Prem Kumar wrote:Karan M wrote:
All these pithy quotes are very well. They sound suitably ominous but the reality is different.
When China decided to take advantage of us, that too during the worst phases of the pandemic, the leadership didnt buckle and instead, deployed the AF. We are toe to toe with them in almost all key sectors. And that has prevented war so far, and even if it does arrive we are reasonably prepared for it.
The Chinese and the Pakistanis know this leadership isnt a pushover - which is why they are seeking to foment internal strife, and we are not doing the Uighur or Balochistan approach, as the other two have. We know the long term price the society pays and the consequences (internal and international issues) that will result. Instead we are adopting a variety of tricks which may appear concessionary but don't result in a raging, open conflict that has literally turned Pak into a hell-hole and China into a police state.
Don't dismiss it so glibly.
The withdrawal of Farm Laws is a mistake by Modi. Its not a fatal one, but its a big one nevertheless. As I posted above, it signals weakness. He has to give out other signals to recoup. The good news is that we are a long way from 2024. But UP 2022 is round the corner.
Modi has done a great job of managing external enemies. But is deer-in-the-headlights when it comes to street level, persistent protests of the CAA/FarmLaw kind. Its a new form of internal warfare (Urban Maoism 2.0) and needs its own playbook to deal with. We don't seem to have one - yet
Constructive criticism of him & his administration at this juncture is important. Modi & his many supporters ought to realize that the only
true, well-meaning opposition are his supporters who demand more of him, but for whom country/civilization come before the party/man they support
What you have posted from Sareen is actually glib commentary about how something is a mistake, this, that and so forth plus your commentary agreeing with it. At best, its opinion driven by your fears about the political impact of these laws. The fact of the matter is none of us are dealing with these issues on a daily basis to make the kind of assertions you are so confidently making. I have posted facts about the costs of taking hardline positions, without thinking through the decisions which are based on verifiable facts as was observed during the IG era. Ironically, after posting glib commentary from Sareen, a one liner even, you accuse me of doing the same, wherein I provide actual reasoning explaining why Sareen is full of over the top hyperbole in this case.
If Modi was so incompetent at dealing with urban Maoists as you so allege, where are all the umpteen terror attacks and Maoist takeovers - i dont see any? In fact, I see the urban Maoists seething impotently in op-eds and the media (their last hangout, which more and more seems a deliberate play to let them rant, for India to brag about its democratic credentials). I loathe the fact that the Urban Maoists still have that space even in public discourse. Its influential and still allows them to exert outsized influence. But they have a 70 yr old ecosystem backing them and clearly, the GOI only has so much leeway to operate in. However, the real ones who tried something are actually far more dangerous, are in jails, fighting countless UAPA cases or hiding out in the jungles. Last week itself, the Maha police knocked out 26 odd of them.
There's also a big difference between constructive criticism and idle, opinion based bashing. We have a democratic right to engage in the latter, no doubt, but lets not even pretend that he needs lessons from us and the rest of the keyboard warrior gang on "country/civilization" coming first.
This is a man who fought off all sorts of motivated court cases and survived (did you or me go and save him?), managed to run a state successfully for multiple terms, fought his way to PM and doing what he can for the past seven years against the most vicious kind of opposition. He needs lessons from us on politics or patriotism or what not?
He gets tons of classified reports on the nature of threats and has the sense to pick and choose on how he responds. Meanwhile he also has access to the who's who of international decision makers and can make out what their pressure points and leverage wrt India are. He has to navigate all this.
He hasn't let his ego get in the way when he meets those same western decision makers who were attacking him, denying him representation, lobbying for his incarceration, and that is so he can get them to recognize India as an alternative investment decision vs China. All this while also imposing a FCRA lock wherever possible, taking a hard line against Pak and China to whatever extent, and trying his best to run a "Make in India campaign" which no prior Govt had even bothered with.
Plus, being a person who has come up from extreme poverty, has also been delivering on RKM schemes, sanitation, infrastructure, MIC and industrial development and has not compromised on any of our core requirements whether it be dealing with the Maoists, Pakistanis and the Chinese. Incidentally, the RKM schemes above also ensure a significant constituency votes for the BJP and also reduce the leverage of the BIF gang who were using extreme poverty as a means to spread their influence.
In the meantime, he has delivered RJB to the public (lets not even pretend it would have happened in any other Govt), launched a Ganga cleaning plan - our most holy of rivers and sacred to us, which no Govt even bothered with, and is fixing one of our most revered sites. He has made being civilizational in the public space OK for a PM, something bitterly loathed by the BIF gang and attacked by the whole LeLi gang in India and abroad. Has he backed down? No. He continues doing so.
And you want us to give him "gyaan" on country and civilization coming first? This when Doval openly stated in a recent talk that wars are being fought at the discourse level and are not merely about physical force? So, do you think he doesnt know this?
He has *chosen* not to beat up publicly on the protesters, knowing the schisms that exist and the eager desire of a huge section of the international community to put us in the same group as the PRC with their Uighurs. Agree/disagree, but it was a hard decision made on considering factors which went beyond optics! We know what Indira did and what it resulted in.
Yet, its not appeasement either, as those who committed violence on the 26th have been prosecuted which is being sabotaged as the Delhi prosecution, under another political party is refusing to cooperate (division of powers as the state prosecutor is under that groups thumb) and the other state from which they originally were is providing fiscal support. Would you have him dismiss both state Govts and then spend his limited time fighting those cases or all the other items? Instead, they are trying to get the cases transferred out of Delhi.
Lets be clear here, you think the withdrawal of the farm laws signifies weakness because you've created this mental construct of your ideal leader being some sort of Alpha Male swinging around the jungle, beating up Pakistan via Balakot, winning elections because of that, never taking a step back to re-assess etc, otherwise "it signals weakness" and you have a theory about hierarchy.
That's how you think Indian elections work. Its your opinion that such a leader has put "country/civilization first" or will win, unlike Modi.
However, I suspect you really need to rethink your assumptions and model. The people whom you think will revel in voting for such a "strong man" are far fewer then you expect. And its hardly like he needs us amateurs to tell him about optics and the virtues of a strong man image either. He's been playing chess, taking calculated positions and doing what he can within his constraints and the actual power available to him. He is not willing to engage in high risk activities unless they are absolutely essential (Balakot, 370 before Taliban takeover etc).
And letting a pointless situation fester only creates more opportunities for the BIF to exploit. In any endeavour, you try something, if it doesn't work out the way you want, you drop it, re-assess, try something else and move on. You don't stay and reinforce something that gives you limited gains for huge downsides. Such a leader would be a megalomaniac who for the sake of his/her strong(wo)man image, ends up creating a huge problem. We've been down that path. I grew up in that era. Thanks, but no thanks.
If Modi were to do what you suggest, I deeply suspect we would be worse off. He gets far more data than anyone here on what is functioning and what is not. For him to come on TV and state that he is withdrawing the laws for the sake of the "nation" while he did what he could for the farmers, is not a small effort. He knew the knock to his personal image etc and chose to go down that path.
The right thing to do in that situation is to analyze what led him down that path, not sit and offer pointless advice about how he needs us to tell him about "country and civilization" etc. If anything, we should have the common sense to realize what we are up against if he is not around and somebody like Pappu were at the helm.
We have to accept the fact that there are things at a societal level the BJP has to manage with. There are several laws I disagree which are discriminatory or ineffective, but BJP cant touch them or has actually supported them, because politics. That's going to take generations to fix.
Yes, there are things he and the party can improve no doubt. Their information /communication methods need far more effectiveness for instance. But its hardly like the above decision was taken on the spur of the moment and not carefully thought out. Analyze that, figure out what made such a decision be taken. Agree/disagree with that decision.
Lets have some sensible posts for a change rather than constant complaining that things are not perfect and we didnt get an easy win.