Rudradev wrote:....
7) Fast-forward to some point
between 18 and 30 months from now.
USCIRF and Human Rights Watch will be leading the charge in Washington, having enlisted Ania Loomba, Toorjo Ghosh, Angana Chatterjee, the Berkeley-Haas foundation, FOIL and FOSA as well-paid Native Informants. Arvind Kejriwal, Kanhaiya Kumar, Teesta Setalvad, John Dayal, Kancha Ilaiah, Rana Ayyub, Rev. Udaykumar, Hurry-rats, Neo-Khalistanis, Daleet Activists, rrNDTV types et al will be running around raising merry hell in India... flush with rejuvenated funding, equipped with brand new toys and techniques, supplied with first-class tickets to go and testify before US Congress every so often. And coordinating these efforts internationally from air-conditioned five-ishtar hotel rooms in Dilli and Mumbai will be the same expert Color-Flower Revolutionaries currently organizing demonstrations against Trump.
And the Trump-supporting BRFites who thought all this was going to go away with Hillary Clinton's defeat will be
And poor Shalibh Kumar will realize that, in effect, he paid a million bucks to help deliver the heathen masses of darkest India into the bright light of Jeebus's grace.
Mark my words. This is how it will turn out. But enjoy the way things are for now, by all means.
Lilo wrote:
RD ji,
Are you saying that India because of Trump gets a minimum of 1.5 year or a maximum of 2.5 year window when the USCIRF , Human Rights Watch , Berkely-Haas gangs will be under suspended animation because they have been starved of their funds ?
No Lilo ji, I am not.
I am saying that it will be 1.5 to 2.5 years before our ahead-of-the-curve-alicious, Trump-supporting BRFites finally
recognize that the EJ-friendly Trump regime has been shafting India via Berkeley Haas, HRW, USCIRF etc. all along.
It will take folks some time to get over all that brilliant "RW" foresight and come to grips with reality, after all.
For the shafting of India, we don't have to wait even 1.5 weeks. It is already in progress... see Republican EJ Congressman Ed Royce's initiative to haul India over the coals, in the COTUS, on Compassion International's behalf. This is far worse than Kerry begging favors from Sushma Swaraj behind closed doors. It is an attempt to drag the dirty laundry of anti-India psyops, regarding "Intolerance", "Hindoo Fundamentalism" etc. onto the public floor of the United States Congress. And it is being done by a Republican Congressman who is also, supposedly, head of the India Caucus in COTUS!
In the meantime, currently unfolding events indicate that the EJ's future *capability* to shaft India is expanding beyond anything that was even remotely possible for them during the Obama administration.I have no doubt that, following the March on Washington, EJ compromise-makers are already on the task of identifying and recruiting the most talented Color-Flower Revolutionaries for Christian causes.
The organizations you mention (HRW, USCIRF, Berkeley-Haas) will never lose their funds. The defunding threat will ONLY be used by the Trump administration against university departments, grant-giving foundations and corporate sponsors of explicitly anti-Trump organizations... Move On dot Org, Acorn, Black Lives Matter etc. On the contrary, anti-India organizations will be loaded up with funds so that they are better empowered to attract talent and resources away from the anti-Trump organizations.
Dont you think that your above prognosis is a paisa vasooli outcome of DT's election ?
For the EJs, definitely.
For the Republican "Hindu" Coalition? Maybe it is paisa-vasooli if Shalibh Kumar or his daughter are crypto-Christians. Not otherwise.
Pojitive things as i perceive happening since the window created by the transition to Trump in no order of relavance:
1)Burkha dutt has resigned to her fate & gave-up mainstream journalism when her bumchum (i mean literally) Hillary was kicked off unceremoniously from any future contention in Soothasia .
Lilo ji, I think of you as an intelligent and well-informed poster.
Therefore I think you will appreciate that the real reason Burkha Dutt has resigned from NDTV is that the temperature of water in my lota was slightly less than 10 degrees C on that morning. The butterfly effect caused by the sudden reflexive tightening of my sphincter is what caused her to resign.
I mean, if we are going to try and pass off any and all correlations as causations, then why not at least invent some entertaining correlations, right?
I am sure that Barkha was disappointed when Hillary did not win the US Presidential Election. Maybe even heartbroken. But extending this to say that Clinton's electoral loss was the inspiration for Barkha to resign from NDTV is a classic ("RW"?) case of putting 1 and 2 together to make 4.
Moreover, what is the basis for your statement that Barkha has totally given up mainstream journalism? As far as I know she has left NDTV, that is all.
2)Modi govt nonchalantly screwed Compassion international despite the kicking & wailing of the american establishment.
Exactly which establishment are you talking about?
In September 2016, Kerry asked Sushma Swaraj (as a personal favor, conveyed from CI to him via John Podesta) that the MEA should revisit the FCRA restrictions placed on Compassion International.
Is Kerry a Q-tiya EJ bag carrier for doing this? Of course he is. Most of the Clinton people in some way or another are connected to EJs. So, no surprise there. But as we have already seen, he was nowhere near as bad as the Republicans are going to be.
India's MEA responded politely to Kerry by saying theek hai, we will look into the issue. Then we looked into the issue and responded (by November 2016) that we aren't going to remove the restrictions on Compassion International.
The next blow on behalf of the EJs, taking the fight into the public arena of US Congress, was struck by the Republicans... specifically, by Ed Royce, as reported on December 5, 2016. It is the post-Obama Republican establishment, aligned with the incoming Trump regime, which has gone far beyond Kerry's back-door favor banking.
It must be recognized that Kerry was doing the EJ's bidding in the privacy of a back-room conference... not in the full glare of the United States Congress where a full armamentarium of anti-Hindu, anti-Modi psyops could be deployed in the public square to bring pressure against India on multiple fronts. That is what the Republicans have geared up to do to India, on the EJ's behalf.
So I am sorry to inform you that the real shafting has only just begun. Things have already got worse for India on this issue following Trump's election, and will get much worse following his inauguration.
3)Jallikattu ban was blatantly revoked by the Indian govt even while the usual suspects in media & elsewhere in establishment were bleating helplessly - so much so that the EJs had to do a hamhanded about turn & support Jallikattu (the same cultural festival in the banning of which they put their 10 years worth of political capital) .
How this translates into a paisa-vasooliyat for Indians supporting Trump's electoral victory is too chankian for my meagre understanding.
If we want to give credit to Trump's Electoral Victory for every courageous initiative that Modi's GOI takes, then let us recognize that we are, in fact, the worst kind of MUTUs.
The assumption underlying your statement is that if Trump's victory had not opened some some imaginary "window of opportunity" for India then Modi, Amit Shah and Ajit Doval would have been sitting on their thumbs and shivering in their dhotis over this Jallikattu issue. In other words, If SDREs have become brave enough to take matters into their own hands... on any issue from climate change to Jallikattu... then it must be because TFTAs under Trump have created a global atmosphere of permissiveness that "allowed it to be so".
The circularity of this argument, again, betrays classic "RW" thinking, Yindoo style.
4)Trump's renegotiation pitch on Paris climate summit gave India under Modi a window through which it can regain back its since inception held equity based Common But Differentiated Responsibilities(CBDR) position on climate change which was pawned off by Jairam Ramesh using the halo created by local presstitutes led by the likes of The Hindu newspaper .
Again, the great white saviour complex appears to cloud this argument.
MMS/Jairam Ramesh (UPA) got India a bad deal on climate change. Narendra Modi (NDA) is going to renegotiate the bad deal on climate change for India's benefit.
Separately, Barack Obama (D) got the USA a bad deal on climate change. Donald Trump (R) is going to renegotiate the bad deal on climate change for the USA's benefit.
It is delusional to imagine that Narendra Modi's renegotiation of a better climate deal on India's behalf has anything to do with Donald Trump's renegotiation of a better climate deal on the USA's behalf.
We do not need Massa's strong hand to open a window for us to crawl apologetically through. We are quite capable of opening any window (or door) for ourselves as need be... or in fact, blowing up the wall to force our way into wherever we want to go (we did that 19 years ago, for example and the benefits have far outweighed any negative consequences).
5)Trumps's aversion to mega trade agreements like TPP , TTIP means that India directly benefits as hitherto India has been categorically shutout of these agreements which could have isolated india totally in international trade . Now Trump is going to emulate India in pursuing bilateral trade deals with other trading nations & impending collapse(or atleast suspended animation) of mega trade pacts like TPP,TTIP greatly improves India's trade situation for the next decade atleast.
I am unable to understand what this argument is supposed to mean.
Let us say that US interests are to inject clauses A, B, C into {TPP, TTIP} or whatever trade pact we are talking about.
Meanwhile, India's interests are to inject clauses X, Y, Z into the trade pact in question...{TPP, TTIP} in this case.
I hope we can agree that clauses X, Y, Z which India wants included may not be in perfect alignment with clauses A, B, C which the US wants included. In fact, the interests reflected in these two sets of clauses may be one hundred percent oppositional.
Therefore, US taking the initiative to upend {TPP, TTIP} type pacts for the purpose of forcibly injecting clause A, B, C does not in any way benefit India's efforts to include clause X, Y, or Z in these pacts. That is an incorrect premise from the get-go.
Apart from this, you say that Trump is "going to" move away from a trade regime premised on multilateral pacts... most of which were drafted with America's perceived interests in mind, by Washington DC's Hamiltonian power circles, in any case... and move towards a new paradigm where bilateral trade deals will become the staple basis of US international trade.
I am highly skeptical that Trump will ever be able to override the Hamiltonian power circles responsible for structuring the international economic order through their pet institutions like WTO, IMF, WB, NAFTA, etc. Those institutions were built-to-order by the US deep state in the service of its own interest. They have been allowed to continue serving as the cornerstones of international trade for many decades... by many US Presidents... despite their side effect of creating domestic political liabilities on the outsourcing, offshoring and immigration fronts. If Trump tries to change the system in favor of bilateral trade deals he will have to take on the deep state. I am almost certain that, if he tries, he will fail.
But even if we want to be generous and assume that Trump has the brains, the staying-power, and the negotiating finesse to achieve such a paradigm shift... the scenario you are offering here is 100% hypothetical, and a projection into the future.
In terms of "paisa vasool" for India it amounts to exactly zero, as of today. However, I will admit that at least it isn't a net negative for India like the Ed Royce/USCIRF propaganda assault emboldened by Trump's victory.
6)Trump's downgrade of multilateral treaties like NATO & pursual of bilateral military partnerships means accelerated downgrade of UQ or France as world powers & India is in a better position to displace either to gatecrash the big 5.
Again, a future projection of dubious veracity. In terms of "paisa vasool" for India it amounts to exactly zero as of today.
7)Immediate aftermath : Russia did a quick piglet barbeque in aleppo . Modi same with the local alCIAda backed hawala operators using DeMo.
Russia has joined China as a vociferous defender of Pakistani terrorism (against India) in multiple forums. Russia is aligning itself with China and Pakistan in our immediate neighbourhood, and throwing its weight behind projects that are directly inimical and dangerous to Indian interests... from Afghanistan to CPEC.
In West Asia, Russia may be acting against one brand of Islamic terrorist (ISIS)... but on the Indian Subcontinent, Russians are part of an axis that protects and supports other brands of Islamic terrorists (like Jaish-e-Mohammed, the Taliban, and the Haqqani Network) who constitute a much greater threat to India.
I therefore do not see any value in arguments that DT's elevation to the US Presidency, if indeed it benefits Russia, comprises any sort of advantage for India.
As for demonetization, it was under way before DT got elected, and would have been pursued regardless of whether DT or HC had become the POTUS.
This, by the way, is true for the arguments you have advanced above regarding Compassion International (2), Jallikattu
(3), Climate change agreements (4), Trade agreements (5), and Security-seeking alliance regimes (6). To date, DT's election has produced no material change in the geopolitical climate wherein India seeks its best interests under all of these headings. Furthermore, Modi would not have been constrained in seeking its best interests under all of these headings regardless of who was POTUS (to think that he would, in fact belies an abominably MUTU-centric perspective).
Fake News. Stop watching CNN 