Singha wrote:well years and years of saudi machinations could not destroy Iraq or Syria.
Dunno what your definition of `destroyed` is?! Iraq and Syria are destroyed.
israel will not get directly involved with the sunni kabila, just provide weapons and technical support, that even NATO is doing . israel might have more humint in the region thats the value add.
Israel will get physically involved if it sees that America, and/or Saudi are not serious about preventing direct Iran access to its borders.
turkey will be controlled and managed by russia using carrot and stick approach. unlike israel or saudis, they have the PKK right under their chair and a border with their ancient friends the Armenians
Russia seems to have zero influence on Turkey`s policy. It has already lost respect for its `stick` when it failed to react to Erdogan shooting down the Sukhoi 24 plane. Putin has vacillated on Turkey and has no clue what he is doing.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 31 May 2017 21:03
by Singha
I disagree with all the above points. Will wait and see 3 more months instead of circular arguments now.
Division17 is highly fortified mil base like ramouseh in aleppo. As its unlikely to have civilians and have a lot of rats...the sdf will look to engage and fix before calling in b52s to uproot the place
Daish will look to use human Shields there
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 01 Jun 2017 00:17
by Bhurishravas
Russian insistence that Kurds accept Assad rule was short sighted. That drove the Kurds into US arms.
The Kurds accepting US friendship instead of Russian is even more short sighted. US will use the Kurds against ISIS and Assad but will never help them against NATO ally Turkey.
Russians lost a pawn against Turkey/NATO. Kurds lost Russian friendship.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 01 Jun 2017 08:23
by Singha
syrian govt has a multiple ongoing offensives eastward
- sweida region adjacent to jordan border
- south palmyra
- maskaneh plain
- arak east of palmyra [ kind of dormant but this where the main push will come ]
and 5th one has started from the town of salamiyeh on the road to aleppo to clear a region of east homs north of palmyra . this area was the site of a deadly massacre of civilians last month. the syrians can at best put a dozen NDF men and 2 technicals to protect each village ... taking advantage the ISIS crept in and massacred people incl women and children on the streets.
also there was a vbied backed small raid in west aleppo zahraa suburb that KIA 5 troops. this was not followed by any offensive or preceded by any buildup. seems to be a final year practical exam for passout trainees of the daura-e-khaas terror courses being conducted in Idlib under the gurukuls of Alhamma tactical and kavkaz both led by ex-russian army Shishani elements.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 01 Jun 2017 12:56
by Singha
Ypg has crossed river near raqqa at one more point and captured the baath dam
RPGs were fired at a tanker in bab el mandab yday. hard to say who did it or why, everyone is packing a RPG in yemen and a AK47 with banana clip inside the dishdasha for backup
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 02 Jun 2017 07:23
by Singha
Paweł Wójcik @SaladinAlDronni 12h12 hours ago
Widely unnoticed, but Al Shaabab has been hitting Kenya hard since few days, today inside Kenya and Somalia ~40 Kenyans dead
Paweł Wójcik
@SaladinAlDronni
This is not a surprise- AQ has announced it recently, with Kenyans its main target of operations now. Bardere in S and Garrisa in Kenya
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 02 Jun 2017 07:26
by Singha
as you can see ISIS is only type of tumour. the host (ie earth) is beset with various malignant and mutating viruses that have spread all over now. perhaps only south america and antarctica as a continent remain uninvolved in this - so far. ISIS will be done for in 1 year but something else will emerge in that region...already there signs they are setting up a new shop in Anbar....claims of a attack on PMU convoy on baghdad-samarra road with dozens killed. that type of major attack needs logistics.
as ISIS reduces, AQ rises in power, they are cleverer and more widespread , flying under radar, not holding territory to present fixed targets, formless devils who spread through social media and present no attack surface ... a kind of tandem HEAT warhead...ISIS shocks things and opens a hole for AQ to worm in and do the long term damage
one could say antarctica anyway follows sharia dress code as the penguins wear black and white dishdasha from head to toe with only eyes showing. so they are har-ul-harb. the scientific stations there are haram and will be burned to the ground surely once the faithfools make landfall. I would keep a tactical "go-bag" ready with tavor, mags, food, optics, meds, water, GPS, maps, flares, wetsuit if I were me. and I would learn swimming long distances
make no mistake - societies who want to live in peace are in the fight for survival here. no amt of border control is going to "keep things out"
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 02 Jun 2017 07:36
by Singha
SAA about to start broad push east of the vital khanasser road to aleppo - semi desert lands
23 min isis video showing their men fighting in east homs - the same area where the broad push above will start. they overwhelm some isolated syrian positions in the video ... highly undermanned against raiding units. more like spotters forced to fight.
cant be denied they are skilled and deadly fighters ... but the syrians have finally found some respite from "moderate" nato certified rebels to mass all their limited resources onto the eastern front and push ahead.
in next 2 weeks let us see how much the tiger forces can achieve. they are circling around the maskaneh town heavily fortified to try and force the daish to abandon it.
and they will have to breakout of palmyra-arak in strength and push east. after a month of fighting in the hedges of normandie, the allies did manage to break out into open country and patton and his army group were landed and unleashed. gen leclerc was given the honour of reclaiming paris. the leclerc MBT is named after him.
DAMASCUS, SYRIA (3:00 A.M.) – The Popular Mobilization Units (PMU) are taking a heavy toll on the Islamic State after bringing their desert warfare expertise, commanded by Haider Al-Ameri, to deadly effect in western Nineveh.
Targeting an ISIS-held area south of Al-Ba’aj, the PMU were able to wrestle control over the village of Al-Khibra on Thursday morning. Later on, the Iraqi contingents also took control of the nearby Al-Sakaar housing complex.
Meanwhile, the PMU leadership announced it would start operations to secure the entire border with Syria; if succesful, this major military endeavour would cut the regional caliphate in half and significantly hamper its logistics and maneuverability.
In addition, PMU chief Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandes announced that their forces would handover the entire border region to Syrian and Iraqi border guards once retaken.
With the PMU offensive heading southwards en route to the ISIS stronghold of Al-Qaim, the PMU meanwhile denied it had crossed into Syria and said it was building trenches and barriers along the border to withhold ISIS counter-attacks
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 02 Jun 2017 09:53
by Singha
massa continues with its legally untenable blockade and squatting upon the al tanf border area
two sovereign countries want to re-open their road link between palmyra and al rutba. but the massa is like a monkey in between two cats.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 02 Jun 2017 12:27
by Bhurishravas
Singha wrote:
two sovereign countries want to re-open their road link between palmyra and al rutba. but the massa is like a monkey in between two cats.
Sovereignty is irrelevant. There will be no direct Iran to Syria/Hezbollah road in the near future.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 02 Jun 2017 12:48
by Bhurishravas
The great prophit waged wars against the jews and massacred them. That is because they are evil.
Muslim theocracies are loathe to disconnect from the great profit`s ideals. So, Iran cannot/will not normalise its relations with Israel. Israel will defend itself and is a formidable enemy to make. It also has the support of Amreeka. So, there will be no land road from Teheran to Hezbollah.
The Sunni GCC is much smarter. The current king`s predecessors marched on Karbala with 2000 sunni fanatics and killed thousands of Shias in 1802. He destroyed the Karbala mosque and among the things looted were donations that Nadir Shah had made to the mosque, which of course were looted by him in Delhi. The first enemy of GCC is Al-Rafida. The Shias. The hatred is one sided. Iran can do nothing about it.
The stupidity of the Iranians is to have too may enemies. Iran needs to end its own one-sided hatred of the Jews. The Shia crescent will never come to fruition unless Iran makes up with Israel.
Iran needs to make assessment of the type Erdogan did before appointing Yildirim PM. Too many enemies, too few friends. Need to change.
seems like a lot of rural fields where sdf can creep in still. its a small town, hardly comparable to mosul. out in the open fields the ISIS if they choose to fight will be hit easily by air power and artillery.....
Looks like Russia has found another crack in woodwork to exploit. Krg hates ypg. Ypg is with usa . Only in efrin they depend on rus to keep turkish boots out. So krg is new friend of russia lol
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 03 Jun 2017 11:49
by Singha
Tigers have bypassed maskaneh...trapped its daesh unit and are 5km from border of raqqa state and 20km from ypg line at tabqa airbase
Reports of russians flying more supplies and planes into hymenim again. Two major pushes east are imminent ...east hama to tabqa and palmyra to sukhnah
Ruaf has been savagely bombing isis sites in these areas last few days.
Tigers seem set to enter raqqa state border mid of next week
ST. PETERSBURG, June 2. /TASS/. Russia is defending not so much Syria’s leader Bashar Assad as Syrian statehood, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday.
"We’re defending there [in Syria] not so much President Assad as Syrian statehood," the Russian president said at a panel discussion at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum.
"We don’t want a situation to emerge on the territory of Syria comparable with Libya or Somalia or with Afghanistan where there is the need for presence for many years while the situation is not changing for the better," Putin stressed.
Russia wants the preservation of the Syrian statehood to use this as the basis for moving towards the political settlement of the Syrian problem, the Russian leader said.
In response to a question about whether Assad could be considered as an evil man, Putin suggested that this question should be addressed to other leaders who had communicated with the Syrian president.
"He [Assad] visited Europe more frequently than Russia after he was elected," the Russian leader said, explaining his suggestion.
"Did Assad make mistakes? Yes, possibly, and quite a few of them," Putin said. "But the people who oppose him, are they angels or what? I mean, those who kill people, execute children and cut heads off?"
He warned against "labelling" and called for concrete work to pool countries’ efforts in addressing the problem of terrorism.
Putin pointed out that the charges Assad had used chemical weapons were groundless. Moreover, nobody cared to support Russia’s proposal to inspect the places where ostensible chemical weapons were taken on board aircraft or the suspected places of attack "They refused. Nobody wants to," he stated. "There has been much talk, but no action at all."
Putin also said the very instance of elimination of chemical weapons had been confirmed by Damascus.
"Speaking about people, who had been allegedly killed or wounded as a result of the use of (chemical) weapons - this information is false," Putin said speaking at the 2017 Saint Petersburg Economic Forum (SPIEF-2017). "As of today, we are absolutely sure that it simply was an act of provocation."
"(Syrian President Bashar) Assad never used this weapon," the Russian president said. "It had been done by those, who eventually sought accusing him of this act."
According to Putin, Russian intelligence had data that a similar scenario was planned to be used again ‘by them’ in other regions of Syria, including near Damascus.
"We have made this information public," the Russian president said. "Thanks God, those who planned this action, pulled their wits together in time."
Putin reiterated that the chemical weapons were used in Syria by those, who later intended to shift the blame on President Bashar Assad.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 04 Jun 2017 14:34
by Singha
BILAL SARWARY @bsarwary 22h22 hours ago
#AFG At least 3 explosions were heard.Hundreds were attending funeral for son of first deputy speaker for senate.
no peace to be had, even in a graveyard. total war.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 04 Jun 2017 14:37
by Singha
100 civilians killed by ISIS snipers in the old city mosul trying to escape yesterday.
iraqis tried to use abrams tank to shield them and get them out, but 100 were mowed down.
ISIS ran from maskaneh once surrounded from 3 sides and given a ultimatum to run or die
this is tiger forces media man
Yusha YuseefVerified account @MIG29_ 12h12 hours ago
Breaking ; I confirm , SAA Tiger Forces liberate All Maskaneh city , and the Troops Enter the city
mid next week they will enter Raqqa province for the 1st time in many years ... in concert a large offensive is imminent from near salamiyah in east hama to meet them near tabqah somewhere from the west->east direction. the Liwa al quds of aleppo fame also seem to be active. made of palestinian refugees who settled in syria.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 04 Jun 2017 14:46
by Singha
this map shows around 50+ villages with ISIS penny packets to be cleared before the two prongs meet with SDF near tabqa and complete the cleaning of Hama and western side of Raqqa. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DBWIJknXYAAn0fH.jpg
the SDF has encircled a 50k pop town Mansoura on opp shore of Raqqa and captured part of it. fierce battle is on at various points in the ring around raqqa as free floating ISIS from the desert try to stage counter attacks.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 04 Jun 2017 14:50
by Singha
NDF has released a video showing last 7 days of ops in maskaneh plain. 1200 isis kia.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 04 Jun 2017 14:51
by Singha
the grey areas continue to shrink though it will take a few more months