Re: India's Best Option In Afghanistan
Posted: 12 Apr 2010 12:52
-The ideological (i.e. 'bad') Taliban is part of the Deobandi movement.
- Some elements of the 'bad' Taliban are willing to work with the PA, others fight it
-The Deobandi movement in Pakistan is strong in both Pakjabi and Pashtun areas.
- The Deobandi movement believes in Islamic emirates, and it believes in the ummah.
- It is not at all clear that the movement believes in modern Pakistani nationalism of the PA's variety
- The PA has no real control over the extent of the Deobandi movement's embrace of global jihad.
- The threat from both global jihad, and from stray nuclear material is what keeps the US armed forces in Af-Pak
The Deobandi movement is probably the PA's most dangerous rival, but also something it also finds indispensable despite its unpredictability and independence.
What are the Taliban's strategic goals? How do they fit in with the broader Deobandi ideological goals? How does this clash or mesh with Pakistan's strategic and ideological goals?
These are the gaps that will determine what is and is not possible for any other power - the US, India, China, Russia, the EU, Iran, the Gulf, etc to work with the Taliban and make any tangible gains.
- Some elements of the 'bad' Taliban are willing to work with the PA, others fight it
-The Deobandi movement in Pakistan is strong in both Pakjabi and Pashtun areas.
- The Deobandi movement believes in Islamic emirates, and it believes in the ummah.
- It is not at all clear that the movement believes in modern Pakistani nationalism of the PA's variety
- The PA has no real control over the extent of the Deobandi movement's embrace of global jihad.
- The threat from both global jihad, and from stray nuclear material is what keeps the US armed forces in Af-Pak
The Deobandi movement is probably the PA's most dangerous rival, but also something it also finds indispensable despite its unpredictability and independence.
What are the Taliban's strategic goals? How do they fit in with the broader Deobandi ideological goals? How does this clash or mesh with Pakistan's strategic and ideological goals?
These are the gaps that will determine what is and is not possible for any other power - the US, India, China, Russia, the EU, Iran, the Gulf, etc to work with the Taliban and make any tangible gains.