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by Arun.prabhu
03 Sep 2020 09:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I was vilified and called a chinese shrill here four months back for claiming the disease isn’t as deadly as feared. I did not want to post again here, but the opportunity to gloat is too good to pass up. https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chennai/one-fifth-of-chennai-infected-with-covid-19-ti...
by Arun.prabhu
07 Apr 2020 00:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I did not peddle conspiracies. The arguments I made were backed up by data collated by the folks at swprs from published journals and studies. Difference that seems to sail right past the heads of most BR members. And anyways, at this point, I've had it. <abusive language edited> Arun Prabhu please ...
by Arun.prabhu
07 Apr 2020 00:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

LMAO. Can't be bothered to do research. Can't be bothered to think. Can mock. Oh look, an article from the guardian in 2018 linking air pollution and complications it causes in diseases of the lung. https://www.theguardian.com/society/2018/dec/09/steep-rise-lung-related-illness-hospitals-nhs "L...
by Arun.prabhu
07 Apr 2020 00:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Hopefully, they serve a decade long prison sentence.

DrRatnadip wrote:https://m.timesofindia.com/city/surat/surat-doctor-assaulted-by-neighbours-for-treating-covid-19-patients-ncw-takes-note/articleshow/75014061.cms

People assaulting doctors for treating covid patients..I have no words for this..
by Arun.prabhu
07 Apr 2020 00:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Oh, I do. I had noted that the self-quarantines were reducing the available personnel and exacerbating the problem. But since I've already been judged an agent provocateur, an anti-national (which is a laugh. One simply has to look at my posting history to know that I'm not.) and since people don't ...
by Arun.prabhu
07 Apr 2020 00:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The Chinese researchers now state that the massive pollution in Wuhan may have contributed to the die off. Not to mention whatever they used to disinfect the city. Remember, they SO2 concentration was at one time 1800ppm and that was noted here. https://www.eurasiareview.com/01022020-polluted-air-co...
by Arun.prabhu
07 Apr 2020 00:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I didn't realize I was also an anti-Modi, anti-BJP and anti-national as well. Don't stop there. Cast more aspersions on me. Perhaps I'm a serial rapist/killer? Toodle doo, cupcake. Nam ji the other side of the argument will say that anyways a certain %age of doctors and nurses would have died in roa...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 23:57
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

And here's the Italian data with age profiles of the dead (lower left)

https://portale.fnomceo.it/wp-content/u ... le-ITA.pdf
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 23:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Is that an insinuation against my character? I would advice you to go to the swprs page, and this is very important, follow the links in all the data points they have made, use google translate liberally and as necessary before you denounce me for a Chinese agent provocateur. What i have seen is Chi...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 23:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Oh, you mean these doctors and the ones who died since. Look at the DOBs on the dead doctors. https://web.archive.org/web/20200328152430/https://portale.fnomceo.it/elenco-dei-medici-caduti-nel-corso-dellepidemia-di-covid-19/ By the by, this is the latest list. Note how the DOBs are now missing. LMAO...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 23:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7985
Views: 1059769

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

I was commenting that this was going to be great stress test to my wife just yesterday. Thanks for the numbers. This is most excellent news. A lot of nations would have been brought to their knees with such a drop. Reposting it here since this is truely strategic in nature. https://twitter.com/RajKS...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 23:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Can you cite on the number of doctors who have died please? As for fallacy, actually, no it is not. Look up the age profiles of the dead as well as health profiles. Serious co-morbidities. A lot of them had multiple serious co-morbidities. The argument that these old people would have died later thi...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 23:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I personally believe the lockdown is a waste of time and money, but I have gone outside my home twice in the last two weeks. I'm doing my bit in case I'm wrong, but I'm fairly convinced that we're reacting in a panic and aren't letting the data lead our conclusions. I'm economically secure, though t...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 23:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Read my response to hanumadu. https://forums.bharat-rakshak.com/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=7800&start=4760#p2425882 The numbers of the ground. Not the Chinese made up numbers, but what we're seeing in the west. The official counts are skewed towards symptomatic cases and serious ones at that, thank...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 22:57
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The Americans have reduced the number of ventilators they expect they'll need for the peak. The models for the Chinese flu have consistently overshot the mark. Why are health care professionals themselves getting sick and dying too? And mind you, this is with social distancing and lock down. What wi...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 22:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I saw that chart and I'm happy that our government is trying to take care of us, but the disease isn't as deadly as we believe it to be... Do we close our roads to save the 150000 annual dead? Or ban all industries to reduce the incidence of heavy metal poisoning and the shortening of life expectanc...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 22:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Doctor, A hundred and fifty thousand children and healthy adults and old-timers die in road accidents on our roads every year. A lot of them die horrible deaths. As a nation, we should care for the families of the dead, but as for the dead themselves, "life's a bitch and then you die." It ...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 22:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I understand your fears. I really do. I was panicking myself in late Jan, but you should do your research. Read through all the data points I present below (you can find links to primary or secondary sources at https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/ which is where I got these data points.) 1....
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 21:02
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I shared the link a few pages back so yes, I have seen it. The CDC has now gotten on the European fraud track and have started adding all deaths with the Chinese flu to death counts from the Chinese flu. I'm convinced at this point that our government is acting without all the data in hand (mostly b...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 19:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Which to me indicates we are way overreacting. Certainly the mortality monitor data from EU indicates there’re other concerns than public health afoot. Here's the funny thing: The positive result percentages are remaining more or less constant the world over. And we have governments fudging the deat...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 19:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

But is this disease deserving of the heroics? This is EU mortality data. http://www.euromomo.eu/index.html Look at the first time series graph named Pooled number of deaths on the page (below the heat map of deaths by country.) There were bad flu seasons in 2017, 2018 and 2019. It’s more or less ave...
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 16:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

This is prof Knut M Wittkowski. Impeccable credentials.

https://www.linkedin.com/in/knutmwittkowski

What does he say? Stop the lockdowns and let the population acquire herd immunity as that is the only way to stop it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lGC5sGdz4kg
by Arun.prabhu
06 Apr 2020 15:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Here's the funny thing: The positive result percentages are remaining more or less constant the world over. And we have governments fudging the death counts by counting deaths with Chinese flu and deaths by Chinese flu together. That's right. Also, we have the situation under control if most (or all...
by Arun.prabhu
05 Apr 2020 14:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

From what I’ve read elsewhere on the net, the fact that the ratio of positive tests isn’t shooting sky high but is actually fluctuating between the 4-6% Daily indicates we don’t have an active epidemic. Which website is giving this information? I collected it from multiple sources but for last 4 day...
by Arun.prabhu
03 Apr 2020 12:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The weekly death statistics haven't exceeded the historical averages and is not deviating significantly from the weekly death averages for other years. Further from the Swiss doctor's article: "The mortality profile remains puzzling from a virological point of view because, in contrast to influ...
by Arun.prabhu
03 Apr 2020 10:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7985
Views: 1059769

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

The fact that we were foolish enough to make the Chinese our sole source for a lot of things and that we need another decade or so to be fully prepared for war. The govt should start decoupling our economy from the Chinese now so that we'll be ready if the need for a hot war arises. How can anyone n...
by Arun.prabhu
03 Apr 2020 10:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

from Diamond Princess: 3600 passengers and crew, 710 infected, 410 asymptomatic. And from here: https://www.repubblica.it/salute/medicina-e-ricerca/2020/03/16/news/coronavirus_studio_il_50-75_dei_casi_a_vo_sono_asintomatici_e_molto_contagiosi-251474302/ English translation: https://translate.google....
by Arun.prabhu
02 Apr 2020 09:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The tests make sense when contact tracing has been perfect and we have an abundance of kits to test close contacts folks multiple times over the Course of several weeks. Do we? And are you claiming contact tracing has been perfect and that no one has slipped through? The focus on the tests is pretty...
by Arun.prabhu
02 Apr 2020 00:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7985
Views: 1059769

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Karan, 1. You are kind. And I'm sure there are a lot of others who are paying their staff salaries. The ones that aren't being paid... 2. Those side businesses are very lucrative. I've heard more than one share auto driver tell me that while people look down upon his ilk, he earns more than a lot of...
by Arun.prabhu
02 Apr 2020 00:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7985
Views: 1059769

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Their lot has never been fair, but at least they had the opportunity to earn a meal. If the wage earner were hospitalized or died an untimely death - and so many of them do - the extended family and friends would lend a hand. I bore about a fifth of the marriage costs of a poor relative myself not t...
by Arun.prabhu
01 Apr 2020 23:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The fatality rates are grossly exaggerated because of the bottleneck of limited test kits forcing testing to be done on symptomatic and serious cases alone... From the study: "From an extensive analysis of data from different regions of the world, our best estimate at the current time for the c...
by Arun.prabhu
01 Apr 2020 23:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 7985
Views: 1059769

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

How can anyone not have seen paupers reduced to skin and bones in our cities? How can we employ people to cook and clean our homes and not know how hard their lives are? We have three-four hundred million people below the poverty line. They have no safety nets apart from their jobs, families and fri...
by Arun.prabhu
01 Apr 2020 22:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Let us all petition the government to file compassionate FIRs and serve loving lathi beatdowns to these misunderstood folks. And hang the treasonous press up street lamps. Tableeghis need compassion in this crisis, not FIR https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EUhmE0EUcAEO9Ns?format=jpg&name=small
by Arun.prabhu
01 Apr 2020 21:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The govt has to juggle the risk of civil unrest with containment. I wouldn't be so sure.

SRoy wrote:Lock down is going to get extended, looking at the infection rate for last few days and today.
by Arun.prabhu
01 Apr 2020 20:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The focus on the tests is pretty hard to understand when up to 60% of the infected show no symptoms and do not qualify for the tests. Better to ignore the tests - which serve no purpose than to highlight the fear in people's hearts at this time - and to start focusing on treating symptoms, keeping p...
by Arun.prabhu
01 Apr 2020 20:38
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Tejas Mk.1 & Mk.1A: News & Discussions: 23 February 2019
Replies: 3623
Views: 1082704

Re: Tejas Mk.1 & Mk.1A: News & Discussions: 23 February 2019

How large an air battle do you see happening? Is it going to be all of ours versus all of theirs like the slugfests in Lord of the Rings or Baahubali? :) When I spoke to IAF guys, they convinced me that 6 A2A missiles per aircraft that too a light one is more than enough . Enough as in facing Pakist...
by Arun.prabhu
31 Mar 2020 22:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Done. Not able to find my post...scanned the last 4-5 pages. Not sure how Arun was able to get hold of it...my guess, it somehow slipped through while I was editing it. Here you go.. Original post: https://forums.bharat-rakshak.com/viewtopic.php?p=2424381#p2424381 Arun's reply: https://forums.bharat...
by Arun.prabhu
30 Mar 2020 23:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

More like the Chinese test kits aren't worth crap. We aren't hearing about a lot of re-infections in Italy and elsewhere where they aren't using Chinese test kits. In fact, several countries have returned and refused Chinese kits which have failed quality control by failing to correctly identify any...
by Arun.prabhu
27 Mar 2020 22:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7664
Views: 827163

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Well... Well... Well... 1. The Reproduction Rate of the virus is much higher than suspected. 2. The older models based on the older reproduction rate had predicted 400,000 dead in Italy on a certain date, but there were actually 8000 dead (and Italy are classifying everyone who dies and tests positi...

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