Bharat Rakshak

ramdas

https://www.indiatoday.in/magazine/defence/story/20090803-deep-impact-740376-2009-07-23 This 2009 article by Sandeep Unnithan refers to a 3500 km range MIRVed K-X as the INS Arihant's primary armament. The K_X=K-4. So, the K-4 is likely to be MIRVed. Hope it has already been tested in such a configu...

ramdas

All ULH are 39 cal AFAIK. There is a 58 cal mod of the M777 but that may no longer be ultra-light.

ramdas

My deepest condolences to Ambarji and Mukhiji for their personal loss....

ramdas

Any military action that PLA undertakes will not give the PLA better results than its 1979 war with Vietnam, particularly if we choose to fight defensively. The issue is that internal fifth columnists (congress pidis and allied pseudointellectuals in particular) would try to spin it as a national de...

ramdas

@LakshmanPST: Several analysts/intellectuals (some seemed to be genuinely right wing before NaMo's rise) expected positions of influence after NaMo's rise, but did not get what they expected. Bharat Karnad and Brahma Chellaney are prominent among these. They have now taken to indirectly cheering for...

ramdas

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ramdas

Such attitude allowed China to dominate LAC all this while and prod and poke India at its will. https://www.hindustantimes.com/analysis/don-t-give-the-military-total-freedom/story-cJ5UfWRH5XGex4TFp9tAeM.html Don’t give the military total freedom | Opinion Shyam Saran, IFS is epitome of Indian Fools...

ramdas

My own reading is that CCP/PLA intended to occupy areas that were not held/undefended, dig themselves in, and help anti national forces within India such as the INC by taking some sheen of NaMo. At the same time, they show their strength by pulling off such salami slicing. @manish: WMDs are about ca...

ramdas

@Manish: A long drawn, all out conventional war cannot be undertaken against a nuclear armed state. Do you think the deterrent will be kept idle if it gets to a MIC vs MIC fight that we are not going to win, and the consequences of loss are loss of Ladakh ? All in all, not first use is a very foolis...

ramdas

@ldev: While 400 conventional SRBMs would cause civilian terror and disruption, without concomitant loss of territory or facilities of strategic value, that by itself does not merit a nuclear response. It is different if BM/Nuke production facilities are accurately targeted. I believe the A-5 is als...

ramdas

Once again, when some posters say that the PLA can just walk into Leh by dragging a conventional war long enough, I do not see why we cant go nuclear in that situation. Not taking into account the deterrent is foolish to say the least. Losing territory on that scale threatens the very existence of t...

ramdas

1. I do not know why forum members here are imagining a situation where the PLA takes Leh. If that is where a war is headed, it is time to use the nuclear deterrent and face the resulting consequences. If they take Leh, they should lose Shanghai. 2. Given the terrain, I do not see this panning out. ...

ramdas

Maybe INC wants to rush GoI into precipitate frontal action to evict the PLA in the F4-F8 area, where we are currently at a disadvantage. Such an action is likely to be a stalemate, leaving PLA where they currently are. This would be tom-tommed by INC as Modi having lost that land. While the area is...

ramdas

I do not see how they can just walk into Leh, or snatch Ladakh, even in tandem with the Pakis. Even Gen. Panag, who has no love lost for the current govt. has made it clear that if a full fledged war takes on such a trajectory, we can always fall back on our nuclear arsenal.

ramdas

khan wrote:I think all these “OSINT“ people with access to satellite imagery are our people (or our allies) & there is a specific reason they haven’t shown anything about Depsang plains.

What do you think the reason is ? Serious intrusion by PLA or counter action afoot from our side ?

ramdas

GoI should exercise control on what the press publishes on this matter. Even journalists such as Manu Pubby that are not fully part of the BIF gang like Ajai Shukla is were insisting on the PLA being inside our side of the LAC in Galwan and Hot Springs as well. Now the same person quotes sources to ...

ramdas

amar_p wrote:MIRV is not an issue, since some years. Nuff said.

It makes sense for us to test a MIRVed variant of A-3 and/or A-5 successfully, deploy the same, and state it publicly. The same holds for the K-4. Under the current situation, this is urgently required.

ramdas

Going by satellite pictures the answers to schinnas' qns appear to be as follows. 1. Yes, IA is in control of PP 14. 2. PLA is in control of the area betweeb finger 4 and finger 8. It has occupied this territory. 3. In Galwan valley there is a large PLA presence starting 500m from their side of the ...

ramdas

Would'nt runway targeting be inefficient ? With accurate missiles (ballistic or supersonic cruise) targeting aircraft shelters would be more profitable. True that the DF-16 is not there in sufficient numbers right now, but that can change in the next 2 years or so. A large number of brahmos on our s...

ramdas

This assertion of 660 BM needed to disable an airfield stems from the assumption that these conventional BM are not highly accurate: CEPs of 50 m or so. If they have missiles as accurate as the Soko Hyunmoo-2C (CEP claimed to be 1-5 m), that changes the picture altogether. Such accurate BM can targe...

ramdas

1) More and more information is coming out indicating that China has understated its cases as well as deaths by a large factor: at least 15, with Wuhan itself accounting for 40000+ deaths. After all, the virus did have a free run in China for the first two months, with the authorities trying to supr...

ramdas

Haridasji,

1) Why the silence on MIRvs being tested with the K-4 if it has indeed been tested with MIRVs and other powers know of it ?

2) Has some way been found to render the corrected 1998 TN credible without testing? Only that would allow for many petals on the K-4.

ramdas

They do impose a lot of controls and tests, but clearly, they need to do far more at the supplier end. Same issue with Akash but it was fixed thereafter. Certainly needed. It may also help to reduce the variety in the arsenal. Something like A-1 for TSP and A-5 (incl. a MIRVed variant) for PRC each...

ramdas

No problem with the test.

How can you say that ? It is good that they are testing, but defects cropping up at this stage in the A-3 are worrying, if true (likely, since Hemant Rout is usually reliable).

ramdas

https://www.newindianexpress.com/states/odisha/2019/dec/01/nuclear-capable-agni-iii-missile-fails-in-maiden-night-trial-2069737.html The A-3 trial was unfortunately unsuccessful. Appears to have involved a manufactirung defect. Hope we do not suffer from OFB like quality control in such a crucial t...

ramdas

Was the recent Agni III test successful? A PTI report says that the trajectory is being monitored and the result is awaited....

ramdas

@Dinesha: Looks like speculation by people like Vipin Narang and speculation by journalists like Manu Pubby are feeding off one another. This time the NOTAM clearly indicated a land based test. Underwater missile tests are generally off Vizag. I do'nt know why we do'nt announce and publish pictures ...

ramdas

@Dinesha: I think the speculation about the Nov 8 K-4 test being postponed due to the cyclone was fuelled on twitter by the likes of Vipin Narang and other NPAs. The fact that no new NOTAM for a SLBM test was issued within days (it is reasonable to expect a new window to be determined if a test was ...

ramdas

The above warning also cannot be for K4 because this scheduled to be conducted at night time between 6:30pm and 9:30pm. During these times 6:30pm is quite dark in Eastern India. This and Hemant Rout's confirmation go to show that Manu Pubby is not the most reliable when it comes to reporting on mis...

ramdas

Stationing SSLVs at a fixed strategic location makes more sense because it would make mating with a payload easier. In any case, it would be prudent to keep some SSLV units at standby (silo?) and mated with imaging, and communication+navigation satellites or even co-orbital anti-satellite satellite...

ramdas

https://www.jansatta.com/blog/k-4-missile-nuclear-warhead-capability-within-sea/1219010/

This news item seems to indicate that the K-4 was indeed successfully tested on Nov 8. Do not know how reliable it is.

ramdas

One very interesting that was confirmed was that SSLV was designed to be launched from a mobile platform. So, it is a strategic launcher as well. By strategic launcher are you referring to dual use as a long range BM ? But a 34 m length seems to make it unwieldy either as a long range BM or a mobil...

ramdas

Do we have the ability as of now to produce high strength carbon fibres (T-700/T-800/T-1000) in quantity? That would be required if we needed to make efficient solid motors with high chamber pressure. Saurav Jha once tweeted that the reason for sticking to steel motor casings for first stages was la...

ramdas

The cyclone passed some 200 km east of Vizag. Areas close to Vizag do not seem to have had high winds/rain on Nov. 8. In any case, no news of any K-4 test has come soon after that test (except maybe for the first time in 2014). The only other news of a K-4 test was in 2016, when Hemant Rout wrote so...

ramdas

Do'nt know whether they will be able to carry out the K-4 test given the cyclone that is building up in the bay of bengal...Hope the test does not get delayed too much.

ramdas

The reason I asked is that I have often seen NAVAREAS issued 3-5 days before tests. Should'nt shipping have a harder time clearing out of an area than flights, that too when these are standard areas for which we have issued warnings in the past ?

ramdas

Is it a good idea to be discussing these NOTAMs on a public forum? OTOH, I do'nt know why GoI does not release them much later, say, 3 days or so before the actual test.

ramdas

@gaurav.p: 1) Neither nukes nor this are for compellence. They are for deterrence. Are you also saying that our going nuclear was the wrong decision ? TSP was anyway going to go nuclear. What if they were the only power in the subcontinent with nukes ? 2) It serves our purpose to accelerate the stra...

ramdas

@tsarkar:

What about the possibility of a shootdown with no deaths? After all, two Paki pilots are supposed to have bailed out. What if they both survived ? Then covering up the F-16 shootdown by clearing the wreckage is easy for the Pakis.

ramdas

Haridas wrote:Even the earliest design was three large RVs (similar to A2 RV in wt & size). From discussions with those who were involved & mattered.

For A-5 ? Or for A-3 ?

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