Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Posted: 09 Apr 2022 12:32
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#6 Islamramana wrote: Suppose
#1 US
#2 China
#3 India
#4 Russia
#5 EU which is the joker in the pack.
What's wrong with this picture?
Ramana sir, if we consider this situation from luttwak's pov, then it must be considered holistically.ramana wrote:
This dynamic interrelationship between belligerents, or their systemic interaction and its cumulative invisible course correction resulting from such interactions should dictate the transient flow of strategic relations. A particular viewpoint is to consider the interaction of civilisations as popularised by Huntington, but it often ignores the point that the character and outlook of these civilisations and the people inhibiting and expanding the civilisation is dynamic at different speeds.The most important foundation for Luttwak’s theory is that strategy has two dimensions in which its logic unfolds. In the vertical dimension, five different levels—technical, tactical, operational, theatre, and grand strategic—interact but also conflict, because no natural harmony exists between them. In the horizontal dimension, the contest of wills between belligerents plays out through a dynamic interrelationship between action, reaction, culmination, overextension, and reversal.
Kit ji, interesting video. This "Deep State" is the same one behind the British Raj that ruled over India.Kit wrote:Soros is most likely the wealthiest man in the world and literally controls the American deep state policies
ramana wrote:Not so simple. We are missing some thing.KLNMurthy wrote: is it like the drunk searching for his keys under the light?
India is seen as a soft & vulnerable state, so the US thinks it is easy to chalk up a win here.
Ok per Luttwak's Logic of strategy (LOS)
Suppose
#1 US
#2 China
#3 India
#4 Russia
#5 EU which is the joker in the pack.
LOS says
1) #1 will team up with #3 to prevent being displaced by #2.
2) Same time #2 will hit #3 to prevent teaming up with #1.
So far that is happening.
3) Now #1 doesn't want #3 and #4 getting together to protect #5. However #3 is a friend of #5
4) While #2 is teaming up with #4
LOS says #1 should prevent #2 and #4 from getting together.
Why is 4) not harmful to #5? They can ride roughshod on #5 in every which way.
The reality is #1 wants to preserve #5 at all costs and the rest is a charade.
Now work on everything with this as the top objective of #1.
What's wrong with this picture?
may i say., geopolitics sometimes is straighforward lust for money power and influencericky_v wrote:#5 EU / ?? Perhaps the Green Movementramana wrote:
Action - Make the Mediterranean Sea as the middle province, expand EU till subsahara.
Let me ask you this sir: what did the eu gain by the large influx of middle-eastern / south asian immigrants following the arab spring that still continues irrespective of war and inflation? The majority do not contribute by working, whatever spending they affect on the economy is borne by the local government in the form of largesse, the government spends resources on their upkeep, suffers tensions in the social fabric and condones mixing of genetics of their people with others. And yet, the chief architect of the policy, Ms. Merkel, was popular till she left office of her own volition.kit wrote:Keep your enemies closer
NEVER reveal your cards
TIME is precious , build up your economic and military strength., the bullies respect ONLY STRENGTH
NEVER appear weak
DONT get into multilateral trade pacts but only one to one FTAs to maximise market strengths., for India its market size is critical importance and the honey everyone wants
When in doubt OBFUSCATE ., if you dont know no one else needs to know
US cannot digest emergence of a power that is absolutely independent. If you allow things as it is there is a potential of India being one such. Look at the number of India's Naval bases in Indian ocean, BIMSTIC and other types of trade groups.ramana wrote: Not so simple. We are missing some thing.
Ok per Luttwak's Logic of strategy (LOS)
Suppose
#1 US
#2 China
#3 India
#4 Russia
#5 EU which is the joker in the pack.
LOS says
1) #1 will team up with #3 to prevent being displaced by #2.
2) Same time #2 will hit #3 to prevent teaming up with #1.
So far that is happening.
3) Now #1 doesn't want #3 and #4 getting together to protect #5. However #3 is a friend of #5
4) While #2 is teaming up with #4
LOS says #1 should prevent #2 and #4 from getting together.
Why is 4) not harmful to #5? They can ride roughshod on #5 in every which way.
The reality is #1 wants to preserve #5 at all costs and the rest is a charade.
Now work on everything with this as the top objective of #1.
What's wrong with this picture?
bala gaaru,bala wrote:(Just as an aside, the Brits stole not only wealth but the basis of its science and math from India. Newton lifted the laws from Vaisesika Sutra lock stock and barrel which unleashed the industrial age on the world. Calculus was lifted from India. Of course the entire number system and decimal system too. )
Vidur ji, I am not so sure whether ISKON would make such a big difference. They do get a lot of publicity but does their influence on the ground live up to the hype?! I have my doubts. Russia would be some form of Christian country going forward.Vidur wrote:... plus a growing Hindu (via ISKCON) movement there.
Sir, let me explain in a roundabout mannerramana wrote:But does this explain why US wants India to vote against Russia?
Its using 'carrot and stick' but at the other ends and expects cooperation.
ricky_v ji, Both of these call for the US to degrade EU, not strengthen it. Trump/Jhonson both were for Brexit, but not Biden admin.ricky_v wrote:EU is in a transitory state between being an independent entity and an extension of US' will which is why I believe that for them there is a movement towards the green value system which has adherents amongst the US psyche, and thus some alignment on the overarching geostrategy. ... the meddlesome eu accomplishes this with its ngos.
Sir, if you would consider this from a value perspective, then the EU is remaking the world order in its own way, enlarging its purview from core Europa to include North Africa and boasting of a truly cosmopolitan populace, inculcating people in its outlook akin to what the romans did with the germanics, which is congruent with the us' desire to remake the rules-based order but in a proto state; in short, the eu with its expanding population has set on the path of the us, if it continues without revision of upholding the existing order then it will have only internal strife, so they are morphing to the outlook of eco-fascism / green movement.Vayutuvan wrote: ricky_v ji, Both of these call for the US to degrade EU, not strengthen it. Trump/Jhonson both were for Brexit, but not Biden admin.
ricky_v ji, you do have a point there. I have come across people (of democrat/Liz Warren/The Bern supporters) who want homo sapiens to voluntarily go extinct. They hate animal experiments for the efficacy of drugs/vaccines, are vegetarian (even stridently vegan), organic to the extent of making their own organic paints and compost. They, surprisingly (or not so surprisingly) are educated in Catholic schools//convents. It is some kind of a coping mechanism to the lies perpetrated by the old/new testaments, especially the book of Genesis, I suppose.ricky_v wrote: ... replacement of children with pets / hobbies, nature preservation.
Saar, you are bowled over by the History concocted by the Brits and the West by dragging the Arabs/Persians into the mix. The entire Greek stuff is a plain lift from Indian Ideas. The Arabs/Persians did propagate the ideas of Hindoo mathematics and science to the West, but do read their original Al Khawarizmi, etc. They give credit to India unlike the Brit slimeballs who copied things from the Vedas and other sutras. Sringeri mutt (keeper of YajurVeda) lost all its original scripts when the brits created a false flag commotion and carted them over to Germany. Some of the Arabs/Persians came to India and studied under a Brahmin teacher. There was a ruler in Sudan who actually paid in Gold for such knawledge from India. BTW the British stonehenge is a depiction of the 27 star Nakshatra system of India.Vayutuvan wrote: You are making it too simplistic. It is true that the ideas were originally Indian, but Persians/Arabia/Europe did add value. Persians/Arabians came up with decimals, i.e. -ve powers of 10, i.e. division. India had only multiplications (AFAIK). Europe did industrialization during the renaissance of 1400s Italy. Artisans/artists developed paints, colors, engineering, arms industry, while India had succumbed to the Arabics/Mughals.
This is all side shows. The real faction is the Deep State behind all the shenanigans in the US. Notice how quickly they dispatched V. Nuland madam to India. All the behind the scene people are quietly going about their focused goal of world domination and anyone getting in the middle is promptly being taken care of.Vayutuvan wrote: what we might be missing is the factions within the US administration
Good point and I made this point earlier. #2 and #3 were the former leaders in World GDP, #3 for a long time. The fact is they co-existed without any major tussle. The other fact is #3 is the cultural leader in Asia, most of its ideas were deeply accepted by Asia and practiced and #3 was the leader in a benign sense. If #3 can get a Asia NATO like arrangement and If #2,#3 and #4 get together as 1 cohesive unit then the rest are screwed, with no chance of domination. #3 and #4 have a good understanding. However there is tension between #2 and #3 and between #2 and #4. Now, after Ukr the latter are close, however #2 and #3 have an opening to re-consider things since the Quad is effectively shot.Vidur wrote:4. #3 should never ally with #1 and #5 because they are its natural enemies. Can #2 be made to realise its civilisation similarity to #3 ? #2 has started making some overtures. If #3 can rediscover its own civilisational and religious roots and also hold on to its ground vs #3 it can signal strength and clarity to #2 which will make #2 respect it. This may lead to a resolution of disputes with #2 and allow both to be independent but not competing powers
EU is a loose coalition that is becoming weaker as it becomes bigger., it should have stuck to its core identity and principles ..and built on it. EU as an entity would not last long., the Uke war is the beginning of that end. It might survive as a market federation but not political. Nor military.. but OTricky_v wrote:Let me ask you this sir: what did the eu gain by the large influx of middle-eastern / south asian immigrants following the arab spring that still continues irrespective of war and inflation? The majority do not contribute by working, whatever spending they affect on the economy is borne by the local government in the form of largesse, the government spends resources on their upkeep, suffers tensions in the social fabric and condones mixing of genetics of their people with others. And yet, the chief architect of the policy, Ms. Merkel, was popular till she left office of her own volition.kit wrote:Keep your enemies closer
NEVER reveal your cards
TIME is precious , build up your economic and military strength., the bullies respect ONLY STRENGTH
NEVER appear weak
DONT get into multilateral trade pacts but only one to one FTAs to maximise market strengths., for India its market size is critical importance and the honey everyone wants
When in doubt OBFUSCATE ., if you dont know no one else needs to know
Rudradev wrote:One thing among all these scenarios I will guarantee.
There will never, ever, ever be any workable "India-China understanding" in the foreseeable future. Nor will any grouping which requires such an understanding, such as "Russia India China", ever have any chance of stability or success.
Bala sir, the government mandated thinking has its roots in the historical thought process of the chinese for examples in legalism. Even in historical times, buddhism has given way to confucianism, as societal order has always been the highest virtue of the chinese. When this order stumbles, mandate is lost and historical bloodbath ensues. The chinese are now focussed on ensuring that the mandate of heaven is never lost by the ccp, in other words an eternal kingdom with an ideological dynasty of ccp. They might accept yoga, they have accepted western music and arts, the number of cellists, ballet dancers, sculptors from china is higher than many western nations, but what does that ultimately mean? They are still intent on ensuring thraldom of other nations.bala wrote:I think the stumbling block for #2 is the Communist Govt of #2 which is stuck on its blatant "exceptionalist & expansionist" mindset. There are a good number of people within #2 who don't think like that, they recognize that India gave them Buddhism and many of them accept Yoga. They also see commonality amongst their kind and the rest of Asia. The hardcore will cling onto their Govt mandated thinking but the rest, with Edu and forward development, are the change agents and I am not sure how long the people of #2 will agree with their govt. #3 has to move cautiously taking all factors into consideration. And Banditji was an idiot.
But sir that does not answer the question, why did the eu do it and why did the majority accept it as the right way forward?kit wrote: EU is a loose coalition that is becoming weaker as it becomes bigger., it should have stuck to its core identity and principles ..and built on it. EU as an entity would not last long., the Uke war is the beginning of that end. It might survive as a market federation but not political. Nor military.. but OT
Ramana garu, Namaskaram.ramana wrote:Folks please focus on thread title and not bring in Greeks and Persians.
AdityaVM wrote:Ramana garu, Namaskaram.ramana wrote:Folks please focus on thread title and not bring in Greeks and Persians.
Happy Ramanavami to all.
I was thinking of writing how each from #1 to #5 interacts with the world in the following format.
1. Objectives they want to achieve.
2. Threats they face from each corresponding # and their strategies to mitigate them.
3. Failure conditions for each objective as defined in 1 for each # (Most important)
I think this will give us a better analytical setup. For good analysis one needs to define both Objectives and the conditions under which the objective is considered failed or lost.
I have written the Objectives part for #1 and will try to complete all and try to post them today.
EU was created to prevent a future intraeuropean war. Free market access and huge financial aid to weaker countries is the lollipop to prevent any member country from thinking independently and forming blocs with others in or outside EU. Thinking Independently comes only with some military power. To prevent this, NATO ensures no one really gets militarily strong and all remain dependent on US. Thats why US keeps funding NATO. Trump didn't get this bigger game and went about antagonising EU states. US deepstate screwed him and got Biden in, when he came and said "US is back" he meant US is back to humping EU and using it to regain its global hegemony.EU is a loose coalition that is becoming weaker as it becomes bigger
All evidence to contrary most of the Indian students in west are thoroughly brainwashed by west and are influenced completely by western thought of the day. Few examples of exceptions only prove the rule.ricky_v wrote:
....india accomplishes this with its students and professionals who alter the outlook of the host nation subtly, the meddlesome eu accomplishes this with its ngos.
RickJi, personally I am opposed to #2. However, #1 is itching for fight between #2 and #3 and hence the Quad. This would knock of both #2, #3 for a while. Also note how eager #1 is trying to forge the fight and pretending to be on #3 side while it has its economic fangs deeply embedded in #2. Previously #1 tied up with #2 to spite #4 (which was #2) and they succeeded to the most part weakening #4 to its current status.ricky_v wrote: Bala sir, the government mandated thinking has its roots in the historical thought process of the chinese for examples in legalism. Even in historical times, buddhism has given way to confucianism, as societal order has always been the highest virtue of the chinese. When this order stumbles, mandate is lost and historical bloodbath ensues. The chinese are now focussed on ensuring that the mandate of heaven is never lost by the ccp, in other words an eternal kingdom with an ideological dynasty of ccp. They might accept yoga, they have accepted western music and arts, the number of cellists, ballet dancers, sculptors from china is higher than many western nations, but what does that ultimately mean? They are still intent on ensuring thraldom of other nations.
This is the part that is vexxing. #3 has all the capabilities but is still tied to Ahimsa of Gandhi (another concept thrust on #3 by the Brits). A Chanakya person would flex their muscle appropriately. Hope in coming days #3 realizes the folly and corrects course.Also India for better or worse has not accepted its role of chakravartin in the neighbourhood, we are intent on upholding the established order with all its mechanisms.
The McCauley Doctrine holds true for the "Coconut" Upper/Middle class in #3, who dismiss all the Nalanda/Taxilla Univ precedent and the rich science/math background of #3. I would contend that the basis of all western science/math is purely based on the original work of #3. In terms of philosophy/logic/medicine and other areas it was the beacon for the entire world, quietly usurped by the Brits successively. The Brits suppressed the works of Shivkur Talpade in Bombay chowpatty beach when he demonstrated a flying 'Vimana' based on ancient Sanskrit text prior to the Wright Brothers - Shivkur's first flight.Manish_Sharma wrote: All evidence to contrary most of the Indian students in west are thoroughly brainwashed by west and are influenced completely by western thought of the day. Few examples of exceptions only prove the rule.
Even the business houses who get business from west become part of the army of their brown Sepoys narayanmurti, mahindra, tata look at their acts narayanmurti saying on a forum in usa that we were nation of snakecharmers an british civilised us. TATA institute , mahindra college compete with dantewada university and jnu on BIF Kashmir issues.
Thanks for posting both announcements - The US one and the Indian one. The differences in the wording and what issues are stressed are interesting, to say the least. US says "brutal war by Russia" and India says "International issues of mutual interest". Pres. Biden is going to "pressurize" PM Modi once more before coming to the table for an agreement to be brokered by India?Amber G. wrote:Breaking news: Apart from 2+2 dialog there is a Biden-Modi virtual meet .
This comes just 10 days after New Delhi hosted Russian foreign minister Lavrov - (the only foreign minister who got an audience with PM Modi during India visit.)
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