision making? After all, did not the article you posted claim that political masters will be punished at the altars of elections if they did wrong? So, what gives?
Our generals rarely if ever speak out on non-military matters. The security of Siachen IS a military matter. The public WANTS to hear from the Chief what the implications of demilitarisation are. How Siachen is defended is not a purely POLITICAL matter.Viv S wrote:Quite simply because that will introduce the leaders of the military into the political arena, a place they should stay far far away from. All your laissez-faire approach does is give whichever government is in power an incentive to promote an 'uncontroversial' though otherwise unsuitable individual, instead of the best man for the job who may end up embarrassing the govt. As things stand the govt has relatively little political stake in such appointments but that would change very fast if the COAS attained political clout. By the way, this holds true for the civil services though that equation is muddier.eklavya wrote:Why should the public not hear it directly from the Chief. Public should know what the Chief thinks about plans to demilitarise the glacier. Government is always free to ignore the Chief or to change his date of birth or whatever they like.
The Army is not a parallel or equivalent branch of the government. Under the Indian constitution, the issue of the military, political, environmental or geographical implications of demilitarization or any other similar issue for that matter is for the government to address, whether the question is posed by the media or by the parliament.eklavya wrote:Our generals rarely if ever speak out on non-military matters. The security of Siachen IS a military matter. The public WANTS to hear from the Chief what the implications of demilitarisation are. How Siachen is defended is not a purely POLITICAL matter.
Why just the Army Chief? Why is it the Jawan, NCO, JCO or junior officer serving in Siachen or scheduled to serve there, at risk to life and limb, is not permitted under army regulations to talk to media? The same rationale applies to the COAS' interactions with the media.If the Pakistani occupy Siachen, the Army will have to sacrifice thousands of lives to get it back. Army Chiefs only speak on Siachen because it is their duty to do so.
Different issue.Anyway: authenticate, delineate and demarcate is government policy, as stated by Raksha Mantri in Parliament.
The only guy who is talking of Pee Park is the PM, and even his Cabinet is not with him.
Like I said to Eklavya, the Army is not an independent branch of the govt. Its opinions and concerns are for the Cabinet's consideration not for dissemination to the general public. Not unless a new found political role is to be carved out for the military.abhishek_sharma wrote:This is the Siachen thread and I assumed that we are discussing issues related to it. Army has a stake in Siachen issue because it has to sacrifice soldiers if the security deteriorates in that area. Moreover, the Army has expertise in tactical/strategic issues. It has to actively deal with Pakistan. Therefore, I would like to know what the Army thinks on the Siachen issue.
That is the point. While in uniform he doesn't have that right even if it involves unclassified information. And this is true for the military of all democratic countries whether they're in Europe, North America or elsewhere.Note that I don't care about what Gen V K Singh thinks on GST or SEZs (although he has the right to speak on any issue as long as it does not involve classified information). As far as I am concerned, the Army has no relevance in that debate.
Given the performance of civilian government in other sectors, it is understandable that many people don't have complete confidence in their maturity/wisdom. Of course, the govt is not obliged to follow the military's advice. But the public should know the views of all concerned parties, including the military.
Blaming a politician for appointing a 'pliable' or political safe COAS serves no purpose. People come and go, it is the systems that are put in place that endure. And for all its flaws, the current system preventing not just the COAS but the rank and file of the army from unsanctioned interactions with the media, has kept the military from getting politicized.Regarding pliable candidates: If the politicians start choosing pliable candidates then it is *their* fault. Why should we muzzle the Army for it?
There are myriad of reasons relating to discipline, respect for the chain of command and military ethos. But suffice to say, no professional military permits its uniformed members to broadcast their personal opinions in public.abhishek_sharma wrote:I think they should be allowed to talk to media. I would like to know their views.
Paki bhaichara at one end, and complete 'media access' at the other will be a fast end to the nation and the IA.abhishek_sharma wrote:>> Why is it the Jawan, NCO, JCO or junior officer serving in Siachen or scheduled to serve there, at risk to life and limb, is not permitted under army regulations to talk to media?
I think they should be allowed to talk to media. I would like to know their views.
Viv S wrote:Like I said to Eklavya, the Army is not an independent branch of the govt. Its opinions and concerns are for the Cabinet's consideration not for dissemination to the general public. Not unless a new found political role is to be carved out for the military.
Is that true? If yes, then in my view, it should be changed.That is the point. While in uniform he doesn't have that right even if it involves unclassified information.
No, it is not suited for the entire spectrum of "policy making". But I certainly believe that it has to play a role ("role" is not synonymous with "military rule") in issues that concern the defense of the country. Siachen issue is certainly one of them.That said, if the military is truly a wiser, maturer institution better suited to policy making, well we should try military rule then.
Actually, blaming the politician for appointing a pliable COAS is the only correct thing to do. When you find an undesirable situation, you should find who is responsible for it. Here, the appointment is *done by* the politician. If generals start dancing to the tunes of politicians then *both* should be blamed.Blaming a politician for appointing a 'pliable' or political safe COAS serves no purpose.
The Indian media has always had access to the Service chiefs and have always asked them direct questions about controversial military matters, such as AFSPA, Siachen, deployment against Maoists, etc, and has always received a direct response from the Chiefs.Viv S wrote:Why just the Army Chief? Why is it the Jawan, NCO, JCO or junior officer serving in Siachen or scheduled to serve there, at risk to life and limb, is not permitted under army regulations to talk to media? The same rationale applies to the COAS' interactions with the media.
Respecting the chain of command is not inconsistent with pointing out obvious flaws/mistakes/deficiencies. If a jawan does not have appropriate clothes/shoes/weapons, then he should be able to talk to the media about it. His superiors should not be worried if they have used all the funds appropriately. And I don't care about their "chain of command" if they have been misusing the funds. Sunlight is the best disinfectant. As long as information is not classified, I believe everyone should be allowed to talk about it. The public would listen to all sides and make up their mind.Viv S wrote:There are myriad of reasons relating to discipline, respect for the chain of command and military ethos.
And that is one of the reasons why all professional militaries have major problems.But suffice to say, no professional military permits its uniformed members to broadcast their personal opinions in public.
Please define this role. In explicit terms. Just calling for it to play 'a role' is not sufficient. Do you want the defence ministry to be headed by the COAS? Or maybe we should be more like Pakistan where the army exercises near-veto power over foreign policy. Perhaps you feel he should have a place in cabinet of ministers?abhishek_sharma wrote:No, it is not suited for the entire spectrum of "policy making". But I certainly believe that it has to play a role ("role" is not synonymous with "military rule") in issues that concern the defense of the country. Siachen issue is certainly one of them.
That's an awfully simplistic way to consider the matter. First off all, how would you identify an individual as pliable? Its a sufficient enough characterization to be suitable for the politician yet vague enough that no concrete accusation can be made against him. And secondly, say you blame the politician, so what? Some people will pay attention, others won't and sooner or later the issue will fade away. His successor will likely be someone in the same mold.Actually, blaming the politician for appointing a pliable COAS is the only correct thing to do. When you find an undesirable situation, you should find who is responsible for it. Here, the appointment is *done by* the politician. If generals start dancing to the tunes of politicians then *both* should be blamed.