NRao wrote:I was just a messenger.
However, nothing can be done without an estimate. Besides India seems to be studying the situation, I have not read in detail, but there is nothing out there that suggests that India has decided to go ahead with the effort beyond studying the situation.
NRao sir , Well that was not directed against you and I do not make any conversation personal. The problem with such estimate is it come from DRDO people who are not into sales or have good background or years of experience selling aircraft to have a good understanding of the market and how to make a good estimate on where you stand based on your strengths and production/supply chain.
A good aircraft does not necessarily mean it would sell well , ALH is a top class chopper but how much sales has it generated it ? Bell may be worst but they still have a much bigger customer base.
It is very easy to say one day all the F-16 ,Mig-21/23 ,Mig-27 will be replaced and based on say 10 thousand of the types in service , I see a good chance to replace Gripen/Tejas , so I have the potential to sell 10 thousand Gripen.
I have to believe - at this point in time - Saras and all - that they are doing the right thing.
The right thing for Saras would be to get the certification done quickly and let the forces buy it and put it for competition.
One more thing: trends are great when trying to predict the future, however, even with Saras as part of the data point, we have to agree, that today India is not the same as 2000. India has, for sure, a lot more to boot. Financially and maturity wise. With that in mind, I for one, would wipe out the Saras experience. And, I would consider Embraer as a major player in THIS product set and a very good player as a partner.
Financial and Maturity is one thing , but it does not mean we can make great aircraft or better beat the competition , China financial muscle is many time stronger then India but they have no aircraft of their own , Russia is so dominant in aircraft building and has a good niche in defence market but yet it cannot produce a competitive civil aircraft that can beat Boeing or Airbus.
Why is the global civil market is so dominated by Airbus and Boeing when there are 6 countries who can make good fighter aircraft and has good aviation base.
Embraer is a good and top player in this 75-130 seater market and they are good quite well with E-Jet sales specially penetrating the very competive and demanding European market , but they still have their limitations and they are no way going to start kicking Boeing/Airbus out not in the next 20 years as well , they are niche players for niche segment.
I still have to reason out why Embraer would like to co-operate with us when they have every thing going for them ,may be they can be hired as consultant at best if they know NCA would not affect their market.