West Asia News and Discussions

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shyamd
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by shyamd »

Kanson wrote: What is the value of India-Saudi strategic partnership in this equation?
We become protectors of the Kingdom(Yindus offered strategic missiles). So if we become protectors, then we can demand KSA to tell TSP what to do. TSPs purse strings are with KSA and west. Kingdom can give TSP a nice kick in the Musharraf if they don't listen (its happened more than once this year alone).

We get our energy security.
D Roy
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by D Roy »

Yes but it was the Goras who recently tested a esstratigiki mijjile from a SS Bhee Enn of the coast of Barbarian peninsula.

KSA has old liquid fuelled mijjile from Chicom and may have procured new solid phuelled ones as well. Moreover TSP pluto production is going hammer an tongs for their numbaar One Inbhestor.


nevertheless I don't see KSA hardware making a dent in an Indo-Pak conflict. Beyond the usual - "Barbarians don't know how to train use imported drivers for their hardware" - these inventories are closely monitored by US experts with embedded supervisors. Not to mention all the trojans and kill switches in this hardware.


the new F-15s will have to be watched depending on how good the TSpians become with their AA tanking capability.
KSA is right now trying to get its old E-3s upgraded but lets see where that goes.


BTW KSA has nearly 25 per cent unemployment by some counts. And that is why it is trying to spur employment through initiatives like the King Khalid/Fahd/Whatever Economic City ejjecktra ejjecktra.

I don't think it is the aaffer of any mijjile which is turning KSA into a benign state. It is the Indian Navy's rising profile and Omani co-operation which is.

They do not want protecktor to turn into something else.
ramana
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by ramana »

D Roy why the Pinglish? Its not like you are spilling some state secrets or something! Please dont use Pinglish ror Pigrezi in non BENIS threads.

Thanks, ramana
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by ramana »

Nightwatch, 9/13/2010..
Turkey: Update. Prime Minister Erdogan declared victory on Sunday, 12 September, as voters approved a constitutional reform package in a highly debated referendum that will restructure the judiciary and curb military powers.

The referendum was regarded as a vote of confidence in Erdogan's government. Prime Minister Erdogan dismissed concerns about his government moving towards an establishment of Islam, saying he is committed to the country's 87-year-old secular state. Following the referendum victory, Erdogan committed himself to further reform, including a completely new constitution.

Comment: The referendum exposed how Turkey has become tri-furcated under the AK Party. The Party has little room for the educated sophisticated urbanites who live along the northwest coast. It has no place for the Kurds. Both groups only prosper in a tolerant, secular environment. That era is close to ending.

The election result showed that most Turks who live in the heartland of Anatolia are conservative, devout Muslims and opposed to Turkey remaining a secular state in the tradition of Ataturk.

European Union observers approved the outcome interpreting it as a sign of openness and modernity because it would restrain the Turkish armed forces from taking power and using the secular constitution as a justification. Nothing could be farther from the truth. The men with the most guns will try to take power whenever they think they need to and can succeed. They will rewrite the laws and the narrative later.

The Europeans are the most blinkered about this result, interpreting it as a move towards modernization and reform. The huge rural vote was not in favor of the European Union, much less adoption of modern values. It was in favor of making Turkey more pious under Sharia.

The bureaucrats of the European Union have misread the political situation in Turkey from the beginning. Their requirement to restrain the Turkish armed forces from acting as parens patriae to preserve a secular Turkey has worked to make Turkey a more Islamist state, the antithesis of European Union values.

Erdogan has promised to draft a new constitution and submit it for popular approval. The sign of his Islamist intentions will be how the new constitution treats Sharia, Islamic law. If Turkey enshrines it as the touchstone for all legislation, as it is in Afghanistan, then Turkey will no longer be a secular state, to which Erdogan professes to remain committed.

NATO leaders are watching on the sidelines as Turkey moves more towards becoming an Islamist state with NATO-compatible arms and training.
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by RamaY »

^
NATO leaders are watching on the sidelines as Turkey moves more towards becoming an Islamist state with NATO-compatible arms and training.
Ramanaji,

Could this be a step in the direction of your "nukkad" question?
ramana
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by ramana »

Mind is achaos and it catches on to bits and pieces and an idea takes root which needs to be verified with sat sang (gathering of like minded people).
ramana
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by ramana »

Go back a few pages in this thread. The rent boy's iman is doubtful.
abhishek_sharma
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by abhishek_sharma »

What the U.S. arms deal with Saudia Arabia means
Ian Black

http://www.hindu.com/2010/09/15/stories ... 511500.htm
RajeshA
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by RajeshA »

shyamd wrote:
Kanson wrote: What is the value of India-Saudi strategic partnership in this equation?
We become protectors of the Kingdom(Yindus offered strategic missiles). So if we become protectors, then we can demand KSA to tell TSP what to do. TSPs purse strings are with KSA and west. Kingdom can give TSP a nice kick in the Musharraf if they don't listen (its happened more than once this year alone).

We get our energy security.
shyamd ji,

We have got some defense cooperation with Qatar and I believe with Oman as well. What is the possibility for us to expand this? Could Bahrain be next? Can we conclude a defense agreement with UAE or at least some Emirate there?

I am asking this, because I would like to know, whether we can first bring the other Gulf Arabs into our sphere of influence and wean them away from Pakistan, before we go for the bigger prize of Saudi Arabia.

How high is the possibility that India can be a defense partner for Saudis, when its Wahhabi clergy may tie the hands of the Royals, or do both follow their independent policies - the clergy continue to pump dollars into the Wahhabi madrassas in the Indian Subcontinent, while the Royals continue to swim in their Petrodollars and sleep with the Big Satan?

Wouldn't we be better off partnering with Iran as only they can provide us the access routes to Central Asia?
ramana
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by ramana »

We need both KSA and Iran.
Carl_T
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Carl_T »

KSA will be able to hedge a Paki collapse with a relationship with India. Certainly will also give KSA a lot of opportunity to invest in India's education system...
abhishek_sharma
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by abhishek_sharma »

RajeshA wrote: How high is the possibility that India can be a defense partner for Saudis, when its Wahhabi clergy may tie the hands of the Royals, or do both follow their independent policies - the clergy continue to pump dollars into the Wahhabi madrassas in the Indian Subcontinent, while the Royals continue to swim in their Petrodollars and sleep with the Big Satan?
+1.

If the Saudis could stop the support for Jehadis and Paakis, then they would be true partners. Otherwise, it will be like Paaki-American relationship: (a) Get F-16 (b) support Taliban
Karna_A
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Karna_A »

shyamd wrote:
Kanson wrote: What is the value of India-Saudi strategic partnership in this equation?
We become protectors of the Kingdom(Yindus offered strategic missiles). So if we become protectors, then we can demand KSA to tell TSP what to do. TSPs purse strings are with KSA and west. Kingdom can give TSP a nice kick in the Musharraf if they don't listen (its happened more than once this year alone).

We get our energy security.
What is required here is to slowly push GCC including KSA towards granting permanent residence and then citizenship to all Indians(Indian Muslims, Sikhs, and Hindus, Christians) in their countries.
This together with small moves towards democracy will make all GCC countries have Indian majority. It may be a 100/150 year far fetched project, but it needs to move in right direction and small incremental steps taken today will one day make GCC into what it was before 1960 when Indian currency Rupees was used by GCC countries. But for OPEC and US Oil demand, it would have been same today.
After Peak Oil, some 30 years from now, GCC will be increasingly dependent on India for its food supply and just as India has had to agree to GCC demands, the tables would turn and GCC would have to agree to Indian terms like full citizenship to Indians, hundreds new central schools, colleges etc.
GCC has one demography that India can use it to its advantage eventually.
http://tamilelibrary.org/teli/gulf01.html
Last edited by Karna_A on 15 Sep 2010 02:20, edited 2 times in total.
ramana
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by ramana »

We need our own Koran scholars.
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Carl_T »

ramana wrote:We need our own Koran scholars.
The problem you are referring to here has been popping up in pretty much every state from Chechnya to Indonesia. Decline of local Islamic versions at the expense of the Saudi funded version. A future way to hedge Saudi influence that will come with relations with them may be to back Shia Islam.
ramana
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by ramana »

Not really. India should have relations with both KSA and Iran as the leaders of the twomajor sects of Islam. There are historical ties to Safavid Persia. The hisotry of Deccan is replete with ties to Persia: Bahmanis, Bijapur, Golconda, Berar. Even the Mughals got shelter from Safavid persia: Humayun and Akbar.

KSA is the leader of Sunni Muslims and the custodian of the holy sites which are dear to all Indian Muslims.

Many Indians have employment in KSA.

So Indian ties with both countries reflect aspirations of Indian peole. There is no intent to balance or hedge the two countries.


Energy etc are secondary things.
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by krisna »

Why $60 billion in US arms to Saudi Arabia isn't causing an outcry
Israel doesn't oppose a US arms deal that would send advanced aircraft to Saudi Arabia, which is increasingly seen as essential to containing Iran's nuclear ambitions.
The package, which would be the US's largest-ever overseas arms sale and has been in negotiations since 2007, underscores how Israel no longer feels threatened by Saudi Arabia and how the US increasingly sees the Gulf state as essential toward containing Iran, says Thomas Lippman at the Council on Foreign Relations.
the package would include 84 new Boeing F-15 fighter jets and upgrades to another 70 of them. It would also include three types of helicopters: 72 Black Hawk helicopters, 70 Apaches, and 36 Little Birds. In addition, US officials are discussing a $30 billion package to upgrade Saudi Arabia’s naval forces.
The White House is reportedly set to notify Congress of the deal within the next month, which would set off a 30-day congressional review period. It is expected to be touted as a way to spur new job growth and support at least 75,000 jobs at Boeing and United Technologies, the Journal reported.
In 2004, the US for the first time ever included Saudi Arabia alongside Burma and North Korea in the list of eight countries it describes as seriously violating religious freedom.
not even post 9/11 :roll:

why is Israel quiet :?:
During the 1980s, Israel opposed the sale of aircraft and missiles to Jordan and Saudi Arabia, according to a 2004 Congressional Research Service briefing. In 1986, the Senate blocked President Reagan’s sale of shoulder-launched “Stinger” missiles to Riyadh amid American and Israeli objections – although a denuded arms package eventually went through.
Israeli concerns about the newest deal have been reportedly calmed by assurances that the jets will lack long-range weapons systems and be of a lower grade than those sold to Israel.
As an editorial in The Jerusalem Post recently highlighted, "If the US does not sell to the Gulf states, EU countries or even Russia, which are much less receptive to Israeli interests, might fill the vacuum."
Washington, Tel Aviv, and Riyadh today all share concerns about Tehran possessing a nuclear weapon. "In contrast [to the 1980s], today, the US, Israel and the Saudis are on the same page as far as Iran is concerned," The Jerusalem Post editorial declared
"Part of what the [Obama] administration is doing," Lippman adds, "is to convince the Saudis that we can take care of their security concerns without them getting nuclear."
sometime back it was reported that KSA king wanted 2 countries not to exist- Iran and Israel.
All the same there are reported meetings between israelis and KSAians all the time.
All are ganging against Iran.
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Carl_T »

X-post
Carl_T wrote:Thought this was interesting.


New religious nationalism alienates hardline constituency.

http://www.rferl.org/content/Iranian_Pr ... 31415.html
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by shyamd »

Israel created a fuss in washington over the F-15Sea Eagles. The deal has actually been delayed for about a few months because of the Israeli complaint to Washington. Obama pulled the deal through, as well as KSA MoD started taking steps to put the US under pressure.
shyamd
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by shyamd »

RajeshA wrote: shyamd ji,

We have got some defense cooperation with Qatar and I believe with Oman as well. What is the possibility for us to expand this? Could Bahrain be next? Can we conclude a defense agreement with UAE or at least some Emirate there?
We have excellent defence relations with the Sultanate of Oman and they remain our sole supporters in the GCC of the Indian outlook of the world. They have backed our position on Kashmir. Qatari ties have gone a little cold over the last year, I think its because Qatar has decided to copy Oman and make peace with Iran, so they have signed defence agreements similar to India with Iran.
I am asking this, because I would like to know, whether we can first bring the other Gulf Arabs into our sphere of influence and wean them away from Pakistan, before we go for the bigger prize of Saudi Arabia.
Go back through the last 5 or 6 pages of this thread :wink:
How high is the possibility that India can be a defense partner for Saudis, when its Wahhabi clergy may tie the hands of the Royals, or do both follow their independent policies - the clergy continue to pump dollars into the Wahhabi madrassas in the Indian Subcontinent, while the Royals continue to swim in their Petrodollars and sleep with the Big Satan?
They have to do what they got to do to survive politically. Just pray for King Abdullah's good health because he is taking a lot of steps to control the wahabbi's. In the last few months, he has announced steps to strip away a lot of their powers.
Wouldn't we be better off partnering with Iran as only they can provide us the access routes to Central Asia?
Why can't we have both??
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Lalmohan »

a deal of this magnitude and complexity, with the strategic aims it espouses and the acquiesence of israel indicates to me the large scale induction of US 'advisors' back into the KSA military, after their withdrawal a few years back. with the bases in bahrain, qatar and kuwait - plus this, unkil is going to be sitting very firmly on top of the gulf oil for some time to come. perhaps makes sense in the light of iran, russia and the CAR's looking wobbly and the chinese getting more strident. its also more insurance and preparation for the removal of the pakistani guarantee of securing the 'axis of oil' (aka impending collapse of pakistan)
besides, unkil has pulled off a major bania move at a time when the US economy needed it
smart cookies
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Sanjay M »

If Turkey becomes an Islamist state, then they will easily eclipse Iran as Israel's foremost enemy.
shyamd
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by shyamd »

Karna_A wrote: What is required here is to slowly push GCC including KSA towards granting permanent residence and then citizenship to all Indians(Indian Muslims, Sikhs, and Hindus, Christians) in their countries.
There are already many Indians who have obtained nationality. But these are people who are well connected and who have done a lot for the country. You see, they have to protect their indigenous population, they dont want any political movements to erupt if all the foreigners get together. And, GCC spends a lot of money on their citizens, I mean serious bucks. In Oman, if lets say you have a serious injury and need an operation, you have a choice to go to Thailand, India, London for treatment all paid for by the govt. If all of a sudden you start handing out nationality to all the foreigners then, they cant afford to maintain all the benefits and there may be some resentment amongst the locals. Culture is another issue - they want to protect their unique cultures.
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by shyamd »

Oman to invest $3 b in India's fertiliser sector
Both sides open to cooperation as trade hits $4.5 billion.

Mr Sharma said cooperation with Oman in petroleum, gas and fertilizer sectors was a priority area for the Indian Government.

Arun S.

Muscat, Sept. 5

Oman will soon pump in investments to the tune of $3 billion into India's fertiliser sector.

In this regard, Oman on Sunday decided in-principle to invest in India for the revival of closed plants of Fertilizer Corporation of India (FCI) and Hindustan Fertilizer Corporation Ltd, and also for the expansion of the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Ltd (RCF) through investment by the Oman Oil Company (an Omani Government company).

Working group

India and Oman have agreed to form a senior-level working group comprising representatives of the Indian Government, RCF, KRIBHCO (Krishak Bharati Cooperative Ltd) and Oman Oil Company, to kick off due diligence at the earliest.

In addition to this, both sides are looking at ways to expand the existing capacity of the 16.5 lakh tonnes a year urea project of the Oman India Fertilizer Company (OMIFCO) to 25 lakh tonnes, to provide additional gas to the extent of 0.7 MMSCMD.

These were decided during the sixth session of the India-Oman Joint Commission Meeting held here. The Indian delegation was led by the Commerce and Industry Minister, Mr Anand Sharma, while the Omani side was led by his counterpart, Mr Maqbool Ali Sultan.

Mr Sharma also chaired the Joint Business Council Meeting organised by Oman Chamber of Commerce and Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industries (FICCI).

The business delegation from India included FICCI President Mr Rajan Mittal. Mr Sharma also called on Omani Deputy Prime Minister, Mr Sayyid Fahad bin Mahmoud bin Mohammed Al Said.

Petroleum, gas

Mr Sharma said cooperation with Oman in petroleum, gas and fertiliser sectors was a priority area for the Indian Government. India-Oman trade touched $4.5 billion last year, while total bilateral investment is worth $7.5 billion.

Among other developments, BPCL and Oman Oil Marketing Company have decided to explore the possibility of setting up a lube blending plant in Oman and marketing in neighbouring countries.

Besides, Mr Sharma stressed on the need for the India-Oman Joint Investment Fund to be operationalised and augmented immediately. The fund was started in November 2008 with a seed capital of $100 million and is likely to be increased to $1.5 billion.

Sectors that have been identified for investment cooperation are: agriculture, infrastructure, hospitals, power, mining, oil and gas, education and skill development, tourism, healthcare, infrastructure, chemicals and fertilisers.

Hospitals

Oman said it is keen to set up super-speciality hospitals in India and diagnostic facilities in the form of joint ventures. In this regard, an Omani delegation would visit India shortly. Investments in agro processing, especially in SEZs in India, were also discussed.

Mr Sharma said since Oman is strategically located and has entered into Free Trade Agreements with many countries including the US, Indian companies can make use of these by setting up manufacturing facilities in Oman and exporting to these countries.

Mr Sharma also said India would soon send another business delegation to explore opportunities of investments in Oman, especially in its Sohar Free Trade Zone.
Sanjay M
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Sanjay M »

As I've said, Turkey will soon become Israel's foremost enemy, surpassing Iran:

http://www.worldtribune.com/worldtribun ... _09_15.asp
Prem
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Prem »

Saudi-Israeli conspiracy? What Saudi-Israeli conspiracy?
http://angryarab.blogspot.com/2010/09/s ... saudi.html
When American officials are asked to explain the country's largest weapons sale ever, including $100 billion-worth of arms to Saudi Arabia and other Gulf States, they mutter one word behind their hands.
Iran. The justification for this colossal sale of firepower to governments with less than glorious records of behaviour towards their own people or their neighbours is that it will contain Iran's ambitions to be the dominant player in the Middle East sandpit
Prem
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Prem »

200 lashes for Saudi gang rape victim
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldne ... ictim.html
(Parde le peechee sub chalta hai)
Her offence was in meeting a former boyfriend, whom she had asked to return pictures he had of her because she was about to marry another man.The couple was sitting in a car when a group of seven Sunni men kidnapped them and raped them both, lawyers in the case told Arab News.The former boyfriend was also sentenced to 90 lashes for being with her in private.The victims' lawyer, Abdul-Rahman al-Lahem, was also ordered to face disciplinary action after he spoke to the media about the original sentence."My client is the victim of this abhorrent crime. I believe her sentence contravenes the Islamic Sharia law and violates the pertinent international conventions," he said."The judicial bodies should have dealt with this girl as the victim rather than the culprit."The court blamed the girl for being alone with unrelated men, but it should have taken the humane view that it cannot
Sanjay M
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Sanjay M »

The Kaangress Party of Egypt needs a successor -- guess who that will be?

(BBC)Could Egypt's election lead to a dynastic succession?

What Gamal needs are EVMs. They will help to keep the dynasty in power.
Egypt is technically part of Africa already, anyway.

Kaangress can start a lucrative export business for themselves, selling their patented EVM technology to other One-Party States around the world, like Egypt, North Korea, Burma, etc.

None of them need ever again suffer the stigma of being labeled "dictatorships", when they can use proven Kaangress technology to have "democrashee Indian ishtyle"
abhishek_sharma
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by abhishek_sharma »

Israeli politicians upset with Bill Clinton over Russian immigrant remarks

http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts ... nt_remarks
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by shyamd »

Greater interaction between the UAE and India.
Indian defence officers' spouses meet UAE women
2010-09-20 17:30:00

Abu Dhabi, Sep 20 (IANS/WAM) Spouses of Indian defence officials Monday met the members of General Women's Union (GWU) in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) as part of a cultural exchange programme.

The delegation of the Indian National Defence College visited the GWU headquarters to learn various aspects of Emirati women and the Union's skill development programmes.

The delegation also toured the handicrafts and environmental centre of the GWU to be acquainted with the UAE's traditional industries and its heritage.

--IANS/WAM
Indian Prime Minister may visit UAE before year-end
Security cooperation and prisoner swap pacts likely to be inked
By

* Joseph George

Published Thursday, September 23, 2010

Dr Manmohan Singh is likely to visit the UAE by the year end. (AFP)

The Indian Prime Minister, Dr Manmohan Singh, may be visiting the UAE before the end of the year, according to an official at the Indian Embassy in Abu Dhabi.

“Details of the programme are being worked out. Most probably it will be scheduled before the end of 2010,” said the official.

During the India-United Arab Emirates Political Consultations held on Sunday in Abu Dhabi it was agreed to intensify exchange of “high-level visits” between the two countries to consolidate the “excellent relations” at the political level.

Among the major issues discussed during the meeting were security cooperation between India and the UAE and the issue of prisoner transfer.

According to a statement issued by the Indian Embassy in Abu Dhabi, UAE and India are likely to sign agreements on security cooperation and transfer of prisoners to boost their bilateral ties. “The agreement is to be signed at the ministerial level and it could well happen during the Prime Minister’s visit,” the official added.

The plan is for convicted Indian prisoners, provided they are not involved in financial crimes and not serving death penalty, to be sent to prisons in India to serve the sentence. The maintenance cost will be borne by the UAE. According to media reports there are about 1,300 Indians in UAE jails.

Indian Ambassador M K Lokesh told Emirates 24|7 that although the exact dates have not been finalised, the process ha been expedited.

The two teams also agreed to convene the Ministerial level India-UAE Joint Commission meeting at the earliest. The last meeting was held in 2007.

The UAE delegation was headed by Dr Anwar Mohammad Gargash, UAE Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, while the Indian delegation was led by Vijayalatha Reddy, Secretary (East) in the Indian Ministry of External Affairs.

The two sides reviewed the current state of bilateral relations and agreed to intensify exchange of high level visits between the two countries “to consolidate the excellent relations at the political level.”

The discussions also focused on UAE investments in the aviation, ports, telecommunications and oil and gas sectors. The Indian side proposed that the India-UAE Trade policy forum set up by the two countries to facilitate bilateral trade should be made more active. It requested more investment from the UAE in India especially in the infrastructural areas.
The talk is that security ageement will involve: training, strategy and tactics.

So India will open up defence facilities for training. This agreement has been on discussion since 2003.
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by shyamd »

Latest from the GCC intelligence services: They believe that a maximum of 150 al Qaeda militants are still active in Af-Pak. Most al Qaeda operatives have moved to Yemen, which in less than a year has become the rallying point for the organisation's fighters. Despite the sizeable support provided by U.S. and British special forces, Yemen is unable to rid the country of al Qaeda camps.
---------
News from Bahrain
King Hamad bin Issa al-Khalifa held a meeting of the country’s secular leaders mid-August to plan security for parliamentary elections, due to take place on October 23rd. The Al Khalifa royal family lives in perpetual fear of a destabilisation attempt by Iran. To avoid this happening, the king and the crown prince are beefing up National Security, the intelligence service headed by Sheikh Khalifa bin Ali al-Khalifa, to enable it to operate more effectively outside the country in partnership with its counterparts in Egypt and Jordan.

National Security has tried to establish the existence of a Bahraini Hezbollah operating in liaison with the Lebanese organisation. National Security recently arrested several Shi'ites suspected of belonging to a dormant network. However the Lebanese intelligence services did not cooperate with the investigation, prompting King Hamad to cancel a planned visit to Beirut in July.

-----------------------------
Khalifa bin Zayed al-Nahyan, the emir of Abu Dhabi and president of the UAE, spent most of this summer at his residence in Evian, on the French side of Lake Geneva. On August 4 he received Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al-Maktoum, the emir of Dubai. Some discreet French emissaries also made the trip to Sheikh Zayed Evian residence. The Emirates are currently negotiating several sizeable arms contracts with France, including the acquisition of 60 Rafale aircraft. The contract has been under negotiation for two years but no deal has been signed for the moment.

------------
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by shyamd »

HM Sultan Qaboos bin Said brokered the release of Sarah Shourd one of the hikers arrested in Northern Iran. She arrived in an airfield in Oman on a Omani government jet. Omani officials. US embassy officials as well as her mother received her. The iranian courts demanded a bail of $500k, which was paid by the Omani govt looks like. Oman is currently negotiating the release of the remaining 2 hikers. HMs good relations with Ahmadinejad paid dividend in this case.

This was confirmed by the State dept.

A Reuters video of her arrival.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vicd8hNRFWQ
shyamd
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by shyamd »

Debka says that 5 US soldiers have been kidnapped from Af-Pak border. This was reported in 2 iranian newspapers including the semi official Fars News. There are many stories floating around the region. The US came out and said that all US soldiers were accounted for. Tehran nd US have put in a total news blackout. Tehran - Ahmadinejad is in the US.
Fars news said the incident occurred in Sistan-Baluchestan.

Debka confirms the news report and says 5 soldiers were abducted by IRGC special forces troops.

According to one version, the Americans were security personnel who were gulled by the appearance of friendly tribesmen speaking the local Balochi dialect, not realizing until too late that they were Guardsmen in disguise. Before they had a chance to draw their weapons, they were dragged across the border and taken prisoner.

Tehran keeps the Pakistani and Afghan borders of this province heavily guarded and under tight surveillance to impede the infiltration of US spies and commandos. Their patrols keep track of US movements in this remote mountainous border region.

Basically Iran has told the US that the US must release 8 Iranian captives in exchange for the 2 remaining US hikers arrested. The captives are IRGC people.

GCC intel sources speculate that the IRGC operation took place in TSP and not Afghanistan. But only CIA special operations units operate in TSP, not US soldiers. It could be why the US said all US military personnel are accounted for. and not security personel.

The Iranian border with TSP is highly volatile as both Iranian and Jundallah forces constantly crossing back and forth for attacks. US special forces are supporting Jundallah ops. The kidnap operation could have taken place in TSP.

Debka also suggests that the Omani's have started back channel negotiations to get back the 5 US soldiers. HM Sultan Qaboos is brokering the release once again.

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All AQ operatives have more or less left the Af-Pak theatre to Caucusus, Sahara, Yemen Somalia. There are now KSA-US-TSP plans to air lift the senior KSA operatives and others to KSA into rehab camps. This is KSA trying to make peace with them.
arun
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by arun »

Reposted from elsewhere.

Only fitting that Israel’s arrogant disregard for international law in the assault on the Marvi Marmara in international waters resulting in the death of 9 people has been called out by the international community:

UN Gaza aid probe finds 'clear evidence' against Israel
arun
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by arun »

Retired Tukish General Sabri Yirmibeşoğlu confessed that he ordered the burning of a mosque as part of psychological warfare operations in 1974 during Turkey’s occupation of Cyprus.

Retired general confesses to burning mosque to fire up public
Anujan
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Anujan »

Sanjay M wrote:As I've said, Turkey will soon become Israel's foremost enemy, surpassing Iran:

http://www.worldtribune.com/worldtribun ... _09_15.asp
Turkey-Pakistan relationship should be watched.
Carl_T
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Carl_T »

I don't feel Pakistan is that critical to Turkey as some of the energy rich Turkic CAR states. I think Pak and Turkey will have strong relations but I don't think it will be a major threat to India. Rather I think it would be a decent idea to increase investment and economic exchanges with the Turks and thus increase leverage over them.
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Anujan »

Carl_T

1. Turkey's MIL-Industrial complex is much advanced. See their latest Ship-building and tank building efforts. The Milgem class corvettes are comparable to our P28s and their Still on the drawing board Frigates will match our Shivaliks. They have operated Leopard 1s and Leopard 2s and their Altays probably will compare to Arjuns Mk 2.

2. Pakis will find these arms attractive. Turkey will find Pak centrifuges and N-tech attractive.

3. Many of Turkey's weapons incorporate their experience with western weapons and they possess a goldmine of information......which China would want. Dont forget that Turkey is in NATO.

4. Turkey, if they want to take on Israel, know that they are taking on the US. They need a strong backer -- they are instinctively against the Russians, leaving one logical choice - China. China needs a beach-head in Europe.

5. The China-Pak-Turkey nexus will be one huge lovefest of western weapons information to China, Nuke know-how to Turkey with the Pakis as middleman. Chinese ships "visiting" turkey = China threatening the Suez if Unkil and Europeans threaten Malacca straits. Also the only exit from the black sea is through the Bosphorous conveniently located near Istanbul.

"Friendly" relationship with Turkey will be one huge coup for China -- ofcourse conveniently gift wrapped as "Friendly Pak-Turkey relationship" where Pakis do all the shady money/arms/information transfer. Pakis will skim Turkey for their weapons and diplomatic backing. So Turkey becoming anti-Israel actually means Turkey becoming pro-China.

Ofcourse it is possible that they spend many many years milking Unkil like how the Pakis do now -- implicitly holding out the threat of GUBO-ing to the Chinese.
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by RajeshA »

Anujan ji,

Good Analysis.

I think, India should take the initiative and invite Turkey to undertake joint ventures in Central Asia. India should try for a Turkey-Iran-India axis in Central Asia.

Despite a certain shift of Turkey away from European Dreams and Ataturk's secularism, nobody in Turkey is keen on inviting Pakistan style Islamic chaos to Turkey, not even the most Islamist of Turkish parties.

If Sinkiang in China has to be freed, Turkey's role is an imperative. Besides I think, the Turks would be far more interested in cooperating with the Iranians than with Pakistanis.
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Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Post by Anujan »

Well,

It all depends on how this plays out. The Turkish army will have a *huge* resistance to go behind the back of NATO and tie up with China. OTOH, China might send feelers to Turkey, by Pakis suddenly awarding huge arms contracts & purchases to Turkish firms using money that suddenly "appeared". This is what concerns me.

Pakis are already in talks to buy the Milgems, and Bangladesh has already signed up for 12. Turkish arms are already in our neighborhood!
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