Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 12:55

Thanks for Delhi info!

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 13:00

It seems BJP is having a hard time finding someone for Mumbai North Central to stand against Priya Dutt!

Nobody seems to be willing - not Nana Patekar, not Preity Zinta!

Is it Dawood Raj there? What is the problem?

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 13:16

Sachin Reddy ‏@snsachinnandu 53m
NDA in Tamizh Nadu:
DMDK 14
PMK 8
BJP 8
MDMK 6
Oth 4

DMDK-PMK strong in NorthTN, BJP-MDMK in south!
Can bet 6-10 for NDA from TN!:)

***************

Seems Vijaykanth has got a good deal in his negotiations!

Considering that Vijaykanth has kidney problems and is hospital ridden in Singapore, unclear whether he will be canvassing much. Also rumors about that his brother in law, I think, Sudheesh, would take over the reins of the party.

krishnan · Post by **krishnan** » 05 Mar 2014 13:22

negotiations took place in SG ??

Atri · Post by **Atri** » 05 Mar 2014 13:35

RajeshA wrote:It seems BJP is having a hard time finding someone for Mumbai North Central to stand against Priya Dutt!

Nobody seems to be willing - not Nana Patekar, not Preity Zinta!

Is it Dawood Raj there? What is the problem?

May be Ashish Shelar himself (BJP Mumbai prez) might contest from Mumbai NC.

All the bollywood public lives here. plus sizeable muslim population in slums. made up of 6 vidhan sabha seats..

1. Vile Parle - west and east dominated by Gujjus and Marathis respectively - BJP will win here this time. Usually, Gujjus and Ghaatis vote independently leading to sekoolar victory. Parle west also home to Juhu - place where many bollywood bigshots live. They usually vote along sekoolar lines. So can be tricky.
2. chandivali/powai - mix. Plenty of north-Indians - will vote NDA this time. Bhaiyyas usually vote against the senas. Not this time.
3. Kurla - mix of marathis & muslims - both lower middle class to lower class - hotly contested between shivsena and sekoolars. riot prone area.
4. Kalina OR Santacruz east - Uni of mumbai seat. Plenty of converted fishermen live here. Mostly vote sekoolar.
5. Bandra west - extremely posh area. Mostly christians and hi-fi people (bollywood bigshots) live here. avowedly sekoolar. The great SK-SRK coldwar pacifier baba siddiqui wins from here.
6. Bandra east - Thakres live here, so did Tendulkars. Home to one of the notorious muslim neighbourhoods of Mumbai - Behrampada. Sharp communal divide with hindus having some majority. avowedly communal constituency aka assured shivsena victory here, almost always.

I like to differentiate between elite of Juhu and Elite of bandra-west. Bandra west is almost always sekoolar. Juhu elite, otoh, has history of going saffron at times (especially in 1990 and 1994).

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 13:37

Thanks Atri garu. Wish BJP gets a decent name to stand from this seat!

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 13:43

NDA Alliance in TN

DMDK: 14
BJP: 8
PMK: 8
MDMK: 6
Kongu: 1
IJK: 1
Puthiya Neethi: 1

Well Done TN BJP!

kenop · Post by **kenop** » 05 Mar 2014 13:45

Convenient voting schedule for me and my wife. I'll leave the town just after voting day to visit my in-laws' place where my wife will get to vote (she'll still registered there) BTW, she has switched her vote to BJP

I myself used to vote rather badly till 3 years ago (voting for a name I liked, or did not hear of during the campaign, or just some other random fanciful reason). Never missed to vote though. This time the mind is clear.

Sanku · Post by **Sanku** » 05 Mar 2014 13:46

RajeshA wrote:NDA Alliance in TN

Where is this data coming from RajeshA garu ? Any links ?

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 14:10

Sanku ji,

It's mostly from sources on twitter.

I think iSuryah broke it first! In any case it was expected that BJP would announce it today.

Supratik · Post by **Supratik** » 05 Mar 2014 14:39

Let this be a permanent third front in TN. Will be an alternative to the AIADMK/DMK.

Yogi_G · Post by **Yogi_G** » 05 Mar 2014 14:55

So is the Indian Christian Secular Party in AP a Chiranjeevi-Praja Rajyam kind of effort to split votes?

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 15:16

Published on Mar 05, 2014
By C D S Mani
Tamil Nadu BJP leaders complete alliance talks with DMDK and PMK, rush to Delhi: Times of India

CHENNAI: With the central election commission declaring the Lok Sabha poll dates on Wednesday morning, the state BJP leaders who completed alliance talks with the DMDK and PMK on Tuesday night, rushed to Delhi for a meeting with the party's national president Rajnath Singh to finalize the alliances.

"We had planned to hold a press meet later today to give a briefing on the alliance talks and send a report to our national president. But we have now decided to finalize the alliances in Delhi in consultation with him," former state BJP chief and national executive member L Ganesan told TOI.

The BJP has already sealed alliances with the Vaiko-led MDMK, the Indhiya Jananayaga Katchi (IJK) and the Konganadu Makkal Desiya Katchi (KMDK) and is confident of concluding the tie-ups with the DMDK and the PMK.

However, asked if alliances with the DMDK and the PMK had been struck, Ganesan parried the question saying, "We will finalize the alliances in Delhi and make an announcement from there."

The three-member team to Delhi comprises state BJP chief Pon Radhakrishnan, L Ganesan and state organizing secretary S Mohanrajulu.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 15:20

It seems Congress could get double digit seats from Kerala, as the only place in India.

Pity Modi is not able to assert some discipline over the Kerala BJP. Also a pity that Nairs are getting swayed by the few crumbs thrown at them by the Kerala UPA Govt.

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 05 Mar 2014 16:22

Uh-oh... TIFWIW, though...

>>AIADMK may end its alliance with Left parties as Jayalalithaa plans to go Modi way looking at his popularity: Sources
AIADMK's alliance with the Left parties is almost over as Tamil Nadu CM J. Jayalalithaa doesn't see third front taking shape. Instead, she is planning to go Narendra Modi way looking at his popularity: Sources to Headlines Today.

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/breakingnews.html

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 05 Mar 2014 16:33

RajeshA wrote:It seems Congress could get double digit seats from Kerala, as the only place in India.

Pity Modi is not able to assert some discipline over the Kerala BJP. Also a pity that Nairs are getting swayed by the few crumbs thrown at them by the Kerala UPA Govt.

Cong is getting double digits there becos bjp is doing well and dividing hindu vote. But anyway left and cong are one and the same, both traitors, so does not matter

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 16:47

Hari Seldon wrote:Uh-oh... TIFWIW, though...

>>AIADMK may end its alliance with Left parties as Jayalalithaa plans to go Modi way looking at his popularity: Sources
AIADMK's alliance with the Left parties is almost over as Tamil Nadu CM J. Jayalalithaa doesn't see third front taking shape. Instead, she is planning to go Narendra Modi way looking at his popularity: Sources to Headlines Today.

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/breakingnews.html

Well Amma can see the writing on the wall, somewhat more clearly now!

Third Front

Left collapsing not only in WB but also in Kerala < 20 (14 in WB, 4 in KL)
JD-U - 3
SP - 15
BJD - 15
JVP-M - 2
AGP - 1
JD-S - 3

With 90 MPs Jayalalitha cannot dream of PMship. Even YSRCP (15), TRS (10) do not change the situation much - 115 MPs.

I think Amma is taken aback that TN BJP has managed to bring DMDK, PMK, MDMK, KMK, IJK, PK on a single platform. She probably wasn't expecting this. Also MK meeting with Rajnath Singh may have shaken her.

For BJP, it is best to have TN+PU mandate totally fractured, so that no one party can blackmail NaMo, and each would try to curry favor with him.

I'm expecting whole of TN now to be aflutter with Modi flags and posters, across TN's length and breadth.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 16:52

muraliravi wrote:
RajeshA wrote:It seems Congress could get double digit seats from Kerala, as the only place in India.

Pity Modi is not able to assert some discipline over the Kerala BJP. Also a pity that Nairs are getting swayed by the few crumbs thrown at them by the Kerala UPA Govt.
Cong is getting double digits there becos bjp is doing well and dividing hindu vote. But anyway left and cong are one and the same, both traitors, so does not matter

It would be good if Modi can engineer some desertion by some respectable Ezhava Communist Leader in Kerala from Left to BJP! That would be a coup!

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 05 Mar 2014 17:00

^^No. Its OK. Killing CPM is mucho more urgent than killing INC. CPM is presently that anti0hindu duopoly's weak spot. crush it there with unvajpayee-an ruthlessness....

Let CPM's tally drop due to hindu vote division. Once the CPM is shown as powerless, prospectless and a sinking ship (like in Bengal) then automatically rats will start deserting it in droves. Won't even need very elaborate op kamalas then....

In the medium term, lotus should take over left's vote banks completely and leave the LDF nook-nanga only.

vivek.rao · Post by **vivek.rao** » 05 Mar 2014 17:06

That's exactly right. Same in WB too. Kill Left first and then CON

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 17:12

Published on March 05, 2014
BSR Congress decides to merge with BJP: PTI

Bellary (Karna): Giving a boost to BJP ahead of the Lok Sabha polls, BSR Congress leader B Sriramulu today announced his party's decision to merge with it more than two years after he had walked out of the saffron party.

"I have decided to rejoin BJP because people of the country want to see Narendra Modi as prime minister," he told reporters after the BSR Congress' Executive Committee and workers meeting here.

The BSR Congress' decision comes close on the heels of merger of Karnataka Janata Paksha of former Chief Minister B S Yeddyurappa with BJP, which is keen on avoiding a split in votes having learnt a bitter lesson in the May Assembly polls last year which saw it being reduced to a third position in percentage of votes secured.

BJP had won 19 of the 28 Lok Sabha seats in the 2009 polls, followed by Congress six and JDS three.

Sriramulu said his return was without any pre-conditions, adding, BJP leaders Rajnath Singh, Sushma Swaraj and Nitin Gadkari had agreed to it.

Sriramulu, who left BJP in November 2011 and formed his own outfit, was once a close aide of mining baron Janardhana Reddy, now in jail in Andhra Pradesh in an illegal mining case.

He had earlier ruled out merger or alliance with BJP and said it would contest five Lok Sabha seats. BSR Congress had won four seats in the assembly polls in May last.

Sriramulu said, if given a chance, he was ready to contest as BJP candidate from Bellary.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 17:37

BJP Mergers: (Since NaMo's rise)

Janata Party: Subramanian Swamy
Gujarat Paravartan Party (GPP): Gordhanbhai Zadaphia
Karnataka Janatha Paksha (KJP): BS Yeddyurappa
Indian Justice Party: Udit Raj
BSR Congress: B Sriramulu

BJP New Pre-Poll Alliances:

RPI-Athawale (RPI-A) [MH]
Swabhimani Shetkari Sanghtana (SSS) [MH]
Rashtriya Samaj Party [MH]
Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) [BR]
Rashtriya Lok Samata Party (RLSP) [BR]
Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) [TN]
Pattali Makkal Katchi (PMK) [TN]
Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (MDMK) [TN]
Kongunadu Munnetra Kazhagam (KMK) [TN]
Indhiya Jananayaka Katchi (IJK) [TN]
Puthiya Neethi (PN) [TN]

Other possible pre-poll alliances: TDP, Lok Satta Party, INLD, AGP, JVP-M

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 05 Mar 2014 17:59

RajeshA wrote:
Hari Seldon wrote:Uh-oh... TIFWIW, though...

>>AIADMK may end its alliance with Left parties as Jayalalithaa plans to go Modi way looking at his popularity: Sources
AIADMK's alliance with the Left parties is almost over as Tamil Nadu CM J. Jayalalithaa doesn't see third front taking shape. Instead, she is planning to go Narendra Modi way looking at his popularity: Sources to Headlines Today.

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/breakingnews.html
Well Amma can see the writing on the wall, somewhat more clearly now!

Third Front

Left collapsing not only in WB but also in Kerala < 20 (14 in WB, 4 in KL)
JD-U - 3
SP - 15
BJD - 15
JVP-M - 2
AGP - 1
JD-S - 3

With 90 MPs Jayalalitha cannot dream of PMship. Even YSRCP (15), TRS (10) do not change the situation much - 115 MPs.

I think Amma is taken aback that TN BJP has managed to bring DMDK, PMK, MDMK, KMK, IJK, PK on a single platform. She probably wasn't expecting this. Also MK meeting with Rajnath Singh may have shaken her.

For BJP, it is best to have TN+PU mandate totally fractured, so that no one party can blackmail NaMo, and each would try to curry favor with him.

I'm expecting whole of TN now to be aflutter with Modi flags and posters, across TN's length and breadth.

+100. Bjp shd not touch jaya pre poll at all. She will give them 5 seats and use the alliance to sweep polls and then screw modi later

sunnyP · Post by **sunnyP** » 05 Mar 2014 18:19

RajeshA wrote:It seems BJP is having a hard time finding someone for Mumbai North Central to stand against Priya Dutt!

Nobody seems to be willing - not Nana Patekar, not Preity Zinta!

Is it Dawood Raj there? What is the problem?

Strange indeed because it seems a winnable seat.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mumbai_Nor ... ituency%29

In 1999 Shiv Sena won with almost 400k votes, in 2004 INC won but it was still close (156k v 142k), and in 2009 MNS split the anti Congress vote - 320k INC v 145k BJP (Mahesh Jethmalani) and 133k MNS. Shiv Sena didn't run in 2009 - assume this was due to a seat sharing agreement with BJP.

So if Raj Thackeray can be convinced not to put up a candidate in such seats then it is definitely winnable for NDA. If not then it may be a lost cause.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 05 Mar 2014 18:32

sunnyP wrote:
RajeshA wrote:It seems BJP is having a hard time finding someone for Mumbai North Central to stand against Priya Dutt!

Nobody seems to be willing - not Nana Patekar, not Preity Zinta!

Is it Dawood Raj there? What is the problem?

Strange indeed because it seems a winnable seat.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mumbai_Nor ... ituency%29

In 1999 Shiv Sena won with almost 400k votes, in 2004 INC won but it was still close (156k v 142k), and in 2009 MNS split the anti Congress vote - 320k INC v 145k BJP (Mahesh Jethmalani) and 133k MNS. Shiv Sena didn't run in 2009 - assume this was due to a seat sharing agreement with BJP.

So if Raj Thackeray can be convinced not to put up a candidate in such seats then it is definitely winnable for NDA. If not then it may be a lost cause.

May be BJP should give the seat to MNS to fight on if BJP is having a hard time finding a suitable candidate!

SwamyG · Post by **SwamyG** » 05 Mar 2014 18:41

TimesNow reported AIADMK and Commie alliances is broken. Everybody is busy covering the mobcracy circus run by AAP. I do not see the plan behind arrest of Kejriwal in Gujarat. Twitter reported Ashutosh was scaling walls, pretty soon he will be counting bars in jail.

Now hopefully she will align with BJP, pre or post. It does not matter.

Shanmukh · Post by **Shanmukh** » 05 Mar 2014 18:44

RajeshA wrote:NDA Alliance in TN

DMDK: 14
BJP: 8
PMK: 8
MDMK: 6
Kongu: 1
IJK: 1
Puthiya Neethi: 1

Well Done TN BJP!

If this is true, I am a little conflicted. On the one hand, I am delighted that BJP has managed to put together a formidable coalition in TN. On the other hand, I am rather sad that the BJP is still contesting only 8 seats. I mean, people, BJP has the highest vote share of all coalition partners in TN. Giving 14 seats to that drunkard's party seems criminal to me. He does not deserve more than 10 seats (and he has no more than 5% votes in TN - Amma is cleaning up his party big time). Even in 1999, when BJP was allied with Karunanidhi, the split was 19 (DMK), 6(MDMK), 7(PMK), 1(TRC), 6(BJP). That the BJP, being the strongest alliance partner in terms of vote share, should get only 8 seats seems unfair. My opinion - BJP should contest at least 10 seats.

Shanmukh · Post by **Shanmukh** » 05 Mar 2014 18:47

SwamyG wrote:TimesNow reported AIADMK and Commie alliances is broken. Everybody is busy covering the mobcracy circus run by AAP. I do not see the plan behind arrest of Kejriwal in Gujarat. Twitter reported Ashutosh was scaling walls, pretty soon he will be counting bars in jail.

If the AIADMK-Communist alliance is broken, then the BJP should ignore Jaya royally. She is mercurial as ever, and should be kept at a distance. No point for the BJP to give up its NaMo wave to bolster the most unreliable, most quixotic woman in power. She can go hang.

chaanakya · Post by **chaanakya** » 05 Mar 2014 18:52

LokSabha Elections (16th) have been announced by ECI today.

9 poll Dates starting 7th April.
Counting on 16th May 2014.
State Assembly Elections for AP and other states will be held along with their respective LS Poll Dates.

Poll Date No of States No of PCs
7th April-----2-----------6
9th April-----5-----------7
10th April----14----------92
12th April----3-----------5
17th April----13----------122
24th April----12-----------117
30th April----9------------89
7th May------7-----------64
12th May-----3-----------41

States-------poll Days ( in seriatim as above) (no of Days)

AP----------30th April, 7th May (2)
ArP---------9th (1)
Asm---------7th, 12th, 24th (3)
BH----------10th,17th,24th,30th,7th,12th (6)
CH----------10th,17th,24th (3)
Goa---------17th (1)
Guj---------30th (1)
HR----------10th (1)
HP----7th May (1)
J&K--------10th,17th,24th,30th,7th (5)
JH---------10th,17th,24th (3)
KR---------17th (1)
KL---------10th (1)
MP---------10th,17th,24th (3)
MH---------10th,17th,24th (3)
MAN--------9th,17th (2)
MGH--------9th (1)
MZ----------9th (1)
NGL--------9th (1)
OR---------10th,17th (2)
PJ---------30th (1)
RJ---------17th,24th (2)
SK--------12th (1)
TN---------24th (1)
TR---------7th,12th (2)
UP--------10th,17th,24th,30th,7th,12th (6)
UK--------7th May (1)
WB-------17th,24th,30th,7th,12th, (5)
A&N-----10th (1)
CHD-----10th (1)
DNH-----30th (1)
DnD-----30th (1)
LKD-----10th (1)
NCTD-----10th (1)
PY-------24th (1)

Total PC 543

An 81.4 crore-strong electorate will elect the 16th Lok Sabhaby voting across 9.3 lakh polling stations in the country. This is in contrast with 71.6 crore electorate and 8.3 lakh polling stations in the last Lok Sabha poll. Around 1.15 lakh Central paramilitary personnel will be deployed for poll duty

archan · Post by **archan** » 05 Mar 2014 18:53

So the elections are next month! after filling the forms months ago, SHQ's and my names are not in the onlline voter list. Wonder if we'll get to vote. Can this be remedied easily?

Gus · Post by **Gus** » 05 Mar 2014 18:54

nagesh, it is the time and circumstances..

with dmk and congress wooing him, bjp cannot bargain hard with a 'take it or leave it' approach.

with congress, dmk and admk having their bases more or less intact, the 5% from dmdk in south TN may well prove to be the margin that takes bjp alliance to the top.

8 seats does look less, but hopefully they get the places where they have higher winning chance and bag all 8. that will be the same as contesting 12 and getting 8.

gandharva · Post by **gandharva** » 05 Mar 2014 18:55

archan wrote:So the elections are next month! after filling the forms months ago, SHQ's and my names are not in the onlline voter list. Wonder if we'll get to vote. Can this be remedied easily?

Get in touch with local Neta of the party of yr preference.

Gus · Post by **Gus** » 05 Mar 2014 18:57

nageshks wrote:
If the AIADMK-Communist alliance is broken, then the BJP should ignore Jaya royally. She is mercurial as ever, and should be kept at a distance. No point for the BJP to give up its NaMo wave to bolster the most unreliable, most quixotic woman in power. She can go hang.

where does it say it is broken? can't find anything online.

Comer · Post by **Comer** » 05 Mar 2014 18:58

Am just rubbing my eyes disbelief that BJP gets to pick and choose in TN!

SwamyG · Post by **SwamyG** » 05 Mar 2014 18:58

BJP has to be very careful in ensuring elections do not get postponed. My gut feeling is this is the biggest weapon Congress will attempt to use. EIC will be used to shackle Modi and BJP. Voters suppression, intimidation, de-legitimization of Modi, possible arrest of Modi (as it will cause massive chaos/violence).

Something ridiculous and silly will be attempted to make Indian democracy look stupid and a sham.

Comer · Post by **Comer** » 05 Mar 2014 19:00

Yogendra Yadav was lamenting that the LS polls were too early to his liking

SwamyG · Post by **SwamyG** » 05 Mar 2014 19:04

Gus wrote:
nageshks wrote:
If the AIADMK-Communist alliance is broken, then the BJP should ignore Jaya royally. She is mercurial as ever, and should be kept at a distance. No point for the BJP to give up its NaMo wave to bolster the most unreliable, most quixotic woman in power. She can go hang.
where does it say it is broken? can't find anything online.

As I was watching the AAP circus on TV, TimesNow did report it for a second. They are still showing AAPtards getting beaten by laatis. A BJP karyakartha clearly said these people are commies and believe only in 'guns', so BJP workers had to do what ever it takes to drive AAPtards away. BJP workers say they will use full defense and offense to safeguard Modi/BJP

Please do take the news with a pinch of salt. While there are rumors in MSM about the alliance dilly-dallying, however TimesNow could have taken liberty/guess.

chaanakya · Post by **chaanakya** » 05 Mar 2014 19:04

archan wrote:So the elections are next month! after filling the forms months ago, SHQ's and my names are not in the onlline voter list. Wonder if we'll get to vote. Can this be remedied easily?

On 9th Special Camp is being held at Polling Stations all across the country to include leftout cases in for inclusion. Use form 6 and approach your Polling Station for inclusion of names.

Check this
http://www.eci-polldaymonitoring.nic.in ... fault.aspx

or this
http://eci-citizenservices.nic.in/frmPu ... cerContact
This URL will give Booth level officer contact details incl Mobile no and PS as well as AERO details of your area.

By 11th there will be first SR and by 16th there will be another SR (supplementary roll) for newly included names.

You may need ID proof , Photos and Residence proof such as Ration card, Bank Book, Driving license Electricity/Telephone Bill /House tax bill etc(anyone of them). Also you can apply online through respective state CEO website or through ECI website
http://eci-citizenservices.nic.in/frmmo ... type=FORM6

SwamyG · Post by **SwamyG** » 05 Mar 2014 19:05

archan wrote:So the elections are next month! after filling the forms months ago, SHQ's and my names are not in the onlline voter list. Wonder if we'll get to vote. Can this be remedied easily?

Talk to your local Congress/AAP representative, promise them 2 votes

. Congress will get your name on the list. AAP will get your face on the TV. We all can see how Archan looks.

gandharva · Post by **gandharva** » 05 Mar 2014 19:08

Keep Lok Sabha polls free of paid news, EC tells media

http://www.firstpost.com/politics/keep- ... ef_article