Jehadi takeover can prompt Indo-US attack on Pakistan: book
Wed Aug 8, 2012 8:44 am (PDT) . Posted by:
"n m" nyayamurti1
Jehadi takeover can prompt Indo-US attack on Pakistan: book
New Delhi, Aug 8, 2012, (IANS):
http://www.deccanhe rald.com/ content/270148/ jehadi-takeover- can-prompt- indo.html
A jehadi takeover of Pakistan with its nuclear
arsenal can spark an Indo-American military assault on that country,
which could lead to Pakistan's reabsorption into India, says a new book.
"If
the (Pakistan) army were to disintegrate in the face of a jehadist
takeover, all the existing (nuke) safeguards would presumably melt
away," says the book "The Unravelling - Pakistan in the Age of Jihad".
Author John R. Schmidt served as political counsellor at the US embassy in Islamabad in the years leading up to 9/11.
"If
there are concerns today that terrorists might be able to seize a
warhead and either use it for nuclear blackmail or seek to detonate it
somewhere in the US, imagine the level of concern that would exist if
jehadists were actually running the show in Islamabad," it said.
The
book (Pan Macmillan) says that in such circumstance, the US "would
decide to strike first, deploying its specially trained commando units,
if they exist, or attempting to bomb Pakistani warhead storage
facilities, if they can be located.
"The logic of the situation would seem to demand that the US attempt to liberate the country from the jehadists," it said.
"It
could probably destroy all that was left of the Pakistani armed forces
through the use of air power. But it would need considerable help to
wrest physical control of the state away from radical Islamists."
The book goes on to say that the "obvious move would be collaborate with India".
"An
Indo-American alliance could see the experience of Operation Enduring
Freedom (of Afghanistan) repeated on a much larger scale, with the US
providing the air power and India the bulk of ground forces," it says.
The
author, who now teaches at a US university, says that it is "difficult
to speculate how far into Pakistan Indians might feel inclined to push".
"Would
they attempt to occupy the entire country, or perhaps call a halt at
the Indus?""At the very least they would want to bottle up the remaining
jehadist forces and deny them ready access to the sea. This could
militate in favour of seizing Punjab, Sindh and the coastal areas of
Balochistan, while leaving the Pashtun areas on the far side of the
Indus as a kind of jehadist no-man's-land. "
But things won't be easy.
"Once
the dust had settled, the Indians and their US allies would then face a
critical political question: what to do about the areas of Pakistan
that had been brought under their control," the book argues.
"Should
they attempt to reconstitute Pakistan politically, handing power back
to the civilian feudals while trying to reconstruct a less hostile
Pakistani military?
"Or would they decide to incorporate the
occupied territories into India, bringing about the final unravelling of
the Pakistani state?
"It would be the greatest of ironies if Pakistan ended its existence by being reabsorbed into India," the book said.
Nyayamurti