i posted those threats above. closing my eyes had the vision of Tu160s over the caspian sea releasing full revolver mags of kh101 followed by kalibr salvos by the black sea flotilla homing out toward every power plant, port, grain silo and POL storage in saudi.
royals and their fleet of 747 will hightail it to london and paree before the kalibrs clear the iranian coast
assad is preparing for post war elections it seems - attends Eid prayers in hama, goes around meeting common people, crackdown on corrupt oligarchs lately....wife held a lunch for kids, widows , mothers of martyrs of the war and disabled kids. with crisp photos released.
"very american" style of campaigning....
iran is hell bent on their shia crescent/corridor thing and seems prepared to fight anyone who stands in their way. with a 120k PMU on iraqi side integrated into govt and militias on syrian side , they do have a lot of traction right now.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 04:49
by Y. Kanan
Based on US actions around Deir Ezzor and Al-Tanf, it appears the US goal is to deny Iran a land link to Hezbollah, by controlling all the highways in southern Syria. Is that a reasonable assumption?
This goal would make the most sense given America's constant ass-licking of the Jewish state.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 04:56
by Singha
You got it
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 05:15
by Singha
Turkiye has reduced euphrates water via ataturk dam
This has hit hydro power plant at tishreen dam near manbij
Which has hit khafsa water pump stn which pumps water to aleppo city
syrians are fighting hard to link up on ithriyah-resafa axis and shorten the tiger rear areas / supply line from 300km to 100km
gap is said to be around 20km now, down from 40 a week ago
Peto Lucem @PetoLucem 11h11 hours ago
More
NEW MAP: A few more KMs for #SAA to close next pocket, eliminate #ISIS remnants and ultimately secure #Hama - #Aleppo supply route. #Syria
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 08:38
by Singha
on Id day, SDF has released without trial 83 isis fighters in ain isa north of raqqa on the grounds they were "not fighters and did not kill anyone, misguided youth lured by money" a claim thats impossible to verify
looking at this lot, i would not feel comfortable around most of them. lord alone knows what will happen, perhaps R&R for a while then join the next insurgency in eastern syria. or join some anti assad militia for v2 of misguided youth play to get a salary.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 10:23
by Y. Kanan
Another false flag operation in the works; more US strikes coming:
Looks like the case to be , The new Saudi Prince coming into power and the upcoming meeting between Putin & Trump , I expect this chemical weapon attack will take place in the next 1 month just before the meeting.
BTW , even the US military believed the previous attack was not a real one but a false flag Seymour Hersh has broken the story
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 10:50
by Singha
i posted the hersh expose yesterday. note he had to publish in a small german outlet and none of the vast american MSM will publish his piece.
so 99.99% of people will not see his piece in the news feeds.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 11:16
by Austin
Singha wrote:i posted the hersh expose yesterday. note he had to publish in a small german outlet and none of the vast american MSM will publish his piece.
so 99.99% of people will not see his piece in the news feeds.
Agree but Hersh has lot of credibility even if MSM in West Ignores him , Thanks to Twitter and other medium there will be many who will read it and most certainly it will reach Military Analyst and Intel of every nation.
American MSM is too busy covering how Putin and Trump rigged the US elections that every knew 99 % hillary would win including US Intel Analyst
That Hillary win conclusion by US Intel was actually put by MSNBC to Mike Pompeo the current CIA director , Even he admits US intel was wrong there check this interview
Singha check this write up by the man who is not liked on BRF but he has done a decent job , Iran achievement is very impressive by ME standard and they have been under the most intense sanctions the world has ever seen
Iran and noko are different kettle of fish from the rest. Casually if you scan the results of intl olympiads in phy chem maths they will be there as will ethnic russis from car stans , the main rodina, east europe and cheen who makes a fetish of this. The very fact that pipelines of students from these two are able to compete with the best of rodina and cheen in the hardest contests at student is telling. and not all will be going to caltech or mit. America still extracts intellectual rent from row but its days of 100% plundering like they did to iit toppers in 60s upto 2000 is likely over
The top 5% in any field have huge impact
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 12:05
by Singha
Nikki Haley on Twitter: "Any further attacks done to the people of Syria will be blamed on Assad, but also on Russia
^^ one chem attack coming up
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 12:08
by Singha
a reaction perhaps to hersh throwing mud all over the 1st chem attack
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 12:33
by Philip
Clown Prince Md. Dust-Bin Salman is akin to a speeding train without an engine driver.His Yemen sortie,and ultimatum to Qatar is reminiscent of the Italians in Ethiopia.Mussolini lusting after an Italian empire to rival his other European kingdoms,invaded Ethiopia,but eventually was turfed out.Emperor Haile Selaissie's words are worth recalling,which Dust-Bin Salman desirous of creating a Saudi empire in the Arab world should take note of.
Haile Selassie then gave a stirring speech denouncing Italy's actions and criticizing the world community for standing by. At the conclusion of his speech, which appeared on newsreels throughout the world, he warned that: "It is us today. It will be you tomorrow."
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/sau ... 08936.html By demanding the end of Al Jazeera, Saudi Arabia is trying to turn Qatar into a vassal state
If Crown Prince Mohamed bin Salman can rush into a hopeless war with the Houthis of Yemen, why shouldn’t he threaten the body politic of Qatar?
Robert Fis
k
The newsroom at the headquarters of the Qatar-based Al-Jazeera satellite channel in Doha AFP/Getty
So serious has the Saudi-Qatar crisis now become that the Qatari Foreign Minister is reportedly planning an emergency trip to Washington in the next few days in the hope that the Trump regime can save his emirate. For Mohamed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani knows very well that if Qatar submits to the 13 unprecedented – some might say outrageous – demands that Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt have made, it will cease to exist as a nation state.
Al Jazeera television editors, supported by a phalanx of human rights and press freedom groups, have denounced the 10-day warning that the Qatar satellite chain must close – along with Middle East Eye and other affiliates – as a monstrous intrusion into freedom of speech. One television executive compared it to a German demand that Britain closes the BBC. Not so. It is much more like an EU demand that Theresa May close the BBC. And we know what she would say to that.
But the British Prime Minister and her Foreign Secretary, while obviously anxious to distance themselves from this very dangerous – and highly expensive – Arab dispute, are not going to draw the sword for Qatar. Nor are the Americans, when their crackpot President decided that Qatar was a funder of “terrorism” a few days after agreeing a $350bn arms deal with Saudi Arabia.
UAE: Diplomacy will be given 'one or two more chances' before they 'part ways' with Qatar
But surely, say the Qataris, this can’t be serious. They don’t doubt that Field Marshal President al-Sisi of Egypt, who loathes Al Jazeera, is principally behind the demand that it close down, but one of the four Arab states must have deliberately leaked the list to Reuters and the Associated Press. If so, why would Qatar’s enemies wish to reveal their hand so early? Surely such demands would be only the first negotiating position of the four Arab nations.
It’s hard to see how the Qataris can respond. If they really did close their worldwide television network and other media groups, break off relations with the Muslim Brotherhood – al-Sisi’s target, although his real enemy is Isis – and the Taliban and Hezbollah, downgrade their relations with Iran, close Turkey’s military base and expose their account books for international Arab scrutiny for the next 12 years, then Qatar becomes a vassal state.
To Qatar’s friends, this seems bizarre, fantastical, almost beyond reality – but who can plumb the brain of the new and highly impulsive 31-year-old Crown Prince Mohamed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia? If he can rush into a hopeless war with the Houthis of Yemen, why shouldn’t he threaten the body politic of Qatar? The Saudi royal family have several times tried to humiliate their disobedient neighbour; by isolating this little pearl of wealth with its meddlesome television station, they are forcing Qatar to eat the nearest equivalent of humble pie: food imported from Iran and Turkey.
Al Jazeera, needless to say, is no shrinking violet. Modesty has never been its chief characteristic. Its Arabic service has shown extraordinary partiality towards the Brotherhood, which the emir of Qatar continued to support after the Egyptian military staged a coup d’etat against the elected Brotherhood president of Egypt. Al-Sisi banged up a group of Al Jazeera journalists whose work for the English service had been used – without their permission – on the intrusive and anti-Sisi Arabic “Live” channel run by Qatar.
The English service, despite all the brouhaha when it first began transmitting – the American media hailed its arrival as the beginning of media freedom in the Middle East – rarely covered Bahrain or showed any critical courage in reporting Saudi Arabia. It certainly never asked why Qatar was not a democracy. When it began broadcasting Osama bin Laden’s taped sermons, President George W Bush wanted to bomb the satellite channel – which would have been a slightly more extreme step than the 13 demands of the four Arab nations who now wish to isolate Qatar. An American version of Al Jazeera was a total failure; it began to sound and look like just another version of CNN/Fox News – tat journalism that then infected its worldwide English language service.
So while we should not be too romantic about Al Jazeera, its Arab detractors, fortified by their all too romantic new relationship with Trump, are trying to crush any dignity which Qatar claims for itself. To insist that it pays cash compensation for lives lost due to its foreign policy is like asking Saudi Arabia to fund the rebuilding of Yemen, pay indemnity to its 10,000 civilian dead and care for its tens of thousands of cholera victims.
In its earlier days, I asked one of Al Jazeera’s senior staffers if the channel, on which I sometimes appeared, was merely a propaganda plaything of the Qatari royal family. No, I was told firmly. It was a “foreign policy project”. And so it clearly is. Tiny Qatar thought it had become an imperial power upon whose satellite channel the sun would never set. But if it one day acquired the power of land – by rebuilding Syria, for example – this might add territory to oil and liquid gas and Al Jazeera; something which the Saudis would never accept. Is this why Qatar’s nationhood is now being threatened?
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 15:34
by Singha
the syrians and persians are going after the soft underbelly of the isis in the desert on the long pole fro T3 - T2 - iraq border , stretching isis manpower thin and leaving sukhnah alone for the time being. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DDQNwjJXYAAQW8z.jpg:large
gives them lot of options which direction to move and isolate any nodes of resistance.
i guess they want to secure and lock up the border first before turning in , in order to keep uncle away from fishing in these waters.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 16:08
by Austin
I used to think AL Jazeera was pro-OPEC and Pro Paki , Watch their news content gives you that impression .. AL Jazeera got Arab pov to the world which was hooked to CNN and BBC , Infact GWB Jr was so pissed off with Al Jazeera during iraq was that he proposed bombing them to Tony Blair.
Surprising House of Saud wants them to shut AJ wonder what is the reason ?
Large battle ongoing near T2 pump station and airstrip. I expect daish will be crushed there and kicked out real soon. In the desert they can only scatter. If they concentrate will be hammered.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 16:16
by Singha
This is a mode of deep battle using mobile units the russians rewrote the guderian and rommel v1 book on. So their advisers and contractors will be able to guide.
Dont be surprised if they pull another move and make boldly for deir azzor instead of expected al bukamal. or turn the defences of Sukhnah in the north from the backside. the syrian army is finally able to use its remaining armour in wide open spaces not in urban ruins.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 16:22
by Singha
here is the blessed place - a 1km long POL pumping stn with a web of pipes feeding in from the east and one pipe going NW to T3.
has a 1km x 1km cross runway but no airport or even hangar so used to ferry engineers and supplies only not a fighter base.
with no hills or barriers there is no way it can be defended vs saa swarming in from SW and NW .... they can hunker down inside the facility but unless they have a lot of people, mortars and ATGMs, life will be short.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 16:26
by Philip
Any thoughts on the next phase in Syria after ISIS are routed/relocate to Iraq whatever? The space they've been occupying will be fiercely contested by Syrian,Ottoman,Kurdish and US backed so-called "rebels",their mercenary outfits,drawing more lines in the sand just as Sykes-Picot did a century ago.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 17:12
by Singha
Turkey can definitely cause a lot of trouble in north syria and idlib. Both are under its effective occupation.
Whether and how much usa will prop up a rojava will be interesting. Rojava will need good terms with iraq and assad to sustain itself due to no coastline and turkish grey wolves in north.
The sunni bantustan planned for eastern syria might be a stillborn project as the land route to Jordan is now cut with persians swarming all over desert. Iraqi govt will not be keen on another unstable sunni statelet next door and will militarize the al qaim and al tanf rutba border of anbar. Suleimani seems like a sith lord..he sensed a shatterpoint in the force and attacked that channel.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 21:24
by IndraD
Austin wrote:I used to think AL Jazeera was pro-OPEC and Pro Paki , Watch their news content gives you that impression .. AL Jazeera got Arab pov to the world which was hooked to CNN and BBC , Infact GWB Jr was so pissed off with Al Jazeera during iraq was that he proposed bombing them to Tony Blair.
Surprising House of Saud wants them to shut AJ wonder what is the reason ?
cos AJ supports Hamas in Palestine and MB in Egypt.
AJ also has carried out adverse presentations on Saudi king (total no no)
Aj was mouthpiece of 'moderate' rebels so called Al Nusra. Funded by Qtr.
Even I thought for a while AJ is on Saudi side , but this is greeon on green.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 21:47
by UlanBatori
mode of deep battle using mobile units the russians rewrote
Post 3rd Battle of Kharkov/ Battle of Kursk? Seems like that was the end of the Germans in Russia. I didn't know they won heavily at Kharkov even after Stalingrad, so Kursk was the real tip-over point.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 27 Jun 2017 22:08
by Singha
kursk was more a meat grinder where the germans threw in the best they had left and still came 2nd.
i am referring to the breakout of stanlingrad under eremenko and rokosowsky as perhaps the first rays of the new dawn.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 28 Jun 2017 00:37
by Singha
comment below NYT article shouting about new chemical attack imminent. word has spread.
chet380 west coast 54 minutes ago
Setting the groundwork for another "false flag operation".
For a comprehensive analysis of the utter fraudulence of the "chemical attack" at Khan Shaytun, please see the Seymour Hersh article at Die Welt.
Reply 10Recommend
harleycreel Earth 54 minutes ago
Seymour Hersch's piece on the April strike says it all.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 28 Jun 2017 07:01
by Singha
turkish islamists egging on erdogan
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 28 Jun 2017 07:02
by Singha
well oiled chain of command
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 28 Jun 2017 07:06
by Singha
Elijah J. Magnier @EjmAlrai 11h11 hours ago
More forces injected by #SAA allies on #Syrian-#Iraqi borders & change f objective: al-Sukhnah is no longer imminent. Target is Deir al-Zour
^^ hence the new desperation in the israeli AF to support their proxies and to drum up a new chemical attack 'retaliation'
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 28 Jun 2017 07:54
by Singha
in conert with PMU+Iraqi army attacking Al Qaim this will secure the border in parallel
will also encourage iSIS to abandon the irrelevant sukhnah now or stay in place and take a hit later
Military Advisor @miladvisor 4h4 hours ago
Replying to @miladvisor
Syrian Army change objective: SAA will advance to DZ from south and not to Sukhnah,from Resafa
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 28 Jun 2017 08:00
by Singha
the westernmost brown area is Salamiyah in Homs province - long a PITA on the syrians backside. ISIS is stuck like a leech there forever in see saw small gains and losses and still holding on like a limpet there.
the kalibr strikes and savage bombing this week from hymenim is finally meant to root them out of this pocket and send them east into the hills north of palmyra. they represent a threat of another sudden attack on palmyra - T4 if not cleaned up.
Tigers after linking up with Ithriyah might be given this task from north.
the Desert hawks now politically rehabilitated after some issues with their "extortion and such" are moving to Salamiyah to lead the strike from west. they are well equipped and well rested from Latakia coast.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 28 Jun 2017 08:04
by Singha
that leaves the inverted brown triangle east of the euphrates as the only ISIS land that none have immediate plans to attack. the vertex on the iraqi border at the top is jointly managed by YPG and PMU. it is unknown in what strength YPG and ISIS hold the front there or its a loose no-mans land.
Assad might invite the PMU to advance on a road from there that leads to DEZ to help stretch the ISIS thinner.
thats the pre match summary of this monsoon IPL
PMU is fortifying the north section of the border and waiting until iraqi army cleans up the Tal afar pocket which is in progress
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 28 Jun 2017 08:08
by Singha
this might actually flush the ISIS turds up the pipe in a reverse way from what khan intended from the south toward Raqqa
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 28 Jun 2017 11:22
by Vikas
How is that Jordan remains untouched by all the mess happening around her especially knowing that Jordan is another of those artificial entities created by Brits. Very rarely you will see them in news. I am sure they too have restive Shia population and Iran as usual must be trying to create some mischief.
Tubelight moment: I guess lack of Gas and Oil saves them from all the trouble. No one is interested in barren piece of land which has nothing inside its womb.
Re: Levant crisis - III
Posted: 28 Jun 2017 11:41
by Singha
Except petra nabatean ruins ..aqaba gulf and wadi rum tourism
But a full isis insurgency is ongoing in sinai which spans egypt israel jordan.