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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 13 Jan 2021 23:16
by darshan
Renowned social worker Padma Shri D Prakash Rao passes away at 63
https://www.wionews.com/india-news/reno ... -63-356487
...
Saddened by the demise of Shri D Prakash Rao. The outstanding work that has done will continue motivating people. He rightly saw education as a vital means to empowerment. I recall my meeting with him in Cuttack a few years ago. Condolences to his family and admirers. Om Shanti. pic.twitter.com/ECZ0NUFush
— Narendra Modi (@narendramodi) January 13, 2021
...

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 13 Jan 2021 23:47
by Suraj
KLNMurthy wrote:Supreme Court decision to stay a perfectly constitutional law passed by Parliament is weird to say the least. On the face of it, it is a continuation of the unwarranted intrusion of the judiciary into the executive branch.

But, I am wondering if we are seeing a new realignment of governance system of executive power-sharing between Parliament and the Supreme Court, something that is blatantly unconstitutional, but at the same time may be still a pragmatic adjustment considering the political climate.

Looking at the so-called farmers agitation, things are at a stalemate. The agitators won't move, and it is unthinkable for the government to surrender.

The Supreme Court intervention provides a kind of a cover for both parties--the agitators will grumble but there is no other avenue open to them short of going to war against India. So they can say that they respect the Supreme Court and go home.

The government is unhappy at the intrusion of SC but trusts / hopes that the Supreme Court will provide a way for it go forward and get out of the stalemate, in a way that is not too crazy--a few cosmetic or meaningless adjustments to the law (e.g., no land of any farmer will be sold off, which is an absurd and meaningless concern anyway) by some BS committee and all the nuisance will go away.

The cost is an inflation of the Supreme Court's role, something that will eat away at the foundation of the system, but it provides a temporary fix.

I am also looking at previous cases that should have been handled politically or at the local level, like the RJB case, and. before that the allegations of Modi doing the 2002 riots. Supreme Court "solved" those cases in a way that gave cover to a political and administrative system that was not strong enough (or didn't feel strong enough) to take the right action on its own. Seems like there is a pattern.
This is a very good analysis as usual, KLNM. Like it or not, the SC is the nodal entity of one arm of the constitutionally defined government form. The constitution intends for checks and balances to be in place.

As much as we'd all like to feel good about successive administrations where the opposition is weak, this stresses the constitutional apparatus. The opposition is literally not a factor in the lower house of Parliament at all. It cannot fulfill its constitutionally defined role to offer checks to the system. There is no major democratic nation where the ruling party occupies 56% of the seats and the biggest opposition party occupies 9%. In the German parliament, the AFD (extreme right wing) fringe party occupies 13% of seats - more than the main opposition in Lok Sabha does.

Such an imbalanced legislature is hard to run. It leads to long term problems. Nehru having unfettered control for decades with minimal opposition did that. RaGa snr having 414 seats didn't do him any good - it triggered revolt both from within and from unrepresented entities that ended his administration before a single term.

In this situation, the opposition has no voice in Parliament. They've basically abdicated responsibility there. They could have articulated a response on the floor to the farm bill but they failed in their job, having already failed to win anywhere close to enough seats needed to be a credible opposition at all. Their preferred approach is the serial agitation route.

Given this situation the Government needs to recalibrate how the democratic system (the raj dharma need mentioned by ramana) works here. The elected government has complete control of two arms of government - executive and legislature. The judiciary are not in a position to annul valid laws, but they can offer face savers that act as a balancing act, because these opposition protesters are now dependent upon the judiciary to make up for their lack of formal representation. There's a limit to this make-yourself-relevant-by-yelling-more-loudly approach.

The CAA has come into force. The SC has stated the farm laws are not unconstitutional; they're just concerned about the long protest. The government needs to work out an approach that enables them to outlast such protests with a minimum of administrative effort. There are plenty of boil the frog approaches that work. Summer is coming, hot weather isn't conducive to sitting outside all day, even with imported foot massagers and tandoori pizza.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 13 Jan 2021 23:56
by OmkarC
vijayk wrote:
ramana wrote:
So what laws has YY broken?
His job is to make sure that no one there articulates any grievances. No talks. No complaints.

His mission is to DEFEAT MODI by making this Skihs vs Hindus. REPEAL, REPEAL, REPEAL is their mantra ...

Once they REPEAL, they will use the model on CAA and any other legislation they pass any time in future. The idea is to stop any development, progress and stall while other side of the BIF will mock Modi on economy, growth and jobs.
..and then mock it as a "Hindu rate of growth" (though some people are becoming more aware and will show it electorally, if they start making derisive comments against Hindus openly as the Congies & Commies found out).

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 02:34
by vijayk
Image

https://www.opindia.com/2021/01/in-a-bi ... edophilia/
In a bid to oppose UP’s anti-forced religious conversion law, ‘Liberals’ end up endorsing paedophilia
UP Police detains man for trying to befriend a minor girl over the internet and reaching her place unannounced with gifts, the 'liberals' defend him
Self-proclaimed liberals took to Twitter to share a Times of India report that claimed that Bengaluru man who flew to UP to meet girl was thrashed and detained by the Uttar Pradesh. The Times of India carried out a report that claimed that a 21-year-old Muslim youth flew down from Bengaluru to Lakhimpur Kheri, Uttar Pradesh to see a Hindu girl he had met online.

Reportedly, the youth was allegedly beaten up by some ‘right-wing’ groups who later handed over the guy to the local police station. The man, who worked as an engineer in Bengaluru allegedly started talking to a teenager girl online since April last year. As it was her birthday, the youth wanted to see her, so he booked a flight, brought gifts – a soft toy, chocolates and sweets and reached Lucknow.

The report claimed that when he got there, the parents of the girl asked him who he was. As he revealed his identity, the neighbours gathered and soon a ‘group of right-wing outfit’ joined, who beat him up and informed the police, the report claimed adding that the groups acted on the apprehension of ‘forced conversion’.

Usual propagandists continue to spread misinformation
The usual fake news peddlers descended on social media platform to peddle misleading information on the incident. Rohini Singh, associated with leftist propaganda website The Wire, took to Twitter to claim that a Muslim man was jailed and beaten as he wanted to wish the girl on her birthday.

Singh, who has a complicated relationship with the facts, insinuated that the youth was beaten up as he was a Muslim youth and went on to deliberately ignore the real facts pertaining to the issue.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 06:15
by vijayk

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 07:39
by chanakyaa
Suraj wrote:
KLNMurthy wrote:
...The elected government has complete control of two arms of government - executive and legislature. The judiciary are not in a position to annul valid laws, but they can offer face savers that act as a balancing act, because these opposition protesters are now dependent upon the judiciary to make up for their lack of formal representation. There's a limit to this make-yourself-relevant-by-yelling-more-loudly approach.

The CAA has come into force. The SC has stated the farm laws are not unconstitutional; they're just concerned about the long protest. The government needs to work out an approach that enables them to outlast such protests with a minimum of administrative effort. There are plenty of boil the frog approaches that work. Summer is coming, hot weather isn't conducive to sitting outside all day, even with imported foot massagers and tandoori pizza.
KLMN and Suraj-san, those were some quality posts. It is easy to get carried away by what appears on the surface by news headlines. Having a majority government is one thing, but the task of pushing bold agenda while dealing with all the constraints in spite of a majority is something else.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 08:52
by darshan
NCERT says it has no information on source of claim made in textbook that Mughals had rebuilt temples after destroying them
https://www.opindia.com/2021/01/ncert-d ... t-temples/
The NCERT (National Council of Educational Research and Training) has said that it has no evidence to prove that Mughal emperors had rebuilt temples destroyed in wars, even when it claims the same in its history textbook. This was revealed in an RTI application seeking evidence for the claim made in the textbook.

The RTI application filed by one Shivank Verma had sought details regarding information in the book ‘Themes of Indian History (Part II)’ for class XII. On page 234 of the history textbook, it says, “All Mughal emperors gave grants to support the building and maintenance of places of worship. Even when temples were destroyed during war, grants were later issued for their repair – as we know from the reigns of Shah Jahan and Aurangzeb.”
....

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 09:17
by Sachin
KLNMurthy wrote:Looking at the so-called farmers agitation, things are at a stalemate. The agitators won't move, and it is unthinkable for the government to surrender.
By this move from Hon. SC the 'farmer brokers' gang has also got exposed. They do not want to discuss any thing with any one which shows that their true interests are some thing else (sedition, terrorism - whatever it can be called). Only negative side effect is that this may soon become a Sikh v/s non-Sikh issue with perhaps the whole community being on the radar (like during the Punjab insurgency days). The good will of the community is slowly diminishing :(.

Note this report from NDTV.
"If we don't go now, we shall never get this opportunity. This is a fight for our rights": That's the message blaring out of loudspeakers of Gurdwaras in the state.
....
A meeting held at the local Gurdwara has decided that there will be a street-wise movement to invite farmers for the Delhi tractor parade. Those who cannot participate will have to pay up ₹ 2,100 per head towards a fund for those protesting. Non-payment of the amount will lead to social boycott.
....
Our NRI brothers, too, are enthusiastically backing us. People from the village who have gone abroad have sent us ₹ 41,000. The landlords are funding us, too, since we can't fight without funds and we have to win this fight at any cost," farmer Avtar Singh told NDTV

Suraj wrote:The CAA has come into force.
The Act is there, but the Rules are NOT there. It is the Rules which enable the implementation of the Act. On CAA I am really in two minds; was it all optics by the GoI (to get popularity) or was there any true intention to help persecuted non-Muslims. Unless the Rules come out soon - as A.Shah said; after COVID - it looks more like optics for me. But at least in fixing up J&K issues this government has exactly done what it had been saying.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 10:07
by Suraj
Sachin wrote:
Suraj wrote:The CAA has come into force.
The Act is there, but the Rules are NOT there. It is the Rules which enable the implementation of the Act. On CAA I am really in two minds; was it all optics by the GoI (to get popularity) or was there any true intention to help persecuted non-Muslims. Unless the Rules come out soon - as A.Shah said; after COVID - it looks more like optics for me. But at least in fixing up J&K issues this government has exactly done what it had been saying.
At this point it is simply a matter of the ministry having the bandwidth to frame the rules correctly. Previously the complaint was that CAA was not notified. It was notified w.e.f Jan 10 2021 . Someone else can probably find the notification on egazette.nic.in . With the formal entry into force by notification, very little remains left to do.

There’s a common perception that the CAA disenfranchises Muslims. The reality is that the rules for them remain unchanged. Due to relative numbers, by far the largest group affected by the restrictions in the original 1955 act are Muslim . The CAA simply formalized the rights of non Muslims to gain citizenship. For Muslims the restrictions have remained in place all the while.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 10:20
by vimal
How China Won Trump’s Trade War and Got Americans to Foot the Bill
(Jan. 13) U.S. President Donald Trump famously tweeted that “trade wars are good, and easy to win” in 2018 as he began to impose tariffs on about $360 billion of imports from China. Turns out he was wrong on both counts.

Even before the coronavirus infected millions of Americans and sparked the steepest economic downturn since the Great Depression, China was withstanding Trump’s tariff salvos, according to the very metrics he used to justify them. Once China got the virus under control, demand for medical equipment and work-from-home gear expanded its trade surplus with the U.S. despite the levies.

While trade tensions between the world’s two biggest economic powers didn’t start under Trump, he broadened the fight with the unprecedented tariffs and sanctions on technology companies. The tougher approach, according to the scorecard that follows, didn’t go as he hoped. But he’s leaving his successor Joe Biden a blueprint of what worked and what didn’t.

“China is too big and too important to the world economy to think that you can cut it out like a paper doll” said Mary Lovely, an economics professor at Syracuse University. “The Trump administration had a wake-up call.”

The U.S. Trade Deficit Grew
Trump vowed in his 2016 election year to very quickly “start reversing” the U.S. goods trade deficit with China, ignoring mainstream economists who downplay the importance of bilateral deficits. However, the deficit with China increased since then, hitting $287 billion in the 11 months to November last year, according to Chinese data.

The deficit did fall year-on-year in 2019, as U.S. companies switched to imports from countries like Vietnam, but it remained higher than the $254 billion gap in 2016. That was partly because Beijing’s imposition of retaliatory tariffs on about $110 billion in goods reduced its imports of American products, and these only started recovering in the last few months of 2020.

As part of the phase-one trade deal signed a year ago, Beijing made an ambitious vow to import $172 billion worth of U.S. goods in specific categories in 2020, but through the end of November it had bought just 51% of that goal. The slump in energy prices amid the pandemic and the problems with Boeing Co.’s planes played a part in that failure.

The persistent deficit demonstrated how reliant companies are on China’s vast manufacturing capacity, which was highlighted again by the pandemic. China was the only country capable of increasing output on a big enough scale to meet surging demand for goods such as work-from-home computers and medical equipment.

President Xi Jinping expressed his confidence in China’s rise Monday, telling officials that “time and the situation are in our favor.” The Chinese leader said that he saw “opportunities in general outweighing challenges,” a marked shift from his sometimes dire-sounding warnings of recent months.

China’s Export Machine Rolls On
Trump repeatedly said that China’s accession to the World Trade Organization in 2001 caused its economy to take off like a “rocket ship,” a result he viewed as unfair. As it turned out, Trump’s trade war with China coincided with another expansion in Chinese exports. After shrinking for two straight years in 2015 and 2016, China’s total shipments grew each year after Trump took office, including in 2019 when exports to the U.S. fell.

A group of 10 Southeast Asian nations replaced the U.S. as China’s second-largest trading partner in 2019. The shift to Asia is likely to continue as Southeast Asian economies are projected to grow faster than developed countries over the next decade. Those trade links will be further cemented by the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership pact signed late last year, which will see 15 regional economies gradually drop some tariffs on each others’ goods.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 12:27
by Neela
Question to chetak, Suraj and KLNM.

Despite the blatant intrusion by the judiciary, the current GoI dispensation has a carefully cultivated image and it will not engage in a open tussle with the former. It will be dangerous for all of us. However, a precedent has been set. Think of all the NGOs and foreign funded "Organistation for preservation of human values" types ....despite the final outcome over the last few days, they will see a chasm that they can exploit. They already are. The CJI has openly stayed enacted laws. What is stopping other HCs and judges now to follow CJI and roam freely across the executive and legislative areas goaded by these NGOs.
The simple fact is Judiciary is un-reined. It is a literally & figuratively a raktha-bhija too ( some 40% judges across country are related by blood ..nepotism runs high) . Yes, there were a few reports that PMO waved IB reports on a few of them for promotion nominations. But this isnt enough.
End of the day, the leverage of democratically elected govt on both executive and judiciary must reign supreme.
So how can our setup reset this without NJAC

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 12:34
by Neela
Neela wrote:Question to chetak, Suraj and KLNM.

Despite the blatant intrusion by the judiciary, the current GoI dispensation has a carefully cultivated image and it will not engage in a open tussle with the former. It will be dangerous for all of us. However, a precedent has been set. Think of all the NGOs and foreign funded "Organistation for preservation of human values" types ....despite the final outcome over the last few days, they will see a chasm that they can exploit. They already are. The CJI has openly stayed enacted laws. What is stopping other HCs and judges now to follow CJI and roam freely across the executive and legislative areas goaded by these NGOs.
The simple fact is Judiciary is un-reined. It is a literally & figuratively a raktha-bhija too ( some 40% judges across country are related by blood ..nepotism runs high) . Yes, there were a few reports that PMO waved IB reports on a few of them for promotion nominations. But this isnt enough.
End of the day, the leverage of democratically elected govt on both executive and judiciary must reign supreme.
So how can our setup reset this without NJAC
Got reminded of another incident. SOme judges were accused of corruption some time back. Earlies this week the court came back with a report saying it hase cleared of all charges. No open report. No 3rd party oversight from either executive or legislature.

Without propping up a few good apples within t he Judge fraternity, I dont see a way out. Or squeezing in representatives from Legislature and executive as independent watchdogs within the Judicial setup .

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 17:22
by chetak
Happy Makar Sankranti to everyone.

take your pick, state or region wise, as applicable

That's Incredible India 8)


Image


via @Swamy39 who says that it was sent to him by Professor Phirmi Bodo who is a VHS office bearer

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 17:24
by nvishal
New committee formed to study the farm bills will submit the report in 2 months

: Wink :

Maybe extend it for another two months if necessary

: double wink :

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 17:51
by chetak
An old video but still worth watching to understand what kuhjli is up to.

The BIF politics of khujliwal.

They want a border state which they would control.


Kejriwal's plans for Punjab being exposed by Kumar Vishwas.



WATCH VIDEO

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 18:25
by Sachin
BKU leader Mann recuses himself from SC committee on farm laws
GoI should now push forward by filing review petitions on the earlier verdict staying the Farm laws. The committee is becoming a still born baby, with even the SC nominated members backtracking. Without the committee being finalised, how can they file a report in two months? And with that report being the pre-requisite for lifting the stay the laws will not get implemented any time soon.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 18:30
by darshan
Not that Facebook already didn't know that pretty much all other countries have laws that will get tougher. Except India.
Europeans Don't Need To Share WhatsApp Data With Facebook Under New Policy, But No Such Luxury For Indians
https://swarajyamag.com/insta/europeans ... or-indians

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 22:38
by chetak
another scam building in punjab

vaccine mandi and middle men here too :mrgreen:




Image

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 22:53
by chetak
Read it again & again & again :mrgreen:

News18@CNNnews18
Trump, who has been stripped of his social media megaphones by Twitter and Facebook, is struggling to impose his message - let alone any kind of resistance.

In a close election partisan tech giants played decisive role in tilting the balance

Do we need more proofs?

In Indian context, when it's 303:52 that may not be worrisome.

But when it gets closer, it will matter.

And in life all days are not sunny days


via@iMac_too

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 23:30
by chetak
why do we need any trade deal at all with these racist b@$****$ :mrgreen:


Image

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 14 Jan 2021 23:53
by kit
chetak wrote:why do we need any trade deal at all with these racist b@$****$ :mrgreen:
[img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ErlTkTuVgAQ ... name=large
As the Chinese would say , they can shove their trade deal up where the sun does not ,.!

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 01:03
by Cyrano
There is also the Honorable Ex-CJI Gogoi ji in Rajya Sabha, who is possibly quietly advising GoI on some matters that may come up before the SC.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 02:14
by ramana
chetak wrote:why do we need any trade deal at all with these racist b@$****$ :mrgreen:




UK folks after BREXIT need India. These MPs still carry whiteman burden.

Don't worry. BoJo is not going to fall for this besides its UKIndian vote that got him power.

But do keep track of the turds

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 02:43
by KLNMurthy
chanakyaa wrote: ...
KLMN and Suraj-san, those were some quality posts. It is easy to get carried away by what appears on the surface by news headlines. Having a majority government is one thing, but the task of pushing bold agenda while dealing with all the constraints in spite of a majority is something else.
Thanks for the compliment. I accept not with humility but with pride, since I respect BRF's caliber. :)

On those lines, some thoughts for the non-existent Modi-magic thread that I never got around to starting:

If we take Modi as a representative of India's "native" political genius, does such a thing (native political genius) exist in any meaningful and realistic sense, and if so, what does it look like?

In the stereotypical white man's view, the native Indian is a kind of repulsive ignorant savage--give him a computer and he will use it to warm his hands, give him an electoral democracy and he will create caste- or religion-based vote banks, give him a Supreme Court and he will turn it into a glorified government office that "takes up" any and every case, with the judges exhibiting the caliber of simultaneously servile and pompous upper division clerks who write tedious "notations" on files in babu-english.

These depictions are unfair and hurtful. They are unfair and also wrong because clearly they tell only a small facet of the story, one blind man's idea of the elephant. So, we either dismiss them, or just internalize the hurt to build up resentment and anger against the white man for his usual game of undermining India. All valid and proper responses.

But they are also, in a literal sense, observable phenomena, albeit of limited validity (blind man & elephant as above). The white eyes are not actually lying, though they are not really telling the truth. And mostly, we see those non-lies as unflattering and humiliating.

But maybe in the pragmatic eyes of a native Modi, these non-lies are neither flattering nor humiliating, but merely a slice of reality in the real universe that is India, constructive and effective responses to almost-intractable problems that might break a different nation than one that is peopled by native Indians.

The first (using a computer to warm hands) is a jokey & contrived example, but I have in fact used my laptop for that purpose many a time, when turning on the house heater would be overkill and unnecessarily expensive.

The second--vote banks, is quite likely instrumental in avoiding the fate that the white man predicted for us in 1947, namely that we will fall apart bloodily. (Even the despised Muslim vote bank probably held at bay the powerful disruptive forces unleashed by Partition.)

The third, the weird and embarrassing way in which the Supreme Court functions we have already touched upon. We are using it as a Supreme Court yes, but also as a kind of deflecting shield cum cooling rod cum overflow channel for the system.

The common thread is a high-flying, high-risk tightrope act of continuous innovative adaptation or jugaad. Like the American TV show MacGyver. Like one of those tests in job interviews where you are expected to do unexpected, "out of the box" things to solve problems with the items you are given. Or like the Engineer Scotty in the old Star Trek series, somehow keeping the Enterprise flying despite all odds, and all the impossible unexpected challenges and demands placed on the ship.

This is not the most efficient--in terms of energy and resources--way to manage things, let alone something architecturally and esthetically pleasing to see. And there are long-term prices to pay in all of these--vote banks, weird use of Supreme Court, and any of a number of other things.

But how can we not admire, respect and love a poor nation of 1.4 B people who have been oppressed and repressed slaves for a millennium, who got thrown into the Starship Enterprise that is the complex 21st Century world, and whose native genius still manages to keep it flying, mostly where they want it to go, with the crew mostly having the chance to develop and grow in their own right?

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 03:53
by KLNMurthy
Neela wrote:Question to chetak, Suraj and KLNM.

Despite the blatant intrusion by the judiciary, the current GoI dispensation has a carefully cultivated image and it will not engage in a open tussle with the former. It will be dangerous for all of us. However, a precedent has been set. Think of all the NGOs and foreign funded "Organistation for preservation of human values" types ....despite the final outcome over the last few days, they will see a chasm that they can exploit. They already are. The CJI has openly stayed enacted laws. What is stopping other HCs and judges now to follow CJI and roam freely across the executive and legislative areas goaded by these NGOs.
The simple fact is Judiciary is un-reined. It is a literally & figuratively a raktha-bhija too ( some 40% judges across country are related by blood ..nepotism runs high) . Yes, there were a few reports that PMO waved IB reports on a few of them for promotion nominations. But this isnt enough.
End of the day, the leverage of democratically elected govt on both executive and judiciary must reign supreme.
So how can our setup reset this without NJAC
From what I know, the NJAC was stymied by the judiciary itself. So, it remains a theoretical solution; with no way to bootstrap it into being, and furthermore I don’t know what its merits & downsides are, to be honest.

I agree that having the judiciary intruding in a ridiculous way into the domain of Parliament is costly and will be untenable very soon; matter of time before we get a mindless goon like the paki Iftikhar Chowdary, who will make all these judges look like models of intellect and judicial restraint.

All the jugaads which I celebrated in an earlier post are temporary ad hoc things. And they impose inordinate costs.

But I can’t even imagine how to manage Indian politics in a way that keeps institutional boundaries and integrity intact. Unless maybe, we all surrender and go back to bending the knee to the neo-Mughalai coalition that ruled pre-2014 India, with all the baggage we already know it brings.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 04:01
by Avtar Singh
^^^^^
Very good and very well written. A great read so thank you.

Despite all the challenges, the Indian/Hindu civilization has a lot to look forward to....
survival over the longest timeline despite the gravest and harshest of challenges always makes me
optimistic... From seeing off the Persian empires, all comers in between to the western imperialists is a great achievement.

The almighty USA struggling after barely 250 years

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 04:45
by KLNMurthy
kit wrote:
As the Chinese would say , they can shove their trade deal up where the sun does not ,.!
Obviously, the same geniuses who wrote letters to the Brit media when Mangalayan was launched, saying why is India wasting British aid on space rockets.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 05:31
by Suraj
In my opinion, the view of the SC - and the judiciary in general - as an overreaching entity, is a mixed bag .

The SC delivered a good verdict on the RJM case . Despite all the petitions, it’s left the CAA alone. Same for 370. It also has affirmed that there’s nothing unconstitutional about the farm bills. The big picture is still that GoI got major items through - 370 was the very reason Jana Sangh was founded. There were two primary political issues the original BJS had - 370 and population transfer. 370 is done, CAA is their nod to population transfer by formalizing rules for non-Muslims. 370 was one of the greatest acts of legal dismantling of an odious constitutional provision ever - devised in secret, announced as a total surprise, and all done. Credit to the late Arun Jaitley's legal genius in figuring it out - a chess grandmaster checkmate from a man who got to see it happen before his demise.

The judiciary's overreach primarily is about trying to govern and moderate the role of government in a manner that goes beyond their constitutional mandate to interpret and examine the laws promulgated by the legislature. Yes they can be insufferable in this regard, and the career litigants have monopolized this channel. However the SC has still largely behaved in a manner the government is willing to work with . They’ve co-opted the prior CJI into the RS, and thereby are cultivating their own ecosystem. The INC system rewards good behavior and the government is cultivating its own.

As mentioned before, a thumping majority like the present is not a very good thing . Yes 303 seats is less than some JLN/IG/RG wins, but the margin between governing party and main opposition (303-52) is similar to those. The +251 figure here is much more than INCs dominance over the combined coalition in 1980. This is not a good thing . It yields desperation from an elite previously in a similarly dominant position, but with the benefit of no organized opposition. Such people will destroy the institutions to remain relevant .

Modi rules the country and he takes the responsibility of keeping its institutions strong, seriously . The opposition may use the SC and he has to tackle that while also ensuring the SC maintains its institutional ability . His task is to run the country and give the institution some legitimacy even when they are being misused. The SC has served this administration when it comes to acting on the biggest items on the plate. The government shows it is willing to engage that SC to ensure that institutions remain credible, even through the present.

The Nehru-Gandhi dynasty has never shown any interest in the preservation of institutions. The institutions have always been meant to serve them and not the other way around - that much has been clear because they name institutions after themselves anyway. This should not condition us to be blind to Modi's different approach, which both ramana and KLNM have described.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 05:43
by KLNMurthy
Pandemic, vaccine and controversy--P. Chidambaram
There is no evidence that Covaxin is harmful. The trials, so far, have qualified the vaccine on immunogenicity and safety. No adverse reports on efficacy have been received.
Nothing negative, everything positive about the Indian covid vaccines and the GoI' vaccination program.

What gives?

Any chaiwallah info?

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 06:04
by venkat_kv
VinodTK wrote:From Republicworld.com: Defence Budget 2021 To See Unprecedented Hike Reflecting 5-year Modernization Plan
Defence budget 2021 is set to reflect the modernisation plan of the Armed Forces for the next 5 years which is likely to attract the highest ever hike in the upcoming budget for the sector and a 2-year roll-on acquisition plan is also being made. Indian Defence forces are moving ahead with pace to become 'Atmnirbhar' with minimum dependence on foreign weapons, equipment and technology. In order to achieve self-reliance, Defence budget can be hiked to reach 6 lakh crore figure.
Chief of Army Staff General MM Narawane said on Tuesday that, "We had got the biggest chunk of the national budget that was,15 per cent of the national budget last year but this year situation being more demanding due to the ongoing tensions with China along the LAC, we expect to get a higher budget this year."

General Narawane also emphasized on the need for technological advancements that require a high budget. In view of the challenge of the China People's Liberation Army in Ladakh and the continued treachery of Pakistan along the Line of Control, a long-term outline of military preparations is being prepared in the Ministry of Defense's Military Department. After the creation of the post of Chief of Defense, the defence budget of this time will be allocated on the basis of the joint modernization roadmap of the three armies.

According to defence sources, in view of the ongoing tension along the border, there may be an unprecedented increase in the budget for the situation of war on two fronts. The Chief of Defense Staff has been supervising a 5-year Safeguard Modernization Plan. Not only this, a two-year annual roll-on plan is also being made under the Integrated Capability Development Plan to make arrangements to counter the enemy in the capacity of the three armies.
Talks are going on with the Finance Ministry to create a Defense Modernization Fund which gets carried out to next year in case it is not spent without getting lapse. The Ministry has emphasized that military procurement and construction of infrastructure facilities such as roads and bridges etc. goes on for a long time, so it is not possible to spend the budget in a year.

There have been indications that not only will the budget be arranged for the expenditure in the defence sector for one year but also according to the estimate of the next five years in the budget. It is estimated that this time there will be an unprecedented increase in the defence budget, giving a strong message to China.

A provision of Rs 4,71,000 crore was made in the defence budget for the year 2020-21, but in this,Rs 1,33,000 was only for pension. So there was only Rs 3,23,000 crore left for defence expenditure. There was also a provision of about Rs 1,00,000 crore for defence modernization.

The Ministry has sound reasons for more defence budget this time. The target is to complete the work of the integration of the three armies in the next 3 years. For this, these three new commands have to be created:
1.Defense space agency
2.Defense Cyber ​​Agency
3.Military Forces Special Operations Division.
Two other commands whose blueprints are being prepared by involving the three armies are:
1.-Air Defense Command
2. -Sea Command

The Defense Ministry is also continuously working on reducing its pension budget which has increased from Rs 1,17,000 crore to 1,33,000 crore. Initiatives have been taken to increase the age of retirement of soldiers. According to defence sources, work is also underway on a scheme for the officers of the Short Service Commission so that the expenditure of pension on this head can also be eliminated.

However, India's defence budget remains nowhere compared to China. China has a defence budget of about $ 45 billion which is five times more than India's defence budget. Officially China's defence budget was said to be 167 billion dollars, but according to an estimate by the International Institute of Strategic Affairs, Sipri, the Chinese budget is more than 254 billion dollars.

Two major steps are also being taken for the in-house resources of the defence forces. A Defense Renewal Fund will be created in which funds will be raised from the monetization of defence sector land. Secondly, Rs 40,000 crore will be raised in the next 8 years through National Building Construction Corporation Limited on the lines of self-financing to build 80 thousand houses of soldiers.

Apart from this, the Ministry of Defense has leased land from governments in many states and the state governments require land for roads and other facilities.
These plans will be instrumental in strengthening the defence forces with the spirit of 'Atmnirbhar Bharat' .
I think its better to wait and then bring such news out. Often it raises the expectations and euphoria over such bills and then if they don't come to fruition creates a lot of misunderstandings between the govt and its supporters. the govt would probably do all this if it had the money, but we have seen umpteen obstacles even for a non-relapsable fund.

this kind of raising expectations games were played by the media in the AP lands under CBN during every budget saying AP is going to get a big package from Center (some TDP MP <insert_name> went to see Arun Jaitley and he has assured of assistance). After budget it waould be back to square one programming the Center has deceived us, the middle class back is broken with taxes no relief and so on and so forth endless crocodile tears sessions.

this is report from Republic so maybe they have better sources, but most of the increase if any should be for the procurement from domestic companies (whether private or PSU in case of HAL or BEL).

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 06:07
by venkat_kv
Suraj wrote:
Sachin wrote: The Act is there, but the Rules are NOT there. It is the Rules which enable the implementation of the Act. On CAA I am really in two minds; was it all optics by the GoI (to get popularity) or was there any true intention to help persecuted non-Muslims. Unless the Rules come out soon - as A.Shah said; after COVID - it looks more like optics for me. But at least in fixing up J&K issues this government has exactly done what it had been saying.
At this point it is simply a matter of the ministry having the bandwidth to frame the rules correctly. Previously the complaint was that CAA was not notified. It was notified w.e.f Jan 10 2021 . Someone else can probably find the notification on egazette.nic.in . With the formal entry into force by notification, very little remains left to do.

There’s a common perception that the CAA disenfranchises Muslims. The reality is that the rules for them remain unchanged. Due to relative numbers, by far the largest group affected by the restrictions in the original 1955 act are Muslim . The CAA simply formalized the rights of non Muslims to gain citizenship. For Muslims the restrictions have remained in place all the while.
My guess would be that notification and probably rules framing for the CAA might come in a couple of months before Bengal Elections. It will also tie into the post covid timelines that Sachin Saar is mentioning with respect to Amit Shah.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 06:09
by venkat_kv
chetak wrote:
venkat_kv wrote:I have a question regarding this committee, Is this the same retd. Justice Lodha who was in charge of the BCCI reforms saga some 3-4 years ago?

the very same guy.

the SC went and negated his excellent report almost in toto.

effectively the SC negated its own report because it had appointed lodha to commission the report on behalf of the SC
I am guessing this will be a disaster like his previous one with BCCI. I believe the Lodha committee was set up to give guidelines on BCCI working based on betting by Chennai Super Kings Gurunath Meyiappan (son-in-law of N Sinivasan, hope I have the name right). it went further to propose how BCCI was to run and proposed a complete dismantling of the existing structure with an unreasonable time frame that ultimately proved unfeasible and as a result Anurag Thakur had to step down (we could also say this was a period that Shashank Manohar went to ICC and played around with money redistribution that reduced revenues earmarked for India).

whats not for the committee to not propose a solution where they will call for consensus (though that is not needed in this case where the farmers can avail of existing mandi setup if they choose it over the outside market) and staying the bills till the same is achieved.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 10:00
by Pratyush
chetak wrote:why do we need any trade deal at all with these racist b@$****$ :mrgreen:


Image removed

Beggars can be choosers??

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 15:10
by chetak
Bravo Thushara ji. She opened first ever non halal exclusive hotel of Kerala in Ernakulam district. No discrimination needed in food. Her hotel will serve only non halal food. Eventhough I am vegan, visited her and extended all support. pic.twitter.com/geKDkkt7hy

— Pratheesh Viswanath (@pratheesh_Hind) January 14, 2021
The restaurateur has also placed a banner outside her eatery which reads “No Halal, Halal Bakshanam Nishidham” (Halal food is banned here)

Smt Thushara revealed that since inception, many Muslims have taken offence to her idea of running a non-halal restaurant. “Muslims keep saying that it is not correct. Whenever Hindus start any business, Muslims try to intervene”, opined Smt Thushara, who has been running the restaurant for a year and a half now.

The first-ever non-Halal restaurant opens in Kerala, Ernakulam district: Here are the details

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 16:07
by chetak
After niazi's "win" on the internet poll, where he "beat" kohli for the title of the bestest kapitan in the entire universe........

his asli do kaudi ki aukaat, ek kaudi ki zillatt, on the international stage, has been truly revealed.

too bad that his sharia pal mahatir mohammed was napping peacefully at the time and didn't help him out


Image

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 16:39
by chetak
Image

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 16:45
by nam
Congratulations to all those who didn't believe the harward story of the lady with a associate professor job offer :D

Apparently the lady was royally scammed :rotfl:

No wonder we pointed out, there was no department on journalism in haward..

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 18:13
by Dileep
Think about the news she is 'fact checking'!!!

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 18:15
by Pratyush
Dileep wrote:Think about the news she is 'fact checking'!!!

It would have mattered if the people who watch that channel had any critical thinking skills.

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Posted: 15 Jan 2021 18:37
by sanjayc
Nidhi Razdan was scammed into believing she got an offer from the real Harvard University to become a professor of journalism: Details


Nidhi Razdan, formerly with NDTV, has revealed that she was the victim of a phishing attack and the Harvard University never offered her a position as an associate professor in journalism.

Nidhi Razdan, formerly with NDTV, has revealed that she was the victim of a phishing attack and the Harvard University never offered her a position as an associate professor in journalism. In a terse statement on Twitter, she said, “I have been the victim of a very serious phishing attack. I’m putting this statement out to set the record straight about what I’ve been through. I will not be addressing this issue any further on social media.

Nidhi Razdan said, “I had been given to believe that I would be joining the University in September 2020. While I was making preparations to take up my new assignment, I was later told that due to the ongoing pandemic, my classes would commence in January 2021. Along with these delays, I began noticing a number of administrative anomalies in the process being described to me.”

“At first, I had dismissed these anomalies as being reflective of the new normal being dictated by the pandemic, but recently the representations being made to me were of an even more disquieting nature. As a result, I reached out to senior authorities at Harvard University for clarity. Upon their request, I shared some of the correspondence that I believed I had received from the University,” the statement added.

However, she realized that she had been conned after receiving replies from the Harvard University. She said, “I did not, in fact, receive an offer by Harvard University to join their faculty as an Associate Professor of Journalism. The perpetrators of this attack used clever forgeries and misrepresentations to obtain access to my personal data and communications and may have also gained access to my devices and my email/social media accounts.”

Nidhi Razdan said that she has informed the police and authorities at Harvard University of the matter. A police complaint has been filed, however, it is unclear whether she suffered financial losses due to the scam. But it does appear that she left her job at NDTV because of the ‘job offer’. However, that is not yet confirmed. She said, “I hope that the police are able to get to the bottom of this attack on me at the earliest and help me bring this unsavoury incident to a swift end.”
https://www.opindia.com/2021/01/nidhi-r ... ng-attack/