Re: Libya No Fly Zone: Political and strategic aspects
Posted: 07 Apr 2011 22:14
Praanv, What if they are new improved Jihadists?
Consortium of Indian Defence Websites
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I would say that Gaddhafi had mellowed - giving up nukes, sending thousands of Libyan students to the west on scholarships etc. I don't see anything to suggest that he was raring to go on a new and improved Jihad.ramana wrote:Praanv, What if they are new improved Jihadists?
Nothing was forcing him to thousands of students to the west on scholarships, or his sons to do internships on democratization. And no evidence that he wants to be a new and improved Jihadist.ramana wrote:He had no choice after Iraq got Saddamed.
It wasnt any new peaceful urge but deadly fear.
Chinmayanand wrote:US general says stalemate in Libya is more likely now that US has turned control over to NATO
The United States may consider sending troops into Libya with a possible international ground force that could aid the rebels, according to the general who led the military mission until NATO took over.
Army Gen. Carter Ham also told lawmakers Thursday that added American participation would not be ideal, and ground troops could erode the international coalition and make it more difficult to get Arab support for operations in Libya.
Ham said the operation was largely stalemated now and was more likely to remain that way since America has transferred control to NATO.![]()
He said NATO has done an effective job in an increasingly complex combat situation. But he noted that, in a new tactic, Moammar Gadhafi's forces are making airstrikes more difficult by staging military forces and vehicles near civilian areas such as schools and mosques.![]()
The use of an international ground force is a possible plan to bolster rebels fighting forces loyal to the Libyan leader, Ham said at a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing.
Asked if the U.S. would provide troops, Ham said, "I suspect there might be some consideration of that. My personal view at this point would be that that's probably not the ideal circumstance, again for the regional reaction that having American boots on the ground would entail."
President Barack Obama has said repeatedly there will be no U.S. troops on the ground in Libya, although there are reports of small CIA teams in the country.
Ham disclosed that the United States is providing some strike aircraft to the NATO operation that do not need to go through the special approval process recently established. The powerful side-firing AC-130 gunship is available to NATO commanders, he said.
Other strike aircraft, including fighters and the A-10 Thunderbolt, which can provide close air support for ground forces, must be requested through U.S. European Command and approved by top U.S. leaders, including Defence Secretary Robert Gates. Ham said that process is quick, and other defence officials have said it can take about a day for the U.S. to approve the request and move the aircraft in from bases in Europe.
Ham said recent bad weather and threats from Gadhafi's mobile surface-to-air missile systems hampered efforts to use aircraft like the AC-130 and the A-10 to provide close air support for friendly ground forces. He says those conditions contributed to the stalemate.![]()
Since the U.S. handed off the strike mission to NATO, U.S. planes account for only 15 per cent of NATO planes now doing those air attacks, Ham said.
Qaddafi was/is a candidate who is malleable (if not amenable) to a construct/caliphate to prevent breaking down of ME power structures. Hosni Mubarak might have been in the process of discussing these very same aspects with KSA and Jordan prior to being removed, this might also be the reason he has alienated himself from the West. However, there is a possibility that Egypt might still be under discussions with interested parties (Unkil included).abhischekcc wrote:Klaus, some more details
Also the bolded part is the reason why he could be persuaded to come to an agreement and round table talks to keep Turkey and Iran in check, it would be a suitable reward for risk play at work (if he comes out of the current scenario).abhischekcc wrote:Q says about Kashmir - he is simply the lesser evil.
IMO, it would be a far better outcome than the CIA map display of truncated states throughout the ME, which would be one big radical feudal setup.ramana wrote:So it would be opposite of the Wahabis. Interesting. I did read the wiki and the other links. My only question was I thought Fatimds were Shia.
I understand creation of a new version but with a modern name.
The biggest thing is it would restore Egypt to its former high status.
Takes advantage of the high status of Al Azhar.
The Ottomons did take advantage of the system in place with the Fatimids.
What was UK's reaction for they promoted alternate states: KSA, Pakistan for example and their evangelists still preach the Blunt doctrine.
And Israel was most distraught with his ouster.
You see Gaddafi had talked about (somewhere in the hours of rambling) recreating the fatimid state. Therefore Sunni's may have seen him as pro shia. So source speculated that Qatar and UAE were interested in seeing the end of him because of this idea and others of course. But it was to shut down this plan.ramana wrote:So it would be opposite of the Wahabis. Interesting. I did read the wiki and the other links. My only question was I thought Fatimds were Shia.
I understand creation of a new version but with a modern name.
The biggest thing is it would restore Egypt to its former high status.
Takes advantage of the high status of Al Azhar.
The Ottomons did take advantage of the system in place with the Fatimids.
What was UK's reaction for they promoted alternate states: KSA, Pakistan for example and their evangelists still preach the Blunt doctrine.
And Israel was most distraught with his ouster.
and....
“The Shi’ites are North Africa… We will [build] the modern, second Fatimid state, and its identity will be a Fatimid identity. The Arabs and the Berber Arabs will be fused in it, and the parties, the Left and the Right, the extremists, and the proponents of violence will be fused in it. All of them will become a single identity.
“The conflict… in North Africa will end. The conflict in Algeria will end, and in Sudan, and the conflict in Egypt will end, and the conflict in the Sahara will end. Tribal, sectarian, and ethnic conflict will end, because we will have become Fatimids…
“We in North Africa are Arabs, and North Africa is 100% Arab. Thosewhom we say are Berbers are the original, unadulterated Arabs. The fact that France and Western colonialism say to them ‘you are not Arabs’ – whoever accepts this will bear his responsibility.
“North Africa is Arab and Shi’ite… The Shi’ite Fatimid state arose in North Africa, and not in Iran. We want to revive it once again. We direct a renewed call to all of the forces in the first Fatimid state to revive [it in] a modern, second Fatimid state – on the condition that it be free of all of the sectarian conflicts and [the debate about] the Imamate and [religious] rule [hakimiyya] and the sophistry of old…
....
So the great ME project since mid 80s and renewed after 9/11 is the creation of a new Arab Shia entity in the Fatimid mold. Reducing Ayatollah Iran is needed to bring the focus back on Arab Shiasm. A new version of the Blunt plan. We can see who will line up where if we understand this. TSP will be with GCC as its part of Blunt project......
Politics, it seems, is only one of the attractions of Shiism. In addition to Louay, I spoke with four other Syrian converts, who asked not to be identified for fear of harassment by Sunni fundamentalists. Louay and the others all spoke of religious transformation as much as of Hezbollah. “Half the reason why I converted was because of Ijtihad,” Louay said, using the Arabic word for the independent interpretation of the Koran and the words and deeds of the Prophet Muhammad. Suddenly the mufti’s enigmatic answer became clearer. Ijtihad is practiced more widely by Shiites of the Jaafari school than by Sunnis. These Shiites believe that, on all but the largest moral issues, Muslims should interpret their faith by reading holy texts and reasoning back and forth between them and current issues. Many Sunnis say they quietly practice Ijtihad in everyday life as well, but conservative Sunnis do not encourage individual interpretation of the Koran.
For Louay, the difference is immense. “Take the Internet. Some conservative Sunni sheiks say the Internet is haram,” or illegal, he said. “If I go back to Jaafar al-Sadiq” — the eighth-century founder of the Jaafari school — “I will not find a ruling on it. So instead I use my mind to sort it out. On the Internet, some things are positive, some negative. I choose the positive for myself.”
....
Given this fact, it is also possible to hazard a guess in which the current Libyan fiasco will end, although specific events will roughen the tide. IIRC, the Germanic tribes were disinterested even during those times before Europe slipped away into the darkness!JE Menon wrote:
Come to think of it the only similarity seems to be that they are both getting their asses kicked regularly by the Westerners, previously the "Franj" and now the "French" - same difference. Ironic, isn't it?
Brahma Chellaney
The mission creep in the western military intervention in Libya shows how narrow geopolitical interests, even at the risk of creating another Iraq or Afghanistan, are driving a professed humanitarian campaign.
(oirope soft under belly similar to fsu in afg but without nato troops on ground.)From initially seeking to protect civilians to now aiming for a swift, total victory in Libya, the mission creep that has characterised the western powers' military attack raises troubling questions about their Libyan strategy and the risk that it could end up creating a jihadist citadel at Europe's southern doorstep.
Ivory Coast — where rampant abuses and widespread killings have led about one million residents to flee Abidjan city alone — was clearly a more pressing case for international intervention than Libya, given strongman Laurent Gbagbo's months-old defiance of the United Nations writ. But because Ivory Coast lacks strategic importance or oil, the exodus of Ivorians into Liberia and the influx of Liberian mercenaries continued unchecked, triggering civilian massacres.
--Egypt-In recent weeks, security forces have helped shape developments in different ways in three Arab states
(same as removal of musharraf in TSP with military control intact)In Egypt, it was the military's refusal to side with Hosni Mubarak that helped end that ex-air force commander's three-decade-long dictatorial rule. The military, long part of the political power structure, had become increasingly wary of Mr. Mubarak's efforts to groom his son as his successor. Today, the heady talk of freedom cannot obscure the reality that the people's revolution in Egypt thus far has spawned only a direct military takeover, with the 30-year emergency law still in force and the country's political direction uncertain. Although the ruling military council has scheduled parliamentary elections in September, the fact is that in no country has the military voluntarily ceded power without mass protests or other pressures.]
--Bahrain--While the popular uprising in Yemen has splintered the security establishment there, with different military factions now in charge of different neighbourhoods in the capital Sanaa and the United States seeking to replace the Yemeni President with his No. 2,
--saudi arabia--the Bahraini monarchy has employed foreign Sunni mercenaries that dominate its police force to fire on the predominantly Shiite demonstrators.
External factors are especially important in small or internally weak countries. The House of Saud sent forces into Bahrain under the Gulf Cooperation Council banner to crush peaceful protests, yet it is civil war-torn Libya that became the target of a western military attack. The blunt fact is that no nation has contributed more to the spread of global jihad than Saudi Arabia. Indeed, this terror-bankrolling state's military intervention to prop up the Bahraini regime parallels the 1979 Soviet intervention to bolster a besieged Afghan regime in Kabul — an invasion that led to the multibillion-dollar, CIA-sponsored arming of Afghan rebels and the consequent rise of transnational Islamic terrorists, including the al-Qaeda.
The broadening of the Libya intervention from a limited, humanitarian mission to an all-out assault on the Libyan military suggests that this war is really about ensuring that the Arab world does not slip out of western control. The intervention has seemingly been driven by a cold geopolitical calculation: to bottle up or eliminate Muammar Qaddafi so that his regime doesn't exploit the political vacuum in neighbouring Egypt and Tunisia.
Saddam Hussein's ouster by the invading U.S. forces did not secure the desired political objectives; rather a once-stable, secular Iraq has been destabilised, radicalised and effectively partitioned. With Libya set to become Mr. Obama's Iraq, a plausible scenario there is a protracted stalemate, coupled with a tribally partitioned country.
U.S. Defence Secretary Robert Gates recently rebuked allies for effectively abandoning the Afghan war. Why blame allies when the U.S. itself has abandoned the goal of victory and now seeks only a face-saving exit?And even as the U.S. fires hundreds of missiles at Libyan targets, its policy on Pakistan — the main sanctuary for transnational terrorists — is crumbling, with Washington clueless on how to stem the rising tide of anti-Americanism in a country that is now its largest aid recipient.
The resort to different standards and practices in the name of promoting human freedom, unfortunately, sends the message that any society's democratic empowerment is possible only if it jibes with the great powers' geopolitical interest. The fundamental issue is whether there should be a rules-based international order or an order pivoted on military might and driven by narrow, politically expedient interests of the most powerful.
Maverick Libyan leader, Muammar Gaddafi, has embarrassed India at the United Nations. In his marathon speech Gaddafi raised the Kashmir issue. "Kashmir should be an independent state, not Indian, not Pakistani. We should end this conflict. It should be a Ba'athist state between India and Pakistan," he said.
And he also opposed expanding the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) to include countries like India, saying that would add more injustice and tension to the world. "The preamble says all nations are equal whether they are small or big. Are we equal in the permanent seats? No we are not equals," Gaddafi said.
I will anticipate apologists who may deride this as actually a proof of his "un-Islamic" ness - he cannot be so crude and obvious - he must be using religion as a mask to amass private fortune. Since such a tactic is not supposedly "Islamic" - or the ideology supposedly does not support it [in spite of Shahi Bukhari quoting at least 6 different Hadiths in support, and almost famous Islamist rulers indulging in it - so we never really had any Islamists at all at any point in history], this is a proof of the essentially modern, non-religious politician and hence a proof of his moderation and "good" "secular" credentials.Name of tax Rate
“Jihadi tax (tax for national defence) on companies: it applies to the annual taxable profits of companies.
4% of taxable profits.
Jihad tax on individuals
It varies from 1% to 3% according to income.
Registration tax in the context of a contract
The tax reaches 2% for the main contract and 1% for a sub-contract.
Turkish Prime Minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan has suggested a "roadmap" towards a negotiated end to the conflict in Libya that began on February 15 with protests in the eastern city of Benghazi and then spread to many parts of Libya.
There have been a number of initiatives by various sides and governments in order to find a way that could lead to a peaceful settlement, this by Turkey, one of the countries that have enjoyed good relations with Libya for a number of years, being the latest one.
Mr Erdogan is urging forces aligned with Libyan leader Muammar Al Qathafi to withdraw from besieged cities, and called for the establishment of humanitarian aid corridors and comprehensive democratic transformation process that takes into account the legitimate interests of Libyan people should start immediately.{Why is it that only Libyans need a democratic process, not the Bahrainis and the Saudis and the Emiratis?} He said that Al Qathafi should halt his attacks on cities and withdraw his forces.
Last Monday Erdogan's foreign minister, Ahmet Davutoglu, had already received now Libyan Foreign Minister Abdelati al-Obeidi in the Turkish capital Ankara, as the Libyan official sought a political settlement by negotiating a ceasefire with opposition forces in the country. At the time, though the Turks said the contacts were "at a very early stage."
Turkey has also had talks with representatives of the Libyan opposition and assured the Transitional Council in Benghazi it supports their demands, following recent protests in Libya against Turkey by some opposition members.
Erdogan said the measures would be discussed at a meeting by the contact group set up to guide the international intervention in Libya next Wednesday in Doha, Qatar. Turkey, is one of the first countries that expressed its desire to attend the meeting. Others include be representatives from Britain, the United States, the Arab League, and other allies from the Middle East.
Turkey initially balked at the idea of military action in Libya, but is now taking part in the enforcement of a no-fly zone to shield civilians. It has also volunteered to lead humanitarian aid efforts and even arranged humanitarian medical aid vessels to ferry wounded out of the city of Misurata, which has been under attack from the regime's forces for weeks. It has also delivered supplies to Benghazi.
The 'spiritual guru' of America is Albert Pike. It is his plan that is being followed. Support to KSA and Pakistan is to ensure that the Islamic Al-Ciada that they are building up doesn't get too strong to defeat their mentors.abhischekcc wrote:If there is any force in the world that is creating and promoting Jihadists, it is America. Wherever they intervene, they end up instigating religious violence, not matter their spoken aims might be. It makes one wonder whether the whole goal of America is to promote dogmatic religious movements.
Whether it is Iran 1979 or now, America's actions have always strengthened those who want to take their society back. Iran would have undergone a genuine democratic change, until American opposition to Ahmedinijad forced the Iranian nation to unite behind him. The less said about Iraq (right from mossadegh to Saddam) and Afghanistan, the better. Non Jihadi countries have been transformed into cesspools of backwardness because of the dark forces in Washington and London. Their support for the two true Islamic terrorist countries - KSA and pakistan, has to be seen to be understood that the real purpose of American foreign policy is to promote Jihadism.
Hmm ... Baathism is a secular ideology. Saddam Hussein was a Baathist, and he had supported the Indian position on Kashmir.brihaspati wrote:About Q and Kashmir : [I think I posted this also before - but since it has gone out of people's memory - here it is again, and should never, ever be forgotten]. This was reported Thursday, September 24, 2009, from Washington.
http://www.ndtv.com/news/world/gaddafi_ ... _india.phpMaverick Libyan leader, Muammar Gaddafi, has embarrassed India at the United Nations. In his marathon speech Gaddafi raised the Kashmir issue. "Kashmir should be an independent state, not Indian, not Pakistani. We should end this conflict. It should be a Ba'athist state between India and Pakistan," he said.
And he also opposed expanding the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) to include countries like India, saying that would add more injustice and tension to the world. "The preamble says all nations are equal whether they are small or big. Are we equal in the permanent seats? No we are not equals," Gaddafi said.
Baathism as secular is a slight mis-construction. I could go on about the claims of Baathist secularism here and its connections to certain families of Palestinian Muslims of clerical background. But OT!Pranav wrote: Hmm ... Baathism is a secular ideology. Saddam Hussein was a Baathist, and he had supported the Indian position on Kashmir.
Your quote reinforces the view that Gaddhafi is bit of a nut-case. He had also angered the Chinese by meeting with the Taiwanese President. But still, he has support in Libya, and it cannot be denied that Libya has had pretty high Human Development Indicators.
Anyway, his survival will not cause as much Takleef to India or China or Russia as it will to others.