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According to Naik, “To implement this, a committee was constituted, headed by an MoD joint secretary, and comprising members from the Indian Navy and MoD. After assessing the capabilities of all shipyards, as per our understanding, the committee cleared L&T Hazira in 2001 as the second line for submarine construction.”
WTF is going on here??
Did the IN pull the plug on Russkies due to some blackmail and the other vendors refused to work with L&T? Why is MoD going back on assurances to L&T?
Arya, that's a very interesting idea indeed ! the only objection I can think of right now is the cost as the tunnels would be too costly and unnecessary. a set of silos with a dedicated workspace for repairs etc should be enough.
Rahul M wrote:I think there is enormous merit in the idea of picking up 4-5 kilo's minus the whiz-bang with just the standard SONAR's and pop-up klubs.
Yes it is and I have been advocating it for long , but right now it seems their order books are full with 6 Kilo 636 for Vietnam navy , 3 6363 for Russian Navy and another claimed 2 Improved Kilo for Algeria under construction.
I dont think even if we order it now they can deliver it to us in the time scale we want. Well bad luck we will have to learn to live with the depleting submarine force till such time the Scorpene starts hitting water and pray MDL keeps its revised promise
Perhaps the Russians can be persuaded to transfer the 3 under construction for their navy to us (if it meets IN specs)?
Arya Sumantra wrote:
Under Sea-Floor Silos (USFS) for large SLBMs and SLCMs as a deterrent capable of withstanding first-strike
Land based silos are often cited as vulnerable to first strike and a submarine based SLBM both mobile and difficult to locate is considered to be more survivable deterrent for long distance strikes both conventional and “glowing”.
However ssbn or boomers are constrained by their diameter for length of missile(SLBM) they can carry and which in turn affects the range of the carried SLBM and its ability to strike deep within the dragon’s territory and far flung cities.
In this light, Under Sea-Floor Silos(USFS) loaded with very long-range missiles as shown in schematic should be seriously considered along side the boomer/ssbn development.
Advantages
1. There are missiles that come out of water to hit the land based targets but there exists NO long range missile that goes into the water to hit submerged targets like the USFS above. Even if such modifications are developed later they currently do not exist and are not in the mass-produced missiles.
2. Water behaves different to objects penetrating at different speeds. To a swimming diver it may be more compliant but to a high speed projectile such as incoming enemy missile coming to attack the silo it could behave like a concrete. Airliners break into parts when they try to land on the water assuming it as pliant medium. Jet powered motorboats riders racing on water at those speeds describe it as “cutting through sheets of steel”(in their own words). So either the incoming enemy missile targeting the silo-opening could break into fragments upon hitting Sea’s top surface or at the very least the CEP would get ruined badly.
3. Very large missiles such as Agni-5 in its SLBM versions could be launched from sea. No length constraint for missiles.
4. No noise or little if any.
5. Bears a bigger inventory of SLBMs than a sub.
6. Not detectable by planes like P-3C orion/P-8s unlike the subs.
7. Less exposed/vulnerable to an enemy sub’s attack compared to a submerged under water pontoon and easier to re-load the canisters/tubes of USFS with new missiles from the inventory nearby as compared to a submerged pontoon. As shown in the schematic a USFS only has a heavy canister head exposed to the sea.
8. Provides an additional survivable back-up until boomer tech is stabilized and low noise, larger capacity boomers are made and in significant numbers.
9. India has a long coastline to form a large number of these silos dispersed within its territorial waters
10. Flexible to replace with newer generation missiles and their tubes/canisters whereas a boomer is more rigidly married to the type of SLBM and its tubes it carries.
11. Faster training of the crew due to lesser engineering complexity compared to an ssbn.
Remarks
- Please note that this concept is not a substitute for ssbn capabilities but a cheaper/doable additional alternative to be pursued along side the boomer as it matures. The boomer will take its course and time and also being complex can be produced at a slow rate only while our longest range missiles are too long for a sub but to answer the threat scenario coming up in immediate future vis-à-vis dragon-baki nexus, the USFS concept seems more time effective especially to hit the deep interiors of dragon.
- Greater the floor depth the greater the protection from incoming attack but also greater overhead pressure P=hdg. Varying depth choices exist of the under-water terrain between maximum depth near a port and shallow depths off the beaches
- In the long run, such silos would perhaps be defended by radar-interceptor based abm shield above the water and sonar-torpedo shield under the water as enemies develop counter-measures
Auxiliary Applications
Similar Silos loaded exclusively with torpedoes and data-linked(physically with cable buried in sea-floor) with active and passive sonars (and decoy emitters) scattered over the sea-floor would help defend against enemy submarines that make past our submarines or sneak in. Although Torpedo Silos are only a defensive measure, they would go a long way at these times when our submarine numbers are stretched thin. Their presence along western coastline(at least Gujarat, Maharashtra if not all) would help counter Agusta’s intrusions during a conflict. Even after we build up our sub numbers, it would act like the last line of shoreline defence.
JMT and apologies for the long post.
This concept can work where such locations can be top secret.Would it work in India's case.Witness the number of security breaches among the top echelons in India ., for eg, the laptop that went missing in the US
L&T sources assert that over the preceding decade, the MoD and the Indian Navy had conveyed repeated assurances that the second submarine construction line would be set up by L&T at Hazira, in partnership with Russia.
According to Naik, “To implement this, a committee was constituted, headed by an MoD joint secretary, and comprising members from the Indian Navy and MoD. After assessing the capabilities of all shipyards, as per our understanding, the committee cleared L&T Hazira in 2001 as the second line for submarine construction.”
Maybe L&T has not greased the hands of MoD officials enough. This is indeed a setback for our fledgling domestic private defense industry. Our money is going to sustain ship and submarine building capacity in a 2nd nation. Something which would have created jobs in India, something which would have enhanced our internal ship building capacity is being done in a foreign nation.
ShivaS wrote:
Here is DLW Alco design Diesel engine which could be modified to make Diesel electric submarine.
Engine size of WDM2 Railway engine.
Installed Power 4000 HP
The diesel engines of the BG locomotives used in India vary from 2400 - 2600 hp for WDM 2 to 4000 - 4500 hp for WDP 4 / WDG 4 / WDP 4A. WDM 2 is no longer in production
These are NOT marine engines hence I would not use them in MY ships. I would prefer to buy from a reputed MARINE DIESEL ENGINE manufacturer like MTU or Wartsila rather than other manufcaturers like Cummnins, Caterplllar, Waukesha, EMD (former GM) etc. Large slow speed diesel engines are a differnet animal all together as compared to diesel engines for cars, trucks, construction equipment / earth moving equipment, railway locomotives etc.
K
For a given power [HP] speed(shaft) and torque are inversely related
HP = 2 pi N*T/4500
If the slower speed engine is used it will produce higher torque, there by eliminating the requirement of huge reduction gear box....
If you use higher speed you may have to use worm reduction to boost torque (yes some power loss will happen due to higher friction losses).
In any case we are talking about Diesel electric submarine.
When the sub is under water we are running on a bank of batteries to drive the electric motors, the diesel engine is for charging only except as secondary unit in case of electric propulsion failure...
Slow speed marine engines are more mandated for surface ships, even as such if you go for gas turbine engines (Petya class for instance) the gas turbine runs at much higher speeds (7000 and above,consequently larger gear box etc).
than diesel engine (2000 to 3000)
So I respectfully reject your contention counsellor K
This is how my mock up with IR diesel electric locmotive engine genset would like.
Thanks to folks appreciating the suggestion. Here’s my bit at answering some of the reservations
A tsunami is largely a surface water phenomena afaik and nothing much happens in the depths.
Where’s the noise signal for the torpedo to exploit. Also the exposed part is merely the tube/canister head. One could use, for example, tank’s armour in twice or thrice the thickness for the exposed tube head. The tanks have to carry around so armours aren’t built heavier beyond a point but the tube cap moves only when an SLBM is launched. It could be built far more rugged and capable of withstanding an impact
Divers(sabotaging) need supporting boats on the surface especially for deep depths and it is not difficult to spot such activity. If guards are dropped a lot of things can happen right before our very eyes, if you consider scenarios like these. Protective mines, carefully mapped for own personnel to avoid, could be laid around silo tube head on the sea-floor if really worried about that. And there could be a number of these silos especially the torpedo silos. Knocking out 1 or 2 wouldn’t help the enemy much.
Industrial structures have withstood quakes much better than flimsy constructions with cut corners. And we don’t have quakes with frequency like japan.
The defence world is a perpetual chess game where nothing is foolproof forever and everything is sufficient until counters are developed. You just see whether your enemy’s arsenal has a counter for it or not and go for it if the threat is immediate
venkyt wrote:Every other nation including Pigs&Pandas will appreciate this idea and some will implement it as well, but not our parliamentarians and their babus. At least, there will be considerable/more delay in implementation if proved feasible and practical to do so.
Our threats are in near future from dragon-baki nexus and we need to give a check-mate today. I seriously hope time is not wasted in endless debates to death seeking absolute foolproof alternatives for a distant future when threats are more immediate. Then there is also this innovation-phobia of conservative mindsets and a determined inertia against anything other than usual routine ways of doing things, all of it masquerading as “being practical” until of course they read about it in a defence journal.
Conventional subs can’t launch the lengths of SLBMized Agni5s or 3s and even then it is going to take either Kuber’s fortune(if imported, $11 billion for mere 6 conventional boats !) or long time(if locally made) to plug the hole in IN’s sub fleet size in short time. Money is limited and time is scarce for immediate threats.
And i agree with the other poster who said that secrecy would be vital. Especially since they cannot be moved.
After all the thing which makes submarines the ideal 2nd strike platform is not just their stealthiness but also their mobility making them harder to detect and neutralize...
Hmmm, lets see. MDL has delayed the Scorpene project with massive cost overruns. L&T which is one of India's most efficient engineering giants which has built the hull for Arihant and has spent large sums of money in building a facility to produce naval vessels for India.
So where should India's second line of subs be built? I know!! At a foreign shipyard and some at MDL as a reward for its patriotic support!! With imbeciles like this at the helm who needs enemies to destroy India? Is it any wonder there is no military-industrial complex of any worth in India? I am nauseas after hearing this news
Here is a practcial suggestion from some one who has dealt with defence projects.
L&T starts making components for sub hull the annular structures (ring like which fit into each other like lego and then welded).
Ship them South Africa based fictitious company called DDV Shipbuilders
(Established in 1866 on the coat of Arms) (Ohh by the way DDV stands for
Deep Dive Veislemein).
DDV orders from L&T the individual components
L&T exports them as high pressure vessels for Chemical industry.
L&T claims export subsidies for getting the order and earnin the foreign exchange.
Meanwhile DDV based in Durban (south southwest of Hazira and Chennai)
welds and assembles the sub adds some electronics from Holland France and Italy.
MoD & IN are invited by Denel corp at the expense of L&T to visit their offer of (L&T made Sub). A lion Safari and a couple of beach side properties are also shown in addition of Dollars and Rand (strictly to get familiarity of Foreign Exchange).
Denel gets the order after hiking the price to cover expenses and commission, L&T also covers its costs by 400%.
US Congress meanwhile gets into the act and forces GOI to impose sanctions against L&T for fradulent exports.
Defence accounts raps the Govt for high costs after 10 years of investigation.
Meanwhile GOI unilaterally declares that War not an option converts all ships to cruise ships and submarines into Museams to recover costs.
BRF members get 10% discount.
The common man should make scrifices for the country exhorts Mr. Sing
jai Hind (sight)
Re: Ajai Shukla's article on L&T being sidelined, the funniest quote:
The MoD’s Secretary for Defence Production, RK Singh, admits that L&T’s experience in submarine building needs to be tapped by the MoD. “We will find some role for L&T… it has capabilities that are very important for us,” RK Singh told Business Standard. “But this will have to be done in a transparent manner, allowing other private sector shipyards to compete as well.
Yes, so we should wait with abated breath for other private sector shipyards to sink billions of dollars each into creating defense shipyards, and in painstakingly creating expertise in sub-building, so that they can also experience what L&T is going through! I must say, our babus cannot be beat in dark humor.
Couple of commentators in Russia question the Amur/Lada submarine program stating it is inferior to German U-212A has problem with Sonars and Powerplant and is not a true 4th gen submarine link ( in russian use online translator )
Like I have said before U-212A remains the most proven conventional sub with advanced AIP design available out there , something worth considering for P-75I
Added Later: It seems the Powerplant issue with Lada is resolved though it still has many other issues
The disadvantage of U-212A is that, it has got zero land attack capablities.
If we can get hold on Dolphin class with tube launched Klub/Nirbhay that would be nice.
U212 was never for sale , the export model is U214.
there is no chance of getting vl-brahmos or vl-nirbhay into any western sub because it means major design change.
it has to be our own built sub with consultancy and import in some respects.
on other hand if we want to use SSK only for anti-ship role, almost any sub is fine.
An increasingly apparent reason for the Ministry of Defence’s slow decision-making on a second submarine production line for the Indian Navy is: the deep divisions within the navy over India’s submarine force. A debate rages between the submarine arm and the surface navy — particularly the dominant aviation wing — on whether the future lies in submarines or aircraft carriers. The navy’s submariners, meanwhile, debate the merits of conventional versus nuclear-powered submarines.
Slowed by these internal debates, India’s 30-Year Submarine Construction Plan, which the government approved in 1999, has languished. The 30-Year plan envisioned building 24 conventional submarines in India. Six were to be built from western technology and six with Russian collaboration; then Indian designers, having absorbed the best of both worlds, would build 12 submarines indigenously. Project 75, to build six Scorpene submarines (the “western” six), was contracted in 2005. In this series of articles, Business Standard has reported that the MoD believes it is still 4-6 years away from Project 75I, i.e. beginning work on the second six submarines.
A senior retired admiral, reflecting the views of the submarine arm, blames the navy’s “aircraft carrier lobby” for the delay in building submarines. He alleges: “The last two naval chiefs (Admirals Arun Prakash and Sureesh Mehta) were aviators, who had no interest in using the navy’s limited budget for building submarines. So they exploited the division of opinion amongst submariners — the nuclear-powered versus conventional submarine debate — to push submarine building into the future.”
Nuclear-powered submarines are of two types: ballistic missile submarines (called SSBNs) and attack submarines (referred to as SSNs). Both are propelled by power from a miniature on-board reactor, but SSBNs also fire nuclear-tipped ballistic missiles. SSBNs are not a part of the fighting navy; they constitute a country’s nuclear deterrent and fire their nuclear-tipped missiles on orders from the national leadership. SSNs operate as part of a naval fleet, moving under nuclear power and sinking surface warships with conventional torpedoes and missiles.
Interestingly, India is the only country that has chosen to build SSBNs (the recently-launched INS Arihant, and two successor submarines) before building an SSN force. The reason has been a deeply felt need to operationalise the nuclear triad — land, sea and air-based nuclear delivery systems that India’s Draft Nuclear Doctrine stipulates as a secure second-strike capability.
But the possibility of an SSN force remains tantalisingly alive. In 2004 — when INS Arihant was being developed under the Advanced Technology Vessel, or ATV, programme — Admiral Arun Prakash, then navy chief, proposed that the ATV programme be enlarged to six SSBNs and four SSNs. This required the allocation of Rs 10,000 crore for the DRDO to develop the necessary technologies. Pranab Mukherjee, then the defence minister, backed the allocation of this funding. But, according to sources close to the ATV project, once AK Antony took over as defence minister in 2006, he backed off, insisting that the Prime Minister’s Office should take all decisions relating to India’s strategic nuclear programme. The proposal for funding technology development lapsed.
But the Director General of the DRDO, Dr VK Saraswat, confirms that an SSN could be developed without difficulty. Talking to Business Standard, Saraswat said, “I have no charter to build an SSN at the moment. But once the government takes a policy decision… we can start working on it. The only major difference between a nuclear powered attack submarine (i.e. an SSN) and an SSBN is weaponry, and the size changes. The technology for design, packaging, and integration remains similar.”
Votaries of nuclear submarines, such as Rear Admiral (Retired) Raja Menon, argue that nuclear-powered submarines have a crucial advantage over conventional ones: endurance. While conventional (diesel-electric) submarines are more quiet and harder to detect while submerged, they are easily picked up when they surface to charge their batteries. Furthermore, they move slowly underwater, unlike nuclear submarines, which can remain submerged almost indefinitely. This allows a single nuclear submarine — travelling underwater to its patrol station and remaining there, undetected, for months — to do the job of multiple conventional submarines, which give their position away when they surface at regular intervals.
Admiral Menon explains, “A single SSN can dominate an area 1,000 nautical miles (1,850 km) away as effectively as three conventional submarines, which require one submarine on station, another transiting to relieve it, and a third transiting back to refuel. If the patrol area is farther than 1,000 nautical miles, a single SSN does the job of five conventional submarines. That is why the US Navy fields an all-nuclear force.”
But Menon accepts that the Indian Navy would always need conventional submarines. India’s coastal waters are so shallow that SSNs, which typically weigh 4,000-5,000 tonnes, run the risk of scraping the bottom. Conventional submarines, which normally weigh around 1,500 tonnes, are needed for dominating the coastal areas. But the complexities of a nuclear submarine programme are evident from China’s current difficulties. The Pentagon’s recent report to the US Congress, entitled “Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China, 2010” reveals that China’s SSN and SSBN programmes are in trouble. China relies on its four primitive Han-class attack submarines (Type 091), having decided to close construction of the newer Shen-class (Type 093). Currently, China is grappling with a newer Type 095 SSN; five of these could be added “in the coming years”.
China also faces problems in developing SSBNs. The first Xia-class (Type 092) SSBN line produced just one submarine, which was never deployed on a deterrence patrol. Then China shifted focus to a newer Jin-class (Type 094), of which the first SSBN “appears ready”, with four more under construction. However, the long-range ballistic missile for the Jin-class SSBNs, termed the Julang-2, has “encountered difficulty… failing several of what should have been the final round of flight tests.”
An increasingly apparent reason for the Ministry of Defence’s slow decision-making on a second submarine production line for the Indian Navy is: the deep divisions within the navy over India’s submarine force. A debate rages between the submarine arm and the surface navy — particularly the dominant aviation wing — on whether the future lies in submarines or aircraft carriers. The navy’s submariners, meanwhile, debate the merits of conventional versus nuclear-powered submarines.
So, its a IN created problem of depleting sub fleet?
Pranab Mukherjee, then the defence minister, backed the allocation of this funding. But, according to sources close to the ATV project, once AK Antony took over as defence minister in 2006, he backed off, insisting that the Prime Minister’s Office should take all decisions relating to India’s strategic nuclear programme. The proposal for funding technology development lapsed.
The aircraft carrier vs Submarine debate is going on from the starting of navy. What we need is right a balance of both.
The program for a SSN has to start now if we have any serious ambitions of controlling the Indian Ocean. We can also start the SSGN program also right now on the basis of Arihant. The US Ohio class submarines are recently modifies to carry 154 Tomhawk cruise missiles in place of trident missiles. IE it can carry 7 tomhawk in place of 1 trident missile.
The threat from PLAN subs can also be effectively countered by having a good fleet of patrol aircraft's. The 6 P8I is a very small number when we have to consider the vast area of ocean we have to cover. To take an example JMSDF is having a fleet of 80 plus p-3 orions.
We need at least 20 of these with a tender reopened for the MRPA to back up the long range P8I.
The contradiction about the internal debate and effect on the submarine induction is in the article itself. So, the Aviator CNS proposed enlarging the scope of ATV programme to six SSBN and four SSN? Also, since when has the IN projected the requirement for next line of sub? So, now all the blame lies with IN. Great.
that ajai shukla blog seems slightly out of place. Why would a naval aviator undermine submarine development.
Surely he would know the importance of a SSN in a carrier battle group. It would act as a vital protector of the carrier when it goes into international waters.
It's why I've been advocating as a "quick fix" solution picking up after some byzantine bargaining (within a short time frame though-3 months!),the 4 planned U-214 AIP subs that Greece couldn't pay for.We can acquire these subs within 3-4 years (the first which Greece rejected for supposed surface stability problems-denied by the Germans,as Greece had severe financial problems and couldn't pay for the subs) within months if required.These subs can fire sub-Harpoon missiles,so could easily fire SM versions of Exocet,which we are acquiring for the Scorpenes.We have 2+ decades of experience using the German U-boats,have been v.happy using them and had the HDW alleged scandal not surfaced,now proven to have been unsubstantiated or without proof,we would've had in service 8 U-boats.
These 4 U-214s could complement the upgraded U-209s in service and later on replace them with more subs,once we have compared the Scorpene with MESMA and the German U-boats, and decide which wetsern sub/sub tech, suits us best.
Till then,our upgraded Klub capable Kilos will complement the force of the two western AIP subs.The second line of Russian origin subs with AIP which should be of slightly larger size,able to carry out open ocean ops anywhere with a larger weaponload including Brahmos,should come on stream replacing earlier Kilos and eventually all of them.
As to the the report on the reasons for the delay on the second line,it indicates what we've debated for some time,that a resource crunch could've been experienced as the ATV programme's costs,for which there is little open info available would be very substantial (rememebr,that the offical reason given for sacking Adm.Bhagwat was that he revealed alleged details of the ATV project,for which he wanted a financial audit as it was chewing up budgeted funds for theIN ),and the additional planned SSGNs require a subtantial amount of moolah,addditonal funds would be required for the second,actually third line of subs or fourth if you count SSBNs and SSGNs as separate lines though built in the same yard.
The debate in the IN could also be true.I've spoken to a few senior submariners who were all of the opinion that the only true AIP sub is a nuclear sub,but that littoral warfare subs with AIP were also neccessary for the shallower waters.
To my mind,we need both carriers and a substantial fleet of subs.Both are indispensable to meet the Sino-Pak challenge.However,carriers come at great expense and require a large on-board fleet of aircraft,helos and UUVs.Cold War experience saw many instances where carriers were successfully shadowed by subs,who took pictures of the carrier task force.I vividly remember a British N-sub's pics of a Russian Slava CG taken on her maiden voyage.The loss of a carrier-or even a carrier put out of action by a torpedo attack,constitues a huge loss in capability for any carrier operating navy.It is why I've also proposed-just as the SoKos and Japanese are doing,that above 10/12,00t,all surface vessels have flat tops so that they can operate large multi-role helos and STOVL aircraft,apart from primarily for amphibious operations.Thus an IN fleet of 3 carriers plus a few multi-role smaller flat tops can sanitise a goodly par of the IOR and beyond.We must maximise India's large landmass which juts out dagger like into the IOR,an "unsinkable" carrier and operate from it LRMPs like the TU-142,which have a massive 16 hr. endurance and also supersonic maritime role Backfires if poss. to complement the carrier task forces.
The IN/DRDO should have at its top priority mastering the art of N-sub building,both SSBNs and SSGNs fro which no one vbarring Russia has or will give us any assistance.Being larger than conventional AIP subs which require greater automation,complexity and miniaturisation of eqpt.,it might prove easier for the IN to build N-subs than the smaller AIP subs,where mastering the design and art of N-reactors and associated machinery is the key.Decades ago the then CNS,Adm.Ronnie Pereira said that "we should walk before we can run",when rejecting acquiring a Russian N-sub,preferring to acquire/build conventional subs first.In like manner,now that we can "walk",we should "jog before we run and run before we can sprint"!
PS: It remains a mystery why L&T have been kept out.I think that the DRDO/PSU lobby have conspired in this ,not wanting their shortcomings all being exposed in the open when L&T develop,build and deliver these subs on time unlike the PSU yards.With MMS's complete illiteracy on security and defence matters,his sole aim to complete the N-deal and keep his secret (?) promises made to the US,the decision of sub choice for the second line and future SSGNs if left to him,will languish and endanger the nation's security even further.
Last edited by Philip on 02 Sep 2010 15:18, edited 1 time in total.
But IIRC one the last two CNS was a submariner as well in addition to being an aviator. So the report of the CNS putting off the Sub acquisition makes no sense.
Its no secret every Admiral have their own pet projects and depending on background they have risen from Aviators,Submariners or the other branches , they tend to have affinity towards it and push their own baby up on the priority list and lobby with MOD.
It is a known fact that had it not been the 98 N test and the importance of building triad as part of our nuclear policy the ATV project was going no where , post 98 and the sudden importance of fail safe deterrent led the ATV to come out of its isolation and help sought to speed it up get it done with help from a friendly country.
It wont be surprising that Adm Prakash and Suresh Mehta would have lobbied hard to get the indigenous Aircraft project in the top priority list of MOD and with necessary funding to get the ball rolling which we know is the case with IAC. { as a matter of record the IN has been pushing for an indignious Aircraft Carrier since late 80's ( ~ 30000T baby ) and even had a indiginous SSK design based on T-209 but slightly bigger ready by mid 90's and both died a quite death on the tables of MOD }
Since 1999 when the GOI approved the 30 year plan to build 24 SSK and even after another decade we are no where close to rolling even the first type , now we are told that would happen in 2015 and the 2nd line will start work 4 -5 years from now , they should just rename the "30 years submarine plan" to "50 years submarine plan"
AM Naik, chairman & MD of L&T is trying whole hog to snatch the P75I construction contract.
Yesterday at the NDTV Profit live event “Business Leadership Awards”, He called upon the government to allow for a wider participation of the private sector in the defence sector indirectly referring to the P75I construction. Parnav Mukerjee responded by saying that he agreed that the private sector should be allowed to have wider participation in development of “Platforms” as well as the “Systems” and very recently government at the “highest level” have decided to implement it. Niar responded by saying that “He have high hopes now”.
Recent Col. Sukla’s visit to Katupalli and Hazira, Niar’s statements are all indicative of L&T’s well thought out PR and media offencive to secure this highly lucrative Contract, one should not be surprised if they are after construction of all the 6 subs.
Why not allow DRDO and MAzagon, Garden Reach, all and any other PSU including the likes of Fertilizer corp and Food corp be credited with and a small logo of their pasted all over the SUB, but L&T make them and pay L&T in time.
All PSUs are used to do this kind of job and excel at that.
only 1) example HVF assembles Ashok Leyland and Tat Vehicles no?
Rightly so that there is a lot of discussion within the defense community for use n type of subs etc. Whats the primary immediate need now:
- To be able to defend our coastlines from an attack by China ( no one else is threatening India so that's the only logical adversary currently).
Options:
1. Build SSNS/SSBMs and have real numbers.
2. Build a large P81's squad. They should be able to comprehend n destroy any under-water threat if works as claimed.
#1, IMHO..a min deterrent level of these are required of course but "law of probability" would ensure that there numbers come down quickly in case of a war, specially when a large force of subs would be deployed by the chinks.
#2 P81's with the latest gizmoz should be able to track and destroy subs without taking casualty if accompanied by fighters.
- They would also require comparitively less crew to run, maintanence, dockyard's etc etc.
Let our economy grow for 30 yrs at 9% after which we can engage in building subs in numbers, this is exactly what China did.
Let our economy grow for 30 yrs at 9% after which we can engage in building subs in numbers, this is exactly what China did.
Are you serious?
Well, we have achieved a decade of growing at close to 8%, count that in.
The other reason is building an military industrial complex is one thing, keeping it alive is another. The current projection for the next 2-3 decades for sub req by GOI in itself is 24.
Do you think 20-24 subs will be able to defend India from an attack by China from sea?
I am not against everything been built in India, but when 55% of our population is under poverty, it seems that things will remain within these discussion forums.
I was still talking about the current/immediate national need based on current threat assesment and not future/expected goal to have everything inhouse where we become the consumers and the exporters.
I'm completely for L&T getting the order to build subs instead of a 2nd line to PSU's who don't need them.
There are 2 aspects:
- Matching numbers to your adversaries (not possible currently for india versus China)
- Maintaining a superior inventory, which would to an extent negate the numbers scenario. I hope you know this to be the exact reason why we all are proud of the customized Su-30's. Building superior inventory (which takes time), when the NEED is now somehow seems stupidity, isnt it?
ShivaS wrote:Yes yes meanwhile buy subs from France, Russia, Germany and give away 4% of GDP so that our growth will never be 9%
If L&T gets it now the growth of GDP will be 9% +2% (with local employment)
No disrespect intended, but look at a scenario:
1. Requirement to use L&T's unit to build subs: 2 Numbers
2. L&T says, we build 1 sub each per 18 months, same time taken by other naval construction yards, which means 36 months (3 yrs) for handing over the subs to IN.
3. L&T's yard fully operational by 2011, so by 2014 they are pretty much done. Now after pumping in billions of dollars and becoming a player in sub construction what do they do, play a game of poker with Antony to win a new sub order?
I don't think they can become exporters overnight to keep their assembly lines running.
Not to forget, when first strike will be taken by our adversaries, they will target exactly these installations and render them ineffective [again "Law of probability"]
I may have missed another angle to all this, so would be really helpful if you can educate me.
dinesha wrote:AM Naik, chairman & MD of L&T is trying whole hog to snatch the P75I construction contract.
Yesterday at the NDTV Profit live event “Business Leadership Awards”, He called upon the government to allow for a wider participation of the private sector in the defence sector indirectly referring to the P75I construction. Parnav Mukerjee responded by saying that he agreed that the private sector should be allowed to have wider participation in development of “Platforms” as well as the “Systems” and very recently government at the “highest level” have decided to implement it. Niar responded by saying that “He have high hopes now”.
Recent Col. Sukla’s visit to Katupalli and Hazira, Niar’s statements are all indicative of L&T’s well thought out PR and media offencive to secure this highly lucrative Contract, one should not be surprised if they are after construction of all the 6 subs.
Interesting thought and could be true also!!! This might be a L&T psy-ops to ensure everything goes there way. I cannot imagine MoD even thinking of getting a well connected giant like L&T on the wrong side! ( The statement of Naik in the NDTV awards struck me also as strange since usually defence stuff are not spoken in such awards, only about helping the poor etc are.) So, if the CMD is pushing personally for this project, cant see L&T being out of the race.
My dear sir no knowledge goes waste, except you dont want to learn or adapt to new situations (which is what Public sector motto is).
If L&T is lead by shrewed business leaders, they would not get into business of building Subs... unless the margins are such that even if the production stops at 2 Subs they will end up winners. That is to say if the fixed cost is completely covered by the margins in 2 subs. (after using all the subsidy this is entirely possible)
When you build subs you gain Gyan, when you sell subs you gain even more gyan, when you sell and they have defects you gain gyan and money too for fixing them.
Then you have aging subs, which is even more profitable, like fixing our near defunct MiG-21s (or hiring IBM mainframe programmers or even better hiring programers to maitain antiquated Sabre system of Airline booking).
If you place A sub vertically on Land it becomes a chemical/Process equipment that can with stand high pressure.
Even better they may branch off in off shore rigs, sub rescue vessels,other ideas I dont want to reveal as you csh on them instead of me (too)
Ihad asked what is fair price for A sub? even by sub stnadards I have not got an answer for sages here, atleast none of the sages surfaced from the deep dive they are in.