Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Posted: 22 Aug 2017 10:40
The biggest problem is the Paki involvement and that is not going to stop unless there is a serious pain to Pakis.
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US President Donald Trump today said he will work to boost strategic partnership with India for achieving peace and stability in Afghanistan, and asked New Delhi to provide more economic assistance to the war-torn country since "India makes billions of dollars in trade with the US".
Mr Trump, in a televised address to the nation as Commander-in-Chief, laid out his South Asia policy saying a "critical part" of it was to further develop US' strategic partnership with India, while criticising Pakistan for supporting terror groups although Islamabad gets billions in aid from the US.
India, the world's largest democracy, is a key security and economic partner of the US, Mr Trump said. "We appreciate India's important contributions to stability in Afghanistan, but India makes billions of dollars in trade with the US, and we want them to help us more with Afghanistan, especially in the area of economic assistance and development," Mr Trump said.
"We are committed to pursuing our shared objectives for peace and security in South Asia and the broader Indo-Pacific region," said the US President.
He said after a "comprehensive review", it was decided that the American strategy in Afghanistan and South Asia will change dramatically.
In his speech, Mr Trump came down heavily on Pakistan for supporting terror groups. "We can no longer be silent about Pakistan's safe havens for terrorist organisations, the Taliban, and other groups that pose a threat to the region and beyond," he said.
"In the past, Pakistan has been a valued partner. Our militaries have worked together against common enemies. The Pakistani people have suffered greatly from terrorism and extremism. We recognise those contributions and those sacrifices," Mr Trump said.
"But Pakistan has also sheltered the same organisations that try every single day to kill our people," he added.
Mr Trump said the US has been paying Pakistan billions of dollars but it continues to house the very terrorists that America is fighting.
"But that will have to change. That will change immediately. No partnership can survive a country's harbouring of militants and terrorists who target US service members and officials. It is time for Pakistan to demonstrate its commitment to civilisation, order, and to peace," Mr Trump said.
In a statement following Mr Trump's address, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson echoed the President's views on enhanced role for India in the new South Asia strategy. "India will be an important partner in the effort to ensure peace and stability in the region, and we welcome its role in supporting Afghanistan's political and economic modernisation," he said.
India will get POK back via some US pressure on TSP jarnails? I'm not so sure although one hopes that is the case, especially not with theiir taller than mountain friends....Nor will the ISI types let go of their main recruitment tool - azad cashmere. Nor will cheen want to let go of their footing in the area so easily. The idea of TSP is based on hate for India, and kashmir is the crucial component of this ideology. Doubt it will simply rollover and hand it to Indiadharamsala wrote:That is not the full equation... You should be asking will India's military costs in Afganistan be less than India taking back PoK / Aksai Chin in a military conflict.Cain Marko wrote:
Question is - is india willing to take military and human losses in af-pak? This could be the pivotal decision that will determine the future role of a United Bharat. My guess is that boots on the ground is a given, just when.
If the US backs India in PoK, you can bet their rabid pet dogs in the Paki army will stand down.
The US can save a lot of billions that it gifts/pays extortion money to the Pakis"We appreciate India's important contributions to stability in Afghanistan, but India makes billions of dollars in trade with the US, and we want them to help us more with Afghanistan, especially in the area of economic assistance and development," Mr Trump said.
So what else is newAustin wrote:No partnership can survive a country's harbouring of militants and terrorists who target US service members and officials.
we have avoided the "boots on the ground" syndrome so far, in any country, in spite of the very eager and long time US chivvying to get us to commit forces in eyraq and also afghanistan.abhijitm wrote:Trump sounds like India is under obligation to serve US in a'stan because we do billions of $ trade with them. This is second time trump has mentioned $ and India in his speech.
Body bags coming out of afghanistan is a zero sum game.Austin wrote:What will 5000 more troops on Ground do in Afnistan that 1 lakh plus troops couldnt not do 6 years back ? Afnistan is now a case of cut your losses and move then gain something
But he wants India's help there. Surely he will not ask for baba ramdev and patanjali, though a lot of MNCs will be very glad if he did.Singha wrote:perhaps the open invite to india to sink our claws deeper in there under the guise of development programs is to needle TSP. nothing gets them worked up more than indians roaming in afghanistan under govt support.
he never asked for any troops.
+1chetak wrote: we should simply continue with the same old same old and just go about our normal business.
Let the US stew in it's own juice and for all the help it has given to the pakis and harm done to us because of that, let it's bad karma bite it hard on the arse as it surely deserves and donald can go to hell along with his $ trade
I would not place too much reliance on the chabahar port and mark my words.yensoy wrote:In order to break Pak stranglehold on Afghanistan, the following 2 are BOTH required:
1. Charbahar port and highway/railway through Iran into Afghanistan; North-South connector in Afganistan
2. Secession of Baluchistan and construction of a North-South highway from free Gwadar into Afghanistan
This is the only true long-term solution for us to get into Afghanistan in any major way. If only one of the above happens, we will be at the mercy of Iran or independent Baluchistan, neither of who will be in a mood to listen.
+1 with just one changeabhijitm wrote:Help us liberate balochistan and after we secure logistic to afghanistan then we can engage more. Till then baba ji ka thallu.
US will not do it on its own. We need to do the heavy lifting if our long term strategic gain is more important. US can secure us arms, fuel, political coverage and eastern sea cover from china.Manish_P wrote:+1 with just one changeabhijitm wrote:Help us liberate balochistan and after we secure logistic to afghanistan then we can engage more. Till then baba ji ka thallu.
Help usLet the US liberate balochistan and after we have secure logistic to afghanistan then we can engage more. Till then baba ji ka thallu.
Abhijit ji, IMHO Baluchistan once 'lliberated' will go down the islamic path sooner rather than later. That's the nature of the beast.
Absolutely, which is why we need a competition to Charbahar as well. But the entire lot in that part of the world can't be trusted - neither the Baluchis, nor the Iranians, nor the Afghans themselves.chetak wrote:I would not place too much reliance on the chabahar port and mark my words. this is a taqiya project for iran and they will take it over completely and cut us entirely out of the picture once the port is ready and it starts to operate successfully and profitably.
among the first things that they will do is to link it with gwadar port via a heavy duty han built rail and road freight corridor. these aholes simply cannot be trusted. deceit is inherent in all their dealings.
Now I am convinced that the only way for Donald to carry out his threats against Pakistan is if he can continue to get land transit without Paki blackmail, and that will happen only if he is able to demand it as a right rather than a privilege. He can - under threat of force - extract cooperation from the Pakis. We can't but he can, and we could ride his coat-tails to invest. That is the only way I see which is feasible in the near term.abhijitm wrote:these treaties mean nothing in reality. Pak still dont allow our trucks to pass through their territory to afghanistan.
None assured, Sir. And certainly none in which we would be the only player in the game. Else we would have been controlling Pukistan, rendering all the other issues (Afghanistan, Iran,abhijitm wrote:There are means to control.
all the good work that we have done in afghanistan over the years will be for naught, if we get involved with the amrekis there.yensoy wrote:Absolutely, which is why we need a competition to Charbahar as well. But the entire lot in that part of the world can't be trusted - neither the Baluchis, nor the Iranians, nor the Afghans themselves.chetak wrote:I would not place too much reliance on the chabahar port and mark my words. this is a taqiya project for iran and they will take it over completely and cut us entirely out of the picture once the port is ready and it starts to operate successfully and profitably.
among the first things that they will do is to link it with gwadar port via a heavy duty han built rail and road freight corridor. these aholes simply cannot be trusted. deceit is inherent in all their dealings.
As I said earlier today, our hold on Charbahar can only come with US indemnification of the port and roads - that is the only way Iran could be persuaded into co-operating with us. Given the risk in the process, return on investment should be very quick - minerals should start flowing out as soon as the road link is made.
Now I am convinced that the only way for Donald to carry out his threats against Pakistan is if he can continue to get land transit without Paki blackmail, and that will happen only if he is able to demand it as a right rather than a privilege. He can - under threat of force - extract cooperation from the Pakis. We can't but he can, and we could ride his coat-tails to invest. That is the only way I see which is feasible in the near term.abhijitm wrote:these treaties mean nothing in reality. Pak still dont allow our trucks to pass through their territory to afghanistan.
The sentence in his speech where he says “We appreciate India’s important contributions to stability in Afghanistan, but India makes billions of dollars in trade with the United States, and we want them to help us more with Afghanistan, especially in the area of economic assistance and development.”, made it also seem to me that Donald Trump is labouring under the mistaken notion that India is under obligation to serve the US in Afghanistan because India trades with the USabhijitm wrote:Trump sounds like India is under obligation to serve US in a'stan because we do billions of $ trade with them. This is second time trump has mentioned $ and India in his speech.
whats in life is assured? if we can influence bangladesh and afghanistan we can do it with balochistan too. now what if we fail? what if it turn rogue... is not the valid reason. Till yesterday maldives was in our camp even being a muslim nation. Today they have drifted away. Can someone assured that they will remain that way forever? no. thats not how geopolitical games are played.Manish_P wrote:None assured, Sir. And certainly none in which we would be the only player in the game. Else we would have been controlling Pukistan, rendering all the other issues (Afghanistan, Iran, China) moot.abhijitm wrote:There are means to control.
+100abhijitm wrote:whats in life is assured? if we can influence bangladesh and afghanistan we can do it with balochistan too. now what if we fail? what if it turn rogue... is not the valid reason. Till yesterday maldives was in our camp even being a muslim nation. Today they have drifted away. Can someone assured that they will remain that way forever? no. thats not how geopolitical games are played.Manish_P wrote:
None assured, Sir. And certainly none in which we would be the only player in the game. Else we would have been controlling Pukistan, rendering all the other issues (Afghanistan, Iran, China) moot.
He is asking for Indian help in economic assistance and development not military presence. In both areas India has helped Afghanistan more successfully than the US.http://www.cnn.com/2017/08/21/politics/ ... index.html
Five key pieces of Trump's Afghanistan plan
Jeremy Herb
By Jeremy Herb, CNN
Updated 1:26 AM ET, Tue August 22, 2017
US President Donald Trump speaks during his address to the nation from Joint Base Myer-Henderson Hall in Arlington, Virginia, on August 21, 2017.
Trump said a rapid Afghan exit would leave 'vacuum' for terrorists. / AFP PHOTO / Nicholas Kamm
(CNN)President Donald Trump outlined his plan for the 16-year US war in Afghanistan Monday evening, vowing that the US would find victory while no longer "nation-building."
......
Trump also talked about how India, a nuclear rival of Pakistan, could contribute to the Afghan war effort. He noted the billions of dollars in trade between India and the US and said his administration wanted India to help more on Afghanistan, particularly with economic assistance and development.
...
You misunderstood me. I am not saying we be inactive. What i am saying is that we get these interested parties (who also stand to gain) make it really worth our while for us to be convinced in putting in our efforts. Else we will just be heavy lifters at best and canon fodder at worst.Bart S wrote:+100abhijitm wrote: whats in life is assured? if we can influence bangladesh and afghanistan we can do it with balochistan too. now what if we fail? what if it turn rogue... is not the valid reason. Till yesterday maldives was in our camp even being a muslim nation. Today they have drifted away. Can someone assured that they will remain that way forever? no. thats not how geopolitical games are played.
We are past masters at making excuses for inaction. What appears to be caution or perfectionism is just really an excuse for laziness and kicking the can down the road. Stuff like, lets wait 10 years till we re-arm, lets wait till we are 7T$ economy, lets wait for UN to approve it first, lets wait for ironclad guarantees etc. We are either in the game or we get screwed.
Absolutely. We will wait forever with our excuses.Bart S wrote:We are past masters at making excuses for inaction. What appears to be caution or perfectionism is just really an excuse for laziness and kicking the can down the road. Stuff like, lets wait 10 years till we re-arm, lets wait till we are 7T$ economy, lets wait for UN to approve it first, lets wait for ironclad guarantees etc. We are either in the game or we get screwed.
That is true, they are totally blinded by their hatred of Trump that any overtures by the Trump admin to India might only beget harsh criticism of India in the American MSM. Rather like the hatred of Modi makes Cong and AAP types do stupid things and score own goals (not trying to equate Trump and Modiji here, just their opponents). It's a bit of a minefield for us to navigate, though we do have strong bi-partisan support among the political class at least.abhijitm wrote:Should check the tone of left media in US and UK. It was okay when obama wanted more indian role in afghanistan. But because now trump is asking the same (or more) they are saying its a mistake because pakistan wil get upset. Its a true face of lefts in the west. Their trump hate is so much I will not be surprised if soon they call taliban a victim of trump.
Yes. We need to be careful and have channels with left and right. But this exposes the perils of supporting US when risk of lives, money and strategic equations is too high. If they are not on same page and keep fighting and sabotaging each other then how India can raise its stake?Bart S wrote: That is true, they are totally blinded by their hatred of Trump that any overtures by the Trump admin to India might only beget harsh criticism of India in the American MSM. Rather like the hatred of Modi makes Cong and AAP types do stupid things and score own goals (not trying to equate Trump and Modiji here, just their opponents). It's a bit of a minefield for us to navigate, though we do have strong bi-partisan support among the political class at least.
Kakkaji wrote:I think Trump hinted at 'hot pursuit' into Pakistan.
He asked for more troops from NATO allies, not from India
With all respect to Gurus, I do not think this announcement has any positives for India or approval to desh to achieve its stratetic objectives. He wants more economic assistance (in other words do more) since we made lot of money through their percieved lens we should fund the US exit , the one that suits their interests. That way they accomodate porkis concern with no indian danda on the ground only monies.SSridhar wrote:Absolutely. We will wait forever with our excuses.Bart S wrote:We are past masters at making excuses for inaction. What appears to be caution or perfectionism is just really an excuse for laziness and kicking the can down the road. Stuff like, lets wait 10 years till we re-arm, lets wait till we are 7T$ economy, lets wait for UN to approve it first, lets wait for ironclad guarantees etc. We are either in the game or we get screwed.
Totally. The reference is to the land mass in and between the two great water bodies.Kakkaji wrote:'Indo-Pacific' is just the combined region of Indian and Pacific oceans. Not a specific reference to India.