Dr. Shiv, I must say your recent posts have been very thought-provoking and certainly a departure not only from much of the consensus on BRF (as it seems to me) but also from your own previous thoughts.
I have a few questions for you, but before that let me lay out what I glean from your recent posts, with the caveat that I may be misunderstanding what you are saying. What you seem to be suggesting is:
- Those who focus on the hostile role of Pakistan exclusively are not looking either at the root cause/enabler of that hostility, or at the bigger picture
- That bigger picture involves the role of the UK and then the US, who have encouraged and egged on this hostility and delusional 'superiority' complex of the Pakis (e.g. when you said that
The US has been screwing us through the back door - but we are so enamored of them.
- Therefore we should be thinking of how to dislodge the UK/US involvement in the subcontinent -- and this will go some way towards resolving the problem of Pakistan
We have to think like a regional power, not as a local IndiaPakistan power. It is the US that needs to go.
When it comes to Pakistan itself, you seem to be saying that:
- The TSPA holds prime responsibility for deluding the paki abduls into thinking they can conquer India, and is the most to blame for inculcating this mentality
I am gradually beginning to see Pakistan as a mass psychiatric case brought up to believe that India is out to take Pakistan/islam down. This paranoia will need to be addressed. It would be easier to address if we could help install a cooperative government in Pakistan. Cooperative==not army, unless a Paki general has more balls that Paki generals generally show.
- The average Paki is not necessarily hostile to India, which means that having a civvie government in power can lead to friendly relations since hostility with India is not a popular, mass belief
We have no data to say that the majority of Pakis are going around hating India. Pakistanis are not seriously being polled about anything let alone India.
- Removal of the TSPA and having a civilian government in (true) power (not in name only) will mean that the anti-India anti-Hindu propaganda in Pakistan will begin to die down
I believe that if we can bring sanity to Pakjab, we can then use that to put pressure on Pakistan to give Baluchis and Pushtuns their rights and ensure that we trade with those people as well and help them with development.
And ultimately, that this can lead to a situation where Pakistan, without breakup, can kick out US influence and maintain friendly relations with India to our mutual benefit and the greater benefit of the region.
Now if that understanding of your thoughts is correct, here are my concerns with this argument:
1) Your contention that the average Paki is not hostile to India or predisposed to militant Islam seems to echo the very claims of many TFTA RAPEs that Pakistan has a 'moderate majority' which is why Islamic parties have only ever won 0.000006% of the votes in any election. These are claims that have been derided by many, including yourself, by pointing out that there is already so much Islamic orthodoxy built into the existing constitution and politics of 'secular' parties that there is hardly a need for overly Islamic parties to take power to have an Islamized polity. There are also the polls (Gallup?) conducted a few years ago which showed that something like 85% of Pakis support the death penalty for apostasy, and stoning for adultery, among other brutal 'pure' Islamic punishments. Not to mention the fate of Qadri, who has been feted and has a popular following, or the JuD/LeT roadshow that is currently attracting so many fans, or the ongoing devastation and victimization of Hindus, Christians, Ahmedis or Shias, all of which suggests a highly radicalized population that is hostile to India externally and assorted kafirs internally, not only because of a government policy of instilling this hatred (although that may be how it began), but because at this point that hatred is 'organic', i.e. part of the common wisdom and popular understanding of the country, just as Jews were known to be slimy vermin deserving of marginalization if not outright death in late 1930s Germany.
Are you now suggesting that those claims of the RAPEs repeated ad nauseam that the vast majority of Pakis are moderate, that you have yourself derided in the past, is actually true?
2) On a related note, you are essentially scapegoating the TSPA in your argument as the origin of all the misguided hatred of India and Hindus and the Indian heritage in Pakistan. You place the blame on them and suggest that without their inculcation of hatred in the common people there would be no such hatred. In this it seems to me that you put the cart before the horse -- the TSPA is not an entity that exists in isolation, without any connection with the Paki people. I would argue that the TSPA is a reflection of the country overall, even though it may be controlled and officered by the elites among that society. This means, again, that it is not the TSPA that is the source of the hatred of 'Hindu' India and delusions of conquering India, but that this hatred and delusion comes from the masses, from the popular thinking in Pakistan -- and is reflected in the TSPA because the TSPA is a reflection of the country (albeit a particularly nationalistic one).
This means that removing the TSPA from power is no guarantee that the hatred of India in TSP will disappear over time. This hatred is a self-sustaining ideology at this point, TSPA or no TSPA. The machines of hatred are the tens of thousands of madrassas, the jihadi tanzeems, and the Saudi money that fuels them. This also means that removing the US and UK from the region does not necessarily translate into an evaporation of this hatred -- it is not as though the US/UK created this hatred, although they have encouraged it and egged the Pakis on, to our mutual detriment.
3) You say that now is not the time for India to display hostility because Pakistan is more nervous than ever about collapse and Indian intentions. Yet SSridharji and others have eloquently argued before that this Pakistani fear of India is fake, a contrived argument designed to justify the armed forces' outsized share of national resources. India has never entertained thoughts of 'conquering' Pakistan because it is a hellhole, and steadily getting worse. Yet this has never mattered to the Pakis, who will fear us and hate us simply for existing -- because we present a contradiction to the ideas that underpin their entire country. 'Why Partition, if India is not the Muslim-hating nightmare that we were told it was?' is a very real question for a country that bloodily tore itself from its origins within living memory, and all that bloodshed cannot easily be accepted as based on the false premise that India and a Hindu majority were never a threat to Muslims in the subcontinent -- and therefore it seems to me that Pakis will continue to hold on to their cherished belief that India is 'out to get them', because this is the only possible reason for all the sacrifice and useless pursuit of foreign patronage, arms and ideologies all these miserable decades.
As for my views, I think that we should view Pakistan as a modern equivalent of Nazi Germany.
- Militarized society
- An
already existing hatred and bigotry against specific ethnic/religious groups
- The sharpening and extension of this hatred by deliberate government policy so that it takes on epidemic proportions, to the point where the vast mass of civilians, although 'regular people like you and me', will in aggregate stand by and watch as their army commits genocide and violence against the hated religious groups and neighboring countries
- At this point, mere replacement of the army with civilians is insufficient to eliminate the hatred inculcated for so long
- The only solution is absolute collapse, i.e. political, social and military failure, so that the utter bankruptcy of the prior policy of hatred is demonstrated beyond a doubt
IMHO this kind of absolute failure of the prior ideology is necessary for the India/Hindu-hating thinking to be comprehensively dismantled in Pakistan. Without this failure, that thinking will survive and remain as a strand of popular thinking, and will ultimately reassert itself. In other words, there can be no peace with Pakistan unless it goes through a through drubbing in one form or another, and this defeat is widely understood as resulting from the failed social and religious policies of the country leading up to that point. Only after this demonstration, and the rejection of the prior poisonous ideology of hatred (which will not occur otherwise), can normality and peace return to India-Pak relations.
Apologies for the long post, but thank you for provoking much thought on this subject in past weeks.