2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

[Cyrano]

Unsurprisingly, everyone in the muslim community is completely sidestepping what exactly these 26 verses say. They quote other verses that purport to say that "taking any human life is not OK for Allah" etc. but critics of Rizvi and media reports very carefully avoid any quoting or discussion on the exact verses concerned. Even Rizvi is not quoting them in the media.

The only reference to the actual verses in question I could find was by Sanjay Dixit, 24 of which were included in an old court case called the Calcutta Quran Petition, cited in a book published on the same, in an annex of the book.

[chetak]

What was the whole point of this scare near Ambani residence? Did the Politicians/Police higher ups think they could extort money from Ambani?

It might be a "shot across the bow" warning (a la the horse's head in The Godfather) to Ambani, not to get too paly-paly with the BJP. The message might have been "next time, we will not detect the car-bomb on time".

But Mumbai police, being what it is, botched it up

players at ambani/adani level are unforgiving of any attacks on their persona.

the three political parties who have orchestrated this fiasco will get their comeuppance, sooner rather than later.

they have made a major mistake and also a grievous miscalculation

something seems to have changed in a very fundamental way because pappu has been repeatedly targeting the ambani/adani duo by name.

each of them is individually capable of engineering a rift among the congis, just like the ongoing G-23 imbroglio that has almost sunk the mafia parivar's decrepit rowboat, ...just saying onlee.......

given the dire financial straits of the bumbling trio in MAH, the most likely scenario may be the drying up of funds from these two sources.

politicos do not do this but one has to ask, is pappu a politico or a puppet.

We need to look to the BIF for a credible answer.

pappu's desperation can also mean that all concerned parties may have reached the end of their respective tethers and are looking for alternatives.

pappu has passed his sell by date and the risk reward ratio has not been in his favor for quite some time.

bengal and TN may well be the final two nails in his coffin.

[Tanaji]

Chetakji, I disagree. NCP and Pawar do not operate that way. Pawar is the consummate deal maker and he will never alienate or make permanent enemies with someone like Ambani, especially one who provides patronage directly and indirectly. So I don’t think NCP is aware of this. Congress is a bit player currently and Vaze has no linkages there.

This is either Sena being Paki levels of stupid or something deeper.

[chetak]

Chetak, I disagree. NCP and Pawar do not operate that way. Pawar is the consummate deal maker and he will never alienate or make permanent enemies with someone like Ambani, especially one who provides patronage directly and indirectly. So I don’t think NCP is aware of this. Congress is a bit player currently and Vaze has no linkages there.

This is either Sena being Paki levels of stupid or something deeper.

he has tried at least four times to grab the agri ministry, the very recent latest attempt was to trade support in MAH in return for family members to take over the ministry and he is not even part of the NDA. The padma was to quieten him but it looks like it did not work.

He is not trusted by anyone. This is not the hallmark of a consummate deal maker but of a hustler who knows where the bodies are buried. His cross border linkages are frequently brought up in the press.

he wants either the PM's gaddi or president's perch in dilli to be given him on a platter and plenty of industry cronies have lobbied the govt for him to get the president's perch.

fadnavis had to go because he cut off the maratha power at the knees.

that is how and why the three MVA groups ganged up

Fadnavis had, silently and without any fanfare, administered the halal cut to the MVA gang during his tenure by blocking all the avenues of moolah and patronage which again translates to moolah. He had made administrative amendments to plug the power of the coop bank boards, APMC boards and sugar coop boards by placing govt nominees on all these exclusive bodies to block off the majority voting powers of the boards, completely eviscerating the MVA gangs and he rendered them impotent in the rural hinterlands which is the wellspring of their financial and political muscle

with death staring one in the face, deal making takes on an element of desperation.

when desperation dominates, deal making goes out the window, and marching orders usually follow

his succession line is completely unsettled, nephew too ambitious and daughter not so capable. he sees his lifetime deeds unraveling in front of his eyes and he is helpless because power is all with Modi and all his deal making has come to naught.

his ability to dominate MAH politics is in serious question, let alone national politics.

His influence has always been with the second and third rung industrialists, like bajaj and gang, and suchlike looking for shady deals and never with the top drawer types like the tatas, the birlas, the ambanis, and the adanis and others of that ilk.

look at what happened with enron, on his watch.

and his forte has been always operating only from the shadows. more myth than substance.

the MAH home minister is his chosen contribution to the MVA and the HM has been one of the ministries that he specifically wanted.

Did his chosen HM suddenly go rogue on him or what.

parambir has been transferred to head the home guards. It is a tight slap on one very specific face, the face that chose parambir in the first place

the HM has made many unwise statements on arnab goswami including publicly wishing for his suicide.

karma is a biatch and she always catches up to extract her pound of flesh, no matter what or who.

fadnavis is on fire.

the MVA does not want to get consumed in the flames of a guy that they all tried to politically behead and failed miserably

karma always rules

[Sachin]

Nothing makes sense about this case except for the well known fact that the entire MH police top brass and its so called "encounter specialists" are rotten to the core.

Have been a Mumbai police fan, but now have a kind of 'revelation' that ultimately it is all politics at play. The 'encounter specialists' could play their part only because the politicians allowed them to do so. Perhaps Dawood's rising as a don was also with tacit approval of the politicians of the day. As we know that he was close to A.R Antulay, plus his father himself was a Head Constable in Crime Branch. From various books I read; PI Salaskar too was very close to Shiv Sena folks where as ACP Pradeep Sharma actually worked for the ex-Mumbai Com.Pol who is now an MP.

As per Fadanvis, Vaze was a collection agent for Sena bigwigs. I think he was also in the Sena at some point.

Vaze had joined Shiv Sena and even contested some local polls and lost. This was when he was on suspension on a fake(!?) encounter case.

[KL Dubey]

As per Fadanvis, Vaze was a collection agent for Sena bigwigs. I think he was also in the Sena at some point.

Vaze had joined Shiv Sena and even contested some local polls and lost. This was when he was on suspension on a fake(!?) encounter case.

All recent happenings confirm that Sh!t Sena is not any kind of "hindutva" party, its just a collection of corrupts and goons/taporis with two dorks at the helm.

The situation in MH has been very interesting since the MVA "sarkar" started....it seems like the pillars of MVA are being slowly demolished one by one, its a matter of time before it all crashes down. Pawars, Thakres, and various Congis are being slowly ground down by Modi sarkar. Farnavis did a good job as CM, and he is doing a good job in the opposition.

[Cyrano]

All recent happenings confirm that Sh!t Sena is not any kind of "hindutva" party, its just a collection of corrupts and goons/taporis with two dorks at the helm.

My stomach churned when I saw a video of a Sena gooda publicly bashing and shaving the head of a BJP supporter just because he fwded a what app joke on UT, days after he became CM. WTF do electors think they are choosing when the vote ?

[KL Dubey]

My stomach churned when I saw a video of a Sena gooda publicly bashing and shaving the head of a BJP supporter just because he fwded a what app joke on UT, days after he became CM. WTF do electors think they are choosing when the vote ?

Well, to be fair, the electorate voted strongly for BJP in the VS election, giving it double the seats of the SS for the first time (removed all questions of who is the "elder brother" and such). The SS mainly piggybacked on BJP votes to manage 56 seats, with a poor seat conversion rate of 44%.

[chetak]

has the MVA started to disintegrate.

parambir was transferred because of "Transfer of parambir singh is not routine, serious mistakes can't be forgiven." says the HM

HM says that he and uddhav sat together and decided.

sena was very keen and insistent on reinstating vaze back in the polis and uddhav had very recently defended vaze on the floor of the house

so, one lot had vaze in their pocket and the other lot had parambir in their pocket


WATCH VIDEO


WATCH VIDEO-2

[srikandan]

link

I am surprised this ex-economic advisor of this modi govt.is showing solidarity with the V-dem-report douche Pratap Bhanu. Pratap Bhanu's superpower is to talk for hours without saying anything useful, and I say that having subjected myself to multiple "political science courses" taught by him in shady think tanks with lighthouse emblems in Bangalore. His Oxford Univ. book on Indian economics and politicals science is worth its weight as good recycling material -- a more vacuous book would be hard to find.

[Hari Seldon]

Heh.

Kerala Gold scam: State Crime Branch registers case against ED for ‘pressurising’ Swapna Suresh to name CM Pinarayi Vijayan (Opindia)

State CID registers case against central agency. Let the games begin.

[Hari Seldon]

Meanwhile, in Telangana's Bhainsa village - no internet, mobile, media access etc by TS pulis after jihardon riot. TS BJP leaders stopped outside town itself. Who knows whats going on inside. Shux.

Bhainsa violence: AIMIM councillor charged with attempt to murder and armed riot, 21 others arrested

[Cyrano]

Last I've heard from friends in Hyd, the Hindu community in Bhainsa has taken a formal resolution to boycott buying all goods and services from the peaceful community.

Got some news videos showing Police blocking roads and stopping any cars going towards Nanded to prevent them from going to Nirmal or Bhainsa. People are confronting police, openly screaming at them "razakars" for becoming MIM stooges and "napunsak" for failing to protect Hindus. Tense situation, which can explode when Hindus lose patience.

[Sachin]

State CID registers case against central agency. Let the games begin.

The commies are trying every trick in the book (and outside it) to dodge the summons from ED, NIA etc. The drama that the accused Swapna Suresh saying that ED forced her to give out the name of the CM was executed by two K.P police women who were on guard duty. They with a superior officer gave Swapna a cell phone and where she made the statement that ED is trying to force her to give false statement. No marks for guessing the political ideas of all the K.P personnel involved here. ED has written to the state DGP that action be taken against these police officials as they were harming the investigation. And it is an confession statement given to a magistrate (under Sec 164 Cr.PC) that Swapna Suresh *may* have confessed that the CM and many other big-wigs were part of this crime.

[Atmavik]

Why is Maharashtra CM Thackeray stumbling from one crisis to another?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KQrrqDm ... EGqi9kC4dS

looks like udhav ji starts work post noon. sends invitations thru post.

[chetak]

link

I am surprised this ex-economic advisor of this modi govt.is showing solidarity with the V-dem-report douche Pratap Bhanu. Pratap Bhanu's superpower is to talk for hours without saying anything useful, and I say that having subjected myself to multiple "political science courses" taught by him in shady think tanks with lighthouse emblems in Bangalore. His Oxford Univ. book on Indian economics and politicals science is worth its weight as good recycling material -- a more vacuous book would be hard to find.

what does one make of this tweet by the owner of brown university

is it a tweet by a twat or by a twit

[KLNMurthy]

1. A lot of parameters in the article reference the 98-99 period of uncertainty, but the score is missing for that period ( we have scores for 1952, 1976, 2018, 2019). if that can be added as well (though you do make the reference to the number in the paragraph concerning it).

2. Why was 2018 selected? was it to show a contrast in numbers for the preceding year of the general election with 2019? and for the same thing why not display 2014/2015 instead of 2018?

The article was way too long and some stuff was trimmed at editorial review. 96-99 is notable because the data argues that the most politically chaotic period of Indian democratic history was in fact the best point of liberal democratic history in India. This is like telling Russians that the 1990s were the most stable time of their lives.

Almost all major indices dramatically drop in 2018 and particularly 2019. In several categories, Indian data drops below Romania during Ceaucescu or even Nazi Germany in the early 1940s , starting 2018... for no particular reason.

Rather than offering feedback on improving an already published article, it's better if DS/ML/AI folks take the time to look at the data themselves for more tidbits. Rather too late to incorporate any feedback right now, folks.

Your parallel with 1998-99 India and Yeltsin's Russia wrt stabiity vs. 'democracy' opens up an interesting line of thought:

Remember that the drunkard Yeltsin who essentially handed over Russia to a coalition of native oligarchs and Western predators (like Jeff Sachs et al) was actually hailed for a long time as a hero of democracy (riding on a tank to stop a coup against Gorbachev or something-something). There was, IIRC, hardly any criticism of Russia on democracy / HR grounds, until it became completely untenable to totally ignore the misery Yeltsin brought to the Russian people.

Now we have your observation about the parallel with india of the chaotic '98-'99 period and how that emerges in this 'study' as peak-democracy.

What if this is not a coincidence (or even a conspiracy as some of us might like to suggest) but actually something structural?

Namely, the Western intellectual world sincerely believes that a non-Western country (be it Russia or India) is only "democratic", "good" and so on, if there are no political inhibitions to that country being exploited by predatory Western capitalism in collaboration with native comprador gangsters, while at the same time ceding the role of moral arbiter to those same Western intellectuals.

(This is not new for the West. Writer Michael Lind in a recent article dates back this 'moral arbiter" drive to at least as far back as Woodrow Wilson, and characterizes it as a kind of secular version of protestant evangelism.)

Come to think of it, this is not a particularly new insight. Back in the days of Indira Gandhi, when the communists ruled by proxy, they would make exactly this point when invalidating Western criticism of India, and Indira would routinely use this as a cudgel against domestic and foreign critics. (Nowadays, the communists are against Modi, so they are using the same Western criticism--which hasn't changed--as a cudgel against Modi; that sort of temporizing-improvising is also standard communist practice)

This structural, inherently colonialist definition of democracy seems pretty consistent. The case of Evo Morales of Bolivia comes to mind. As also Venezuela's Chavez and Maduro--I suspect that the corruption and incompetence would have been common to both the chavista regime as well as any U of chicago regime before; the Western hostility and aggression is reserved for the chavistas.

Coming to Modi, you noted in your first Swarajya article that he is probably the equivalent of a Christian Democrat. I have sort of been claiming that he is actually Congress in terms of professed economically progressive aspirations for the Indian masses, and not-Congress in that he actually got those progressive aspirations realized in an incredibly (only incredible in comparison with Congress who just didn't do any of it for a very long time) short time.

Modi's real threat to the world power structure is not his so-called autocratic tendencies; it is that he is actually getting economic progressivism and populism (in a positive sense) done. The Indian ethos has been his lever in getting this done with a minimum of political and social costs.

If the Western masses had eyes to see, they would be looking at India, and demanding that their political leaders and plutocrats run their own society like India is running its own. Therefore, it's super-critical for them to keep their peoples' eyes as closed as possible for the longest possible time.

[KLNMurthy]

...
what does one make of this tweet by the owner of brown university

is it a tweet by a twat or by a twit
...

Pratap Bhanu Mehta has shown how to operationalize and weaponize "award wapasi" with zero cost.

India needs a Defense Against the Dark Arts department.

[vijayk]

https://twitter.com/keshyperion/status/ ... 9375139841

Keshav Kandhadai @keshyperion
My wife passed her ACS final exam this February and has some courses to attend in order to get her certificate as a Company Secretary. One of the programmes she has to attend is called the "Executive Development Programme" (EDP)

Keshav Kandhadai
One of her sessions today, on Day 2 of her EDP was a session on Communications Training. Ideally, a session where someone comes over to the institute to talk about Communication Skills.

Keshav Kandhadai @keshyperion

The following were the topics discussed in class by the Communication Skills Trainer whose purpose was to talk about improving communication skills:
1. How the sole purpose Manu Smriti written by "bloody Manu" is to disrespect women
2. How the institution of marriage was built to suppress women
3. Men are the root cause of all evil in the world
4. Women have no say whatsoever in getting married and no say after they get married
5. Every woman should only live for herself and not care about anyone else


Keshav Kandhadai
@keshyperion

Aside from the fact that the woman was speaking religion and instigating young minds in a professional setting, how does any of the above pertain to "Communication Skills". Why can't people do the job they are paid for and retain their self-respect?

[chetak]

are these people fully free or only partly free or completely lobotomized

cannot manage covid vaccinations and yet people like them curse India

Since the pandemic Hindu nationalist, electoral autocracy India has done a better job fighting both virus & the source of the virus than liberal democracies of the west.

via@Abhina_Prakash

[OmkarC]

Last I've heard from friends in Hyd, the Hindu community in Bhainsa has taken a formal resolution to boycott buying all goods and services from the peaceful community.

Got some news videos showing Police blocking roads and stopping any cars going towards Nanded to prevent them from going to Nirmal or Bhainsa. People are confronting police, openly screaming at them "razakars" for becoming MIM stooges and "napunsak" for failing to protect Hindus. Tense situation, which can explode when Hindus lose patience.

This is just noise compared to what they have been doing systematically over several years.. This salami slicing style demographic invasion just cant be controlled by dharnas or protests, but only by govt legislation including deportation and repatriation - ruthlessly. This town is their modus operandi to resettle Rohingyas in vast numbers in any arbitrary part of India, looks like.

[darshan]

This is just noise compared to what they have been doing systematically over several years.. This salami slicing style demographic invasion just cant be controlled by dharnas or protests, but only by govt legislation including deportation and repatriation - ruthlessly. This town is their modus operandi to resettle Rohingyas in vast numbers in any arbitrary part of India, looks like.

+1 and has been true for centuries. All other options are intellectualism and maya. GJ was headed that way and it was pacified by so called disturbed area laws that were never implemented and enforced in good faith. All true except the involvement of government as the government itself has been the main driving force since 1947. No legislation will help here as it will not be enforced.

[darshan]

RJ's walk towards KL.

Rajasthan: Police Book Textbook Board And Publishing House For Terming Islamist Terrorism As A Form Of Islam
https://swarajyamag.com/insta/rajasthan ... m-of-islam
...
The FIR against the board and Mohseen Rashid Khan, the owner of Sanjeev Passbook Publication was registered on Wednesday (17 March) over a reference to Islamist terrorism in a political science textbook which was published in 2018 under the former BJP government and is no longer in circulation.

A chapter in the textbook, 'Terrorism, Criminalisation of Politics and Corruption', states "Islamist terrorism is a form of Islam". Raising objection to it, muslim community leaders have registered a complaint, reports India Today.
...

[chetak]

what's a "{public} intellectual"

is it something like a {public} toilet, same/similar connotations, or what

[RajD]

As Mani sir describes, it'd have been an absolutely sinister plot if true. The consequences would have been disastrous. Thank god it was averted or misfired somehow.
https://youtu.be/qHqLzN-YQk4

[SRajesh]

https://theprint.in/india/grievous-blow ... ty/625227/
I was wondering why/when/where a new controversy would be created.
Here we go Mehta's resignation has been given all the necessary 'SFDR' tech to drag it until the five state election and ??maybe preparing for 'Boris' visit!!
Expect another rounds chest beating and rhona-dhona quoting Swedish report yada-yada

[Cyrano]

Everyone has a conspiracy theory, and all "experts" expounding on it in various media seem to have no real clue as to who was indeed behind this and what was the objective. This Antilla story has become just click bait at this point.

[chetak]

https://theprint.in/india/grievous-blow ... ty/625227/
I was wondering why/when/where a new controversy would be created.
Here we go Mehta's resignation has been given all the necessary 'SFDR' tech to drag it until the five state election and ??maybe preparing for 'Boris' visit!!
Expect another rounds chest beating and rhona-dhona quoting Swedish report yada-yada

is this creep on congi retainer on what

how the hell did Modi make the mistake of keeping this commie naxal sleezeball on as the RBI governor, when the new govt came in

[chetak]

[chetak]

[chetak]

[chetak]

the beginning of the end game.

foxes will now be hunted

'Antilia extortion' twist: Megha Prasad walks us through the explosive letter written by former Mumbai Police Commissioner Param Bir Singh to Maharashtra CM Uddhav Thackeray making allegations against the Home Minister of Maharashtra.

via@TimesNow





WATCH VIDEO

[chanakya_neeti]

https://theprint.in/india/grievous-blow ... ty/625227/
I was wondering why/when/where a new controversy would be created.
Here we go Mehta's resignation has been given all the necessary 'SFDR' tech to drag it until the five state election and ??maybe preparing for 'Boris' visit!!
Expect another rounds chest beating and rhona-dhona quoting Swedish report yada-yada

is this creep on congi retainer on what

how the hell did Modi make the mistake of keeping this commie naxal sleezeball on as the RBI governor, when the new govt came in

A professor or all these celebrated professors who write in support of PBM but stay silent on Rashmi Samant are a disgrace to the profession. Ack thoo!

[chanakya_neeti]

TIMES NOW (@TimesNow) Tweeted:
#BREAKING | Former Mumbai Police commissioner Param Bir Singh alleges that Maharashtra Home Minister Anil Deshmukh asked Sachin Vaze to collect Rs 100 cr every month.

(File pic) https://t.co/p3mgBITHLt https://twitter.com/TimesNow/status/137 ... 30209?s=20

[chetak]

TIMES NOW (@TimesNow) Tweeted:
#BREAKING | Former Mumbai Police commissioner Param Bir Singh alleges that Maharashtra Home Minister Anil Deshmukh asked Sachin Vaze to collect Rs 100 cr every month.

(File pic) https://t.co/p3mgBITHLt https://twitter.com/TimesNow/status/137 ... 30209?s=20

100 Crore ka dhamaka

tip of the iceberg onlee

standard issue bollywood potboiler: plenty of money, murder, drugs, and sex in an eclectic maratha mard mix

M and A are busy with elections so the sequel will be directed by D with fadnavis as the stunt coordinator

foxes, bandicoots, penguins and rats may be hurt during the making of this movie


इसका दुःख खतम ही नहीं हो रहा है


WATCH VIDEO

[Ambar]

The scale and level of corruption in our country is just staggering ! 100 cr/month from a sub inspector ? Imagine how many such Vazes must be running around the state collecting money, this is on top of what the local babus, SI, constables etc collect from small vendors and local businessmen. When you hear such numbers it becomes clear why some real estate in India costs the same as London or LA.

This is a great opportunity for AS and Fadnavis to go for the kill. If nothing else make so much noise that the MVA govt is on the defense until the next elections. NIA should also open cases on Param Bir Singh so he unlocks more closets where the skeletons are hidden.

[chetak]

The scale and level of corruption in our country is just staggering ! 100 cr/month from a sub inspector ? Imagine how many such Vazes must be running around the state collecting money, this is on top of what the local babus, SI, constables etc collect from small vendors and local businessmen. When you hear such numbers it becomes clear why some real estate in India costs the same as London or LA.

This is a great opportunity for AS and Fadnavis to go for the kill. If nothing else make so much noise that the MVA govt is on the defense until the next elections. NIA should also open cases on Param Bir Singh so he unlocks more closets where the skeletons are hidden.

vaze was touted to be the number 2 in the mumbai polis because of his political connections and reach.

Obviously, the lot of them were being watched closely by dilli

lets wait and see how pappu ties in

many heroes, babooze and hizzonners in the MVA camp would have crapped themselves already, including many darbaari and parivaari "journos"

the MVA are the darlings of the naxal left ecosystem and many "lost" files will be found and reopened.

[Lisa]

Vaze is asked to collect money and cannot collect enough so he goes to threaten someone who does have enough money, possible?

[chetak]

Vaze is asked to collect money and cannot collect enough so he goes to threaten someone who does have enough money, possible?

lisa ji

100 crores per month from dance bars is small pickings in a city like bombay.

there are druggies, real estate guys, transporters, cab owning companies, exporters and importers, etc etc. The list is huge

the MVA have committed political suicide by immolating themselves publicly in this manner.

Everyone knows that the same bombay polis ran without a scandal during fadnavis's time and he was the home minister too.

the sushant singh rajput and disha salian murders were the downfall of these crooks.

The drug and mafia connections were exposed during this time and republic tv was targeted because of the expose. They seem to have revealed less than 10 % of what they knew or what was expressly fed to them

[Ambar]

Vaze is asked to collect money and cannot collect enough so he goes to threaten someone who does have enough money, possible?

Possible but incredibly, unbelievably stupid ! Ambani is one of the richest people in the world. He lives in a 2 billion USD house, flies to most places even within the city and wines and dines with some of the most powerful people in the country. Its not like he is running a small electrical repair shop in Bandra that he can be shaken off for hafta by some sub inspector . Vaze wasn't exactly a rookie, if he's been collecting crores every month for his bosses then he know what kind of targets to go after. It increasingly appears to me that Vaze feared for his life and wanted to get caught so he could expose his masters. Nothing else explains the sloppiness of leaving a car filled with explosives outside Ambani's fortress, and then leaving a long, easy traceable electronic evidence behind him. Looks like poor Mansukh Hiren was collateral damage in this shady game.