Search found 6426 matches

by Amber G.
15 Mar 2020 03:27
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Physics Discussion Thread
Replies: 2609
Views: 134431

Re: Physics Discussion Thread

Very sad news. I heard it yesterday on NPR. I think he should be added to the list of the greats who were overlooked by the Nobel Committee . He once said something to the effect: ("For Nobel one has to focus, stay in one field for about 10 years.. he was not cut out for that, he enjoyed jumpi...
by Amber G.
15 Mar 2020 03:18
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Physics Discussion Thread
Replies: 2609
Views: 134431

Re: Physics Discussion Thread

Dyson passed away on Friday 28 FEB 2020. He put the mathematical theoretical work for the development of the Feynman diagrams. It is too bad we've lost Dyson and I can only imagine if Feynman lived another 20 years, what he and Dyson would have uncovered. Amber G, My utmost parnam if you were one o...
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 21:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

SwamyG wrote:Why does Russia have low numbers?
..
Don't know but will share a 1931 Soviet Poster " Wash your hands after work and before eating. Dirty hands are a source of infection" :)
Image
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 21:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Very important public health warning from the French Surgeon General about how ibuprofen might "aggravate" coronavirus. (The tweet is from a verified account ). @olivierveran · Warning sign #COVIDー19 | La prise d'anti-inflammatoires (ibuprofène, cortisone, ...) pourrait être un facteur d'...
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 20:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

To doctors and other stake holders here in USA: Please consider signing it. c
Open Letter to Vice President Mike Pence RE: US COVID-19 Response]
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 11:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Sharing a tweet from Dr Scott Gottlieb, who was former director of FDA. The thread he suggests is indeed very good and worth reading. <click on the link below and read the whole thread> Scott Gottlieb, MD @ScottGottliebMD Trevor Bedford offered some of the most careful analysis of this pandemic from...
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 11:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Meanwhile: This tweet from a former FBI special agent has become viral: :) If you can’t find groceries, make friends with Indian-Americans. Like literally just show up at their house and they’ll feed you. (Of course, one should add - follow the customs of taking off your shoes, and wash your hands :)
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 08:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

<snip> Ji, you of all people (no offence, I mean that in the best possible way) should know the pitfalls of these kinds of calculations. <snip> . Sudarshanji -I suggest that move your that message to Math dhaga . Here is the rational: - I or some body else can point out what you may be missing in t...
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 08:10
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Let us hope that the heat and warm weather slows down the virus in India. I seriously think GOI (or someone) should perform a study on the effects of temperature (and miosture) on the virus. Is this a difficult (or impossible) test to do? Its survivability times at higher temperatures have to deter...
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 07:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Update: March 13 US Specific: - UNITED STATES DECLARES NATIONAL EMERGENCY According to Dr Fauci in today's Press conference: said: " These kind of things generally run out in a few months. Hopefully, we'll make it several weeks. Eight, nine, whatever weeks, but I can't give you a number, becau...
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 07:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Rishirishi wrote:Let us hope that the heat and warm weather slows down the virus in India.

Hoping this is fine but, I am afraid, next 2-3 months are not going to be good. It will get worse before it gets better. Hopefully India may show the world how to fight this thing. More of my thoughts and some data - later.
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 04:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

[ Definitely. In past hour, 2 people did die in India due to road accidents. So why the panic on Coronavirus? Short, clear answer - exponential growth. One of nice example, I have given all the time, is a recent tweet by Chess Champion Kasparov. It is quite worth reading you may enjoy . (Read the w...
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 04:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The strategy in Britain seems to be minimal testing. They are relying on infections to provide herd immunity. See the post on low vaccination rates and breaking epidemics. They are aware that deaths will result but it is a way to vaccinate the population, in a sense. imHo, this is idiocy. <snip> . ...
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 04:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The issue I have with "social distancing" is the virus can stay on hard surfaces for 72 hours. You can stay away from people, but how can u stay away from something you cannot see? You might get infected by holding on a train rail, despite not having a single human around you. So the obje...
by Amber G.
14 Mar 2020 02:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

POTUS press conference is still going on. Noticed that Dr Fauci referred to "flatten the curve" multiple times. . (referring the curve I have posted here in brf a few days ago - derived through mathematical modeling on how limiting the contact can "flatten the curve" etc..) Let m...
by Amber G.
13 Mar 2020 20:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Stanford hospital board internal message. The new Coronavirus may not show sign of infection for many days. How can one know if he/she is infected? <snip> SHARE WITH FAMILY and FRIENDS IMO This is NOT from Stanford. It's not a genuine message. Request Mod to delete it, unless there is some indicati...
by Amber G.
13 Mar 2020 11:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Just to give an example, here in US why some things are still quite bad.. - A doctor west coast prescribed Remdesivir to one of his patient who is in ICU - as a Compassionate purposes. It still took him about 40 minutes to get the approval from powers to be. ( I am glad this is not so at Jaipur or i...
by Amber G.
13 Mar 2020 11:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Similar attempts have been made in other countries as well. Yes. It is fairly well known among experts - For example there is a pretty well circulated discussion about a paper written - about these type of ( About 3 or 4 ) drugs - and their effects in China and Korea cases. Spent some time with a p...
by Amber G.
13 Mar 2020 08:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

. The numbers are scary but not unrealistic. <see post above about numbers . For those who dismiss, and say this can't be true .. I remember 1969 and 2009 .. both had similar numbers, only part was CFR was much lower. (1969 was not fun at all - Away from home and quite new in US). We have to "...
by Amber G.
13 Mar 2020 08:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

... the numbers Amber G. posted can be an overestimate (or so I hope). Unless drastic actions are taken without delay (to limit social contact) we may reach those numbers and *more* - Those number, ought to be taken seriously. Ohio is doing it but it should be on national level. Below is a chart fr...
by Amber G.
13 Mar 2020 05:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Let me post add to the above graph - from Pueyo to see the whole area under the graph:
Image
by Amber G.
13 Mar 2020 05:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

So, right now, this is being adopted -- you need to: 1) Practice "social distancing". Don't meet with people or travel more than you need to. 2) Wash your hands with soap - often and lengthily. 3) Don't touch your face. This shows, starting it as soon as possible is very important .. just ...
by Amber G.
13 Mar 2020 04:09
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Another perspective:Coronavirus burial pits so vast they’re visible from space.
Iranian authorities began digging a pair of trenches for victims just days after the government disclosed the initial outbreak. (Source: Wpost)
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by Amber G.
13 Mar 2020 02:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I am quite happy with Ohio's handling. It is much better than the "advanced" states like some in the west (or the east) coast. Have to thank our Governors leadership. - There is nice network (24/7 telephone resource center) to obtain help. Very good website, e-mail reach. So we know what i...
by Amber G.
13 Mar 2020 02:11
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^ Let me expand: It is encouraging that science-driven decision-making is being taken seriously by Washington officials. (At least that is my impression - Trump's last press conf as well as some nicer change in the upper leadership as well as their willingness to listen to traditional scientists) ...
by Amber G.
13 Mar 2020 01:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I just heard it from our Director of Department of health, and actually verified from our Governor that these numbers are not misspoken. (I am not surprised by these numbers because this is what many of us have were getting from our models) I know it is hard to understand #COVID19 since we can't see...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 11:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Since there are no medicines for it, you either die or you recover. That's not accurate, IMO . China, and Korea particularly have tried many things and there are a few (at least two) medicines have shown great potential. Both have gone through level 1 and 2 trials and blind trials are running.. I m...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 11:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

How come India has a turnaround time of 4 hours (per Dr Harsha Vardan) but USA needs 4 DAYS for the results?If India can get the labs going so fast why can't the USA? Turn around time, varies. In US most likely it is swab for RT PCR ..hour or two but red tape is a big cause here in us. (Per One NY ...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 11:17
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Meanwhile: Nice article about how long the virus survives on various surfaces..(National Institute of Health paper) Tests show new virus lives on some surfaces for up to 3 days The new coronavirus can live in the air for several hours and on some surfaces for as long as two to three days, tests by U...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 08:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

About Temperature thing: Jury is still out - We don't even know if CV will behave like other corona virus and we don't know much about other types in any case. From what I have read/heard etc - there is no (or very little) evidence that temperature has much effect once you become sick. I do see, (a...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 08:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

From what I understand the testing will be done by local municipal/county health depts. Results could take up to 4 days. The question is, are they using a PCR method for testing or is it looking for the pathogen like various flu swab tests? From Doctors in the Bay area - who got their patient final...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 08:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

FWIW, we are in the Seattle area and *may* have caught this late Jan. No way to confirm for sure. All adults in the household got sick (mild fever, body ache) for 3 days while children were completely unaffected (which is atypical). Also, one of my daughters is a young adult, and while she was affe...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 07:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

About Temperature thing: Jury is still out - We don't even know if CV will behave like other corona virus and we don't know much about other types in any case. From what I have read/heard etc - there is no (or very little) evidence that temperature has much effect once you become sick. I do see, (an...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 07:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

FWIW, we are in the Seattle area and *may* have caught this late Jan. No way to confirm for sure. All adults in the household got sick (mild fever, body ache) for 3 days while children were completely unaffected (which is atypical). Also, one of my daughters is a young adult, and while she was affe...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 05:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

where did you get these nos. from? I am collecting data (see my post before) from many sources just for my interest.... automatic download and renormalization as different data sources store it different format. Worldometer, Lancet, cdc, who all have good sites where one can see the data in real ti...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 04:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Have not been following posts here... Here is Covid-19 cases in US on each Tuesday for last few Tuesday's. Jan. 14 — 0 <snip> Mar. 10 — 1,004 <snip> my cumulative no. adds to 350 by March 10 and 278 by march 3. There may be a different way of calculation. But curious to understand how did you get 1...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 01:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

FWIW - I was asked to provide input (along with a few other scientists) to do a write-up to provide help in putting some specific recommendations to be passed on the the authorities. (Mainly things which other countries have done (successfully) and may be of help in US but have not come to light yet...
by Amber G.
12 Mar 2020 01:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4511
Views: 332839

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Have not been following posts here... Few updates: - Form physician friends, in Bay Area - finally hearing more and more physicians are able to get their patient's tested. Other states still not so good. - Pence/Trump's promises of "any one who needs testing can get it done now", "1.5...

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