Want to give a heads-up on US's thinking about Pakistan - This is what i could glean from Obama's Wars by Bob Woodward
# Paki's double game is well known in the NSC circles of US. NSC i mean, sec. state , sec. defence, DNI, CIA, JCS, Cen.Com and other assorted agencies. At once instance in a NSC meeting with Obama, Obama was frustrated with Pak's perfidy but clearly told that they CANT and DONT have the wherewithal to militarily challenge the PAK. I think Shiv is bang on when he says, the mighty US of A is powerless w.r.t to PAK. No less than POTUS says it, on record, in a NSC meeting.
# Jones, the then NSA, remarked that US's approach to PAK is only carrots and no sticks.
# General assessment of PAK situation is, it has a disproportionate leverage in the success of Afgan. The thinking, esp of Biden and Jones, is, without setting right PAK and controlling the Af-Pak borders, the mission in Afganistan is doomed to be a failure.
# Obama says it explicitly to Mr 10% that Pak has a carte-blanche in terms of arms aid for fighting terrorists. But he adds, and makes it clear to 10% that he WILL NOT arm Pak against India. Not happening.
# US of A assessment, at the highest levels, next major attack from PAK in India would invite a military response.
# Obama has no appetite for a war in Afganistan. He feels boxed in, made to run around in circles, by his military. Feels the military clique is unaccountable and always wants to have its own way.
# If the US military does not get security right in Afgan by July 2011, there would be a thinning out of american forces despite the dire situation. The model Obama wants the military to follow is, Take - Hold - Build - Transfer. At present, after two years, even the safest Afgan. towns are under Hold/Build phase of US Mil. It must rather be at Transfer state with Afgan forces taking over.
# Biden and the NSC staff think that Military is going to fail in Afghanistan. They are going to scoot and Obama will be left with a lemon, during presidential election. I feel it is already happening.
# Silver lining is, the entire spectrum of American military thinks that PAk is lying and there is a feeling of impotent anger when they know that hey cant do two hoots to PAK.
# Apparently, US Mil has given a list of 150 targets to POTUS, in case Obama wants to attack Pakistan. Obama and the entire security team laughs it off saying that it is a nonviable option considering PAK has around 100 nukes.
# Worse, even laughable for us Indians, is that the mighty khan intelligence is clueless about AQ and Talib assets in PAK. They are not fully mapped. Apparently, CIA has a secure base in Quetta. But ISI does not allow CIA to leave the base

. One must admire the temerity of the PAK.
# PAK has drawn a clear line with US of A. Their red line. They even refuse to share the list of PAK passengers leaving PAK for Western Europe saying it is none of Khan's business.
# There is a joke running around in NSC with ISI being clueless about TTP. I think, Pantetta, then CIA boss, suggested to ISI that they can go and ask their case officers who have more information about TTP than CIA or PAK themselves.
# US top brass knows India's perception about them. That Holbrooke is PAK friendly, Mullen is a close Paki and the whole NSC is filled with closet PAK lovers. Apparently, they have a good laugh about that and feel a sense of indignation. They say that Af-Pak envoy is the exact opposite and a hardliner on PAK. So is the NSC. They know that they are being taken for a ride by PAK but is powerless to do anything about it.
# US politicos is prepared for a worst case scenario. Get out of Afgan. Train the ANA and ANP. Degrade and eventually reconcile with Talib and hunt for AQ. Soon, it will be a counter terrorism operation, not a counter insurgency operation.
# During Stanley Mc Chrystal time, he had tripled the JSOC teams in Afgan. It is already happening in Afgan.
# Drones, even though, are a daily occurrence in PAK, no one in US believes they are a success. Obama, remarks that drones will not serve the purpose of defeating AQ or Talib. Even though the CIA loves it, no one thinks it works.
# If a new terror attack in US is traced to PAK, there will be military retribution. This was conveyed to PAK, at the highest levels. Same is the case with an attack in India, a military response against PAK is guaranteed.
# After a meeting with Haqqani, the good one, Jones and Holbrooke, and the NSC concluded that even if US offers all military hardware, PAK will not act against the extremist networks. There is a clear realization that they will be used against India.
# Everyone thinks Kiyani is a liar
# I can conclude that US does not have a stomach to fight PAK. They are buying time with PAK so that they get the economy right. I feel, same is the case with India. We are buying time to get our economy right. I feel, there is a underlying realization that India and US would, some time in future, may have to militarily respond to PAK.