To support your estimate but for different reasons. The current crisis strengthen Badmash and per this report Army doesn't support him and might take charge to prevent his rise.Lalmohan wrote:the faujis are being very quiet arent they?
coup alert whoop whoop!!
coup alert whoop whoop!!
coup alert whoop whoop!!
Nightwatch, 1/6/2011
Pakistan: The continuation of the political crisis was manifest in the government's decision to reverse a fuel price increase. Prime Minister Gilani restored prices to the 31 December levels, a 9 % rollback. Gilani made the move to blunt an opposition threat of a no confidence vote unless fuels price increases were reversed.
Opposition leader and former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif demanded a roll back of fuel prices, a commitment to cut government spending by 30% and dismissal of officials accused of graft within 72 hours or face an opposition vote of confidence motion in the National Assembly as to the viability of the Gilani minority government. Sharif, leader of the Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz) in opposition, gave the government 45 days to show progress in cutting government spending.
Comment: Nawaz is grandstanding, awaiting his turn to replace Gilani as the next prime minister of Pakistan. Gilani's actions show that the Pakistan People's Party government is weak. Gilani is attempting to buy time by acceding to the demand to roll back fuel prices, which will probably lead to shortages because the lower prices are uneconomic.
The political crisis is now merging into a larger economic crisis that Sharif hopes to exploit. The main problem with a government led by Sharif is that the Pakistan Army despises him. The outlook is for continuing leadership instability.
Pakistan appears to be heading towards another interlude of military government, as a relief from the non-stop political wrangling. The prospect of another Sharif government is enough by itself to prompt a military takeover, as it did in 1999 when Musharraf overthrew the government of Nawaz Sharif. The Pakistan Army is not likely to tolerate another government by Nawaz Sharif.