Lost Kauravas
Backed by the middle class, Anna Hazare will be victorious, says N.V.Subramanian.
15 August 2011:
The Manmohan Singh government has seriously underestimated the appetite of the middle class for experimentation and change. It will persist with experimentation and change till the process ends in success or failure. That's what shows in the middle class's backing for its two previous heroes, V.P.Singh and Manmohan Singh, and is further indicated in its present endearment for Anna Hazare.
The UPA and its clever lawyers can do their damnedest to break Anna Hazare.
But the middle class will ride him to glory till he achieves his mission. After which, if he is sensible and has a notion of history, which he has, Anna Hazare will fade away.
V.P.Singh was an unlikely middle class hero. Of his personal integrity, there was never any doubt like Manmohan Singh. But he was loyal to the Gandhis much as the PM is today. Even when he broke up with Rajiv Gandhi over the Bofors scandal, he kept a picture of Indira Gandhi in his office and worshipped her.
Why did the middle class go for this Gandhi loyalist?
The middle class has always loathed the dynastic Gandhis, and would instinctively back any person against them.
{Note Inder Malhotra's ire (written in his Ind Express article) at a semi-literate girl who said 15 August was Nehruji's coronation day!} Circumstances turned V.P.Singh against Rajiv Gandhi, and his anti-corruption campaign appealed to the middle class. A wave generated in North India to back him.
What happened thereafter is well-known. Rajiv Gandhi trapped himself deeper and deeper in the Bofors morass, surrounding himself with opportunistic and worthless advisers. It is very reminiscent of how UPA-2 is painting itself into a corner in the 2G, CWG and other scams. Then V.P.Singh had a political veteran called Devi Lal as his ally alongwith the Left and Right.
The middle class ensured that V.P.Singh became PM. But when he took up the cause of Mandal reservations to counter Devi Lal & Co and to stay in power, the middle class split with him. When a youth during the anti-reservation stir immolated himself in Central Delhi, it ruptured the middle class from V.P.Singh. V.P.Singh had to go.
There are similarities between V.P.Singh and Manmohan Singh as observed in the earlier paragraphs.
But Manmohan Singh came to power courtesy the Gandhis. The fine print to his prime-ministership said that he would vacate it when the Gandhi scion, Rahul, was ready to take over.
The middle class tolerated this arrangement beguiled by the fact that Manmohan Singh was a technocrat and honest. At least the dynasts were not directly in power. The middle class was on Manmohan Singh's side against the Left that opposed the Indo-US nuclear deal (the middle class has since realized how terrible the deal is). It backed him to a bigger victory in the 2009 election.
But when the middle class realized that Manmohan Singh was not about to change the order, that his personal honesty could co-exist perfectly and without qualms with the most corrupt government since Independence, relations between the two sides soured. Add to unbridled corruption runaway inflation, incompetence and a sense of impending doom -- and the middle class had had enough.
In April this year, Anna Hazare happened in Jantar Mantar.
The middle class has swung to his support unconditionally. The middle class hates politicians. It was mislead to think Manmohan Singh was not a politician. In Anna Hazare, the middle class sees no politician but an upstanding war veteran who has only the good of the country at heart. His goodness and his idealism also move the youth, the biggest backers of Anna Hazare today.
So whatever happens tonight and tomorrow, Anna Hazare and the middle class will win. In the worst case that Anna and his team are arrested, it will still mean victory against the corrupt and venal UPA-2. In his Independence Day speech, Manmohan Singh said fasting would not remove corruption. In his cynicism and authoritarianism, he forgot that fasting and satyagraha won this country's Independence.
The second independence from corruption is not far.
The UPA can employ all the executive hard power it has, but the game is over. Unlike V.P.Singh and Manmohan Singh, Anna Hazare is true to his cause. 'Thrice is he armed,' wrote Shakespeare, 'that hath his quarrel just.' The middle class is finally backing a winner who won't cheat it.
The battle is joined.
The heroes and villains have been marked out.
The Kauravas will lose.