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by Cain Marko
05 Jun 2024 04:43
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

The danger is N². Can BJP rule with any confidence?
by Cain Marko
05 Jun 2024 04:28
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

^^ This proves that vikas gets you ghanta votes. Use saam, dand and bhed now. K It worked in 2019. Modi should've stuck with the winning formula instead of getting into dirty politics. Cost them dearly. Unfortunately they fell in love with their own hubris. Even now there is great danger but it can...
by Cain Marko
05 Jun 2024 04:25
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Ambar wrote: 05 Jun 2024 01:22 Not even in 2014 did Modi so openly attack the muslim community in his speeches as this time, that should have been a clue that it was going to be a very rocky road.
And, in doing so he undid all the work of the past 10 years and sealed bjp fate.
by Cain Marko
05 Jun 2024 00:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

The number one priority now should be to keep INDI away from power center. Best options for desh now: 1. MAD steps down in favor of Gadkari, who can get pawar, and even uddhav on board. This will consolidate the NDA. 2. MAD offers to step down after 2 years in deference to Modi's age limit rule. I p...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 23:31
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

^^^ Given that there is zero claim of discrimination against the Quam in all the housing, gas connection, ration, mudra loan, health insurance etc., schemes, the BJP message could have been different, still raising the fear of loss, but not targeting anyone. That is, when your policy does not discr...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 14:56
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

If they don't get to 272 then Modi as PM in under danger even in Varanasi he is only leading by 1L votes... looks like his zero tolerance to corruption did not make friends in his own party. Actually, one could easily make the opposite argument. Too many corrupt leaders with dubious reputations fou...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 13:53
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Arun Pudur @arunpudur Over 150 Seats BJP is behind by less than 5,000 votes. Only 35% of votes have been counted, still 65% left. Bull shit. Must be less than 30. But there would be an equal number of seats that BJP would be ahead by a slender margin. They will even out eventually. Yeah most channe...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 13:32
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

SRajesh wrote: 04 Jun 2024 13:27 UP three things
1. 400 paar and end of affirmative action
2. Angiveer
3. Jat consolidation against BJP
Peaceful vote is not the only reason
Agreed. forgot about that Agniveer issue.
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 13:16
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

This makes sense, it's what I have also heard. That message about constitution being changed did a lot of damage. what about revadi promise from dot alliance? 1 lakh a year and many more hot air they promised I think people have short term memories. More importantly, the possibility of losing reser...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 13:05
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

The Muslims and backwards classes were terrified and probably came out in droves. Hindus were under the impression that 400 paar means easy victory and yugapurush modi can't do wrong. One analysis going around is that the SCs believed that constitution will be changed and reservations will be remov...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 13:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Appeasement damages the country, but doesn't damage BJP share of Muslim votes. What damages BJP vote share is Hindu treachery. Well one understands what happened in Maharastra. Rajasthan & Haryana needs to be probed. UP needs to be investigated with great precision. This is a surprise !! Only a...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 12:58
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

CM ji I think right now its time to consult with Uddhav Thackeray and re unite larger BJP/NDA Gadkari needs to be the man. AS really screwed over UT and the latter deeply resents MAD. I think unlike Gadkari, MAD have done a lot to piss people off. And these posed of people are now coming back to bi...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 12:55
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Look at the bright side. 295 is comming true, but only for the NDA. I have a counter view here - all that can be thrown at BJP was thrown - yet if BJP manages form the govt and be in power for 5 years - that will be the true awakening of India!! Problem is that 295 for NDA will mean BJP will be at ...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 12:43
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

If this continues, real power brokers are Nitish and Naidu. N².
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 12:33
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Mort Walker wrote: 04 Jun 2024 12:32 ECI now showing BJP 245. If they can get to 250, Sensex may stabilize or recover.
Can you share that link?
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 12:19
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Unless the very close fights in UP and elsewhere work in favor of the NDA, the trends are pretty much set. Would love to see BJP inch closer to 272 on its own. Heck at this point I am desperate enough to say, would be happy to see a combined NDA in excess of 300 or at least to see Modi as PM again,...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 12:10
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Mort Walker wrote: 04 Jun 2024 11:54
putnanja wrote: 04 Jun 2024 11:54 BJP had good relations with BJD at one time. BJD might still help out BJP, have to see if they can jointly form govt in Odisha in exchange for support at center
It's all horse trading from here on out.
I think just 6 out of 24 rounds have been counted. So there's still a chance.
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 12:00
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Vayutuvan wrote: 04 Jun 2024 11:52
Pratyush wrote: 04 Jun 2024 11:49 It's not a defeat, if he is the leader of the single largest party in the parliament.
If BJP alone gets 272+, then he is golden. Is Modi ji flexible enough like PV saab?
I think that's been his problem for sometime now. Time for BJP to find a compromise candidate.
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 11:53
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

NDA will likely win but Modi and his clout will not.i think in their hubris, they alienated too many. Gadkari is the man who can keep BJP in power, they need to get behind him quick. Modi is the man who has won 2 straight elections. He has not been defeated even once. Even in this election. It's no...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 11:43
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

NDA will likely win but Modi and his clout will not.i think in their hubris, they alienated too many.

Gadkari is the man who can keep BJP in power, they need to get behind him quick. He might just get uddhav, Jd, pawar and tdp behind him.
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 11:33
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Cain Marcoji Wonder this is the plan to push NaMo out at any cost :eek: BIF's/Locals/Jihadi all combine to move him out I worry about the consensus candidate Turd kept repeating this again and again during the Exit poll results Gadkari as a consensus candidate Is this the ultimate goal ?? Closer to...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 11:29
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

The Muslims and backwards classes were terrified and probably came out in droves. Hindus were under the impression that 400 paar means easy victory and yugapurush modi can't do wrong.
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 11:22
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Primus wrote: 04 Jun 2024 11:20 My own, perhaps poorly informed opinion says that it is Hubris that did us in.
It's not poorly informed. The swollen head always deflates.
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 11:19
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Cyrano wrote: 04 Jun 2024 11:07
Cain Marko wrote: 04 Jun 2024 10:42

Let's not conflate Dharma with modi.
NaMo is the best bet we have currently to protect dharma in the (geo)political sphere. What is there to conflate or confuse?
Namo? I think not. Gadkari would be better.
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 11:10
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

My simple guess is that three things played out: 1. Fear of hyper powerful BJP changing the constitution galvanized the caste vote +Muslim vote. 2. Trauma caused by COVID-19 esp. With returning labor class. 3. Hubris doesn't work esp. when it comes to religious matters. Well in hindsight breaking S...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 10:55
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

UP will have to be looked at very closely. Is it some issue ? Or just plain laziness of the voter ? Or wrong candidate selection ? My simple guess is that three things played out: 1. Fear of hyper powerful BJP changing the constitution galvanized the caste vote +Muslim vote. 2. Trauma caused by COV...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 10:43
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

sajo wrote: 04 Jun 2024 10:42 How many feel that Dhoti has flown away already and difficult to catch it in the strong anti Incumbency gale ?
I'm already seeing Raut speaking on abp Maza in Maharashtra showing 265 for NDA.
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 10:42
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Cyrano wrote: 04 Jun 2024 10:36 Keep the faith in NaMo and dharma bhailog.
Let's not conflate Dharma with modi.
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 09:57
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Bhai lok relax, All we need is 272. UP is probably a close race. We'll get better soon. This is good in a way that opposition cannot claim rigged election anymore. A bit of a dent will also bring some sense and accountability on the NDA side. Until people wake up, we will keep having these dents. A...
by Cain Marko
04 Jun 2024 09:33
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1054
Views: 57078

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Mort Walker wrote: 04 Jun 2024 09:28 A repeat of 2004?
I had said this a few weeks ago. India shining redux.
by Cain Marko
23 May 2024 02:47
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Air Force Tejas Mk1A: News & Discussions: 02 January 2022
Replies: 1062
Views: 6048428

Re: Air Force Tejas Mk1A: News & Discussions: 02 January 2022

35 out of the 36 Rafales that came to India were *NOT* of the F3R(I) standard (the variant with the ISE upgrades). These aircraft were upgraded in India to that standard. Thus Air HQ accepted an aircraft that was not up to the specification standard. Only one Rafale (Serial #RB008) landed in India ...
by Cain Marko
12 May 2024 04:50
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 7683
Views: 1803233

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Mort Walker wrote: 12 May 2024 02:07 On the contrary. He calmly exposed her. If you’ve been following him, you’ll see he’s mostly correct on many issues. Trump Jr. even posted the response.
Can you link that response? Would love to see him roast that racist over the coals.
by Cain Marko
12 May 2024 04:48
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications
Replies: 323
Views: 126370

Re: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications

I agree. and the depravity of terrorism is hardly questionable nor was the treatment of kurds and civilians by saddam any less barbaric. But then, most agree that the invasion of Iraq was an act of aggressive imperialism based on a flimsy vial. How is the baby beheading thing different? Where is th...
by Cain Marko
12 May 2024 01:48
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications
Replies: 323
Views: 126370

Re: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications

So, 8-10 months into the war, have the Israelis presented anything to the world in terms of the child beheadings? Gory videos, photu and what not? The avalanche of anti-Israel backlash over the bombing of Gaza civilians seems to have put Israel's most lurid claims under intense enough scrutiny to m...
by Cain Marko
12 May 2024 00:35
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 7683
Views: 1803233

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Cybaru wrote: 10 May 2024 05:56 Let's not normalize this racist behavior. It's sad to see he didnt B*tch slap her back with a proper response... He is sooper weak!
100% VR comes across a cheap kiss ass, esp in this exchange. Desperate to ingratiate himself to the white overlord. Pity.
by Cain Marko
12 May 2024 00:26
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications
Replies: 323
Views: 126370

Re: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications

So, 8-10 months into the war, have the Israelis presented anything to the world in terms of the child beheadings? Gory videos, photu and what not?
by Cain Marko
04 May 2024 07:47
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Navy News & Discussion - 12 April 2021
Replies: 1705
Views: 832408

Re: Indian Navy News & Discussion - 12 April 2021

Anyone know anything about this? It seems a retired Indian Navy admiral was involved (first 7 minutes): Some kind of spheroid engine tech that is extremely clean...hydrocarbons are reduced to near zero, Oxygen output increases 20%. Overall performance increase is also very distinct. It's called the ...