Bharat Rakshak

ani_sharma wrote:

IndraD wrote:If you believe Google trends, this election is a runaway win for Modi https://dynastycrooks.wordpress.com/201 ... -for-modi/

Very interesting have a look ^

While the trend gives interesting data, there are few loopholes. it is likely to be biased as it approximately represent only 50% of demography who owns smartphone with data pack.
In my village (In Bihar), over 60-70% of people don't use smartphone but definitely vote. This 60-70% includes hard core modi voters to hard core modi haters.
In short, the trend shown may not be very accurate depending on which constituency you look at..

However, once we have the results, it will be an interesting exercise to back annotate region wise search metrics to overall results.

Not having smartphone cuts both ways since the percentage of people not having smartphone is not more than 50% and getting reduced year by year.

More important deficiency of the analysis is the missing trend against the local parties state wise. Like Cong is not the main opponent in WB, TMC is. A large number of states are like that.

Picklu wrote:There is a structural issue here. The 2 below points are key:

1. EC and Central forces are temporary (few weeks before and at the most one week after) with limited physical coverage (polling booth) and local intelligence.
2. The entire state machinery to ensure fairness - polling officer, police, magistrate and judge and their close and extended family lives permanently within the easy reach of ruling party cadres.

President's rule is not enough. A force like RR is required that will stay back for 3 years and provide protection post election. Not much different that coalition force in Afganistan.

in that sense WB under left/TMC is already a islamist liberated zone where only their writ runs at the village level, while "central" control is restricted to few large cities only. classic naxal strategy of controlling the countryside, blinding the govt sensors and marginalizing state control, albeit in this case the state govt is the entity behind all this, and sitting in kolkata.

how WB is handled in a testcase for the next phase of the islamic war on india - which is subversion of democratic election process using calibrated violence and demographic pressure. the "caliph/sheikha" of the future will be duly elected in 'free n fair' elections only.

Assam, Tripura and Manipur are surely next in line for this. north kerala too. infact the AIUDF riding on the bangladeshi vote has already entered the fray as a major force in assam elections.

india state appratus has always lagged behind by 1-2 decades in fashioning effective responses to these new challenges, leading to great loss of life and expenses in containing the genie later. the IAS being stuffed with sikulars and moles, I think the caliber and motives of the IAS to serve the country has seen a steady decline from the 'steel backbone of the riyasat' days

the indira congress as part of its devils bargian with the Left, let them control academia , media and indulge in wanton calibrated violence and BD seeding in WB over the decades. the devils in the Left and INC then migrated and morphed into the TMC.

what we see today is the end result of many decades of INC patronage of the left activity in WB. more than didi, its the left who fashioned this model to perfection - she only borrrowed it . and the INC in delhi turned a blind eye to it, except a brief phase when naxalism was defeated by police action

ramana wrote:

abhijitm wrote:Paging user niran. Where is he these days? He has pretty good knowledge of UP.

He is busy.
What do you want to know?

Phase 4 expectation is BJP will get 57/71 seats going for polls.
NDA gets 3 more.
Rest I don't care.

Ramana ji, how many seats from Bengal have you factored into this number ? Does this take into account Jihadidi's voter intimidation factor into account ?

Singha wrote: how WB is handled in a testcase for the next phase of the islamic war on india - which is subversion of democratic election process using calibrated violence and demographic pressure. the "caliph/sheikha" of the future will be duly elected in 'free n fair' elections only.

Erdogan in Turkey.

Singha wrote: Assam, Tripura and Manipur are surely next in line for this. north kerala too. infact the AIUDF riding on the bangladeshi vote has already entered the fray as a major force in assam elections.

india state appratus has always lagged behind by 1-2 decades in fashioning effective responses to these new challenges, leading to great loss of life and expenses in containing the genie later. the IAS being stuffed with sikulars and moles, I think the caliber and motives of the IAS to serve the country has seen a steady decline from the 'steel backbone of the riyasat' days

As I keep saying again and again, leaving their brethren out to hang was, is and will hurt Hindus. Whether KP or Bong/Mallu or NE. Continue in this way and Hinduism will be restricted to pockets in core north and south area, surrounded by peacefuls and lovefuls.

Singha wrote: the indira congress as part of its devils bargian with the Left, let them control academia , media and indulge in wanton calibrated violence and BD seeding in WB over the decades. the devils in the Left and INC then migrated and morphed into the TMC.

what we see today is the end result of many decades of INC patronage of the left activity in WB. more than didi, its the left who fashioned this model to perfection - she only borrrowed it . and the INC in delhi turned a blind eye to it, except a brief phase when naxalism was defeated by police action

Cong is master of co-option. The Gandy family will simply proclaim their malsi roots and out-green any new green offshoot.

We need Putin, Abraham Lincoln for that. One who opts for war.

Jihadidi have created green police and civic police to "protect forest" and "help police" respectively.

All TMC goons gets recruited in these categories. The tax payers bear the expense.

Their job is now a legal one, albeit temporary in nature.

They act as a combination spy cum local enforcement. They are simply beyond law.

Being temporary in nature, their continuous income is tied to unflinching loyalty to TMC at local level.

All I can say is this. Unless someone have very close relationship with people in Bengal, it is not possible to understand the situation on the ground.

Check the twitters from Chowkidar Sunil Deodhar who has been brought in for WB elections. Other than the obligatory "keep the moral high" at the end, he is pointing out exactly this in coded messaging.

Also, if someone tracks the development in Bengal (as pointed out PP and some others on twitter), the similarity is apparent with militia ruled Latin America or Islamic liberated area without crude oil. Same poor condition of amenities like roads etc , same level of destitution among people.

And more than Jihadidi, left front is the real culprit. Their continuous ruling of 34 years show the success of the model. It only got broken when Buddha Babu could not figure out a way forward without industrialization which gave the opposition an opening to subvert the loyalty of left front machinery which simply switched side.

Picklu wrote:Also, if someone tracks the development in Bengal (as pointed out PP and some others on twitter), the similarity is apparent with militia ruled Latin America or Islamic liberated area without crude oil. Same poor condition of amenities like roads etc , same level of destitution among people.

And more than Jihadidi, left front is the real culprit. Their continuous ruling of 34 years show the success of the model. It only got broken when Buddha Babu could not figure out a way forward without industrialization which gave the opposition an opening to subvert the loyalty of left front machinery which simply switched side.

In a way the defeat of the Left Front was actually a triumph of its bankrupt policy. As MB just took the play book and players and launched then under a new brand. No serious effort at economic revitalization. Just pandering to vote banks and the intellectual bankruptcy of the people.
Things just went from bad to worse.

^ Exactly. Jihadidi is the worst version of left front.

More importantly, she is a far better administrator/manager compared to any left front leader. In her jeal and energy level (the comparison is restricted only in these 2 param, not in vision or ethics), she can give NaMo a run for his money.

Haven't seen anyone else across the political spectrum of India at the level of these 2 in terms of sheer hardwork, tenacity and speed.

chetak wrote:The low turnout from the IT sector during the elections in bangalore has finally caught the eyes of some founders.

They have now said that voting holidays are given very specifically for voting and those employees who return without the inked finger will be terminated immediately.

Also, I have had this very nasty feeling for quite some time now that some guys are paying off the authorities to specifically ensure voting is arranged on such a day which when coupled with following/preceding holidays and weekends make for a looooong out of town break.

These are the very same guys who then go on SM and vomit out all sorts of crap against the RW and others of that ilk.

Chetak, Is there any data to back up the claim that ITwalahs specifically don't vote while other white collars do ? Just curious to know cuz most of the IT folks do vote and bodly put it up as their DP.

this is the initial fight in a bigger war which will culminate in the assembly elections in WB.
BJP has to figure out new methods to break these grassroots militias and didi lashkars/hitler youth brigades and jail their leaders.

after 2014 , Modi started out strong vs the TMC by initiating investigations against a host of their elites embroiled in one scam or another - rose valley scam, sarada scam, various trans national criminal enterprises , but he took his foot off the pedal and then wanted to mend fences with didi it seems - a bad mistake.

next assembly elections , BJP has to come back much more prepared just as russians initially losing badly in kiev, smolensk and outskirts of moscow, before returning in the winter for op bagration.

Vikas wrote:

chetak wrote:The low turnout from the IT sector during the elections in bangalore has finally caught the eyes of some founders.

They have now said that voting holidays are given very specifically for voting and those employees who return without the inked finger will be terminated immediately.

Also, I have had this very nasty feeling for quite some time now that some guys are paying off the authorities to specifically ensure voting is arranged on such a day which when coupled with following/preceding holidays and weekends make for a looooong out of town break.

These are the very same guys who then go on SM and vomit out all sorts of crap against the RW and others of that ilk.

Chetak, Is there any data to back up the claim that ITwalahs specifically don't vote while other white collars do ? Just curious to know cuz most of the IT folks do vote and bodly put it up as their DP.

people who can make it home in the 4 south states definitely voted in my office. variable floating dates were given as per poll dates.

its the people from other parts who find it hard to trek all the way home to vote, so are always on the lookout for a "quick getaway" - I refer to the younger drizezy/zoomcar crowd who have not yet put down roots and registered as local voters. some falsely claim they are registered in home town, never mind they would be too young then in 2009 or 2014. this lot are more in social media, brewpubs, hackathons, posturing and personal branding on linkedin as ex fkart ex ola iim isb and so on.

the older narthies have all registered here and do vote mostly.

Singha wrote:this is the initial fight in a bigger war which will culminate in the assembly elections in WB.
BJP has to figure out new methods to break these grassroots militias and didi lashkars/hitler youth brigades and jail their leaders.

after 2014 , Modi started out strong vs the TMC by initiating investigations against a host of their elites embroiled in one scam or another - rose valley scam, sarada scam, various trans national criminal enterprises , but he took his foot off the pedal and then wanted to mend fences with didi it seems - a bad mistake.

next assembly elections , BJP has to come back much more prepared just as russians initially losing badly in kiev, smolensk and outskirts of moscow, before returning in the winter for op bagration.

Sir the BJP took on tainted Mu-Cool. Don't like that but for political expediency can live with that. They need more muscle. Period. It's not going to be a clean fight.

In a way this election is good. Let Tea Yem See get exposed. Beat the drum wherever possible. Let Didi pander more toll vote banks. Let the narrative build up. What is needed is a big shock. A big jhappad in the face of the people. For too long had WB been like the frog in a pot of slowly heating water. Shock treatment is needed.

This has been the biggest problem with BJP jokers, their unwillingness to understand or even appreciate the threat their supporters face, while they give interviews on NDTV. In their own way, the idiots are acting like Lutyens elite Light versions. In any other administration, especially UPA, even a lameduck one, Presidents rule would have been imposed on Bengal for this kind of violence.

Here is an article from a 'not so reliable' source about the in-fight within the BJP/NDA election machinery in Pathananthitta constituency KL. It is in Malayalam. It says if K Surendran wins despite all these, it will be by the blessing of Lord Ayyappa.

- Lot of infighting to grab the seat
- The District leadership indifference.
- Core Committee inactive. Money siphoned out.
- Campaign schedule deleberately made complicated to tire out the candidate.
- Action items to work with community orgs not followed thru
- General meetings etc not organized properly.
- Inexperience in organization
- Popular netas were sidelined (what can we expect from the people who tried to sideline Surendran himself)
- Campaign material prepared sloppily.

I KNOW some of it is true. But this article may also be a result of the infighting.

Mukesh.Kumar wrote:

Singha wrote:this is the initial fight in a bigger war which will culminate in the assembly elections in WB.
BJP has to figure out new methods to break these grassroots militias and didi lashkars/hitler youth brigades and jail their leaders.

after 2014 , Modi started out strong vs the TMC by initiating investigations against a host of their elites embroiled in one scam or another - rose valley scam, sarada scam, various trans national criminal enterprises , but he took his foot off the pedal and then wanted to mend fences with didi it seems - a bad mistake.

next assembly elections , BJP has to come back much more prepared just as russians initially losing badly in kiev, smolensk and outskirts of moscow, before returning in the winter for op bagration.

Sir the BJP took on tainted Mu-Cool. Don't like that but for political expediency can live with that. They need more muscle. Period. It's not going to be a clean fight.

In a way this election is good. Let Tea Yem See get exposed. Beat the drum wherever possible. Let Didi pander more toll vote banks. Let the narrative build up. What is needed is a big shock. A big jhappad in the face of the people. For too long had WB been like the frog in a pot of slowly heating water. Shock treatment is needed.

Actually I don't think the expose works against the ruling party inside WB. There, every one knows.

It actually re inforces the fear.

Same reason why terror videos are circulated.

Outside WB, exposure will work only if pressure to act is there. As of now, none cares enough to figure out an effective counter.

I have told this before and am repeating again.

Treating this a terror problem will only work. Trying this as civil problem is simply a misdiagnosis resulting incorrect treatment

Slowly, the dirty tricks are coming out in main stream media:

1. Someone from TMC, goes to vote early and applies amritanjan/jhandu balm/attar infused vesline on TMC button of evm.
2. Due to the nature of the chemical, anyone touching TMC button for next couple of hours will have that smell
3. The cadres at EC prescribed distance wait and sniff hands of each and every returning voter.
4. Voters know this and don't dare touch anything other than TMC button.

Be prepared to find TMC has done well despite central forces and high voter turnout

In my booth, in Khar Mumbai, voting was 45% till 1pm. Expected to cross 80%.

Reminds me of some people checking for incompleteness of things inside lungi many years back in same place.

Picklu wrote:Slowly, the dirty tricks are coming out in main stream media:

1. Someone from TMC, goes to vote early and applies amritanjan/jhandu balm/attar infused vesline on TMC button of evm.
2. Due to the nature of the chemical, anyone touching TMC button for next couple of hours will have that smell
3. The cadres at EC prescribed distance wait and sniff hands of each and every returning voter.
4. Voters know this and don't dare touch anything other than TMC button.

Be prepared to find TMC has done well despite central forces and high voter turnout

Having voted this is going too much into CT territory, you can easily touch a button with pressing it and it will rub off if 2-3 people touch the button, scare tactics will be used but wont work like this.

BJP
@BJP4India
दीदी आपकी जमीन खिसक चुकी है और देख लेना 23 मई को जब नतीजे आएंगे तो आपके विधायक भी आपको छोड़कर भाग जाएंगे। आज भी आपके 40 विधायक मेरे संपर्क में हैं: पीएम @narendramodi #IndiaVotesForNaMo

Translation: DIDI, the place where you are standing has eroded, on 23rd May when results are out, even your legislators will run away from you. Even today 40 of your legislators are in touch with me.

Either he knows what's going on and has backup plans, or he is totally cut off from what's happening in WB.

High Voter Turnout especially late evening Voter upsurge is essentially end of day booth capturing and voting on behalf of no shows. This is effectively done by the party with the most amount of street muscle/Police control in that particular booth/constituency. This has happened in 2014 and will happen in 2019.

Interestingly Mobile phones were not allowed in the booths/polling stations which I do not understand. Mobile phones are the best way of recording fraud activities

Picklu wrote:Slowly, the dirty tricks are coming out in main stream media:

1. Someone from TMC, goes to vote early and applies amritanjan/jhandu balm/attar infused vesline on TMC button of evm.
2. Due to the nature of the chemical, anyone touching TMC button for next couple of hours will have that smell
3. The cadres at EC prescribed distance wait and sniff hands of each and every returning voter.
4. Voters know this and don't dare touch anything other than TMC button.

Be prepared to find TMC has done well despite central forces and high voter turnout

Why didnt BJP workers not instruct public to use the left index finger to press the Lotus button and after the vote is registered press the TMC symbol or run his right index finger over it to leave a scent?

Picklu wrote:Slowly, the dirty tricks are coming out in main stream media:

1. Someone from TMC, goes to vote early and applies amritanjan/jhandu balm/attar infused vesline on TMC button of evm.
2. Due to the nature of the chemical, anyone touching TMC button for next couple of hours will have that smell
3. The cadres at EC prescribed distance wait and sniff hands of each and every returning voter.
4. Voters know this and don't dare touch anything other than TMC button.

Be prepared to find TMC has done well despite central forces and high voter turnout

Most people in WB is aware of this tactic since 2014. Apparently, this was conceived by Mukul Roy.
If BJP has to win WB, they have to implement street level fighters to counter the TMC goondas.

dwaipayandhar wrote:Most people in WB is aware of this tactic since 2014. Apparently, this was conceived by Mukul Roy.

If people are aware of this, I am sure they would also know how to bypass this as well? The state level BJP cadre at least would know how to circumvent these kind of silly tricks. Swipe your finger on the TMC candidate's button (so that this Amrutanjan smell gets in ) and then use any other finger to hard press the BJP candidate's button.

Don't really know if anyone has ever tried that. But should be obvious to everyone. Even if you do that and somehow the candidate wins, who is going to protect the people after the elections are over and you are at the mercy of TMC goons.

Well if this is the level of activity in West Bengal. I have a seeking suspicion that post 23rd of May. We are going to see governors rule with heavy paramilitary presence in Bengal for some time before the next assembly elections.


The supreme court will not be a tool in the hands of fixers. Post this attack on the CJI.

Looks like pretty low turnout in Mumbai. specially in south Mumbai at 39%

Or apply the same combo on the button for BJP and the rest of the buttons.

Modi knows what's going on in WB. He said as much in his interviews on TimesNow as well as Aaj Tak. I suspect he is waiting for the model code of conduct timeframe to finish to do something about it - I didn't get a sense of helpless resignation when I heard him talk about the issues in WB.

If EC has the cojones to do something about this, they should at minimum file a voluminous report with GoI so the latter could invoke 356. That's what it has come down to, looks like.

The media seems to be completely missing in action though. I know there is no point asking, but where is the pressure on Mamata to ensure free and fair elections?

Picklu wrote:Slowly, the dirty tricks are coming out in main stream media:
1. Someone from TMC, goes to vote early and applies amritanjan/jhandu balm/attar infused vesline on TMC button of evm.
2. Due to the nature of the chemical, anyone touching TMC button for next couple of hours will have that smell
3. The cadres at EC prescribed distance wait and sniff hands of each and every returning voter.
4. Voters know this and don't dare touch anything other than TMC button.

Be prepared to find TMC has done well despite central forces and high voter turnout

Oh COME ON! Has it come down to this? The other side is not smart enough to have a couple of bibis greeting all voters with a thali containing Amritanjan-laced kumkum?
In Bengal where they eat not only rice but fish, hain?
Why should parties that cannot figure out such simple elegance, deserve to become rulers? I get tired of reading such On a forum where the Great Abhishekcc conveyed his Teachings such as

Vote Early. Vote Often

You have nooooo idea how The Great Battle of CNN was won, when there was an India vs. China Poll. "We" swept the floor using the chinese.
Not to mention all those other Petitions and Polls where such heavyweights such as Weigh Poo and Abdul Bin Kabul ruled the roost.

Voting going on in front of my house in a polling booth. I have been monitoring it since morning. There is no Queue or huge surge of crowd but there has been a constant stream of Voters from all strata of society walking in , from pedestrians to 2 wheelers to fancy cars.

How come there is no Nitesh in this election. I haven't heard even a single statement or rally or news item about him in recent days ?
Where has Nitish disappeared ? Mean-a-while, Hearsay is that Urmila was paid about 5 Cr to fight elections plus all expenses related to polls. Not sure if this is just dirty rumor dept. working over time or is true. But She is up against Gopal Shetty who is considered a good hard working candidate in local area.

Last About the WB elections, I think some posters on BRF nowadays like to whine and cry a lot. If Mamta can overthrow Commie rule in WB who were equally horrible louts and that too with no backing, I am sure BJP too can do the same with Central govt, RSS and BJP machinery backing them. What is this about street power and booth capturing and Hitler-didi stuff. If this is how Bengalis operate, This is how BJP too will operate once they have enough muscle power (off course no one knows where all this aggression dissipates when it comes to facing M by Bengalis).

https://twitter.com/DeshGujarat/status/ ... 2092720128

"For the first time, India is being governed by Indians, after a long time of Mughal, British and Italian rule" ~ Kangana Ranaut.

VikramA wrote:Looks like pretty low turnout in Mumbai. specially in south Mumbai at 39%

No worries. I am told they are all blogging on their iPads and iPhones about how they'll be facing fascism head on.

Karan M wrote:

VikramA wrote:Looks like pretty low turnout in Mumbai. specially in south Mumbai at 39%

No worries. I am told they are all blogging on their iPads and iPhones about how they'll be facing fascism head on.

South Mumbai always was famous for low turnout despite the fact that not everyone is rich and famous in South Mumbai.
Rest of the Mumbai turnout will be in line with national turnout.

dwaipayandhar wrote:

Picklu wrote:Slowly, the dirty tricks are coming out in main stream media:

1. Someone from TMC, goes to vote early and applies amritanjan/jhandu balm/attar infused vesline on TMC button of evm.

Most people in WB is aware of this tactic since 2014. Apparently, this was conceived by Mukul Roy.
If BJP has to win WB, they have to implement street level fighters to counter the TMC goondas.

what if a BJP voter applies amritanjan to all buttons?

WB
-large scale violence
-Even before BJP could, TMC wailing in front of willing ECI
-Star makers of TMC complain they do not know anout violence since they were served bed tea late (not joking)
-Momta has deployed atate police in look alike dresses of central forces


From MH
low turn out in Mumbai
for some mysterious reason EC makes sure urban centres like Mumbai & Blore vote on Mon or Fri so that half of the IT VT escape on holiday

Mocking all the leaders of the Congress, Digvijay Singh said that after Jawaharlal Nehru,  Congress did not pay much attention to reading and writing. “Pandit Nehru Ji k baad to Congress ne likhne padhne pe bahut jyada dhyan nahi diya. Lekin aaj bhi soch, vichar, likhne, padhne me hum prerna lete hain CPI, CPM, CPIML se bhi (After Pandit Nehru, Congress party did not pay much attention to reading and writing. In fact, we take inspiration for our thoughts from parties like CPI, CPM, and even CPIML)”, said Digvijay Singh.

https://www.opindia.com/2019/04/digvija ... for-ideas/

#ElectionAlert -- Estimated voter percentage till 6 pm (final figures awaited) for the 4th phase of #LokSabhaElections2019:

Bihar - 53.67%
J&K - 9.79%
MP - 65.86%
Maharashtra - 51.06%
Odisha - 64.05%
Rajasthan - 62.86%
UP - 53.12%
West Bengal - 76.47%
Jharkhand - 63.40%

@5Forty3

After 4 phases, have seen voluminous amounts of data, along with turnout differential models, polling booth analytics and swing voter trends.
Everything says this is not a close election by any metric.
Would be greatly surprising if NDA doesn't touch 370 on May 23rd!