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Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:16
by AkshaySG
Sumeet wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:12
Also, what happened in Rajasthan in 6 months period ?
CM selection not well received, Seat selection even less well received, Rajputs angry about a few things...
Vasundhara Raje probably holding back her supporters from campaigning for BJP
Honestly Raj assembly win was more of a surprise than today's results, Gehlot has built up a good base then and BJP lacks any dynamic face to build itself with
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:16
by Mort Walker
SRajesh wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:14
My nightmares are back!!
Imagine a tight finish
268 NDA
249 INDI
It will be a repeat India Shining and all that achieved in 10yrs will be washed away in a jiffy
Bombs will start going off and Salami slicing will start
That's truly worrying.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:16
by Shaktimaan
I had said on this forum a few days ago, NDA is in trouble in Maharashtra. This same trouble will also continue for Maharashtra state elections and Mumbai municipal elections. These huge cash cows will go to INDIA and boost their coffers for upcoming elections.
The trouble is the 4D chess master stroke of breaking SS and NCP parties and picking up whoever wanted to become a turncoat. This has severely demoralised the hardcore BJP cadre who worked tirelessly for decades, and the Marathi middle class who does not want many of the turncoats to be part of BJP. Meanwhile the peaceful crowd has completely consolidated behind INDIA.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:17
by vimal
Smriti Irani is almost 40,000 votes behind.
Rahul Gandhi leading in Rae Bareilly
UP is kaput
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:17
by bala
Vayutuvan wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:15
I am giving up on TN for the next 15 years.
Can't understand the clean sweep of the Dravida MK party in TN - bloody shameful for Hindus to support a party opposed to Sanatan Dharma.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:19
by Amber G.
At around 11AM
* BJP leading in 236 (not 272 on its own)
* Congress leading in 99 seats.
* NDA at 290
* INDIA at 232
Will TDP & JDU have enhanced bargaining power if trends hold?
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:19
by Cain Marko
Cyrano wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:07
Cain Marko wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 10:42
Let's not conflate Dharma with modi.
NaMo is the best bet we have currently to protect dharma in the (geo)political sphere. What is there to conflate or confuse?
Namo? I think not. Gadkari would be better.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:19
by Vayutuvan
bala wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:17
Can't understand the clean sweep of the Dravida MK party in TN - bloody shameful for Hindus to support a party opposed to Sanatan Dharma.
They will be eradicated like Dengue and ...
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:19
by AkshaySG
ECI reporting leads on all 543 seats now.
https://results.eci.gov.in/PcResultGenJ ... /index.htm
BJP at 238.Congress close to 100, SP 35 and TMC 29 DMK 21
Cong allies have done pretty well and the death of regional parties expected post exit poll seems to be nowhere
It seems we are back to the 90s and 00s days of kingmaker parties and holding parliament hostage for cabinet posts
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:20
by Primus
Truly people deserve the government they get! Imagine Smriti Irani losing after working so hard for all these years!
My own, perhaps poorly informed opinion says that it is Hubris that did us in.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:21
by Vayutuvan
Amber G. wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:19
Will TDP & JDU have enhanced bargaining power if trends hold?
@Amber G. ji, it is a rhetorical question, I presume.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:21
by vera_k
Cain Marko wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:19
Namo? I think not. Gadkari would be better.
You're may get your wish still. This is an outcome that would be acceptable to a lot of parties.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:22
by Vayutuvan
Primus wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:20
My own, perhaps poorly informed opinion says that it is Hubris that did us in.
Hubris and laziness, I think.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:22
by Cain Marko
Primus wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:20
My own, perhaps poorly informed opinion says that it is Hubris that did us in.
It's not poorly informed. The swollen head always deflates.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:23
by vimal
I have heard Hindus openly say that they voted against BJP because they had become too arrogant. Never heard such thing from any peaceful.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:23
by Sachin
Actually it is KA BJP, Bihar and AP which is helping BJP survive this time. This would be a compromise government, which may not even last the full 5 terms.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:25
by AkshaySG
The only thing still giving some hope is that the vote share for BJP is still around 39.4% and higher than last time so one would assume that as more votes come in some of the close races start turning to BJP
However that doesn't necessarily translate to seats especially if opposition is able to thread the needle in key UP/MH seats
SP in particular has lots of leads in the 2k-15k margin
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:26
by Sumeet
Shaktimaan wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:16
I had said on this forum a few days ago, NDA is in trouble in Maharashtra. This same trouble will also continue for Maharashtra state elections and Mumbai municipal elections. These huge cash cows will go to INDIA and boost their coffers for upcoming elections.
The trouble is the 4D chess master stroke of breaking SS and NCP parties and picking up whoever wanted to become a turncoat. This has severely demoralised the hardcore BJP cadre who worked tirelessly for decades, and the Marathi middle class who does not want many of the turncoats to be part of BJP. Meanwhile the peaceful crowd has completely consolidated behind INDIA.
Yes that was very dumb. When we have real enemies of dharma and bharat civilization I cannot understand why BJP had to artificially create more. Next couple of decades were to consolidate what you have and build on it further keeping North India in your grip and extend into southern states.
Maharastra and UP will cost very much this time. There is a simple principle you don't experiment with or try to fix what is already working for you.
I think in UP people didn't come out to vote enmass out of laziness or thinking that BJP will win
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:27
by kvraghav
Modi should have guessed that people want freebies. The women voters voted more than men and looks like intention was only the 8500 per month. May be reduce the PLI kitty and distribute 4000 per month to the ladies. They did not learn anything from Karnataka and Telangana elections. people need free money. We should distribute it till the country fails.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:27
by Amber G.
<deleted dup>
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:28
by SRajesh
Cain Marcoji
Wonder this is the plan to push NaMo out at any cost
BIF's/Locals/Jihadi all combine to move him out
I worry about the consensus candidate
Turd kept repeating this again and again during the Exit poll results
Gadkari as a consensus candidate
Is this the ultimate goal ??
Closer to Nagpur/ amicable relationships will all and sundry
Weaker at National and International level
Regional Satraps ruling the roost??
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:29
by Hriday
Is there a hope that the leads of INDI alliance is small and NDA overtake at last phases of counting? I don't remember when the clear trends become apparent in earlier elections. Hopefully the below comment becomes true. People in this forum may know the guy below..
https://x.com/daeroplate_v2/status/1797 ... 8T8yA&s=19
Back in 2014 until atleast mid afternoon was no clear trend in favour of bjp let alone a wave. Things were neck and neck and TV panelists were smug about it. Strong trends emerged later and a landslide only evening.
So whatever happens good or bad - no need to panic AM tmrw
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:29
by Cain Marko
The Muslims and backwards classes were terrified and probably came out in droves. Hindus were under the impression that 400 paar means easy victory and yugapurush modi can't do wrong.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:30
by Sumeet
Just curious does anyone know what is the lead of PM Modi in Varanasi ?
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:31
by Aditya_V
We may not like it, but freebies and reservation for underserving has a huge charm. PM Modi lead in Varanasi is about 50000 votes
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:32
by AkshaySG
NDA has been hoveeing around 290 for the past hour or so, INDI at 225-230
Need at least a 30 seat swing in those numbers for BJP to really be able to stay in control and continue current progress
Any less and they are dependent on both Nitish and CB to stick around which will be next to impossible
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:32
by m_saini
Sumeet wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:30
Just curious does anyone know what is the lead of PM Modi in Varanasi ?
https://results.eci.gov.in/PcResultGenJ ... -S2477.htm
60k
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:32
by Sumeet
Cain Marko wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:29
The Muslims and backwards classes were terrified and probably came out in droves. Hindus were under the impression that 400 paar means easy victory and yugapurush modi can't do wrong.
I agreed if he hadn't asked for 400 paar he might have gotten it as well for NDA.
And second thing if he had kept bharatiya family united in Maharastra.
I don't have any explanation for UP though.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:32
by Mukhi
Counting has not crossed half way. Just hang in.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:33
by Cain Marko
SRajesh wrote: ↑04 Jun 2024 11:28
Cain Marcoji
Wonder this is the plan to push NaMo out at any cost
BIF's/Locals/Jihadi all combine to move him out
I worry about the consensus candidate
Turd kept repeating this again and again during the Exit poll results
Gadkari as a consensus candidate
Is this the ultimate goal ??
Closer to Nagpur/ amicable relationships will all and sundry
Weaker at National and International level
Regional Satraps ruling the roost??
I think India will remain strong at national and international level. One thing modi did good was to develop able stalwarts who can hold their own. I don't think India will list that edge now. Those days are gone. Multipolar it will remain.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:33
by AshishA
BJP in lead in 18 seats in Odisha. Will form govt too. Up from 8 seats.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:33
by Sumeet
Thanks, what was the number in 2019. It will be interesting to compare.
I think in UP 400 paar and voter laziness has done BJP.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:34
by manish singh
BJP netas put very little effort on the ground for Lok Sabha elections. Here in Uttarakhand, although all seats are going to BJP, there was zero election campaigning, at least in Haridwar and Dehradun. BJP netas think they will win simply due to Modi name. And whatever election funds they collect through customary extortion (which any party does), is simply used to fill their own pockets instead of spending it on campaigning.
Contrast this with Vidhan Sabha elections, where candidates put in a lot of fight and it really felt like election season with heavy campaigning.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:35
by Avinandan
Dilbu ji , we need you urgently !!!
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:38
by hanumadu
There is a very good possibility I.N.D.I alliance will win this election. Only about 10-15% votes are counted and NDA is trending lower and lower.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:39
by hanumadu
BJP is also trending lower and lower.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:40
by SandeepA
Throwing in my dhoti guys..with it goes UCC, PoK and a lot more! It was a great 10years since 2014..we wont see those days again for a long long time. I always thought Modi was the Hemu of modern India and he did a lot better!
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:41
by Primus
No, I think BJP just trended up a little on EC site. Numbers still at 239 for BJP, 96 for Cong.
Faith and prayers guys, faith and prayers
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:42
by Aditya_V
BJP as per ECI website now is 240, yes if TDP and JDS switch sides I.ND.I Alliance can form the Government
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 04 Jun 2024 11:42
by vnms
Apparently , SP is leading Ayodhya!!!
