
Narayana Rao garu, the issue here is different from rest of the congress culture. In other states there are competing leaders with varying amounts of clout and trying competetively for the goodies. The high command (Gandhi icon) will decide who is best for them. In good olden days of Indira she wanted every one to be just dumb as she is the one who can bring victory to the party. Sonia system is non Indira system. Sonia is dependent severely on the abilities of the local satraps. It is true that local satraps compete.Narayana Rao wrote:How can he ask anything ? He has to beg on is knees before rajamatha and wait for her kindness. Remember how Sheela Dekshith was treated. Congress do not like any leaders other than Sonia family. So Jagan had to be kicked our for daring to ask for something which he thought his right.
In AP there is only one satrap (YSR) and the rest is worse than useless politically. Neither she nor her son has the abilites to even pull off a decent rally there. In such a situation, one will wait and nurture alternative satraps before taking on the main one. He she is going ballistic from the minute YSR died.
what I am saying is so far there is no convincing answer and also we cannot assume that INC is stupid. Daal mai.n kuch kaala hai.
The theory is God will be angry again and this time against the centre and hence Jagan is being sidelined. (The illogical/bizzare CTs)The popular and immediately reason (illogical but faith based) for YSR’s death is his supposed attempt to give part of Turumala hills to Church and organizing conversion activities on the 7 hills. It is believed that the God was angry and for that reason YSR is killed.
What I am saying is even with Sonia's grace they cannot even win a seat. See the case of longest serving PCC chief D.Srinivas since YSR took over. He lost two times consecutively.This Anti YSR group in congress is all the old leaders totally dependant on Sonia’s good grace. As Muppallaji says none of them can win a seat on their own.
This is a fundamental problem inside Kammas with respect to specifically Chandrababu Naidu that has led to this situation of emergence (still emerging ?) of Kamma leadership inside INC which never existed before. Per some unwritten good old days history when the Nayakas (the warrior class of Telugus) divided into Kammas, kapus, Velemas etc., there was a nomadic group that decended from Multan, Punjab into the coastal areas of Krishna, Godavari and Guntur districts. The Kamma-Nayaks(Naidus) merged with the Mulatnis (let us call Multani-Kammas) via marriage. However, though they do biz they still kept a distinct difference when it comes to power projection. This Multani-Kammas are menacing and cut throat in terms of enterprenuership of power projection. As long as NTR was there there was no problem but they do not like CBN. This is when Guntur and Vijayawada started firmly moving to Congress from a non-penetratable TDP bastons.One more wild card that was thrown in the game is Purandareswari (NTR’s daughter who is now in Congress) She belong to another powerful caste (kamma) while Jagan is a Reddy based person. She has now come out openly against Jagan. I am sure this was done with full blessings of the Sonia. Entire northern costal MP seats are now held the Kamma caste people. The rumor in Hyderabad is Kamma business man and industrialists are now being provided all the help and all their files are processed fast etc.
In fact the rumor is Ramoji Rao (another Multani - funny to say that way:) ) wanted to create an alternative Kamma party as he does not trust CBN. In that persuit Loksatta with Jayaprakash was encouraged by Ramoji. Jayaprakash was supposed to be married to one of several daughters of NTR but did not materialize.
If there was a real inheritor from NTR clan instead of CBN, it would have been possible to see all these Lagadapati Rajagopal etc. in TDP rather than in INC. We may see a movement from INC to TDP before elections.
However, there is a realization that this split is no more good and are converging to bring back TDP.
This is the interesting part. GMR (Vaisya/bania) being touted as next Tirumala chairman comes from this angle as well. Rossiah is trying to be a leader of Vaisya community and it is rumored that he is passing several details of the cases etc. to CBN for the purposes of keeping the check on Jagan. But see Kammas consider TDP as their party and the commoners next time will not vote to Kavuri Sambasiva Rao or Purandareswari. They would like bring TDP back and get out of this unruly mess.In AP Vaisya (Rosayya is a Vaisya ) and Kamma communities have business close relationship since long. So a powerful Vaisya and Kamma business lobby may be or already formed in the state behind INC central leadership.
By the way the Telangana formation delay after declaration is not because of some great people' movement. Who cares people anyway. It was a threat by this combo (GMR types + Coastal Kamma biz folks) that made the rollback of Telangana.
This is not going to change the equations. These are just several options that are being tried to stop folks joining Jagan.The INC central leadership is using Chiranjeevi, TRS, and Telangana congress leaders, so called seniors in the congress to attack Jagan. All the mining licenses etc to his family and people are being either under review or already withdrawn. The rumor is state party will be cleaned of YSR influence after September 2010.