Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Posted: 10 Apr 2026 05:26
Attack on iran
1) iran was the last of the countries to be damaged to create strife in muddle east as mentioned earleir in my posts . Uncle had decided to intervene in muddle east loooong before orange monkey or even obummer for that matter. The destruction of MENA region was evident as a long term plan. Only timelines got stretched which happens in this sort of geopolitical campaign. This is no surprise.
2) Iran has always used the straits of hormuz as its jugular vein. It is geography. Even Shah of iran pre 1978 said this . He was pro usa brought into power by uncle. every iranian leader knows this. Their military posture is geared towards this scenario. Nothing can be done to change this course unless physcially occupy the country.
3) Despite the war and some setbacks to uncle to impose its will on iran, uncle remains the dominant force. Iran is decimated and will take years to rebuild. Each attack on it will further weaken it despite hardline regime. It has lost lots of good people who can help it - either by migration or by elimination of top people steadily by isreal over time.
4) iran will continue to develop nuke program irrespective of nuke deals or any other treaties. obummer as potus did the treaty to buy time as he was busy in planting fires in MENA region and soft underbelly of russia including ukraine. iran also agreed to buy time. Both sides sort of agreed as they had other reasons. Scientists on both sides may be apolitical , but they are not in power to change the course. Currently iran is the only country in the world to have enriched uranium. This has no role except in military application. This is despite the nuke treaty. I am no physicist but my limited understanding- natural uranium <1%, nuke civilain reactors <5%, research <20% , for military it should be 90% and above. Between 20 and 90 is the grey zone. it can take weeks or years to develop a very pure form depending on technical expertise. hence confliciting time zones for various experts about iranian nuke program. Iran has deep sites in mountainous regions out of bound to IAEA and satellites or whatever spy methods employted by isreal and uncle etc. Also iran mad mullah is committed itslef to nuke program and has threatened jewish annihilation. So iran mad mullah regime change operation is necessary. curiously terr0istan will not help as it wants to be the only umma country to have it. Its unique USP.
5) isreal remains the dominant force in MENA after uncle. iran follows them but significantly degraded now militarily. Both uncle and isreal have the technical know how and knowledge skills to develop at fairly rapid pace than iran. This will remain for next several years.
6) iran was the last country standing as it was the strongest in MENA (after isreal) and has a mad mullah regime. only a mad person as potus can take on iranian mad mullahs. Hence orange monkey is the "chosen" one. Not obummer or bidenwa or bush.
7) iran mad mullah regime has threatened multiple times to erase jewish civilisation and uncle as nation . Hence mad POTUS orange monkey gave back in same coin . This was unnecessary and pretty stupid from POTUS. But only a mad person can do this. This was a threat only just to give a serious ultimatum typical of OM with TACO as usual.
Biggest losers are sunnis and shias overall. sunni gulf lost the "halo" of safe haven for ill gotten money and wealth from all over the world. that safety feel and brand repuation is largely lost. UAE-dubai, qatar bahrain saudi etc biggest losers . oman likley unaffected.
Shia thru iran has got a pyrrhic victory thru chokehold on straits of hormuz. This is temporary. Uncle will redouble its efforts thru various POTUSes in the near future. Never underestimate uncle as it is still dominant power.
Special mention of OM as Pappu of usa (POTUS)
as mentioned earleir attack on iran was in the offing - he just executed it as a mad person ( unfit ) for potus role. No other explanation. (Bringing in sextein files is silly and does not pass the simple smell test. sextein files are of more political and local domestic issues with international leaders vips involved. It is not the main reason for iran war. Both democrtas and elephants are involved. Anyway not the main issue in this thread)
Many get carried away by OM -- his TACO has become famous. This is simply his business style - (just like stock broker in markets - entering and exiting multiple times to make profits and losses- stupidly timing the markets )
He is intelligent having bested the democrats x2 in elections. Democratic party machinery is formidable compared to elephants. He has wrested control of elephants after coming out of democratic party, took control of magaidiots etc. No mean task. He behaves obnoxioulsy and is worthy of all hate etc by posters here and elsewhere.
India relationships in this 1 month old war
It remains steady and unaffected- iran sunni states and isreal remian good freinds and transactional. Likley India will be involved in some capacity in reconstruction efforts due to skilled labour and tech know how with cost effectiveness. India will be in demand thru various aspects . Expect high engagement by govt thru its diplomacy. strong silent and in background with some soundbites in public. More trade and associated deals will continue. Nothing flashy but steady commonsense realtionships.
Militarily-Indian defence forces will re evaluate their lessons from this war and modify accordingly.
1) iran was the last of the countries to be damaged to create strife in muddle east as mentioned earleir in my posts . Uncle had decided to intervene in muddle east loooong before orange monkey or even obummer for that matter. The destruction of MENA region was evident as a long term plan. Only timelines got stretched which happens in this sort of geopolitical campaign. This is no surprise.
2) Iran has always used the straits of hormuz as its jugular vein. It is geography. Even Shah of iran pre 1978 said this . He was pro usa brought into power by uncle. every iranian leader knows this. Their military posture is geared towards this scenario. Nothing can be done to change this course unless physcially occupy the country.
3) Despite the war and some setbacks to uncle to impose its will on iran, uncle remains the dominant force. Iran is decimated and will take years to rebuild. Each attack on it will further weaken it despite hardline regime. It has lost lots of good people who can help it - either by migration or by elimination of top people steadily by isreal over time.
4) iran will continue to develop nuke program irrespective of nuke deals or any other treaties. obummer as potus did the treaty to buy time as he was busy in planting fires in MENA region and soft underbelly of russia including ukraine. iran also agreed to buy time. Both sides sort of agreed as they had other reasons. Scientists on both sides may be apolitical , but they are not in power to change the course. Currently iran is the only country in the world to have enriched uranium. This has no role except in military application. This is despite the nuke treaty. I am no physicist but my limited understanding- natural uranium <1%, nuke civilain reactors <5%, research <20% , for military it should be 90% and above. Between 20 and 90 is the grey zone. it can take weeks or years to develop a very pure form depending on technical expertise. hence confliciting time zones for various experts about iranian nuke program. Iran has deep sites in mountainous regions out of bound to IAEA and satellites or whatever spy methods employted by isreal and uncle etc. Also iran mad mullah is committed itslef to nuke program and has threatened jewish annihilation. So iran mad mullah regime change operation is necessary. curiously terr0istan will not help as it wants to be the only umma country to have it. Its unique USP.
5) isreal remains the dominant force in MENA after uncle. iran follows them but significantly degraded now militarily. Both uncle and isreal have the technical know how and knowledge skills to develop at fairly rapid pace than iran. This will remain for next several years.
6) iran was the last country standing as it was the strongest in MENA (after isreal) and has a mad mullah regime. only a mad person as potus can take on iranian mad mullahs. Hence orange monkey is the "chosen" one. Not obummer or bidenwa or bush.
7) iran mad mullah regime has threatened multiple times to erase jewish civilisation and uncle as nation . Hence mad POTUS orange monkey gave back in same coin . This was unnecessary and pretty stupid from POTUS. But only a mad person can do this. This was a threat only just to give a serious ultimatum typical of OM with TACO as usual.
Shia thru iran has got a pyrrhic victory thru chokehold on straits of hormuz. This is temporary. Uncle will redouble its efforts thru various POTUSes in the near future. Never underestimate uncle as it is still dominant power.
Special mention of OM as Pappu of usa (POTUS)
as mentioned earleir attack on iran was in the offing - he just executed it as a mad person ( unfit ) for potus role. No other explanation. (Bringing in sextein files is silly and does not pass the simple smell test. sextein files are of more political and local domestic issues with international leaders vips involved. It is not the main reason for iran war. Both democrtas and elephants are involved. Anyway not the main issue in this thread)
Many get carried away by OM -- his TACO has become famous. This is simply his business style - (just like stock broker in markets - entering and exiting multiple times to make profits and losses- stupidly timing the markets )
He is intelligent having bested the democrats x2 in elections. Democratic party machinery is formidable compared to elephants. He has wrested control of elephants after coming out of democratic party, took control of magaidiots etc. No mean task. He behaves obnoxioulsy and is worthy of all hate etc by posters here and elsewhere.
India relationships in this 1 month old war
It remains steady and unaffected- iran sunni states and isreal remian good freinds and transactional. Likley India will be involved in some capacity in reconstruction efforts due to skilled labour and tech know how with cost effectiveness. India will be in demand thru various aspects . Expect high engagement by govt thru its diplomacy. strong silent and in background with some soundbites in public. More trade and associated deals will continue. Nothing flashy but steady commonsense realtionships.
Militarily-Indian defence forces will re evaluate their lessons from this war and modify accordingly.