2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

[Dilbu]

BJP will lose one.

[Amber G.]

Counting of votes to begins at 6 am for assembly elections in Arunachal Pradesh & Sikkim.

Sunrise occurred at 4:21 am IST in Arunachal.

Will lotus bloom?

[Sachin]

Will lotus bloom?

Arunachal Pradesh Assembly Election 2024: BJP crosses half-way mark, NPP ahead in two seats, Congress takes lead in one.
Arunachal Pradesh seems to be siding with communal fascists .

Meanwhile in MH.
Lok Sabha Elections 2024 | Exit polls predict close fight between Maha Yuti & Maha Vikas Aghadi

[Amber G.]

Sikkim Krantikari Morcha (SKM) is set to retain power in the #Sikkim Assembly elections, with the party leading in 31 of the total 32 state assembly seats.

Chief Minister Prem Singh Tamang is leading by around 1,400 votes over #SDF rival Som Nath Poudyal.

RECEnt Arunchal


Arunachal Pradesh Chief Minister Pema Khandu is set for a 3rd term as #BJP is well ahead in the state according to early trends of the assembly election results.

The ruling BJP, which already had 10 “unopposed” win in the bag, is ahead in 45 of the 60 seats in the state.

#Congress lost its lone lead in Miao to the BJP, while the National People’s Party (NPEP) has a lead in 6 seats along with 9 others.
Congress is not winning even one seat in Arunachal Pradesh even after doing massive propaganda on China

[KL Dubey]

Counting of votes to begins at 6 am for assembly elections in Arunachal Pradesh & Sikkim.

Sunrise occurred at 4:21 am IST in Arunachal.

Will lotus bloom?

Arunachal and Sikkim both going to NDA.

In Arunachal BJP already won 10 seats unopposed and leading in most of the remaining 50.

In Sikkim the SKM is sweeping the election. BJP has "friendly fight" candidates also, typical of the northeast legislative elections. After this election, there will likely no significant opposition left since the INDI parties (SDF and INC) will be decimated.

[Amber G.]

^^^Office of The Chief Electoral Officer, Sikkim

[SRajesh]

Clear indication that Exit Polls are true : Farmers heading to Sambhu border!
Is this what the dotty discussed yesterday apart from taking part in discussions on Exit Polls

[sanjayc]

^^ Now that elections are done and won, Modi can be very severe with them.

[chetak]

^^ Now that elections are done and won, Modi can be very severe with them.

sanjayc ji,

AS would have kept the forces deployed for election duty in dilli somewhere easily accessible and close by, in fact it would have been the reason why the dilli elections were held in the later phases


they need to be taught a permanent lesson


It has manifested as an internal security issue with cross border ramifications that is being fuelled by the BIF using local puppets and sleeper cells

[vijayk]

Dhanya Rajendran of The News Minute seems to be the head of DIgiPub ($oros) who is coordinating most of the anti-national activities of media. DigiPub gets money from Middle east in $200 denominations. She supports Islamists in Kerala, organized Split South conference in B'lore, funds every anti-national youtube channels and Wire/Scroll. They need to be dealt with

[chetak]

In India, since 1947, not much has changed with the commie congi wokes culminating with the BIF eyetaalians

It is in the threatened loss of such ecosystems that the very heart of the "stolen/manipulated" election narrative of the BIF is embedded



George Orwell writing in 1943



The man in blue turban was our Prime Minister for 10 years, watch the video to see what one is talking about, the actual situation that prevailed on ground



WATCH VIDEO


The video is about 0:30 minutes long

[chetak]

[chetak]

[Tanaji]

It doesnt matter chetakji, he has now moved on to call this election itself rigged. All his energies will be directed now to damage the credibility of the Election commission and running to SC and get the results annulled. No doubt with help from western media adding to the din and some street protests and violence.

All in name of secularism and protecting democracy onleer

[Anujan]

I hope and wish Sam Pitroda lives a long and healthy life and is available to interview for 2029, 2034, 2039, 2044 elections as well.

[chetak]

It doesnt matter chetakji, he has now moved on to call this election itself rigged. All his energies will be directed now to damage the credibility of the Election commission and running to SC and get the results annulled. No doubt with help from western media adding to the din and some street protests and violence.

All in name of secularism and protecting democracy onlee

Tanaji saar,

That was their game plan right from the beginning. The BIF are patient but, at the same time, options like a xtian country bordering India are being explored now that the NE has come under India's firmer grip, BIF sponsored disturbances in the region not withstanding

There was no way that they were going to win in 2024 and they knew that many many months before the elections

The dotty gang did not even attempt to fight. The congis are preparing for 2029, because they need the time to consolidate and rebuild and refill the war chest

MAD weren't born yesterday. We are about to see some interesting times ahead


One expects a constitutional amendment to block secession from the Indian state, federalism and other pillars be damned

[Anujan]

If RJD/DMK do well, I am not sure how "EVMS were hacked onlee!!!" rhetoric will hold.

Yea they'll say it (there is a saying in my native tongue "The fellow who couldnt dance complained that the stage was crooked") once or twice to distract people from asking the real question:

By now, after 15 years it is clear Rahul baba is unsuited for politics. Why is he still sticking around? Why cant congress party come up with real policies, campaigning, ticket and seat distribution and go beyond family loyalty and establish a well-organized political party?

On the other hand, what is very likely is post-poll violence (especially WB) against supporters and functionaries. This happened before in assembly elections in WB

[vimal]

Rahul Ghandy zindaabaad. Long love the prince!

[A_Gupta]

> One expects a constitutional amendment to block secession from the Indian state, federalism and other pillars be damned

Shows just how successful the Congress propaganda has been that one could think that a constitutional amendment is needed.

I assure you, it is not at all necessary. I do not know what can be clearer than what is said below.

Some critics have taken objection to the description of India in Article 1 of the Draft Constitution as a Union of States. It is said that the correct phraseology should be a Federation of States. It is true that South Africa which is a unitary State is described as a Union. But Canada which is a Federation is also called a Union. Thus the description of India as a Union, though its constitution is Federal, does no violence to usage. But what is important is that the use of the word Union is deliberate. I do not know why the word ‘Union’ was used in the Canadian Constitution. But I can tell you why the Drafting Committee has used it. The Drafting Committee wanted to make it clear that though India was to be a federation, the Federation was not the result of an agreement by the States to join in a Federation and that the Federation not being the result of an agreement no State has the right to secede from it. The Federation is a Union because it is indestructible. Though the country and the people may be divided into different States for convenience of administration the country is one integral whole, its people a single people living under a single imperium derived from a single source. The Americans had to wage a civil war to establish that the States have no right of secession and that their Federation was indestructible. The Drafting Committee thought that it was better to make it clear at the outset rather than to leave it to speculation or to dispute.

Dr. B.R. Ambedkar, Constituent Assembly Debates, November 4, 1948.

Also note this: "Though the country and the people may be divided into different States for convenience of administration the country is one integral whole, its people a single people living under a single imperium derived from a single source."

In the view of the Constitution, the Indian people are a single people - Brahmin and Dalit, Kashmiri and Tamilian, Hindu and Muslim, East and West, and whatever other characteristics you can think of - Worth deeply reflecting on what makes them a single people rather than wasting time on Congressi propaganda. It will reassure you of the country's strength. It should also tell you how much PM Modi told the truth when he said the 2024 Congress manifesto is like that of the Jinnah Muslim League.

It should also tell you just how ignorant Pappu is. PM Modi swears by the Constitution, and says how he wanted to have a Constitution Day, with processions like that of temple processions - the Constitution carried by an elephant and escorted by processions, but the other party did not support it. While the Constitution is not perfect, and it is in fashion to bash it today, all that needs to be done, IMO, is to scrape away the Nehruvian & socialist patina put on it. PM Modi is pro-Constitution for a good reason, and not because the BJP doesn't care about the Hindu right wing's concerns.

[krithivas]

Reject the exit poll first, and then the election itself?

Rahul Gandhi rejects exit poll results with Moosewala song
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/ind ... 637136.cms

[Dilbu]

BJP will lose onlee.

[A_Gupta]

Reasons for Indians to sigh a breath of relief that the INDI alliance is nowhere near taking power:

1. Constitutional - Pappu & his kind have totally distorted the meaning of the Constitution - whether it be inserting "secular" & "socialist" in the preamble or their whole nonsense about federalism (see above).

2. Political stability - a coalition that can't name its PM candidate(s) or that fights each other in some states and cooperates in others is not capable of giving India political stability. If they were really tryng to "save the country" they would cooperate everywhere. It is kind of like Kejriwal's "I will go to jail for the country" but "right now, please give me bail".

3. Macroeconomic stability - why is India growing at 8% and not 10%. As the PM's Economic Advisory team members have said, India can grow faster, but with weakness in Europe and the US, with more growth, imports would grow faster than exports, and balance of payments would be affected. In general, as Sanjeev Sanyal has said, macroeconomic stability is more important than short-term growth numbers. The Congress program, if put in effect, will lead India into a debt trap like that of Pakistan. The deficits the Congress would incur would not increase the nation's productive capacity and thus diminish its ability to pay back its debts. The Congress cannot be trusted with the nation's economics, given their current manifesto.

Please add 4., 5., 6. etc.

[Amber G.]

The Exit Poll says it all

[williams]

Reasons for Indians to sigh a breath of relief that the INDI alliance is nowhere near taking power:

1. Constitutional - Pappu & his kind have totally distorted the meaning of the Constitution - whether it be inserting "secular" & "socialist" in the preamble or their whole nonsense about federalism (see above).

2. Political stability - a coalition that can't name its PM candidate(s) or that fights each other in some states and cooperates in others is not capable of giving India political stability. If they were really tryng to "save the country" they would cooperate everywhere. It is kind of like Kejriwal's "I will go to jail for the country" but "right now, please give me bail".

3. Macroeconomic stability - why is India growing at 8% and not 10%. As the PM's Economic Advisory team members have said, India can grow faster, but with weakness in Europe and the US, with more growth, imports would grow faster than exports, and balance of payments would be affected. In general, as Sanjeev Sanyal has said, macroeconomic stability is more important than short-term growth numbers. The Congress program, if put in effect, will lead India into a debt trap like that of Pakistan. The deficits the Congress would incur would not increase the nation's productive capacity and thus diminish its ability to pay back its debts. The Congress cannot be trusted with the nation's economics, given their current manifesto.

Please add 4., 5., 6. etc.

INDI alliance is not really a pan India thing. It is a hodge·podge mix of state players with a dying congress. There is no ground swell movement to reckon with. Soros money might work with may be English news watching crowd in the major metros.

[SRajesh]

If the exit poll trends hold good on the 4th then is it end of the road for :
1. AIADMK
3.TRS/BRS
3.BJD
4.YSRCP
5.INLD/JJP
6.SAD
7.JMM
8.JDS(Unless aligned with BJP or INC)
9.JDU(ditto)
10.RJD
11.TMC
as far as National Politics is concerned??
Will they be serious players in State level elections??
Next if we have a single elections(meaning state and Central) will that then end the era of Local Satraps and we eventually end as two or three party system??
Is that good for state in the long run??

[Prem Kumar]

I would rather collect evidence and dismiss the govt on law and order emergency grounds and then keep CRPF in there. This is outrageous. If BJP gets > 400, they need to tell who is the boss. Most of my friends in UP vouch that BJP gets such drastic support due to the way Yogi Ji handled crime with an iron first. Bengal needs that if citizens need to walk fearless in the state.

True. I hope BJP does not repeat the post 2019 mistake where they failed to translate LS gains into Assembly seats

If BJP/RSS & the average BJP voter feels betrayed again by the BJP High Command, the party will lose that state forever. A crushing display of Kshatriyata is needed

[A_Gupta]

https://pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2022466

Election Commission
General Elections 2024 -Dissemination of Counting Day Trends and Results
Posted On: 01 JUN 2024 7:44PM by PIB Delhi
The counting of votes for General Election to the House of the People – 2024 and State Legislative Assemblies of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha and bye-elections to Assembly Constituencies shall be held on 4th June, 2024 (Tuesday) starting 8AM onwards. The counting of votes for GE to the State Legislative Assembly of Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh will start from 6AM on June 2, 2024 (Sunday). CEC Shri Rajiv Kumar along with ECs Shri Gyanesh Kumar and Dr. Sukhbir Singh Sandhu had reviewed the counting day preparations with all CEOs and ROs.

The counting trends and results, as per data entered by RO/ARO for AC/PC will be available on the ECI Website at the URL https://results.eci.gov.in/ as well as on the Voter Helpline App, both iOS and Android Mobile Apps. The Voter Helpline App can be downloaded from the Google Play Store or Apple Play Store. Users can use the available filter to find out the winning/leading or trailing candidate details, along with the constituency-wise or State-wise results from the Voter Helpline App. Link to download VHA:



Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/deta ... n&hl=en_US iOS: https://apps.apple.com/in/app/voter-hel ... 1456535004

Handbook for Returning Officers and Counting agents available on ECI website can be accessed here: https://tinyurl.com/yknwsu7r & https://tinyurl.com/mr3cjwhe respectively.



The comprehensive instructions of the Commission for counting arrangements, procedure of counting of votes and storage of EVMs/VVPATs are already available on ECI website which can be accessed here:



Counting Arrangements: https://tinyurl.com/yxvm5ueh
Counting Process: https://tinyurl.com/2sdsjkc9
Storage of EVMs/VVPATs: https://tinyurl.com/5hcnzrkc


The local display of the trends and results by the CEOs/ROs/DEOs may also be done through the Digital Display Panels.

[vijayk]

very troubling signs for BJP in 18-25 and 25-35 age category. BJP is barely ahead or even



Instagram, youtube, tiktok and wokeism may be affecting the youth.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rRqewJpDd2o

[williams]

very troubling signs for BJP in 18-25 and 25-35 age category. BJP is barely ahead or even



Instagram, youtube, tiktok and wokeism may be affecting the youth.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rRqewJpDd2o

This sounds more like a metro only survey. If the Congi's increased their vote share so much why that is not showing in the National vote share?

[AkshaySG]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rRqewJpDd2o

If you look at the % its not so much BJP vote share dropping but more Others dropping and going w dotty alliance which isn't too surprising considering the alliance make up this time.

It is worth a mention that BJP no longer holds the digital edge it did during '14,'19 and that Congress too has started to use WA, FB, Insta quite well for its messaging while probably being helped by certain NGOs

[vijayk]

https://twitter.com/MikeBenzCyber/statu ... 6194908160


Mike Benz @MikeBenzCyber

Does India not realize Google Jigsaw is Google’s CIA branch?

Why on earth would India ever let this in

[gakakkad]

very troubling signs for BJP in 18-25 and 25-35 age category. BJP is barely ahead or even



Instagram, youtube, tiktok and wokeism may be affecting the youth.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rRqewJpDd2o

I wonder if the age group is adjusted for caste , religion etc . For instance if in the survey responders a higher proportion of young voters are Muslims that can skew the data. We don't know if the above is raw data or adjusted . I'd love the see the age distribution in more detail .

[Vayutuvan]

[img...]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GPDLz8CbkAE ... ame=medium[/img]

@chetak gaaru, what is INC alone? Are they crossing 44 of 2019?

[chetak]

Reject the exit poll first, and then the election itself?

Rahul Gandhi rejects exit poll results with Moosewala song
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/ind ... 637136.cms

krithivas ji,


did the pappu guy even know what he was doing

Moosewala in songs praised bhindranwale, the same guy who knocked out his granny

or has it all been forgotten and forgiven in the congi party's dumb quest for vote banks

[chetak]

[img...]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GPDLz8CbkAE ... ame=medium[/img]

@chetak gaaru, what is INC alone? Are they crossing 44 of 2019?

we will have to wait for the counting, Vayutuvan ji

[vijayk]

RSS/VHP have to get into mass movement to convert people back especially SC/ST from Christianity. They also have to push housing schemes and ration cards for many of these disadvantaged communities. SC are still voting for the traitor party. Pull SC back into Hindu fold. Expand tribal outreach

[A_Gupta]

A very detailed look at axis MY INDIA exit polling data (in Hindi):
https://youtu.be/WtTyCJDDy7U?si=O9DgynFYriKOxB-9

A general observation is that where Congress gained, it was not at the expense of the BJP.

[bala]

Rajiv Malhotra talks about BIFs, strong center with stable growth and advancement of the nation, western media and much more on the 10 yrs of Modi rule.

He praises FM Jaisankar but he says that foreign office is in reactive mode (though quick) but they have to be more proactive to anticipate the entire cabal of anti-India forces. ICCR which reports to foreign office don't do any research worth a dime. Rajiv says deep research is needed to pre-empt these thugs who bombard India with their rubbish. Many political factions in India are in bed with these thugs. Book "Snakes in the Ganga", documents all the nefarious organizations who target India in devious ways. There is a dude prof in Stanford Univ supported by Reliance-Dhirubai Ambani grant Thomas Blom Hansen who is virulently anti-India. Kya logic yaar?

BIF V 3.0 is in the works by Rajiv Malhotra. Univ in Western domain are causing the evil cool-aid to spread around the world. The issue is that India's rise is threatening dominance of the West. China will gladly join in to finger India. 2047 could be a very bumpy ride for India.

India is not using its soft power like Yoga to get things done favorably for India. A congressperson in the US has family all into yoga but he/she would vote against India.

[Prem Kumar]

very troubling signs for BJP in 18-25 and 25-35 age category. BJP is barely ahead or even



Instagram, youtube, tiktok and wokeism may be affecting the youth.

I have a hard time believing this data. If Cong made this much gains across all age groups, they will surge in # of seats, which we are not seeing

But that being said:

1) BJP & Supporters have good presence on Twitter. This started pre-2014 itself. But not so much in Instagram, YouTube etc. They need to amp up the game. They dont have to do it themselves, but provide ideological, monetary & other forms of institutional support to citizens who want to become influencers on these platforms

2) Education reform: under Modi sarkar, an entire generation of schoolkids (10 years) have continued reading garbage history that teaches them to hate their own culture, worship Gandhi/Nehru, believe in oppressive caste system etc. These kids are now 1st time voters. Why would the BJP be so stupid as to let them be brainwashed against BJP/Nation is beyond me! De-conditioning is 100X harder than molding kids right in the first place. If BJP cannot fix Education (& by that, I don't mean the stupid NEP which makes all the reforms except the key ones), then they will have to convince crores of new, 1st time voters during each election that they are not evil

3) Media: today's media coverage is tomorrow's history. Once again, pathetic show by Modi Sarkar on this front. Hope Modi 3.0 takes this up in right earnest

[Sachin]

5Forty3 u/c Dr. Praveen Patil has revealed their exit poll numbers.
BJP's core zone (i.e strong hold): NDA: 281. Seculars: 47
BJP's periphery zone (weak area): NDA: 97. Seculars: 78
Total: NDA: 378. Seculars: 125