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by schinnas
02 Apr 2020 18:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

It is frustrating to see people constantly complain about lack of testing in India. Can more tests be done, yes, but it is a stupid strategy? Because once a person is negative, does not mean they will stay negative. So they would need to be tested again and again. There is absolutely NO data that in...
by schinnas
28 Mar 2020 15:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3947
Views: 433007

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I have just written a detailed rebuttal in the form of a letter to the editor. Hope it is published. Please do the same. I have written a letter as well slamming the fake news by Vidya Krishnan and asking the Atlantic to keep aside political biases and study and publish the well orchestrated and pr...
by schinnas
28 Mar 2020 14:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Different theories out there. Either they don't transmit or have less probability of transmitting compared to full blown symptomatic cases.
by schinnas
28 Mar 2020 08:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations
Replies: 1061
Views: 139633

Re: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations

Turkey is under full blown covid19 attack. Seems like they are well into stage 3.

http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey ... -92-153353
by schinnas
27 Mar 2020 20:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Train berth ms to go converted into isolation wards. Up to 10K. https://www.financialexpress.com/infrastructure/railways/brilliant-idea-indian-railways-to-convert-train-coaches-into-quarantine-facilities-details/1909834/lite/?__twitter_impression=true This is a brilliant juggad. 10K mobile isolatio...
by schinnas
27 Mar 2020 16:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

DT has no options. He had to change his tone (he would be dying inside) to get ventilators and other medical equipment on an urgent basis from China. All his efforts to quickly make ventilators and N95 masks and generic medicines are going nowhere because China controls the manufacturing of these (i...
by schinnas
27 Mar 2020 14:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3947
Views: 433007

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Word is that Modi and Shah are in agreement on a national govt. BJP is working hard on it. They have brought in Scindia who may be given a cabinet role. Others are being vetted. Pilot may also be chosen for his competence and experience. LOL.
by schinnas
27 Mar 2020 14:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - November 11, 2019
Replies: 1018
Views: 211213

Re: Terroristan - November 11, 2019

The only problem is no other country is in a position to give aid other than China. Everyone is busy saving their own population. This will only alienate Kashmiris from Pakis. As usual, yet another tactically brilliant, strategic suicide plan from Pakis.
by schinnas
26 Mar 2020 16:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Splitting ventilators has been used in several hospitals all over the world including in India in the past. It's not a new thing but local juggad quality may not be standardized.
by schinnas
25 Mar 2020 11:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Nobel laureate Michael Levitt predicts end of Coronavirus pandemic based on statistical models. https://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/end-of-coronavirus-pandemic-is-near-says-nobel-laureate-michael-levitt-120032400668_1.html A positive prediction by someone who got it right on th...
by schinnas
24 Mar 2020 23:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations
Replies: 1061
Views: 139633

Re: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations

Bewildering! Wonder if there was something in the contract that could have meant a big penalty of we were to walk away.
by schinnas
24 Mar 2020 23:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Fully agree, Deans. This also would change the notion of free trade all over the world. In critical areas, there would be a tarif regimen to enforce local manufacturing and self reliance on all major countries. Of the small countries, Singapore will emerge stronger without any major damage to the ec...
by schinnas
23 Mar 2020 16:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

SC expresses satisfaction on Central Govt's coronavirus efforts https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/coronavirus-sc-expresses-satisfaction-says-critics-also-lauding-centres-efforts/articleshow/74772290.cms It would have been better if they also clarified that it is the job of the executive and ...
by schinnas
23 Mar 2020 16:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations
Replies: 1061
Views: 139633

Re: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations

The vast majority of the contract is for Indian manufacturers. Turkish shipyard are more like design consultants than anything else. It is very possible that the other alternatives might have been costlier. Given the current economic situation and their currency valuation, Turkish quote might have b...
by schinnas
22 Mar 2020 16:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

That said, Dean's, the situation is not as dire as you have rightly said. I differ in the death percentage. The pre-existing conditions, kidney issues, high BP and diabetes are very high in India among those above 50. The mortality rate used for those above 75 may need to be applied to India for tho...
by schinnas
22 Mar 2020 16:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

No..the current policy is anybody in ICU will be checked for covid19. A recent 38 yr old in Bihar who died of kidney issues was also tested and confirmed to have Covid19 thought he wasn't very symptomatic. He is now added to Covid19 death counts. The access of elderly to hospitals differ from state ...
by schinnas
22 Mar 2020 15:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

There are many Indians over she 50 with pre existing health conditions and coupled with lack of ventilators, we should anticipate a higher than 1% death rate. Reducing the spread is the key. If hospitals are overwhelmed, the thousands of non corona ICU cases would have to go untreated multiplying th...
by schinnas
22 Mar 2020 00:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The TN health minister has been doing a fabulous job. He is a qualified medical doctor that knows how health apparatus of the state works and has put his intimate knowledge to good use. For past 3 months, TN has been assiduously building ventilators, hospital isolation wards, etc., in every district...
by schinnas
20 Mar 2020 21:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

TN has quarantined itself.
by schinnas
19 Mar 2020 21:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Great speech by PM. No chest thumping as to what the govt has done and a very sincere and genuine message. I watched some Tamil news channels and surprisingly they are positive about this. Some shrills were still asking why govt didn't do this or that but mostly it was much more mature reaction and ...
by schinnas
17 Mar 2020 03:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3947
Views: 433007

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Former CJI Ranjan Gogoi nominated to Rajya Sabha by the President. Surprised that he accepted it before a larger cool off period.

https://m.hindustantimes.com/india-news ... ZONbL.html
by schinnas
17 Mar 2020 02:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3947
Views: 433007

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Some anti capital punishment NGOs and families of these culprits are funding the legal vattle. Mercenary lawyers are making money from desperation of the families of culprits by following a path which goes nowhere. Coronavirus has effectively killed the anti CAA protests. A rumour that one corona in...
by schinnas
17 Mar 2020 02:33
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

All good ideas regarding using DRDO should be conveyed to Govt through the portal for ideas to fight COVID19 launched by govt.
by schinnas
16 Mar 2020 19:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations
Replies: 1061
Views: 139633

Re: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations

Turkey reported first COVID infection 5 days back. Had only 6 till yesterday. But reported 12 new cases today. Compared to the size of their population, their per capita infection is higher than India now. Things will get interesting for Erdogan shortly. He cannot afford to extend his amry in Libya ...
by schinnas
16 Mar 2020 19:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3947
Views: 433007

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Nobody bothers about it. Slowly the noose is tightened over the funders and organisers. It will dissipate in due course or when summer starts and people get heat stroke. With corona, it will accelerate.
by schinnas
16 Mar 2020 00:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations
Replies: 1061
Views: 139633

Re: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations

I wonder why India didnt cancel flights to Turkey. The recent techie who was infected came via Turkey Istanbul airport.
by schinnas
15 Mar 2020 23:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Here is a lesson for everyone, how one idiot, the 31's infected person, refusing to isolate, caused 80% of the infection after that. https://twitter.com/RomitB_MD/status/1238868640377851904 Brilliant simulation on how social distancing can help to flatten the curve. https://www.washingtonpost.com/g...
by schinnas
15 Mar 2020 22:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3947
Views: 433007

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Things aren't black and white. There is a strong fundamentalist malay-islam lobby which wants to protect Zakir Naik. Chinese and non muslim Indians are happy to sacrifice Zakir Naik and establish good trade relations with India and don't want to interfere in Kashmir. The new PM seems to go for a mid...
by schinnas
15 Mar 2020 22:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations
Replies: 1061
Views: 139633

Re: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations

How come Turkey doesn't have many COVID19 infections when all its neighbor's report huge numbers?
by schinnas
14 Mar 2020 22:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Important to protect it for strategic reasons. Cannot afford for it to get infected as it is far away from mainland and has high concentration of defense personnel.
by schinnas
13 Mar 2020 21:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Iran News and Discussions
Replies: 3149
Views: 295760

Re: Iran News and Discussions

Don't worry. Neither Doval nor Jaishankar suffer from any complex nor are they stupid. They will extract an IOU at the appropriate time.
by schinnas
13 Mar 2020 16:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - November 11, 2019
Replies: 1018
Views: 211213

Re: Terroristan - November 11, 2019

In UK lingo, the term Asians generally refers to South Asians of whom Pakis and Bangladesis form the majority. "Asians" of US would be called East Asians.
by schinnas
13 Mar 2020 10:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3947
Views: 433007

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

They probably have the numbers to do well without the bania’s business. Gujarat may not have the concentrated population found in UP urban areas or metropolitan cities. Any population that survives primarily on small business is most vulnerable to economic boycott by large section of population. Th...
by schinnas
13 Mar 2020 01:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332873

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

ramana wrote:Again close to 80 years old. Most likely has underlying conditions.

Did they say how he got the infection?


I believe he returned from Haj.
by schinnas
12 Mar 2020 17:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 1605
Views: 208596

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

I am not sure how much to go by the 150 year inflation adjusted crude oil price. Price of any commodity changes by supply and demand dynamics and not static. For static commodities, purely going by inflation from some sensible early date might make sense.
by schinnas
11 Mar 2020 21:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 3904
Views: 587439

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Of all Democratic candidates, outside of Tulsi Gabbard, Joe Biden is the best bet for India. He has not joined other democratic candidates in spewing venom on India and was generally more positive towards India than Obama. Having been in govt, he knows the geo strategic game and why US needs India f...
by schinnas
11 Mar 2020 01:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Iran News and Discussions
Replies: 3149
Views: 295760

Re: Iran News and Discussions

Nobody even in India appreciates that self imposed partition rationale. Why include Afghanistan if it's related to partition. We can extend it to cover persecuted religious minorities in the neighborhood including Malaysia, Turkey and Iran.
by schinnas
11 Mar 2020 01:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 3904
Views: 587439

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

BTW Bay Area Twitter is agog with news that MEA cancelled Ro Khanna's visit to India which he was announcing in his press releases. He claimed he was member of Pak Caucus so he could be an interlocutor between India and Pakistan!!! Is there a way to make Ro Khanna see reason. We have very few PIO c...
by schinnas
11 Mar 2020 01:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3947
Views: 433007

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Now suspicion in Cong will increase on Pilot forcing him out even if he isn't contemplating it seriously. It's important to get Sachin Pilot out of INC (he can start his own party for all I care). Without Scindia, Pilot and Taroor, Cong has no next gen voice that is known at a national level. It's d...
by schinnas
10 Mar 2020 00:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Iran News and Discussions
Replies: 3149
Views: 295760

Re: Iran News and Discussions

CAA is not for future refugees. It would be merely a PR exercise as I called out to insult Iran.

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