Sumeet wrote: ↑01 Jun 2024 19:09
Everyone giving 350+ to NDA
Republic TV Matrize 353-368 118-133 43-48
NDTV India 365 142 36
Jan Ki Baat 362-392 141-161 10-20
India News D-Dynamics 371 125 47
Republic TV PMARQ 359 154 30
You mean to say noted Psephologist Shree Jairam Ramesh was wrong?
INDIA bloc PM within 48 hrs, party with max seats 'natural claimant' to leadership, says Jairam Ramesh
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 01 Jun 2024 22:44
by Tanaji
Everyone is predicting 23-24 each for NDA and Indi in Maharashtra. The INDIA has done well , and it bodes worse for NDA in state elections.
Ajit Pawar faction is predicted to get a solitary seat.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 01 Jun 2024 23:03
by williams
vijayk wrote: ↑01 Jun 2024 21:04
SHOCKING NEWS Today's Chanakya predicts 10 seats for NDA in Tamilnadu.
BJP+ : 10
DMK+ : 29
ADMK : 0
I am looking at various numbers. It sounds like ADMK is replaced with BJP. In that case 10 is possible. It will be shocking of course. But if they get 10 in TN then > 400 should become a reality. Central schemes are making inroads even in developed states should be the take away.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 01 Jun 2024 23:18
by asgkhan
I hope the combo of Modi+Shah+Nadda take the decision of keeping the CRPF in West Bengal for 3 months atleast. Maomata will unleash bloodbath to send a message to those voters as 2026 is at risk.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 01 Jun 2024 23:25
by Kati
All the psephologists are wrong ......
Here comes the real projection:
VIDEO | Lok Sabha Elections 2024: “According to the people’s survey that we conducted, INDIA alliance is going to win at least 295 seats,” says CPI (M) leader Sitaram Yechury (@SitaramYechury) after INDIA bloc's meeting in Delhi.#LSPolls2024WithPTI #LokSabhaElections2024… pic.twitter.com/OlTJSEwOIL
— Press Trust of India (@PTI_News) June 1, 2024
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 01 Jun 2024 23:26
by Kati
^^^^
This comes from Ganashakti (the bengali language CPM party organ)
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 01 Jun 2024 23:33
by A_Gupta
Everyone who attended the INDI get-together in the past day has come out with this 295+ statement. There is a similar statement from Kejriwal.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 01 Jun 2024 23:43
by Kati
Communist Party of India (Marxist-Lennist) - Liberation: in its editorial of May 16th proclaimed:
মোদীর ফ্যাসিবাদী জমানার নিশ্চিত পরাজয় এখন আর মাত্র কয়েক সপ্তাহ দূরে!
("Modi Regime's guaranteed defeat is just a few weeks away")
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 01 Jun 2024 23:43
by williams
asgkhan wrote: ↑01 Jun 2024 23:18
I hope the combo of Modi+Shah+Nadda take the decision of keeping the CRPF in West Bengal for 3 months atleast. Maomata will unleash bloodbath to send a message to those voters as 2026 is at risk.
I would rather collect evidence and dismiss the govt on law and order emergency grounds and then keep CRPF in there. This is outrageous. If BJP gets > 400, they need to tell who is the boss. Most of my friends in UP vouch that BJP gets such drastic support due to the way Yogi Ji handled crime with an iron first. Bengal needs that if citizens need to walk fearless in the state.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 01 Jun 2024 23:46
by williams
A_Gupta wrote: ↑01 Jun 2024 23:33
Everyone who attended the INDI get-together in the past day has come out with this 295+ statement. There is a similar statement from Kejriwal.
They are getting the training from CCTV, where outrageous things can be announced with very little data backing it. And hence they decided they will not debate exit polls.
New Delhi:The Election Commission has arranged for massive security during counting and after, for two states that have made headlines with poll-related violence. Central forces will be stationed Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal for 15 days after the votes are counted on Tuesday, sources said. Uttar Pradesh, Odisha, Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh have been provided with security forces for two days after the counting day.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 00:03
by Kati
Bangladeshi media is tormented by two most recent news:
(a) NaMo is coming back with a bigger mandate:
(b) In Saudi school textbooks' latest edition is shocking: map of Palestine is missing and all the anti-Israeli rhetorics have gone missing.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 00:16
by A_Gupta
https://www.newindianexpress.com/web-on ... -must-stop
The conspiracy theories about elections in India must stop
In India, fears about the election are being fanned. Right now, an online mob is being prepared. If these people do not get what they want, will they accept the results on June 4?
A few days ago, the online news portal Wire uploaded an astonishing report on the ongoing 2024 general elections. They claimed that the number of votes in the first five phases had dropped by almost 20 crore in comparison to the 2019 elections. Of course, that was nowhere near true.
The website later changed the story saying they had miscalculated since they "considered the number of eligible voters released by the PIB for each phase of the 2019 elections, instead of the absolute numbers of the post-election turnout to arrive at an incorrect conclusion". Their newer numbers were incorrect too. But by then the screenshots of their original report were shared in WhatsApp groups and picked up by eager YouTubers. It added to the already large number of conspiracy theories about what is happening at the Election Commission.
For anyone who cares, here is the truth. In the first five phases, the number of votes is actually up by some 2 crore, not down by 20 crore. But how many people will go to the website of the Election Commission, download the official report, add up the numbers for 427 seats that have voted so far, and check? It is far too boring for almost anyone. And online content creators know exactly that. That is why the conspiracy theories.
Take the case of “Form 17C,” which is now suddenly internet famous. Why is the Election Commission hiding it from us? But they are not. There are some 10.5 lakh polling stations in India. Wherever voting has been completed, the candidates or their polling agents have already been given Form 17C, containing the booth level data. So lakhs of people already have this form. If they are serious, they can upload it anywhere they want.
But why won’t the Election Commission upload these forms on their own website? Okay, it was never done before, but so what? Let us have even more transparency. You could, but let us be clear about what the conspiracy theorists are doing. Next they will ask for hourwise data to be uploaded. After that, maybe CCTV footage of voting at each booth, from at least six different camera angles. This is not about transparency, but trolling. And anytime the EC turns down any request, it can be used to create fear that the election is rigged. This is dangerous. It seems they want mass unrest if the election does not go their way
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 00:53
by vijayk
What will George $oreA$$ do now? Change Diaper and fight for another day!!
What about $*itholes in SD led by joker Gar$hitty? Back to Manipur from Chennai?
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 00:59
by chetak
face of thug @sardesairajdeep when India today projected vote % share of west bengal #ExitPoll
Summary of all exit polls
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 01:11
by Anujan
Kati wrote: ↑01 Jun 2024 23:25
All the psephologists are wrong ......
Here comes the real projection:
VIDEO | Lok Sabha Elections 2024: “According to the people’s survey that we conducted, INDIA alliance is going to win at least 295 seats,” says CPI (M) leader Sitaram Yechury (@SitaramYechury) after INDIA bloc's meeting in Delhi.#LSPolls2024WithPTI #LokSabhaElections2024… pic.twitter.com/OlTJSEwOIL
— Press Trust of India (@PTI_News) June 1, 2024
The noted comment about the commie system
We pretend to work, and they pretend to pay us
should be changed to
They pretend to vote for us, we pretend we are winning
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 01:48
by g.sarkar
https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/exit-po ... ts-5793719 Exit Poll Results 2024 Highlights: Most Exit Polls Predict Over 350 Seats For BJP-Led NDA Poll of Exit Poll 2024 Highlights: A big win for the BJP-led NDA has been predicted by seven exit polls.
India News, NDTV News desk, June 01, 2024
Exit Poll Results 2024 Highlights: Most Exit Polls Predict Over 350 Seats For BJP-Led NDA
2024 Poll of Exit Poll India Election: Exit polls are expected to be released after 6.30 PM
Exit Poll Results 2024 Highlights: After a marathon Lok Sabha elections 2024 - spread over six weeks, the second longest general election since 1951-52 - it's time for Exit Polls. A big win for the ruling BJP-led NDA has been predicted by twelve exit polls - India Today- Axis My India (361-401), News 24-Today's Chanakya (400), ABP News-C Voter (353-383), Republic Bharat- P Marq (359), India News- D-Dyanamics (371), Republic Bharat- Matrize (353-368), Dainik Bhaskar (281-350), News Nation (342-378), TV 9 Bharatvarsh- Polstrat (342), Times Now-ETG (358), India TV- CNX (362-392) and Jan Ki Baat (362-392).
The exit polls have also predicted NDA dominance in Karnataka and Maharashtra and Left-led alliance's rout in Kerala. In Bengal, the exit polls predicted a better performance for the BJP than it did the last time (22). Most exit polls have said that the BJP will now be the single-largest party in Bengal in terms of Lok Sabha seats.
......
Gautam
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 02:27
by Amber G.
AajTak Axis My India
BJP+ : 361-401, 'INDIA' : 131-166
News24 Today's Chanakya
BJP+ : 400, 'INDIA' : 107
NDTV Jan Ki Baat
BJP+ : 377 +-15, 'INDIA' : 151 +-10
Sumeet wrote: ↑01 Jun 2024 19:09
Everyone giving 350+ to NDA
Republic TV Matrize 353-368 118-133 43-48
NDTV India 365 142 36
Jan Ki Baat 362-392 141-161 10-20
India News D-Dynamics 371 125 47
Republic TV PMARQ 359 154 30
You mean to say noted Psephologist Shree Jairam Ramesh was wrong?
INDIA bloc PM within 48 hrs, party with max seats 'natural claimant' to leadership, says Jairam Ramesh
"Oh, joy! BRF has another amazing day! Exit polls show the fascists are winning . Terrible day for India. Exit polls predict fascists are winning. Big time. Yet again. No hope left for democracy. Free speech is dead. I can’t breathe. I feel nauseous. Numb. Sick. Time has finally come to leave these shores forever and set up a Media house in my own country
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 02:47
by A_Gupta
If it turns out, as I expect, that the women's vote was majorly in favor of the BJP, then I also expect magazine articles and academic articles on "Modi's Naari Shakti & Devi worship as the genesis of female Hindu nationalist fascism".
The reality which they won't pay any attention to is that it is likely "Rasoi, Paani aur Makaan" that won Modi the women's vote.
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 03:52
by Sumeet
Rajdeep getting befitting response from Rahul Kanwal, Rahul Verma, Rajat Sethi:
First time hearing Rajdeep calling Narendra Modiji You can view first 23 mins to see all of this.
BJP-led NDA Projected To Win 361-401 Seats, As Per Axis My India Exit Poll
India Today
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 05:36
by KL Dubey
These are the 5 exit polling agencies that covered both 2019 and 2024 LS elections. Two of them also covered the 2014 election.
List below only has the pollster name, not any TV channels that may have hired them:
Agency 2014 2019 2024
Axis NA 352 381
Chanakya 340 350 400
CNX NA 300 386
CVoter 289 287 368
Jan Ki Baat NA 305 377
Takeaways:
- All of them are estimating much higher numbers for NDA in 2024 relative to previous two elections.
- Axis got it right in 2019. Chanakya remarkably got it right in both 2014 and 2019. If we consider these guys the most reliable, it looks like 400 is within reach.
- The other three (CNX/CVoter/JKB) have been on the lower side in 2014 and 2019, but all of them estimate much higher numbers this time, which is also a good sign.
Additionally:
- Shawn Jay's Jaipur Dialogues/Chintamani exit poll estimates 399 for NDA.
- Dr BB of 5forty3 says Modi sill has a strong chance of crossing 400.
In summary, June 4 looks like an exciting day for all the right reasons, i.e. we need not be too worried about NaMo and BJP returning with majority....but some main interests will be:
- how close NDA gets to 400 (or how much beyond, depending on your perspective)
- how NDA is doing in the "sunrise" states like TN, KL, WB, OD, TG
- some individual contests...such as Amethi, R Bareli, Koyambattur, Trivandrum, Hyderabad, etc
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 05:52
by Anujan
Mudi should rejine if NDA does not cross 400
Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Posted: 02 Jun 2024 06:59
by Amber G.
Anujan wrote: ↑02 Jun 2024 05:52
Mudi should rejine if NDA does not cross 400