Re: Assembly Elections - 2022
Posted: 10 Mar 2022 21:02
Manipur has dealt the biggest surprise in my view. It might be a small state but the results their will echo through entire NE. Hats off the workers their.
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the jehadis have almost completely consolidated with the SP because they knew that this was, very likely, the SP's last chancerajkumar wrote:One very point being missed here. The complete disintegration of the BSP vote share and total consolidation of the SC/ST vote behind the BJP.
I can only hope no other castist party emerge in the north of India
A Sharma wrote:Immediate impact of this win will be on President's election
Manipur? Bheji were you expecting such an easy UK win?vimal wrote:Manipur has dealt the biggest surprise in my view. It might be a small state but the results their will echo through entire NE. Hats off the workers their.
there may be other obligations to pay off or recognize.Atmavik wrote:A Sharma wrote:Immediate impact of this win will be on President's election
My vote is for a second term to Shri Kovind
Look at the final numbers to see what i mean.Baikul wrote:Manipur? Bheji were you expecting such an easy UK win?vimal wrote:Manipur has dealt the biggest surprise in my view. It might be a small state but the results their will echo through entire NE. Hats off the workers their.
We could not have done it without you.Dilbu wrote:BJP will lose onlee.
Correct. Truly, UK was the biggest surprise. Getting the majority, but a sizable majority too. I did not expect the latter, and was hoping for the former.Baikul wrote:Manipur? Bheji were you expecting such an easy UK win?vimal wrote:Manipur has dealt the biggest surprise in my view. It might be a small state but the results their will echo through entire NE. Hats off the workers their.
The M + Y is very prevalent and the reason for SP seat rise. One has to thankful for the BJP grassroot workers for striving to bring voters to the booth. The voting % is the only way to beat it, else the dominant caste + M consolidation votes is the winner in any "boring" Indian elections. The charisma of Modi brings the josh and energy. BJP development, vikaas means nothing if one doesn't even come out to vote on election day.KL Dubey wrote: The M+Y combination has been an abject failure. Only implementation of Modi's "Sabka-X" approach has worked, with Hindutva actually becoming a part of that (e.g. Kashi corridor, hindu tourism circuit, etc). Very clever.
On to the remaining elections of 2022....HP and GJ. It will be interesting to see how much inroads AAP can make in grabbing the INC vote share. I do agree with the likes of Salim Yadav on this...for the next few years it will strengthen the BJP by splitting votes. I believe Modi has already flagged off the GJ campaign work yesterday.
I understand basics of electioneering. Let's get beyond that and go deeper.greatde wrote:
The M + Y is very prevalent and the reason for SP seat rise. One has to thankful for the BJP grassroot workers for striving to bring voters to the booth. The voting % is the only way to beat it, else the dominant caste + M consolidation votes is the winner in any "boring" Indian elections. The charisma of Modi brings the josh and energy. BJP development, vikaas means nothing if one doesn't even come out to vote on election day.
These loose statements don't help much.vimal wrote:Agree with greatde wrt MY combination.Folks are celebrating too early.
M is the fastest growing demographics in UP (and India). They openly buy property in UK and will be unbeatable in a few decades.
BJPs cow was saved by the Dalits this time.
The pattern can always changes in Indian politics so innovation is the key. Don't analyze and do same mistake, as Congress of getting stuck with past.KL Dubey wrote:
I understand basics of electioneering. Let's get beyond that and go deeper.
M+Y used to work earlier because there was no consolidating factor for "non M+Y" votes. For a brief while, Advani's Hindutva push in 1990s brought consolidation, but it was not sustainable beyond 1998, and especially not in UP (due to the calculations of Mulayam et al).
Things are changing a lot. M+Y combination did not work in 2014, 2017, 2019, and neither in 2022. Consolidation on the basis of vikas (+ hindutva) is the reason. Modi and Yogi's charisma is built up because of their sustained work and clarity of purpose over decades, and not the other way round.
Yeah, it is obvious that if the BJP stops doing good work, M+Y can creep back. Nothing is permanent unless you sustain it. Even though the UP karyakartas this time are considered to have done a below-par job in several of the phases, people came out to vote without being reminded.
It will either a SIKH or a Muslim. Keeping 2024 in mind. BJ P has big work to do in Punjab and seculars are to be pacified.Arif Sir is good candidate but I do not know of any descent Sikh politician who is retiring. Badal candidature may bring Akalis closer to BJP.ButAtmavik wrote:A Sharma wrote:Immediate impact of this win will be on President's election
My vote is for a second term to Shri Kovind
In a 403 seat UP Assembly, thats how
@INCUttarPradesh
can go to attend a session. Thanks to
@priyankagandhi
Ji.
#UPElectionResult2022 #UPElections2022 #AssemblyElectionResults2022
How about Shri Tiny Dhillon ? Recently retired, good following.rsingh wrote:It will either a SIKH or a Muslim. Keeping 2024 in mind. BJ P has big work to do in Punjab and seculars are to be pacified.Arif Sir is good candidate but I do not know of any descent Sikh politician who is retiring. Badal candidature may bring Akalis closer to BJP.ButAtmavik wrote:
My vote is for a second term to Shri Kovind
his past is a heavy stone.JMT
was it the BJP cow that dished out the rations across the country without even the faintest hint of a scandal or corruptionvimal wrote:Agree with greatde wrt MY combination.Folks are celebrating too early.
M is the fastest growing demographics in UP (and India). They openly buy property in UK and will be unbeatable in a few decades.
BJPs cow was saved by the Dalits this time.
https://swarajyamag.com/politics/the-ob ... unting-dayAmbar wrote:BJP went through 3 CMs per term in Uttarakhand the last two times it came to power in the state, with Dhami losing his seat this time it will be interesting to see whom the party will choose to be the next CM. Uttarakhand is not a easy state to rule be it for BJP or for INC as both parties seem to suffer from plenty of infighting and incompetence, but it is also a very important state with huge potential so deserves someone who can bring a sense of development and stability.
SaPa's 45+ seat gain over last year has been through total consolidation of votes by muslims, yadavs and some misguided <25 yr old youths. INC's rout in the state shows that SaPa gained at INC's cost while BJP may have gained at BSP's cost. To break the M vote bank you ideally need parties like AIMIM to win a seat or two to show they are in serious contention.
In other news, former Khangress lackey and now full time twitter "intellect" Sanjay Jha is taking open shots at pappu maharaj. He wants Sachin Pilot to take the helm of the party.
very critical to address this ...9. The reverses and scares that the BJP is facing in urban Uttar Pradesh seems to suggest that middle-class urban voter has her share of complaints with the BJP. While the state administration covered all bases in protecting the most vulnerable sections of the population from the Covid-19 pandemic and its aftermath, there is a possibility that the urban middle-class felt neglected in comparison.
can't help thinking that it would be better if this guy didn't get into any aircraft in the short to medium termAmbar wrote:BJP went through 3 CMs per term in Uttarakhand the last two times it came to power in the state, with Dhami losing his seat this time it will be interesting to see whom the party will choose to be the next CM. Uttarakhand is not a easy state to rule be it for BJP or for INC as both parties seem to suffer from plenty of infighting and incompetence, but it is also a very important state with huge potential so deserves someone who can bring a sense of development and stability.
SaPa's 45+ seat gain over last year has been through total consolidation of votes by muslims, yadavs and some misguided <25 yr old youths. INC's rout in the state shows that SaPa gained at INC's cost while BJP may have gained at BSP's cost. To break the M vote bank you ideally need parties like AIMIM to win a seat or two to show they are in serious contention.
In other news, former Khangress lackey and now full time twitter "intellect" Sanjay Jha is taking open shots at pappu maharaj. He wants Sachin Pilot to take the helm of the party.
Sir you forget his father passed away in a road accident so no cars either than for himchetak wrote:can't help thinking that it would be better if this guy didn't get into any aircraft in the short to medium term
Same audience targeted by Foreign social media companies -- foreign govts. will use social media to target indian kids, and if there is no local counter-narrative and SM gets a free run, there will be no good coming out of that situation. It is likely that Older Indians do not seek out new avenues of "information" actively from SM and other new avenues, as curiosity is higher for most people when younger.vijayk: Engage younger kids with some interesting topics such as Mars exploration, Hydrogen or electric car transition ... make it look cool ... make it look high goal
Shekhar Gupta
@ShekharGupta
First takeaways from trends. The first is, AAP has risen as the “change” party of India. It is a fundamental new shift in national politics. Watch for their vote share in Gujarat later this year. A new planet has risen.
Agree ... Make KOO like UPI/RuPay ..srikandan wrote:Same audience targeted by Foreign social media companies -- foreign govts. will use social media to target indian kids, and if there is no local counter-narrative and SM gets a free run, there will be no good coming out of that situation.Engage younger kids with some interesting topics such as Mars exploration, Hydrogen or electric car transition ... make it look cool ... make it look high goal
Because it was saved by Dalits in UP.chetak wrote:vimal wrote:Agree with greatde wrt MY combination.Folks are celebrating too early.
M is the fastest growing demographics in UP (and India). They openly buy property in UK and will be unbeatable in a few decades.
BJPs cow was saved by the Dalits this time.
what makes you think that the BJP cow needs to be saved by any section of the population
It's doing great on its own
In a interview with a news channel sometime in 2016, Modi said it doesn't matter if the party wins or loses but the biggest change BJP has ushered into Indian politics post 2014 is that development is at the center of all political debates and narratives, he was absolutely spot on.Cyrano wrote:Is this a turning point in India's elections where development and good governance are valued above religion, caste and goonda power politics? I want to believe so. Congratulations to Indian electorate !
Add YouTube to that.vijayk wrote:Agree ... Make KOO like UPI/RuPay ..srikandan wrote:
Same audience targeted by Foreign social media companies -- foreign govts. will use social media to target indian kids, and if there is no local counter-narrative and SM gets a free run, there will be no good coming out of that situation.
We need our own instagram/Twitter
Only Ambani/Adani/Tatas together can do that with help of someone like Nandan Nilekanirsingh wrote:Add YouTube to that.vijayk wrote:
Agree ... Make KOO like UPI/RuPay ..
We need our own instagram/Twitter
Dr. Karan Jani
@AstroKPJ
·
Mar 9
Replying to
@AstroKPJ
1a. India is beyond advanced now as a cashless society! From street vendors to shops in the mall, everyone, everywhere is using Google Pay (or something similar).
A sugarcane juice vendor on the Dandi beach gave me a look when the QR code scan failed as I didn't have it set up!
Dr. Karan Jani
@AstroKPJ
·
Mar 9
1b. Friends I grew up with rarely carry Rs. 200 with them on a daily basis. This is beyond a cultural shift. A few years ago this would have been impossible to imagine.
Just the sheer scale of digital payment literacy that has happened in India is beyond anywhere in West!
Saying that and staying steadfast on it are proofs of tremendous conviction and dedication!Ambar wrote:In a interview with a news channel sometime in 2016, Modi said it doesn't matter if the party wins or loses but the biggest change BJP has ushered into Indian politics post 2014 is that development is at the center of all political debates and narratives, he was absolutely spot on.Cyrano wrote:Is this a turning point in India's elections where development and good governance are valued above religion, caste and goonda power politics? I want to believe so. Congratulations to Indian electorate !