g.sarkar wrote:Chetakji,
The current standoff in South China Sea,Taiwan and Ladakh, to name a few hot spots created by China, cannot continue forever. Either China will have to back down and assume a more benign posture or it will escalate and start a war with the rest of the world. The Kra Canal is not a project that can be implemented any time soon. It is at least a few years away, and so its effect in the present confrontation with China is zero. China’s predatory behavior with smaller nations is now well known. It has embarked on an era of Neo-colonialism in Africa and Asia. We all know how China now controls the Sri Lanka port of Hambantota and the Pakistani port of Gadwar. Under the present circumstances Thailand may not fall for Chinese tricks. Of course we should not underestimate the power of Chinese bribery.
Gautam
g.sarkar saar,
whether the cra canal is delayed, takes time or is done eventually by non cheeni companies, the effect is one and the same.
the kra stays out of cheeni hands, out of their sphere of influence and is not available to them in times of need.
that leaves them totally at the merciful hands of the people who control the malacca straits and those people are certainly not the ones who live on the shores of the malacca straits.
this cra canal is a checkmate ploy that the hans have no control over, short of embarking on a futile war which they don't have the stomach for or even the will to fight and a war that they know that they simply cannot win, given the sheer breadth of inimical forces arrayed against them.
so, its back to the moth eaten and raggedy ass CPEC which has to transit through a very fiesty baluchistan after landfall in gwadar.
or they may try and circumvent it by going through an equally fiesty afghanistan.
but at the end of the day, its the same schitt but with different terrorists.
and in the meanwhile, the xinjiang uygurs are not going to be sitting quietly and sucking their thumbs. Post the ameriki elections, a new great game may well start here with the amerilis, russkis, eyerabs, europeans because of increasing interest from rome raj and not forgetting the scum of the earth, the britschitts
This is why the QUAD is so terrifying to the hans and keeping India out of it is a major bone of contention as they have identified us as the weakest link, unless of course, India aligns with the US in which case, xi is truly ducked and far from home.
post 1962 neverwho, who was taught an unforgettable lesson by mao; a lesson that the congis never forgot with the sole exception of sashtri, this lesson forced the congis who collectively came under a fear psychosis akin to the stockholm syndrome that effectively shackled and hobbled the foreign policy of India for decades to come.
All congi govts by default had thus learned to prostrate themselves before the hans and allowed them at will, to walk all over the congi political leadership and the quick learning babooze adapted very fast as they came up with many face saving diplomatic postulations, one after the other, to cover up the fact from the Indian public that we had become spineless cheeni doormats.
this position was what mao had manipulated neverwho to obtain, as well as, what mao demanded from India after neverwho's passing and xi fully expected the same unquestioning continuation of this time tested and well worn policy of India kowtowing to the cheeni dictats to continue when the PLA confidently walked into doklam, and out of the blue, got kicked in the testimonials .
xi and the PLA had not read Modi correctly and they also failed to factor in the resentment against the cheeni that had built up over the years within the IA that was due to such shameless cheeni appeasing earlier policies that had been implemented by previous govts without ever consulting the IA and once again, xi and the PLA failed to see the changed circumstances that resulted in the decidedly aggressive stance that India took at doklam.
MMS's shameless and selfish bid for the nobel was was shot down by the IA when he failed to hand over siachen to the pakis as promised to the amerikis. That was when people in the political establishment had the first faint glimmerings that something had changed drastically in the national security environment. The siachen issue has now outgrown a single political party and has been upgraded to a national issue which requires national concensus. The IA will continue to remain watchful as always.
Cut to ladakh where xi, perhaps after being convinced by an over eager PLA has squarely stepped into the quagmire that both he and his PLA presently find themselves in. Galwan and the reaction of the Indian public to Modi's justified stance where he has overhelmingly huge public support to counter the PLA any way he sees fit. This is the very same public that buys his shoddy goods exported into India and xi does not want a pissed off Indian public refusing to buy his goods.
xi has needlessly poked the ameriki bear in the SCS and recklessly disturbed the hornets nest in ladakh. He needs India to be alone, isolated and unsupported so that he can deal with it like he has dealt with his OBOR clients using bribery, threats and subversion but in his eagerness to make sure that india is isolated, he has foolishly precipitated the coalescing of huge support for India and the rapidly evolving consolidation of the QUAD, both of which hits at the very root of his strategy.
xi's pain points will remain and can only increase given the global opposition to the cheeni hegemony that no single country was willing to take on earlier but now since others have joined, such opposition will only grow and the intensity of these points will increase excruciatingly in the geopolitical sense and cheeni strategic challenges only will multiply as other nations start to support the QUAD and add global complexities to what was currently a local problem limited to the SCS and increasingly to ladakh which is starting to rear its head and most unexpectedly, the baring its Indian fangs.
xi and his PLA need a face saving exit with something tangible to show to all the thousands of troops they have brought into ladakh and will talk when they go back home.
the only option that hans will have is to then start to trouble India in right earnest by using the very same paki jehadi tactics in the NE, arunachal pradesh and via the nepal border as well as to get their paki pals to stir up trouble in cashmere.