ramana wrote:Three things
Currently there are two main theories:
- Paki strike using IM 'sleeper cells": Abu Jundal, interrogation of two miscreants in Oct 2012, bicycle bombs, Sai Baba temple, MMS statements after beheading, Afzal Gand** hanging, Kasab hanging, Hafiz Suar weeping, and so on and so forth
- Local Hyderabad Muslims from Old City: MIM disaffection with Kiran Kumar Reddy, campaign to oust him, Mahajan Hospital land issue, Owasi family's truculence, Charminar temple issue, some of the blast victims curious connection to Old City an so and so forth.
Which one is it? we need to gather facts from the public domain for and against each theory.
Ramana Garu,
according to news, there was a country wide alert. The recce was done in Pune and Hyderabad. To understand their working, one has to understand their thinking. I think pakis still think in terms of Mughal/Brit administrative zones. So, the chronology may have been in this manner:
pakis send message to the deccan cell to carry out attacks in some city in deccan. The city should not be Mumbai or Delhi. Attack on these Mumbai or Delhi brings too much heat(specially on pakis). So, some other city must be chosen, so that it can have enough attention but it should not be so big that the rulers are forced to take drastic steps(specially against pakis).
So, Pune and Hyderabad are chosen as potential candidates. Perhaps, Bangalore was dropped because an attack would be too high profile.
The reasons for choosing Hyderabad may be due to the local situations mentioned by you. Ovaisies, dislodging the CM, Telangana issues,...etc.
Anyone living in Hyd will know that Old city of Hyd is an adda and ovaisies give political protection. So, an attack so near the adda may indicate a certain amount of desperation or urgency.
Looking at all the previous bomb blasts, the thinking may be in the following manner:
-The blasts are in a happening commercial location. To impact the economy.
-The blasts are in a crowded locations. To cause high number of casualties. To instil fear.
-The attacks target common man. Except attack on parliament and J&K assembly, all attacks have been on common man.
-The attacks target temples. Jihad...
So, the locations fitting the above model are: Markets, theatres, busy roads and temples.
Dilsukhnagar may be fitting the above profile. There may also be issues of logistics(i.e. distance from old city). Once the attack is carried out, the perpetrators may escape out of the city to other places(out of the state if need be) and lie low.
In a week or two, the public memory fades. Then, the politicians and ngos who shield the jihadis take over.
To eliminate such organizations, the key players have to be taken out.
a) funders(local and foreign). It may be done in the disguise of charity.
b) Local political and social supporters. These guys may have a direct contact with pakis(or even higher players) and may be aware of national and international ramifications of their actions.
c) technicians i.e. bomb maker(s).
d) recruiters or motivators i.e. leaders. These people may have been trained in pakilands.
I think local cops would know all there is to know about these networks and players. If there is a favourable political setup, the cops(with some support from CRPF, perhaps) are more than enough to take out the whole jihadi network within the desh. Maybe, they would need a POTA like law. Thats all, nothing more is required to tackle local players.
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Vasu Raya saar,
your theory is very much plausible. In fact, it sounds very reasonable.
But, why this particular temple?
