About Iran: the ceasefire is likely temporary. How temporary depends on how badly Iran uranium enrichment capabilities are degraded. It also depends on political factors in the US and Israel.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Jul 2025 05:42
by Vayutuvan
A_Gupta wrote: ↑30 Jun 2025 04:55
Surely we can find the Congress election manifesto which has this?
Yes, correct. I saw the story in India Today when PV saab was forced to open up India, IIRC. I cross checked with people who would have been in the know.
One thing I am sure of now is that there was a story in one of the very popular news magazines and my vague memory is that it was it was India Today. When did Illustrated Weekly stop publishing? It could have been that too.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Jul 2025 05:45
by Vayutuvan
A_Gupta wrote: ↑30 Jun 2025 05:01
About Iran: the ceasefire is likely temporary. How temporary depends on how badly Iran uranium enrichment capabilities are degraded. It also depends on political factors in the US and Israel.
Vacuously true.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Jul 2025 05:48
by Vayutuvan
SRajesh wrote: ↑26 Jun 2025 17:14
Vayutuvanji
Did not Sam Pitgaya use Unkil's old equipment and remodel as CDOT and make money in the interim!!
Also Pitgaya has been involved in many guplas noo!
That came later. AFAIK, he put together a capable group who did develop the switch from ground up. I know a few. They are no slouches. He is lot more technical than NRN sir. NRN's only innovation is 24x7 development model and slave driving. Pitroda is somewhat similar to APJ Abdul Kalam ji.
Welp, things just keep sliding. Iran officially suspended cooperation with the IAEA after the recent Israeli and U.S. strikes — and now Grossi (IAEA chief) might get banned from even entering the country. His request to visit bombed nuclear sites? Flat-out rejected.
What’s wild is how much easier it became for hardliners to take the wheel after Trump pulled out of the JCPOA. That move totally sidelined the moderates — now it’s mostly the more radical voices calling the shots in Tehran. Any chance of balanced diplomacy got shoved to the back of the shelf (if it was still there).
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 03 Jul 2025 01:18
by Vayutuvan
As long as Iran does not believe in the right of Israel to exist, no amount diplomacy (isn't all diplomacy balanced by definition?! ) will work. They will string the world along till they get nucs. Now is as good time as any to have called their double game and bluff. It is a tad too late in fact. That should have been done before giving them pallets of cash.
Most recently, the United States-Israeli attacks on Iran demonstrated not just new strategies of drone deployment and infiltration but also new vulnerabilities. During the 12-day conflict, Iran and vessels in the waters of the Gulf experienced repeated disruptions of GPS signal.
“At times, disruptions are created on this [GPS] system by internal systems, and this very issue has pushed us toward alternative options like BeiDou,” Ehsan Chitsaz, deputy communications minister, told Iranian media in mid-July. He added that the government was developing a plan to switch transportation, agriculture and the internet from GPS to BeiDou.
Iran’s decision to explore adopting China’s navigation satellite system may appear at first glance to be merely a tactical manoeuvre. Yet, its implications are far more profound. This move is yet another indication of a major global realignment.
For decades, the West, and the US in particular, have dominated the world’s technological infrastructure from computer operating systems and the internet to telecommunications and satellite networks.
This has left much of the world dependent on an infrastructure it cannot match or challenge. This dependency can easily become vulnerability. Since 2013, whistleblowers and media investigations have revealed how various Western technologies and schemes have enabled illicit surveillance and data gathering on a global scale – something that has worried governments around the world.
Iran’s possible shift to BeiDou sends a clear message to other nations grappling with the delicate balance between technological convenience and strategic self-defence: The era of blind, naive dependence on US-controlled infrastructure is rapidly coming to an end. Nations can no longer afford to have their military capabilities and vital digital sovereignty tied to the satellite grid of a superpower they cannot trust.
This sentiment is one of the driving forces behind the creation of national or regional satellite navigation systems, from Europe’s Galileo to Russia’s GLONASS, each vying for a share of the global positioning market and offering a perceived guarantee of sovereign control.
GPS was not the only vulnerability Iran encountered during the US-Israeli attacks. The Israeli army was able to assassinate a number of nuclear scientists and senior commanders in the Iranian security and military forces. The fact that Israel was able to obtain their exact locations raised fears that it was able to infiltrate telecommunications and trace people via their phones.
On June 17 as the conflict was still raging, the Iranian authorities urged the Iranian people to stop using the messaging app WhatsApp and delete it from their phones, saying it was gathering user information to send to Israel. Whether this appeal was linked to the assassinations of the senior officials is unclear, but Iranian mistrust of the app run by US-based corporation Meta is not without merit.
Cybersecurity experts have long been sceptical about the security of the app. Recently, media reports have revealed that the artificial intelligence software Israel uses to target Palestinians in Gaza is reportedly fed data from social media. Furthermore, shortly after the end of the attacks on Iran, the US House of Representatives moved to ban WhatsApp from official devices.
For Iran and other countries around the world, the implications are clear: Western platforms can no longer be trusted as mere conduits for communication; they are now seen as tools in a broader digital intelligence war.
Tehran has already been developing its own intranet system, the National Information Network, which gives more control over internet use to state authorities. Moving forward, Iran will likely expand this process and possibly try to emulate China’s Great Firewall.
By seeking to break with Western-dominated infrastructure, Tehran is definitively aligning itself with a growing sphere of influence that fundamentally challenges Western dominance. This partnership transcends simple transactional exchanges as China offers Iran tools essential for genuine digital and strategic independence.
As long as the Bayt remains intact, meaningful political
transformation inside Iran is unlikely. The idea that Khamenei’s
reduced public and political visibility has created a power vacuum
risks misreading the regime’s internal architecture. Instead,
policymakers must recognize the Bayt as the enduring nerve
center of Iran’s theo-military state, an institution capable of
outlasting its founder and ensuring continuity of the Islamic
Republic’s confrontational posture toward the United States and its
regional adversaries. For any meaningful change to occur in the
Islamic Republic—including regime change—the Bayt and its
extensive apparatus must be significantly weakened through a
combination of sanctions, cyber operations, and military measures.
Until this takes place, the supreme leader’s iron grip over the
regime will endure, regardless of Khamenei’s disappearances.
“Where is the Supreme Leader?” This question has been repeatedly raised in the context of escalating tensions and the prospect of a direct military confrontation between Iran and the United States. In recent months, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the 86-year-old head of state, has appeared in public far less frequently, and reports suggesting that he may be operating from secure underground locations have intensified speculation.
Some observers in the West interpret this reduced visibility as evidence of fear, vulnerability, or even a potential leadership vacuum, especially given his traditionally hands-on authoritarian style. However, the situation is more complex. As this paper argues, the Supreme Leader’s physical absence from the public sphere should not be equated with declining authority. Rather, his power continues to function through an extensive network of loyal institutions and intermediaries that operate largely behind closed doors, allowing him to maintain and even consolidate control over the regime’s core security and political structures despite heightened external threats.
Drawing on original and primary Persian-language sources, including material obtained from within the regime, this research by United Against Nuclear Iran offers the first comprehensive English-language study of the Bayt (Office of the Supreme Leader), one of the most powerful and least understood institutions in the Islamic Republic
What has become the most powerful political entity in the Islamic
Republic has its roots in Shia Islam’s convention surrounding the
Bayt-e Ulema (House of Religious Scholars).
Based on Shia doctrine, every lay Shia Muslim is required to follow
the guidance of a mojtahed for everyday life matters. A mojtahed is a
senior cleric with the rank of ayatollah who possesses the ability and
religious authority to conduct ijtihad—the doctrine of interpreting
religious texts, including the Quran—and make prescriptions based
on that interpretation. Once a mojtahed becomes popular and
develops a following, they earn the title of marja-e taqhlid (“source of
emulation”) and at this point they establish their own office, or bayt.
By convention, the marja’s sons and sometimes sons-in-law, or
aghazadehs (“noble born”), are assigned to help manage their
father’s office, including overseeing its day-to-day operations,
collecting religious taxes, and conveying their father’s responses to
his followers’ questions. This role places the aghazadehs in a unique
position of authority over their father’s matters—something that is
reflected in the supreme leader’s Bayt today. However, while all
marjas had their own bayt before 1979, this office was exclusively
restricted to religious affairs.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 20:05
by A_Gupta
From the media reports of the streets of Iran, it does not look like regime change is coming any time soon.
Perhaps the regime might not survive an economic collapse?
So, keeping an eye on this:
$1 USD = 1,313,863 IRR as of Feb 27.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 20:24
by A_Gupta
This is how I put it:
Ayatollahji was a person of religious and spiritual significance to a lot of compatriots - in that role of his, I regret his death.
Ayatollah was an oppressive dictator, giving the Iranians no freedom, and supporting terrorism and proxy wars across Western Asia. In that role, I have no regrets for his loss.
Ayatollah was in the middle of negotiations, and in the middle of that he was attacked and killed. In that aspect, I condemn the killing.
Added: Ayatollah definitely violated that often quoted fig leaf precept of Islam - "there is no compulsion in religion". Contemporary Iran is an example of a lot of compulsion in religion.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 20:35
by uddu
A_Gupta wrote: ↑01 Mar 2026 20:24
This is how I put it:
Ayatollahji was a person of religious and spiritual significance to a lot of compatriots - in that role of his, I regret his death.
Ayatollah was an oppressive dictator, giving the Iranians no freedom, and supporting terrorism and proxy wars across Western Asia. In that role, I have no regrets for his loss.
Ayatollah was in the middle of negotiations, and in the middle of that he was attacked and killed. In that aspect, I condemn the killing.
Added: Ayatollah definitely violated that often quoted fig leaf precept of Islam - "there is no compulsion in religion". Contemporary Iran is an example of a lot of compulsion in religion.
https://x.com/UnSubtleDesi/status/2028032672183046482
@UnSubtleDesi
Khomeini was anti-Hindu and it’s a moment of schadenfreude that he’s dead. Good riddance. But Iran has been a better friend to India than USA will ever be. USA is simply never going to be a reliable friend, ever. Indians should remember this.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 20:36
by uddu
https://x.com/ARanganathan72/status/2027987095181266997
@ARanganathan72
This is not Iran, this is India. These are not Iranians, these are Indians. They never marched for Kashmiri Hindus, their own brothers, but here they are, marching at the death of a man who sponsored terror, killed thousands of his own people, and called India an oppressor.
I say it as an Iranian New Yorker: You are a human garbage.
When our people were getting slaughtered and hunted like animals by the Islamic Republic terrorists, you stayed silent. You didn't say a word. Now that the regime, the murderers of our people are under attack, you came out of the woodwork to defend them.
You are an Islamist human garbage and I fight your agenda as long as I breathe.
https://x.com/NYCMayor/status/2027799160574120418
@NYCMayor
Today’s military strikes on Iran — carried out by the United States and Israel — mark a catastrophic escalation in an illegal war of aggression. Bombing cities. Killing civilians. Opening a new theater of war. Americans do not want this. They do not want another war in pursuit of regime change. They want relief from the affordability crisis. They want peace.
I am focused on making sure that every New Yorker is safe. I have been in contact with our Police Commissioner and emergency management officials. We are taking proactive steps, including increasing coordination across agencies and enhancing patrols of sensitive locations out of an abundance of caution.
Additionally, I want to speak directly to Iranian New Yorkers: you are part of the fabric of this city — you are our neighbors, small business owners, students, artists, workers, and community leaders. You will be safe here.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 20:47
by uddu
https://x.com/i/status/2028003036090798182
@MajorPoonia
While Iranian women dance in streets, burn hijabs & celebrate the end of Khamenei’s tyrannical rule that stole their liberty
but so-called liberal & alleged journalist Arfa of India is mourning him… so strange !
The 7000 year old civilization of Persia was doomed the moment that Islam ravaged it. The history of Iran after Islamic conquest was a bloody saga of murderous genocide, oppression, misery and massacre. Every vestige of Persia's original culture was forcibly erased by the sword to ensure Islam's domination
When the Muslim army first saw the vast library of Ctesiphon, the commander Saad ibn-e Abi Vaghas, asked Caliph Omar what to do with the books. Omar’s reply sealed the fate of Persian knowledge: “If the books contradict the Koran, they are blasphemous and if they are in agreement with the Koran, then they are not needed, as for us only Koran is sufficient.” With that, the huge library was destroyed and knowledge systems of generations of Persian scholars were burnt to ashes or thrown into the Euphrates. Millennia of science, philosophy, medicine, poetry and literature were erased in the pillage. Irreplaceable libraries of Khwarezmia, Ray, Khorassan & many others were burned to the ground, world famous universities like Gondishapour were decimated, and scholars butchered like flies. A civilization that once rivaled Greece and India in learning had its soul ripped out by a swarm of fanatic beasts.
Genocidal massacres became state policy. Entire cities were wiped out, captives hanged by the millions, women and children sold in slave markets, and Zoroastrians taxed into submission under the jizya system. Those who converted weren’t welcomed - the Muslims branded them as Mawali, “freed slaves,” barred from all dignity or rights. The Persians were called Ajam, “mute” in a horrifying testimony to their complete powerlessness and erasure of their language, identity, and existence. By the order of Yazid ibn-e Mohalleb in Gorgan so many Persians were beheaded that their blood mixed with water would power the millstone to produce as much as one day's meal for him.
One Umayyad Caliph even stated, “Milk the Persians, and when the milk runs dry, suck their blood.” This was not a clash of empires - it was a scorched-earth murderous crusade to crush an ancient civilization and rewrite history under the banner of Muslim victory. Persia wasn’t just conquered. It was gagged, gutted, and ground into the desert. And the smoke that rose from its burning books marked the silence that has lasted for centuries even till today.
The Iranian people deserve freedom from the Ayatollahs of the Islamic regime.
The original Persia deserves to live again.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 20:56
by gakakkad
x post from yehuda-hanooda relations thread
I see a fringe section of right wing Indian Twitter not particularly happy about the Ayatollah pig meeting his 72 . Thats based on misconceptions. Some of those people are russophiles and somehow believe Russia and Iran are close . Also the misconception stems from some remote minor collaborations Iranian forces may have had with raw against Sunni terrorists . Also the port . There may be a section in government who has some relations to India .
Ayatollah was a classic piglet . He had no love lost for yindoos or bharat . Irgc tried bombing Israeli embassy in Delhi . Further Hamid ansari was their mole who passed along stage secrets to them when he was the veep.
The only reason we don't have shia terrorism in India is because Shia in India are wealthier compared to Sunni and many run businesses . You won't get local support when the local population is relatively well off. Further the Shia in India for most part , with exceptions of the fringe in kashmir are fairly moderate or even irreligious token Muslims . I know a dude who is friends with modi , drinks in private and has even been to Israel . Won't name him obviously . Further Iran never had the financial muscle to pull off all that in India. If they could do it believe me they would .
Other thing stems from the fact that that we have leveraged porki pig headedness against Shia to screw them over there and there may have been tacit assistance from Iran. Those connections can be used even now . Further there is an ethnic component to it .
Lastly we did use them to ship weapons to Armenia. Pretty sure that can still be done .
Overall India needs to make sure that it has a stake in whoever forms the new government in Iran . It you aren't at the table you are the menu .
I think a de-islamised Iran that goes pack to its Zoroastrian traditions is in interest of the whole world . Especially that of India .
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 21:12
by Manish_P
A_Gupta wrote: ↑01 Mar 2026 20:24
...
Ayatollahji was a person of religious and spiritual significance to a lot of compatriots - in that role of his, I regret his death.
...
'ji' ?!
Sounds just like Osama ji
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 21:27
by uddu
Khamenei KILLED| Iran’s New Supreme Leader Announced: Ayatollah Arafi Interim Leader After Khamenei A dramatic power transition is unfolding in Tehran after reports of the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Senior cleric Alireza Arafi has been appointed to Iran’s constitutionally mandated temporary leadership council, positioning him at the center of the country’s political future.
Arafi now serves alongside President Masoud Pezeshkian and Judiciary Chief Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei on the interim ruling council responsible for carrying out the Supreme Leader’s duties during the transition period.
Under Iran’s constitutional framework, when a Supreme Leader dies, authority temporarily shifts to a leadership council until the Assembly of Experts selects a permanent successor. With Arafi — a Guardian Council member and longtime establishment insider — stepping into a pivotal jurist role, he has emerged as one of the most powerful figures in Iran at a time of intense regional tension.
As Tehran navigates this high-stakes succession process, the formation of the interim council signals a critical turning point for the Islamic Republic and its future direction.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 21:47
by uddu
Iran Mourns as Thousands Gather in Tehran After Ali Khamenei Killed in Airstrikes Thousands of grieving Iranians gathered in Enghelab Square in Tehran to mourn Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, a day after he was killed in reported US-Israel airstrikes on his compound. Emotional scenes showed men and women praying, waving flags, and openly weeping as images of the late leader were raised above the crowd.
Security forces were deployed across the area as the country entered a period of national mourning. The gathering comes amid continued military escalation, with Israel launching further strikes and US President Donald Trump warning Iran against retaliation.
The developments mark a pivotal moment for Iran’s leadership and the wider Middle East, as uncertainty grows over succession and regional stability.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 21:49
by uddu
Will rip them apart: Iranians mourn Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death Iranians took to the streets of Tehran in immense numbers on Sunday, 1st March, to mourn the death of their Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei. His passing, at the age of 86, was attributed to US-Israel airstrikes, which Iranian state media confirmed had occurred on Saturday, 28th February, pulverising his central Tehran compound. These actions are widely regarded as the most ambitious assault on Iranian targets in decades and transpired after years of diplomatic attempts to resolve the dispute over Iran's nuclear programme had ultimately failed.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 21:49
by uddu
Watch! IDF blasts IRGC centre in Tehran after Supreme Leader Khamenei killed in US-Israel strikes
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 21:56
by uddu
LR-LACM, SLCM, Desi Bombs and Kamikaze drones are missing in Mass manufacturing in India. 1200 Bombs, Tomahawks, Kamikaze UAVs: How US and Israel Struck Iran, Triggered Fattah-2 Missiles |4K
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 01 Mar 2026 22:00
by uddu
US-Iran War: Three Killed, 58 Injured in UAE as Iranian Strikes Hit Gulf Nation | WION BREAKING
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 02 Mar 2026 00:28
by KL Dubey
gakakkad wrote: ↑01 Mar 2026 20:56
....Iran that goes pack to its Zoroastrian traditions is in interest of the whole world . Especially that of India .
It is not clear if the present war effort will succeed in toppling the mullah regime, but in the meanwhile Pahlavi II is making his pitch:
If this is to be believed, only 32% of people actually identify as shia mooners, about 8% as zoroastrian, and a huge 45% without clear identity (atheist/agnostic/no religion/spiritual). Only about 2% identify as crossers.
However, if Iran opens up to the world as a secular state, there will be inevitably the menace of evangelical churches trying to get a new harvest.
A_Gupta wrote: ↑01 Mar 2026 20:24
...
Ayatollahji was a person of religious and spiritual significance to a lot of compatriots - in that role of his, I regret his death.
...
'ji' ?!
Sounds just like Osama ji
Only in his role as a religious/spiritual leader, and the fact that some Indians feel his loss - so for that aspect of this person, I am not gong to be dancing in the streets.
(This in accord with the values in our ancient epics.)
On the eve of the strike on Iran, U.S. officials envisioned a four- to five-day operation that would return a weakened Tehran to the negotiating table. According to one source, an American official conveyed an even more immediate proposal. Through a mediator, apparently Italy, he suggested reaching a ceasefire agreement today or tomorrow. Iran rejected the idea outright.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 02 Mar 2026 07:28
by bala
US claims 9 Navy ships of Iran sunk as attempts are on to open the Hormuz strait
There are 3 iranians in charge of Iran - Ayatollah Alireza Arafi, President Masoud Pezeshkian, Chief Justice Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejie. Iranian Navy headquarters is gone. The strait of hormuz accounts for 20% of global oil flow. IRGC has issued "no ship will be allowed to pass the strait of hormuz".
So far, Iran has sent missiles and drones to cyprus, oman, bahrain, iraq, israel, jordan, kuwait, qatar, KDS, Syria and UAE.
BTW China's HQ-9B is another dud in Iran.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 02 Mar 2026 07:29
by Manish_P
A_Gupta wrote: ↑02 Mar 2026 00:32
Only in his role as a religious/spiritual leader, and the fact that some Indians feel his loss - so for that aspect of this person, I am not gong to be dancing in the streets.
...
I have no regrets for the passing of a dictator of a cult founded by a warlord but I won't dance simply because I can't.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 02 Mar 2026 09:50
by uddu
https://x.com/EGYOSINT/status/2028048002128998764
@EGYOSINT
This is a major escalation. Iran has reportedly launched missiles toward Cyprus, where thousands of British troops are stationed, including personnel at RAF Akrotiri.
The UK Defense Secretary confirmed the attack.
Remember, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) controls a large arsenal of medium-range ballistic missiles, some with ranges of up to 2,000 kilometers, far enough to reach parts of Europe
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 02 Mar 2026 09:51
by uddu
https://x.com/MeghUpdates/status/2028068092660846758
@MeghUpdates
BREAKING | Iran has raised the iconic red flag of revenge over Jamkaran Mosque in Qom — a powerful Shiite symbol of justice, martyrdom, and vowed retaliation — following the confirmed killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in joint US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran.
Iran declares 40 days of national mourning as President Pezeshkian and IRGC leaders pledge fierce revenge.
Regional tensions skyrocket amid fresh strikes and global reactions. The Middle East stands on the brink.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 02 Mar 2026 09:55
by uddu
Trump intends to 'ANIHILATE' Iran's Navy Retired Navy SEAL Mike Sarraille joins 'Fox News Live' to weigh in on the shifting power vacuum in Iran amid a U.S.-Israeli operation that killed top leadership.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 02 Mar 2026 09:57
by uddu
https://x.com/sanjeevsanyal/status/2028093336058540504
@sanjeevsanyal
Feels strange that I was on a sailing ship in this area just a few weeks ago. Indeed, we we sailed through Iranian EEZ waters en route to Oman. Their Revolutionary Guard gun boats tracked us from a distance (but did not impede us in any way). Now, the area is in total chaos.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 02 Mar 2026 09:58
by uddu
https://x.com/ksinamdar/status/2028149831978668151
@ksinamdar
My friend from school was an Irani. His sister travelled to Tehran during Khomeini’s regime. This must be in 1983-84 or around that time. For some reason she raised her burqa and left her face exposed for a very brief period of time. Khomeini’s cultural police threw acid on her face disfiguring her permanently. That was the first time that I heard about an acid attack. The family later changed their surname from Irani to something else and relocated to America.
Read that again. Twenty million barrels of oil pass through that strait every single day. Fifteen percent of all liquefied natural gas on earth transits that chokepoint. One fifth of global petroleum supply moves through a channel 21 miles wide at its narrowest between Iran and Oman. The IRGC Navy broadcast via VHF radio on February 28, 2026 that no vessels are allowed to cross. Every tanker captain in the Persian Gulf heard that transmission. Every oil trading desk on the planet priced it within minutes.
Brent crude hit 120 dollars a barrel intraday. That is the opening number. If a single tanker is struck, seized, or mined, the models go to 200. At 200 dollar oil the global economy does not slow down. It seizes. Every factory in China that runs on imported crude. Every airline that hedged at 85. Every European nation that still has not replaced Russian gas and now faces LNG shortages through a closed strait. Every American who drives to work. The Strait of Hormuz is not an oil route. It is the cardiovascular system of industrial civilization. Iran just announced it is clamping the artery.
Iran has threatened this before. In 2019 it seized tankers. In the 1980s it mined the strait during the Tanker War. It has never declared full closure during an active military conflict with the two most powerful militaries on earth simultaneously striking its territory. This is not posturing from a position of strength. This is the last economic weapon of a regime that has lost its air defenses, lost its generals, possibly lost its Supreme Leader, watched its missiles intercepted over six countries, and has exactly one card left to play: the geographic accident that puts 21 miles of water between the world and its energy supply.
The US Fifth Fleet is headquartered in Bahrain. The USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group holds station in the Gulf of Oman. American destroyers carry enough Tomahawk cruise missiles to sink every IRGC fast boat, submarine, and coastal battery in the Persian Gulf in 48 hours. Iran knows this. The announcement is not a military strategy. It is a suicide note dressed as a threat. Because the moment Iran fires on a tanker, the United States does not negotiate. It executes Operation Praying Mantis at ten times the scale and the IRGC Navy ceases to exist as a functioning force.
Iran is not closing the strait. Iran is daring America to open it by force.
And every oil trader on earth knows how that ends. Not with negotiation. With wreckage on the seafloor and crude flowing by morning.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 02 Mar 2026 10:09
by uddu
https://x.com/JethmalaniM/status/2028118980620398912
@JethmalaniM
One detail from this Iran war should make every serious state sit up: credible reporting says Israeli leaders were shown an image of Khamenei’s body after it was recovered by Mossad agents - and that Israel had visibility on his fate faster than Iran could even confirm the death of it's supreme leader and shape the narrative. That’s not “tech”. That’s HUMINT + penetration.
Satellites don’t tell you who is in which room at what time. Signals don’t always survive encryption and discipline. What wins you wars and prevents surprises is human access so-urces, moles, defectors, recruited assets - the messy, thankless work of being inside the enemy’s bloodstream.
Israel has no luxury of being lazy at intelligence. It sits in a hostile neighbourhood with actors who openly want it erased. So it builds networks that aren’t “near the border.” They’re near the decision-makers. That’s what survival looks like when geography is unforgiving.
Now bring that lens to India. When you live next to Pakistan’s terror ecosystem and a Bangladesh theatre that keeps throwing up radical modules, you don’t get to be sentimental about “soft power” as a substitute for hard intelligence. You need early warning, deep penetration, counter-infiltration, and ruthless disruption - before the plot becomes a headline.
And this is exactly where the armchair moralists fail India. They love questioning operations after the fact. They hate the boring investments before the fact: intel budgets, source protection, language capability, field tradecraft, inter-agency fusion, and the political spine to back covert work without leaking it for TRPs.
Pop culture and superhit movies like Dhurandhar tells the story really well but makes it look stylish - one hero, one mission, one punchline. Real HUMINT though is the opposite: years of patience, ugly risks, zero credit, and often no medal because the best outcome is “nothing happened.”
This is not about chest-thumping. This is about statecraft. The world is moving into an age where wars are decided by who sees first, knows first, and shapes first. Israel gets that. India must get that - permanently. Under Prime Minister Narendra Modi and our intelligence apparatus, NEW INDIA definitely gets it.
Because 'terrorist harbouring neighbours' don’t send calendar invites before they strike. They send handlers, money, propaganda, and sleepers. The only answer is being inside that machinery early enough to break it.
If you want deterrence, stop thinking intelligence is an accessory. It’s the foundation.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 02 Mar 2026 10:09
by uddu
https://x.com/ShivAroor/status/2028279324349284424
@ShivAroor
You’re probably overwhelmed by the flood of battle damage imagery from Iran etc on your timeline, but take a moment to look at this photograph of Iran’s Chabahar Konarak Airport.
Look closely at the holes punched cleanly through the roofs of the 4 hardened aircraft shelters by air-launched precision penetrator weapons.
Four clean holes practically in a straight line.
Notice how there are no chaotic scars of conventional bombing. Each entry point sits with almost elegant, geometric precision, spaced evenly, placed exactly where the structure is most vulnerable.
The air strikes cleanly calibrated to penetrate the reinforced concrete and detonate inside, collapsing the protected space within while leaving the outer structure largely intact.
It’s the visual signature of intelligence-led, precision-guided air warfare, where the goal is to kill the aircraft and infra inside. Just controlled, deliberate punctures that signal more than brute force (there’s plenty of that elsewhere).
The targeting design itself here is the message: your assets are mapped, your protections are understood, and even your most hardened spaces are reachable at will.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Posted: 02 Mar 2026 10:12
by uddu
https://x.com/PoornimaNimo/status/2028113273011527716
@PoornimaNimo
Atefeh Rajabi Sahaaleh, was a 16 year old girl from Neka in Iran's Mazandaran Province. A lovely happy girl enjoying her life.
One day while travelling in a taxi she was arrested by the morality police for not wearing a hijab.
She endured days of torture and rape at the hands of Captains Zabihi and Molai, who later confessed to misconduct amid family complaints and global outrage.
Brought before Judge Haji Reza, stumbling and bleeding from repeated assaults, she begged Judge Reza for justice and punishment of her tormentors.
Instead he passed a sentence for her to be executed for the crime of Adultery and Chastity.(The poor girl was raped and tortured in captivity)
In defiance of her death sentence, she tore off her hijab and threw it at his feet.
On August 15, 2004, she was publicly hanged from a crane in Neka's town square. (The judge himself later admitted to raping and torturing her during interrogations.)
Such was life under Khamenei's rule. #AtefehSahaaleh #IranProtests #WomenLifeFreedom
Women like you should have been sent to Iran when Khameini was alive.