vinod wrote:TB2 impact is very much over stated. The number of videos that are coming put are hardly any. Russians are taking out at least 1 a day. It remains to be seen how many remain.
The promised deluge of drones from US might make a difference if Ukrainians get all of them.
Russians are now stretched at their current capacity I.e. it will be slow progress from now onwards. The front line is pretty huge. They need to tidy up mariupol ASAP and redeploy those troops. Those Ukrainian entrenched positions in the east will be the next focus.
I could cite various commentaries and opinions by analysts, Ukrainian soldiers (with obvious biases) on the ground about the efficacy of the TB2, including a request by the Ukrainian government to the Turks to send more), but data (as much as we have it in the fog of war) works better.
At present the one of the better, if not the best, regarded independent source for information on material losses in this war is the Oryx team. If you look at the numbers for overall material losses of the Russian Army, and compare those to the losses inflicted by theTB2:
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/d ... -army.html
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/d ... -army.html
Russian materials destroyed* by TB2 compared to destroyed* by other Ukrainian weapons:
Armoured Fighting Vehicles: 4 / 74 (5.4%)
Towed Artillery: 5/6 (83%)
Multiple Rocket Launchers: 1/14 (7%)
Surface-To-Air Missile Systems:: 10/ 19 (52%)
Command Post: 2/ 2 (100%)
Communications Station 1/ 3 (33%)
Helicopters: 9/29 (31%)
Logistics Trains: 2/ 2 (100%)
Trucks, Vehicles and Jeeps 24/327 (7%)
These are pretty decent numbers; they also tell a story, namely how the TB2 has been effective and/ or used against soft skinned targets (whereas in Azerbaijan and other wars in smaller theatres, they were more effective against Tanks, perhaps this tells a story about superior Russian defence?
*numbers do not include captures or abandoned vehicles
Where are you getting your data for 1 TB2 loss per day? A brief google search did not reveal much. Mind you, the TB2 is also regarded as a slow, first 'world war type' put-put drone, but the same people who critique it as such are saying how effective it is.
skumar wrote:
...............
All these talks of a 3/4 day blitzkrieg are figments of imaginative propoganda. It is possible that the resistance was underestimated. Iraq was a one sided war with heavy bombing from Day 1 and took 3 weeks.
It would not be a Pyrrhic victory either if Russia meet her goals - no NATO even in dreams for Ukraine, cleaving of eastern territories with Russian majority and recognition of Crimea.
........
Maybe not 3/4 days I'll grant you that. I was too hasty to write there. But I stand by my opinion, that the Russians expected a repeat of Crimea when they basically walked into the place in quick time. Their end run sending paras to capture Kyiv airport, followed by an armoured charge to the capital, limited RuAF presence, apparently not telling their own troops what was happening, are all indicators of an expected capitulation.
They're serious now, and I believe that they will raze Ukraine cities to the ground if they have to, with all the firepower that they were earlier seemingly reluctant to commit. It's a war of attrition now.
On Russians meeting their goals- what were their goals? because we enter opinions and propaganda on both sides. There are counter arguments that Putin initially wanted many things he has backed off on- utter domination of the entire nation, total regime change in Ukraine and significant demilitarisation being three. Others would argue that their goals were more limited. So I won't go there. Probably both sides want a situation where they can declare victory and end it.
Deans wrote:
Capt Paliy, was probably commanding a battalion of Naval infantry. There is a Naval infantry brigade in that sector. Their officers have navy ranks.
Russia has acknowledged the deaths of 4 Major generals ( a Russian Major General is the approx. IA equivalent of Brigadier).
.......
That's right. The fifth, a Lieutenant General, to my knowledge, is not yet acknowledged by Russia. Also, to add to what you elsewhere, the top Russian ranks go as:
Major General - Indian Army Equivalent is Brigadier
Lieutenant General- Indian Army Equivalent is Major General
Colonel General - Indian Army Equivalent is Lieutenant General
Army General - Indian Army Equivalent is General
Marshall of The Russian Federation - Indian Army Equivalent is Field Marshall
Thus in IA terms the losses would be 3 Brigadiers and 1 Major General.