johneeG wrote:Sridhar,
the more important point is: are the paki generals in a position to stop all those activities, even if they wanted to?
It seems they are caught between devil and deep sea.
Karma works in mysterious ways too...
johneeG, for very long, I had held this belief that there is a very small coterie within PA (possibly including some retired Generals) who run the AQAM show. They completely identify with the overall AQAM objective, though there might be minor quibbles here and there. They have no qualms about the loss of PA officers and lower ranks, if only their objectives are served in the process. They have similarly no qualms about civilian deaths. The killed men, women and children would anyway go to jannat for having been a(n) (unwitting) part of the larger Islamist cause against the kufr. So, they used to enact a big drama of sending an army unit to take on Nek Mohammed or Baitullah Mehsud
et al knowing well that the units would be decimated or captured or would be beaten back. All these things happened. The coterie used all these to its advantage as propaganda material by putting on a show of fighting global terror, making sacrifices, getting peanuts in return etc. The US and allied generosity poured money and material into the coffers of the PA. quite early on, the coterie allowed MQM to grab power in NWFP during the most crucial phase of GWoT and help AQAM escape into Pakistan. They had already ensured that top AQAM leaders escape from Kunduz through a generous airlift. Subsequently, the coterie made 'peace deals' at frequent intervals with the Taliban and allowed them to regroup, gain more space and generally entrench themselves comfortably within Pakistan. Their operations against the Taliban mostly were farcical with 'sufficient notice' given to them and then flattening the empty mud houses and showing them as war-trophy to the rest of the world. The Taliban, for their part, eliminated all inconvenient jirga leaders and anti-Taliban lashkar. Thus, the ground underneath has been prepared extensively and meticulously. The loose overburden can collapse at a favourable time as a result of this thoroughly weakened ground below.
With the situation in Afghanistan rising to a crescendo, the coterie has to ensure that it gains the advantage. The quick demand, even before the bodies could be buried, of 'greater say' in Afghan affairs is an indicator.
My point therefore is the Pakistani Generals, at least some of them, are in a position to stop all this but they initially co-opted the jihadists and then became part of them that they fancy themselves as being on the winning side today.