Bharat Rakshak

skumar

US should be heartened by the fact that Iran continues to engage with its proxy even after obvious tells Pak PM tweet Trump's dismissal of 10-point Iranian agenda for the first round as incorrect more recently when Aragchi offered to open the SOH in very loose language, which was probably engineered...

skumar

skumar ji, As I said, have ZERO interest in debating merely for the sake of debating. If you are seriously equating 1990s Ukraine to a "hell hole" country that was starting from scratch, then the "Honda Civic" analogy has completely flown over your head. We are not talking about...

skumar

Fair enough! Having studied and taught and worked with renowned physicists in this specific field for over half a century—going back to when the Bhabha's Atomic Energy Commission first handed me a prestigious scholarship—I think my ego can comfortably survive you not being impressed by the physics....

skumar

Since we are playing AI vs AI now, I used gemini itself to review your post. My question to Grok was open ended. One of the issues asking an AI to critique your own post is that they make things seem more rosy than they are. AIs mostly follow that bias. =================== Gemini response (my comme...

skumar

Zero interest in debating for debating's sake..If you can form the questions in a clear and coherent way, I can try to answer. Ii Is not clear what are you asking - which I have not answered. Option 1 & 2 - Are comments ( nonsensical in my opinion) - not coherent questions. Also see - See Gupta...

skumar

I did not want to derail the Iran thread with discussions about historical events pertaining to Ukraine's independence in 1991 and subsequent relinquishing of nuclear weapons under the Budapest Memorandum in 1994. Attached some of the main messages above for reference. Posting here seemed more rele...

skumar

There are some reports that Iran has seized an India-bound ship which violated "navigation guidance". At some point, ROW will turn against Iran. I believe Iran understands that ultimately it may not be able to extort by the end of this war.

skumar

After 2-3 weeks, there are media reports that Iran is finally realizing that Pakistan is not a honest mediator! Should have been crystal clear from the Nawaz tweet. If that was not enough, Trump's assertion that he got a different version of the framework before 1st round should have been enough. In...

skumar

TACO again.

S Jaishankar very aptly described Pakistan as a dalal nation, no other words to describe it.

A raunchy version of "Raat akeli hain ... jo bhi chahiye kahiye ..jo bhi ..." comes to mind.

skumar

Short reply : Without sounding impolite and with due respect - the 'lack of control' argument is a common trope that misses the strategic reality. Ukraine—home to institutions like Kharkiv and *MANY* physicists/engineer like great legendary Landau —possessed world-class nuclear expertise and the te...

skumar

For those who who have not heard of Budapest Memorandum?.. ... He warns that Russia's invasion undermines these promises, sending a dangerous message to other nations (e.g., South Korea, Japan, Saudi Arabia) that they may need to develop their own nuclear weapons for self-defense if international a...

skumar

Fool me once shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me thrice, double shame on me. Fool me four times, triple shame on me. Fool me five times, ... - Iranian extension If the Iranians agree to the second round of talks after being suckered so many times, they have only themselves to blame an...

skumar

The Gulf countries are not politically united; and the native Arab population of the GCC is approximately 18.5 million (per AI). This is facing 92 million of Iran. What will they do? Ally themselves with Israel? Do they want Türkiye to be their security provider? Pakistan? Switzerland survived WW2 ...

skumar

Iran controls what enters the SOH and US controls what exits the SOH and Gulf of Oman. This is an untenable situation for the rest of the world. The ROW is not going to agree to Iran controlling the SOH and extorting a "toll" once the war ends. It is not the toll itself but the freedom of ...

skumar

pDKlaJM_vys Decent overview from Robert Pape, Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago. He has appeared on Indian channels many times. He explains (from the link directly): ◼ The 4-stage escalation trap - he says we are in Stage 3 and at a fork in the road where Stage 4 leads to ...

skumar

The US blockade in the relative safety of the Gulf of Oman constitutes a deviation from the cease fire. Iran's non-response, at least so far, is an indication of their need to negotiate while possessing an option to activate the Houthis wrt Bab al Mandeb. Iran cannot respond and US is not ready to a...

skumar

Iran is enjoying some quiet support as the country standing up to a bully and the illegal nature of the war. However, Iran may lose that support in a couple of weeks if it seeks to punish the rest of the world wrt Hormuz as a proxy for the US when it cannot directly impose costs on the US. All the F...

skumar

... skumar ji, Here, it's called vote bank politics trump's approval ratings are almost subterranean and he really needs to burnish his much dented and badly corroded halo The strategic cause of the war is based on egomania - Bibi promises him a victory and a place in history that no US president h...

skumar

Several things don't sit right on either side regarding the events of the last few days - Why did US send 100+ troops to rescue 1 officer? - "No one left behind" could be one reason. They may have piggy backed retrieval of uranium as a secondary mission and this got botched when the C130s ...

skumar

^^^ Good job by Neal Katyal arguing in Supreme Court. Yes, Neal Katyal did much better than the US Solicitor General Sauer who was talking way too fast and was called out for it. Sauer is going to get skinned for a loss. Just hope SC does not take some middle path that Trump would immediately claim...

skumar

I think this is going to be the beginning of the end of DJT's FP ad holism through tariffs. However wrt India, the damage is already done. We now know their insincerity and unreliability and will frame our policies accordingly. It would be really funny if the SC rules against Trump. Trump will no d...

skumar

Trump plans to attend the hearings in the SC that will decide on his tariff policy. Like many things Trumpian, this is unprecedented in the history of the US. Trump has decided not to attend and has nominated Bessent who is in the court room. Bessent was not keen on attending - he mentioned earlier...

skumar

The US realizes it can no longer contain China. Now, it wants to manage the rise of China as long as possible in alignment with its objectives,

G2 / G7 mean nothing to the US.

skumar

skumar wrote: ↑31 Oct 2025 05:34 ...
Also corroborated by other agencies. I guess it is up to the SC.

Trump plans to attend the hearings in the SC that will decide on his tariff policy.

Like many things Trumpian, this is unprecedented in the history of the US.

skumar

^^^The vote is not a termination of the tariffs today, but it is a loud, formal, and persistent warning shot fired by a bipartisan Senate coalition that signals deep disapproval of the President's trade strategy and the executive power he is claiming. Senate vote is significant, but its significanc...

skumar

Meanwhile: The Senate just voted 50-46 to strip Donald Trump of his power to impose tariffs. Not actually correct. Grok says " No, the Senate Did Not Strip Trump of His Tariff Powers. The claim circulating on social media—that the Senate just voted 50-46 to broadly "strip Donald Trump of ...

skumar

So it looks like we bent the knee. When push came to shove, we chose the US over Russia. US market access is worth more than Russian friendship. I think the Indian public is being prepped for this major realignment, so it's being phased in amidst denials and confused messaging. Our leaders can't ju...

skumar

Trump has reiterated claiming to have solved the India-Pak skirmish at least 40+ times - he has referred to using trade threats to force both the parties at least 10+ times including in a written submission before a US court that is deciding on the legality of sanctions. Imagine India, US and Pakist...

skumar

Of course it addresses Trump's claim: " "I was not happy that India was buying oil. And he (Modi) assured me today that they will not be buying oil from Russia. That's a big stop," he pointedly claimed. "India has denied that Donald Trump and Modi held a phone call regarding New...

skumar

At some point, PM has to address Trump directly and not through the MEA spokesperson.. https://x.com/MEAIndia/status/1978690629522653592 The clarification does not directly address Trump's claim. If you can say there was no call between Trump and Modi yesterday, why not go all the way and there was ...

skumar

Trump has given enough indicators of his intentions during his first term. We gauged Trump's second term incorrectly when FM said that world may be nervous about Trump but India is not amongst them. That is either brave words in the face of the inevitable (“India need not be nervous…”) or a colossa...

skumar

aOI_3kcHyYE Starting 16:24, Ambassador Jawed Ashraf paints the relationship between India and US using very broad strokes. Key points Deep institutional relationship in the trenches between US and Pakistan. US has always been doing u-turns with Pakistan and he provides many examples. Contours of In...

skumar

https://archive.ph/FPc4y Between 2018-2023 a total of 403 Indian students have died abroad (in all countries and sadly that includes countries like Iran /Ukraine /Romania etc . In Canada number included 91 in 5-6 year time frame that comes to 12-15 a year .. this is all causes though I suspect a la...

skumar

The suicide rate in the college age range is around 6-10/100k per year . If there are are 500k Indian students in North America , the statistically expected numbers are 30-50 suicides a year or almost 1 a week . Is there evidence to suggest the rate is higher ? What should GOI do here ? The context...

skumar

GoI had earlier displayed lack of sensitivity for students traveling to Canada. The ex-High Commissioner (get rid of this stupid Commonwealth lingo) Sanjay Kumar Verma, after being asked to leave Canada, had told PTI, “ At one point of time in my tenure, at least two bodies of students were being se...

skumar

India could never have agreed to give Trump any credit for anything to do with Pakistan. Imagine what would have happened if India did give credit and Trump got the big prize. It would put a lid on Indian responses to any further escalations. It is basically a carte blanche to Pakistan to continue w...

skumar

The frequency of Trump's assertions regarding the India Pak conflict are inversely proportional to his assessment of the chances of helping to resolve the Russia Ukraine war where his contributions are at least acknowledged by both parties. He is shooting for the big deal but wants to have a smalle...

skumar

The frequency of Trump's assertions regarding the India Pak conflict are indirectly proportional to his assessment of the chances of helping to resolve the Russia Ukraine war where his contributions are at least acknowledged by both parties. He is shooting for the big deal but wants to have a smalle...

skumar

Dr. Brahma Chellaney https://x.com/Chellaney/status/1959129654318543066 Trump waited over seven months — until U.S.-India ties had sunk to a new low — to name an ambassador to India. By doubling the nominee’s role as special envoy for South and Central Asia, Washington signals a throwback to the Co...

skumar

AA8FiYdSn5k Dr S Jaishankar spoke on Operation Sindoor at the ET World Leaders Forum 2025 and lays out exactly what transpired. Calls were made and received as happens during every conflict which cannot be construed as mediation but the issue was resolved on the battlefield. What he says is validat...

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