Bharat Rakshak

Karan M wrote:So the 7 decade long left-INC project to have Indians become a mix of deracinated wogs acting like brown sahibs, and be caught up in their nice little caste buckets is being sabotaged by the rise of a counter. A nationalist force which is stressing on folks to hold a strong center together, away from sub-regionalist fiefdoms.

Truly a strategic nightmare for the west, and PRC - all would have been happy that india remained a backward fiefdom and was gradually being subverted from within.

nachiket wrote:

Shaktimaan wrote:
Saar according to my taxiwalla and chaiwalla inputs from SoBo, Deora is heading for a narrow victory. We shall see.

That is my chaiwallah info as well unfortunately. BJP will lose onlee

Singha wrote:SS has always been a problematic NDA member due to their supremos periodic tirades against AS and NM. its important to meet such satraps face to face to gauge intent.

nachiket wrote:Cvoter is actually giving the NDA a majority. ABP poll was with Nielsen who came up with the 267 figure. Quint has them confused.

ramana wrote:
Nachiket, Thanks.

Neilsen was flawed poll as the pollster deleted many pro BJP responses as he did not believe them.
So there is sampling bias in his poll.
And the moron had the guts to admit on TV.
Shows the arrogance of these suckers.
BTW BJP has three vast polling machines not connected to each other.
All show confidence.

Manish_Sharma wrote:I just saw yogendra yadav interview where he accepted that NDA forming govt is certainity , he said usually exit polls out of caution predict less for winning side. So according to him NDA will get around 310 to 330 and BJP 240 to 270 surely...

He said "I always keep what I want Separate from what is reality... and reality is that BJP'S forming next govt.

ramana wrote:Shiv Sena identity is based on anti-Gujarati.

ramana wrote: Kishan Reddy did not have the stature to be selected as MP candidate in SecBad a highly urban seat. Especially after losing the MLA seat. He didn't put up much of a fight. Unlike Bandi Sanjay in Karimnagar.
We will see reshaping of the TG BJP after 23 may.

darshan wrote:

Ardeshir wrote: I wouldn't put it past The Liar and Photoshop Bhushan and party to try and pull something like this.

Possible. I see it as that this is what real patriotic governance looks like that the enemies whether internal or external have to go through these routes now to get information instead of just making calls to their agents.

Opindia link:
https://www.opindia.com/2019/05/breakin ... is-suburb/

sudhan wrote:God, nerves are getting to me..

BJP will lose onlee

salaam wrote:MHA issues alert to states over possible violence on counting day
https://twitter.com/indiatoday/status/1 ... 03808?s=21

Primus wrote:

banrjeer wrote:the rural voter cared to talk about international standing is TREMENDOUS.
I saw some of those clips.

It's not so much whether the standing has improved but the fact that the voter has even cared to bring it up.... It speaks volumes. After that it's only a matter of time the standing rises.

Only a Chaiwala could do it.

There were so many priceless gems in these interviews and news clips during this election cycle. Especially moving was the old man who stated quite astutely that there is something wrong with RaGa mentally. Then there were the old women from Haryana who also mentioned India's standing in the world. There is no doubt that the people have woken up and this is an unstoppable force to reckon with. No matter what happens tomorrow, rural India is a changed place forever.

Ardeshir wrote:Paki gangs aside, there is also a huge population that came as 'Afghan Refugees' in mainland Europe. Pakis, especially those from the NWFP areas can easily pass off as Afghans.

kittoo wrote:I know this is me being pessimistic second time here but i am seriously worried about tomorrow. The opposite side has not given up and this CBI thing, ambani dropping the case, nitish uvaach etc do have me worried. Hope we dont pull an Australia tomorrow.

pankajs wrote:This one suits my *gut* instincts. I did eyeball their numbers for the major states and they seem reasonable and doable.

http://www.elections.in/news/chintamani ... elections/
CHINTAMANI-5DOTS EXIT POLL cum POST-POLL 2019 LOK SABHA ELECTIONS

As we wanted to bring the result to 95% confidence level, we eliminated the seats for the leading party when we felt the result was less than 25,000. This brought the UP seats down to 55, and a few other seats in other States. Thus the final result for BJP at 95% confidence level are as delineated in our final chart, i.e., 285 for BJP, and 347 for NDA. The range is kept at +/- 3%, so that we project BJP at 285 +/- 16 (269-301), and NDA at 347 +/- 17, i.e., 330-364. Similarly, Congress would be at 53 +/- 2 (51-55), and UPA at 89 +/- 3 (86-92).

A_Gupta wrote:Commie threat, from twitter:
https://twitter.com/sitaramyechury/stat ... 61825?s=21

ramana wrote:

pankajs wrote:This one suits my *gut* instincts. I did eyeball their numbers for the major states and they seem reasonable and doable.

http://www.elections.in/news/chintamani ... elections/
CHINTAMANI-5DOTS EXIT POLL cum POST-POLL 2019 LOK SABHA ELECTIONS

All surveys except self admitted bogus Nielsen survey are projecting BJP win.

And we have Dilbu back in full form.
So relax and be ready.
its a bit rich from Sitaram Yehchury talking about democracy and Supreme Court and all those pious words.

aylamrin wrote:
"Twitter for iPhone"

Now that's a real commie!!

Dilbu wrote:BJP will lose onlee

disha wrote:

ramana wrote: Kishan Reddy did not have the stature to be selected as MP candidate in SecBad a highly urban seat. Especially after losing the MLA seat. He didn't put up much of a fight. Unlike Bandi Sanjay in Karimnagar.
We will see reshaping of the TG BJP after 23 may.

I think Kishan Reddy will be able to ride the Modi 2.0 wave in Secunderabad (highly urban seat) to bag one for BJP in Telangana. From Telangana, I actually expect zero seats. So if it crosses >2 this time, it is a big win for BJP!

Ardeshir wrote:

Singha wrote: CHEEN PAK combo, trying to find classified info esp on india specific mods.

I wouldn't put it past The Liar and Photoshop Bhushan and party to try and pull something like this.

ShyamSP wrote:

disha wrote:
I think Kishan Reddy will be able to ride the Modi 2.0 wave in Secunderabad (highly urban seat) to bag one for BJP in Telangana. From Telangana, I actually expect zero seats. So if it crosses >2 this time, it is a big win for BJP!

39% voting in Hyderabad and Secunderabad. Which means sophisticated and twitter/FB equipped people voted in twitter/FB poll but not in 2004-vintage dinky EVM. That means people from Telangana districts who do labor work voted for TRS, or mullah-inspired people from Charminar voted for MIM.

Mr Kishan Reddy couldn't win Amberpet as MLA which he won 3 times before, how can he win Secundarabad as he is not like BJP stalwarts like Dattatreya or Bal Reddy.

BJP can win only in those 1-2 places where KCR winked for BJP. BJP win is KCR Biksha. Otherwise, big-O.

vera_k wrote:I was a bit puzzled at Nitish Kumar statement about not supporting A370 or UCC modifications. But then saw this site predicting the NDA will cross the 2/3rd mark. So lots of positioning under way right now.

ramana wrote:

OmkarC wrote:
I am more interested in TG.. they are giving BJP 3 seats - 2 of which are as per expectations, third is a surprise.

- Nizamabad, massive if BJP pulls this off as its against KCR's daughter, the Axis poll lists BJP/TRS as popular parties and as a tough seat. Disagree - its a very very tough seat. With >50% chance of BJP victory. The local candidate has been grooming this seat for a while, spending time with farmers, he even used his own funds to set up free medical clinics for poor children for several years now. He comes from a political family, his dad is former state congress president & now leader of TRS.. and has enough financial muscle, community support, etc. KCR's daughter apparently ignored farmer's plight for the past 5 yrs and there is serious farmer anger. Fingers crossed.

- Karimnagar, this was KCR's own seat for 3 times in a row. But somehow the local BJP candidate has managed to galvanize and build mass following among rural youth. A strong Hindutva candidate, he has had one too many verbal duels with Owaisi saab and even his house was stoned after he lost MLA elections by MIM goons a few months back. The Axis poll says its not a tough seat and he would win. I would've agreed with this exit poll if not for the money power of both the congress & TRS rivals. Kudos to Shah on studying the pulse, identifying this person & reward him with an MP seat candidature.

-The third one they predict is Adilabad, which is in the tribal belt, the local BJP candidate is a genuine tribal activist but financially weak compared to his stronger congress, TRS opponents. The exit poll mentions its a BJP vs cong fight, while my opinion its a TRS vs Cong fight. Disagree with their estimate as the party doesn't have strong cadre here like the other two.

Additionally:
-Agree w/ exit poll prediction on Secunderabad. BJP will lose their incumbent seat to TRS by a huge margin.
-Disagree with the exit poll on Mahboobnagar that predicts an easy walkover for TRS - the congress defected BJP candidate has good grip on the district and congress has a reasonable candidate as well - its a 3-way fight. BJP candidate has ~34% chance, compared to her rivals.

OmkarC, Thanks for the thoughtful commentary on teh BJP prospects.
Was in BJP WA groups during Assy elections and watched Bandi Sanjay grow in stature in Karimnagar.
Yes MIM goons attacked his house.
One blot on KCR.

Kishan Reddy did not have the stature to be selected as MP candidate in SecBad a highly urban seat. Especially after losing the MLA seat. He didn't put up much of a fight. Unlike Bandi Sanjay in Karimnagar.
We will see reshaping of the TG BJP after 23 may.

Sachin wrote:

ramana wrote:Shiv Sena identity is based on anti-Gujarati.

Add to it the Madrassis (South Indians) as well. But here again looks like things have changed, because I hear that there are Shiv Sena Shaka pramukhs who are Keralites (know a case in Ahmed Nagar side).

nachiket wrote:

vera_k wrote:I was a bit puzzled at Nitish Kumar statement about not supporting A370 or UCC modifications. But then saw this site predicting the NDA will cross the 2/3rd mark. So lots of positioning under way right now.

JD(U) guys in the NDTV's and other shows about exit polls all repeated that the JDU does not agree with the BJP on UCC, Article 370 and one guy even mentioned triple talaq.

Cuckoo’s are a classical example of birds who show brood parasitism, i.e. they lay eggs in the nests of other birds. In this case, the nest of a crow. It is observed that these cuckoo eggs hatch faster than the crow’s, and that is equally visible to the crow mother, but they don’t react to it - there’s a behavioral theory called “Mafia Tactics”

In “Mafia Tactics” what happens is, when the cuckoo lays its eggs in the nest of the host bird (here a crow), the crow has basically two options:

Allow the cuckoo egg to hatch and feed them, along with its own chicks

Push the cuckoo egg out of its nest.

The down point here (Mafia Tactic) is that the cuckoos are always keeping an eye on the host nest, and when they see that the egg(s) is pushed out - they tend to destroy the crow’s nest.

Thus the dilemma, should she (crow) allow the cuckoo chick to grow or should she use her energy again (after the nest destruction; keep in mind nest building and egg laying requires energy) and spend precious energy in building a new nest.