Bharat Rakshak

Contrary to all the chatter in the first two phases, that the decline in turnout rates (which turned out to be not true) may harm the BJP, all the evidence seems to be indicating bad news for the opposition parties.

Aarti Tikoo Singh
‏Verified account @AartiTikoo

I asked voters in a Christian locality in Jharkhand’s Lohardaga parliamentary constituency about the performance of the last five years of the Modi government. Listen to what they said.

Singha wrote:https://twitter.com/TarekFatah/status/1 ... 2768649216
why do all um worshippers in such gatherings seem to sport the dazed kind of look. aimlessly jumping up and down in the throes of their ecstasy...
they look fairly ok economically and educated.

UlanBatori wrote:Sorry running out of things to write. So here is a brave attempt.
Have the Experts considered in comparing 2014 to 2019, the effect of voter replacement? i.e., voters dying/dropping out due to old age and new ones coming in? Some idea of the mentality of new voters might give a much better reliability to the predictions, and make any percentage increase in voting look that much more significant.
My sense is that voters at the old extreme (65+) may
(a) be diehard Congis from Gandhi/Nehru days (and IG days)
(b) be diehard commies
(c) be diehard Sardar Patel/ Vinoba Bhave fans

whereas newer ones (18-25) MAY be
(a) Internet junkies
(b) identify with RaGa because they resonate with his intracranial cavity.
(c) SRK fans
(d) "secular"
(e) NaMo fans?

Indian life expectancy in 2019 is about 69 years. So 5 years is a long time: Remove the first 18 years, we are left with 51. So 5 years is 10% of average life expectancy. Too late at night for the madarssa math to kick in Normal and Abnormal Distributions but someone might try these calculations? Given demographic trends, the numbers at the 18-end are significantly higher than those at the 69-end, so the rise in % compared to 2014, seen so far, may be too small, and hence reflect greater voter apathy!!
We might think that NaMo Surgical Strike and Balakot impress the youngest-gen voters, but many might never have heard of either event. Car -gel what? But they may be comfortable with PayTM.

In Malloostan I would HOPE that young-extreme gen is less commie/congi than old-extreme though going by the relatives I know, they are (never mind).
Some discussion on the sentiments of the marginal voter-replacements might be much more revealing in prediction terms than pics of the smiling Amit Shah.

Karthik S wrote:Anyone having idea on Mukul Roy? Read somewhere he was instrumental in the ascent of TMC, must be Tywin Lannister in his approach, now in BJP, surprisingly, nothing has been spoken about him.

Singha wrote:Himanta was giving speeches to crowds as a middle schooler during assam agitation

In my PU college he was gen secy. During election campaign the candidates used to come to classrooms to intro themselves . As a traditions, we juniors had the right to ask them to speak extempore on any nonsense topic and have a good laugh at the seniors ( they were in BA or MA) by then. He was pretty amazing orator and thinking on the feet type.

Fate may have marked him out for bigger things

He also has the nitin gadkari thing of being a efficient administrator ( was health minister in a old stint) apart from amit shahish chanakya niti

sanjaykumar wrote:Hmm....the grace and dignity of these speakers is notable. The younger female had no problem acknowledging their Adivasi roots. Well, if they are not against us they are with us, as they say.

https://twitter.com/AartiTikoo/status/1 ... 3736910853

sanjaykumar wrote:Hmm....the grace and dignity of these speakers is notable. The younger female had no problem acknowledging their Adivasi roots. Well, if they are not against us they are with us, as they say.

https://twitter.com/AartiTikoo/status/1 ... 3736910853

Karthik S wrote:+1. Still people fall for it and that too in BRF.

vimal wrote:That whole case is an election gimmick. If BJP was serious then they would’ve investigated this 3 years ago when SuSwamy filed the case.

nandakumar wrote:This Rahul Gandhi's citizenship issue is going nowhere. UK Company House registry does not have biometric authentication of company directors. In the event all that the inquiry will show is that there exited a company and it had as director and secretary by the name of Raul Vinci. How does one say that he is the same as the current Congress president?

nandakumar wrote:This Rahul Gandhi's citizenship issue is going nowhere. UK Company House registry does not have biometric authentication of company directors. In the event all that the inquiry will show is that there exited a company and it had as director and secretary by the name of Raul Vinci. How does one say that he is the same as the current Congress president?

banrjeer wrote:For a lot of adivasis it’s the grandness and the spectacle that they are
Part of ..the larger narrative which becomes a draw there’s also the bribing money and some notion of upward mobility.

We need an RSS 2.0 that is able to
Counter It with something superior

From Gujarat to the Northeast — most recent elections have indicated a trend of tribal votes shifting towards the BJP in a very impressive way. The shift has proved decisive for the BJP’s electoral victories.

Media reports, researchers and political observers are of the view that this shift is due to the relentless work the RSS has been doing in tribal areas of the country. Even analysts, who are never ready to give any credit to the RSS for the BJP’s electoral gains, are beginning to recognise the RSS’ contribution in this area.

The RSS entered these zones silently. It formed NGOs to work among the tribals, to drive them towards the Sangh, and to empower them as 'respectable citizens'.

On the one hand, the Sangh attracted the tribals through “seva”; on the other hand, it tried to cultivate a 'Hindu identity' among the tribal population.

The RSS has set up free schools with hostel facilities in remote areas where state facilities have not yet reached. Similarly, they came up with many aarogyashalas (hospitals of ayurveda, homeopathy and modern medicine) there. In an attempt to support the indigenous knowledge of the tribal communities, the RSS institutes started imparting national-level training on archery, wrestling and other traditional tribal sports.

RSS training completely transforms these tribal children - later, they become role models for their communities, a Sangh pracharak working among the tribals in Sonabhadra area of Uttar Pradesh said. “These boys also learn bhajan kirtan and moral education from our schools. After passing from our schools, they go to cities and we support their higher education too. We maintain our constant relationship with them,” he said.

ramana wrote: Thee bestest lawyer in India is Jaitley and he has been busy holding the fort while MA campaign. He will get active after govt is sworn in. Don't worry.

khatvaanga wrote:

ramana wrote: Thee bestest lawyer in India is Jaitley and he has been busy holding the fort while MA campaign. He will get active after govt is sworn in. Don't worry.

hope he gets anything but FM this time around. Now that GST has passed..

Lisa wrote:

nandakumar wrote:This Rahul Gandhi's citizenship issue is going nowhere. UK Company House registry does not have biometric authentication of company directors. In the event all that the inquiry will show is that there exited a company and it had as director and secretary by the name of Raul Vinci. How does one say that he is the same as the current Congress president?

Nandakumarji,

Rahul Gandhi went one step further, he gave his address as Frognal Way in Hampstead, in a house owned by Amitabh Bachchan's brother where he then registered it further to acquire voting rights in the UK election process!

The issue is rather less that of whether or not he has a passport but more in that how does he prove that he does not, get it?

UlanBatori wrote:If the letter from the Indian Ministry is genuine, then how did Raul respond? Or does he deem Himself above such things?

Lisa wrote:

nandakumar wrote:This Rahul Gandhi's citizenship issue is going nowhere. UK Company House registry does not have biometric authentication of company directors. In the event all that the inquiry will show is that there exited a company and it had as director and secretary by the name of Raul Vinci. How does one say that he is the same as the current Congress president?

Nandakumarji,

Rahul Gandhi went one step further, he gave his address as Frognal Way in Hampstead, in a house owned by Amitabh Bachchan's brother where he then registered it further to acquire voting rights in the UK election process!

The issue is rather less that of whether or not he has a passport but more in that how does he prove that he does not, get it?

tandav wrote:

sanjaykumar wrote:Hmm....the grace and dignity of these speakers is notable. The younger female had no problem acknowledging their Adivasi roots. Well, if they are not against us they are with us, as they say.

https://twitter.com/AartiTikoo/status/1 ... 3736910853

My own personal experience with a Christian convert in my extended family and by going through many interviews which have shown that inspite of very good work done by this NDA, most Muslims and Christians (20% of India's population) will not vote for BJP, their minds have been poisoned by their respective faith leaders / MSM / Liberals. It is also well known that UPA will create/fund government schemes (NYAY) that will pander to such vote banks at the expense of others. I am sensing an undercurrent of opposition to NDA in many lower economic groups (cab driver in Gujarat with family land stating why Ahmedabad Sabarmati should have water and why that water is not given to his village)

NDA is at its heart a more wealth creation oriented entity where are UPA is a wealth redistribution oriented entity. At the hustings UPA will announce wealth redistribution schemes targeted to its caste and religious vote banks (~20% of the population) which will be paid for by the rest of the population. In the first past the post type elections all UPA needs is to get ~10% of the population's votes which I think is acheivable.

KL Dubey wrote:^^That is correct. However as i understand you also have to have obtained "right to remain" (which seems similar to US permanent residence) in order to be eligible.....e.g. a desi software engineer who has entered UK on a work visa and has been there for 3 months, cannot vote. Correct me if I am wrong.

Do you think Pappu obtained right to remain just by studying for a few years there, or did he have to do more?

KL Dubey wrote:^^That is correct. However as i understand you also have to have obtained "right to remain" (which seems similar to US permanent residence) in order to be eligible.....e.g. a desi software engineer who has entered UK on a work visa and has been there for 3 months, cannot vote. Correct me if I am wrong.

Do you think Pappu obtained right to remain just by studying for a few years there, or did he have to do more?

Chowkidar Girish @girishs2
Follow Follow @girishs2
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Dileep wrote:The importance of Twitter is overhyped, since media people (around whom the universe spins) use that. None of the people in my real life circle use Twitter. Everything is in WhatsApp onlee.

Case study: More than a million people went out on the street for Sabarimala. How many individual handles tweeted? Less than a hundred!! And many of them non locals.