The Iranians are gaming that if they last out a month more, Trump will declare victory, pack up and go home. The biggest losers will be:
GCC - They can’t trust Uncle with security any more. Although on surface nothing will change, expect some more countries to join the SA-Pak coalition, if only for the so called nuclear fig leaf. Although how much that helps is another question…
Ukraine : There will be nothing left to give to Pakraine anymore - neither weapons nor funds, except what European may spare. It is already a rump state, will become even more so.
Iran will redouble its efforts to go nuclear, with Israel periodically bombing or covert action to prevent the same.
Iran News and Discussions
Re: Iran News and Discussions
Iran India Relations / Iran's Point of View in This War
Lt. Gen P R Shankar (retd) has many points on Iran and India relations. Of course Iran's Leadership Shias have not exactly been friendly and have sided with Pak in many issues. However the people of Iran are more in tune with India. Many in Govt have reached out to India and cooperated on things like crude oil sale, India could pay in terms of the rupee. Their foreign minister was in India recently and had cordial talks with the Indian govt. India had decided to shield their ship in India and treat their sailors with good hospitality.
Lt. Gen P R Shankar (retd) has many points on Iran and India relations. Of course Iran's Leadership Shias have not exactly been friendly and have sided with Pak in many issues. However the people of Iran are more in tune with India. Many in Govt have reached out to India and cooperated on things like crude oil sale, India could pay in terms of the rupee. Their foreign minister was in India recently and had cordial talks with the Indian govt. India had decided to shield their ship in India and treat their sailors with good hospitality.
Re: Iran News and Discussions
GCC - has been shown for that they are - the are a bunch of pu..es who cannot do anything with the 100s of billions they spent on their military - defensive weaponry on the cheap by the thousands is the need of the hour for such countries - huge opportunity for India IMO - we might even setup manufacturing units in some GCC countries for Akash etc. as we cannot scale for all the demand!
Re: Iran News and Discussions
How can India have good relations with Iran, when Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khomeini has made so many anti-India remarks with respect to Kashmir?
Well, how can India have good relations with Israel?
As The Hindustan Times reported two years ago:
"Analysis of India's voting patterns on Israel-Palestine issues at the United Nations
While the India-Israel relationship has gone from strength to strength, India’s support of UN resolutions critical of Israel has remained largely unchanged"
https://www.hindustantimes.com/analysis ... opilot.com
or see this answer to a question in the Rajya Sabha:
https://www.mea.gov.in/rajya-sabha.htm? ... E+CONFLICT
The pattern continued into 2025.
IMO, there are symbolic issues and there are issues of substance. Talking Ummah with Pakistan is largely symbolic (though not preventing Hamas from joining terrorist conferences in Pakistan is an issue of substance). Chabahar Port is an issue of substance. UN General Assembly resolutions have little practical effect and are largely symbolic.
IMO, in international relations, if the issues of substance outweigh the issues of symbolism, then perhaps the relations can be good.
Well, how can India have good relations with Israel?
As The Hindustan Times reported two years ago:
"Analysis of India's voting patterns on Israel-Palestine issues at the United Nations
While the India-Israel relationship has gone from strength to strength, India’s support of UN resolutions critical of Israel has remained largely unchanged"
https://www.hindustantimes.com/analysis ... opilot.com
or see this answer to a question in the Rajya Sabha:
https://www.mea.gov.in/rajya-sabha.htm? ... E+CONFLICT
The pattern continued into 2025.
IMO, there are symbolic issues and there are issues of substance. Talking Ummah with Pakistan is largely symbolic (though not preventing Hamas from joining terrorist conferences in Pakistan is an issue of substance). Chabahar Port is an issue of substance. UN General Assembly resolutions have little practical effect and are largely symbolic.
IMO, in international relations, if the issues of substance outweigh the issues of symbolism, then perhaps the relations can be good.