China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

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prithvi

Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by prithvi »

RoyG wrote:I'm thinking an attack will come next year. I agree with Vasu and Shiv that their window is slowly closing and the US wont do much for us. Our goal should be to totally incapacitate the PA within a week. We will probably lose land in the East but our goal should be to keep turkey neck. This isn't going to be like 62. They will try to cut us off from the SE for good and completely embarrass us. We will also have to keep an eye on Nepal and make sure the Bangladeshis dont act funny. POK will probably be in Chinese hands. Messy.
No attack will happen.. it is a wet dream.. Chinese economy is not quite stable right now given US and Europe situation why would they create a situation which will worsen overall investor confidence on a winning story? for what..AP and Sikkim? nah.. hardly convincing...
major part of these panic stories in the press are fed by Defense cartels..I am not sure why intelligent folks can not see this..
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by sarabpal.s »

Listen folk you should under stand china attack never been like 62s but more like projector where china is projector handler and other are listner, to break that tendency we need solid back to own projector for world and to get listner we need power and that we get by economy and good security for us and for other listners.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by jagbani »

China continues to put pressure on Vietnam to abandon its agreement with ONGC to explore oil in the South China Sea.

A Chinese trade magazine, published by the Communist party mouthpiece the People's Daily, has also warned India. The magazine said that India's energy strategy was slipping into an extremely dangerous whirlpool. It further asked Indian companies to stay away from disputed waters of the South China Sea.

china warns india
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Singha »

with its hyper aggressive stance on the south china sea, china is leaving the rim nations no option but to become a vassal or seek allies outside the region (japan/US/india).

seems to me the vietnamese national psyche is that beyond a point you cannot push them around before facing a response. lord knows they have suffered enough against powerful enemies who could drop bombs on that by the ton. yet they are still willing to fight. in the end its probably not about guns or money, but the character of the nation and its elites.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by SaiK »

In addition to Brahmos, we need many shouryas and the anuradha installations. A5s deployment could mean exposing some characters of our elite.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by sum »

A5s deployment could mean exposing some characters of our elite
:-?
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by chackojoseph »

shiv wrote:The information available in the usual English internet sources about thie "FBC-1/ JH-7" is suspect. It is allegedly a late 1970s and early 80s design, but is claimed in some places to have FBW controls. That measn that the original likely analog controls have been overhauled to produce a new aircraft.

Some sources say that it can carry a 5000 kg weapon payload, and Wiki says 9000 kg.

The plane is said to be underpowered - with 2 China cloned copies of the Rolls Royce Spey engine that powered the F-4 Phantom. If the engine is "licensed" as is claimed - I am dead sure that Poodlestan is not getting any royalty from Cheena
Reminded me of my first ever article and posted on BR Monitor.

FBC-1/ JH-7 Xian Fighter-Bomber project (The "Flying Leopard")

In 1973 the PLAAF put in a requirement for a tandem-seat fighter-bomber with the Xian Aircraft Company and the 603 Institute. This project was designated as the H-7 and secured government approval in 1977. The emphasis was on an all weather airplane capable of night operations. At some point the PLANAF also expressed interest in the project for possible anti-ship roles and this created a number of complications. Finally the PLANAF was able to take the lead and a prototype first flew in December 1988[xxxiii].

A long period of testing followed the first flight. In this period one prototype crashed and two test pilots were killed due to engine failure. The first squadron was believed to have been raised in 1996 but the due to the old design and its lack of adequate power plants the design was rejected by PLAAF in favor of Su-30MKK. The PLANAF continued to support the project and it is believed that the at least 18 new JH-7 powered by Rolls Royce Spey Mk 202 engines are in service with the PLAN. Its export version is dubbed FBC-1 (Fighter/Bomber Export-1), which was unveiled at Zhuhai International Airshow in November 1998, but has yet to attract any foreign customers[xxxiv].

The XAC also built the JH-7A (Flying Leopard II), an improved variant where the engines have been replaced by indigenous WS-9 turbofans. An instrument pod (Russian AKR-8) provides enemy radar emission parameters to the Russian Kh-31P anti-radiation missiles that are carried on the platform. Two prototypes have been built so far. The first JH-7A prototype flew on July 1, 2002[xxxv].
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Varoon Shekhar »

"what..AP and Sikkim? nah.. hardly convincing... "

Exactly, China would face worldwide condemnation for any such attempted grab, and then there's the little question of the people who live in those states. They are not clamoring for any Chinese help, let alone invasion and rule. Sick idea.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by ranjbe »

Taiwanese feel that much of China's achievements are unproven hype, to help the West to abandon 'loser' Taiwan.
Though the speed of China's military modernization regularly grabs world headlines, there are few publicized tests that prove the sophisticated new weaponry actually works. But as the leaked information on alleged breakthroughs is picked up and presented as fact by international media, the hype generated likely brings Beijing closer to pocketing Taiwan.
What all these weapon systems have in common, apart from exaggerated publicity, is that no outsider has ever witnessed if they work. Although the Chinese recently launched the Tiangong-1 space laboratory, it is hardly a secret that the country has had difficulties in developing precision targeting technology needed for weapons such as the DF-21D "carrier killer".
According to observers, China has also had difficulties producing the high-performance jet engines needed by the J-20, while defense analysts have long pointed out that the military value of China's aircraft carrier is almost zero: In the absence of a sophisticated battle group that protects the colossus from submarines, cruise missiles and fighter jets, the Varyag might present difficulties to hopelessly under-equipped military such the Philippines', but not to Taiwan or Japan, let alone the US.
Lai I-chung, a member of the research body the Taiwan Thinktank, said internal competition in the PLA for budgets and prestige are also a major factor in the hype surrounding China's military capabilities.

"Different sectors fan up the hype for some unproven weapons to demonstrate achievement. Sometimes certain political deadlines have to be met. That leads to the skipping of testing and error-checking processes," Lai said.
Asked how this impacts Taiwan, Lai draws a grim picture. According to him, the biggest danger in exaggerating China's military strength is that it manipulates the opinions of Western analysts.
"They conclude that as Taiwan is already hopelessly behind, people should simply leave Taiwan alone. Why should resources be wasted for a battle that will be lost? Why not cut one's losses and run away?"
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/MJ18Ad01.html
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Varoon Shekhar »

"A5s deployment could mean exposing some characters of our elite"

May sound 'confusing', but I think what he means is the go soft-on-China group, even if China behaves belligerently.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by shiv »

Varoon Shekhar wrote:"A5s deployment could mean exposing some characters of our elite"

May sound 'confusing', but I think what he means is the go soft-on-China group, even if China behaves belligerently.
Actually that comment is meaningless. Who will know about Agni 5 deployments? Its not as if the information is going to be shared with people who perform dharnas.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by chackojoseph »

The move is good till the Air Launched Brahmos begins serial production. After that, I will be hardly excited if its deployed anywhere. I see it as a temporary measure. Air launched and ship/sub launched versions will take care of most possible eventualities.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by AmitG »

shiv wrote:
sarkar wrote:Even at this very moment my own brother is patrolling at some border. :)
May God or whoever is around protect your brother. He does not deserve to have to protect a nation of people who can predict war and smell defeat in that future war from a distance.

There is a near continuous expression of fear of China from some Indian or other on this forum and in the media. Mao scared the shit out of our parents and grandparents and that fear has been passed on to us by generations of moaners. They have all been brought up to understand how we are a bunch of losers. We have centuries of experience of losing. The names of traitors and losers come easily to our lips and we see a replay of the actions of all those defeats every day. And when someone mentions the word China the pant soiling starts off.

Fear that China will impose war and fear that India will lose war are completely useless for a discussion forum. They are useful only on a psychiatrist's couch. No soldier who is in combat goes in without fear. He is shit scared. He does not go in saying like they say in Masterchef Australia "I'm going to win this Italian dessert challenge. I'm going to win this immunity pin"

He goes in only with the hope that he will acquit himself creditably and not let his mates down. He is hardly singing "Jhanda ooncha rahe hamaara. Cheenastan murdabad!" Note that guy who really should be shit scared of losing a battle, or worse, being killed or maimed, is actually scared, but he goes into fight anyway not asking whether he will win or lose. He does not ask "Is my adversary Chinese or Paki. Is he firing RPGs at me, 5.56 or 7.62 or 12 mm. Have we lost all previous wars or not? How many trillions in my adversary's economy?" He just goes in, fear and all.

On here, in such discussions - we start by asking "Who is our adversary? When the reply is "China" the response is "We have lost" or "We will lose" And if any fool has the insufferable stupidity to ask "Why?" - then we have a hundred thousand reasons to explain why we will lose the war as we have always lost. Names like Jaichand or Shakuni roll off easily. We are intellectuals. Historians. Defeatologists. We know defeat and can smell it from a mile when we learn the name of our adversary. China. Kaul, Nehru, Krishnamenon are names that are alive for us. Cariappa, Manekshaw, Ranjit Singh are all dead. We know that the actions of the former group will be repeated by our countrymen, the acts of acts of leadership or valor of the latter group were just random bright flashes in history.

This sort of mind set does not change easily. We have 400 million (or more) under 15s all of them being indoctrinated into the same education we have had. An education in the defeats of history and the joys of being mentally subjugated, knowing that at any given moment there is always someone who will defeat you and end your current false sense of comfort. PhDs in defeatology. It is amusing to see Pakistanis doing a similar, but opposite thing. Pakis tell themselves "We are Mughals. We are winners. We will win. The Hindu will run at the sound of gunfire". And we Indians say "China? Heck We are finished. We will lose" It's a mental attitude. National sickness.
Completely agree here. The fear of war is the first sign that the war is lost already. A Paki-Chinese combo will be difficult to manage but I think good things dont come easy! If there is a war and if we manage to even hold the Paki-Cheeni combo off, it will be victory for us!
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by SaiK »

http://www.thestatesman.net/index.php?o ... 3&catid=35
what do you all say for this article? jee.. does china needs to annex kolkotta?

aren't there laws to enact on the statesman? I would jail them and shut down their ops, for being anti-national, and against our national interest. They might claim having referring to a chinese news print, but then the way it is written is in anti-national flavor.

where is that section?
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by chackojoseph »

SaiK wrote:http://www.thestatesman.net/index.php?o ... 3&catid=35
what do you all say for this article? jee.. does china needs to annex kolkotta?

aren't there laws to enact on the statesman? I would jail them and shut down their ops, for being anti-national, and against our national interest. They might claim having referring to a chinese news print, but then the way it is written is in anti-national flavor.

where is that section?
It is a PTI feature and not statesman.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by shiv »

chackojoseph wrote:
SaiK wrote:http://www.thestatesman.net/index.php?o ... 3&catid=35
what do you all say for this article? jee.. does china needs to annex kolkotta?

aren't there laws to enact on the statesman? I would jail them and shut down their ops, for being anti-national, and against our national interest. They might claim having referring to a chinese news print, but then the way it is written is in anti-national flavor.

where is that section?
It is a PTI feature and not statesman.
Same news Deccan Herald
http://www.deccanherald.com/content/198 ... um=twitter

Outlook
http://news.outlookindia.com/items.aspx?artid=738389

DailyBhaskar
http://daily.bhaskar.com/article/WOR-SA ... 05188.html

Lots of arrests to be made - but the portal is only reporting what was said in the grlobal times. I have been trying to look for that.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by shiv »

:D

Take a look at this folks. The language used by this spoiled brat single child of Chinese parents is arrogant and the exact opposite of continuous terrified dhoti shivering that characterizes the modern day Indian world view

Time to teach those around South China Sea a lesson
It’s very amusing to see some of the countries vow to threaten or even confront China with force just because the US announced that it has “returned to Asia.”

<snip>

We shouldn’t waste the opportunity to launch some tiny-scale battles that could deter provocateurs from going further.

By the way, I think it’s necessary to figure out who is really afraid of being involved in military activities.
What a cocky son of a bitch.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by svinayak »

chackojoseph wrote:
SaiK wrote:http://www.thestatesman.net/index.php?o ... 3&catid=35
what do you all say for this article? jee.. does china needs to annex kolkotta?

aren't there laws to enact on the statesman? I would jail them and shut down their ops, for being anti-national, and against our national interest. They might claim having referring to a chinese news print, but then the way it is written is in anti-national flavor.

where is that section?
It is a PTI feature and not statesman.
This may be better
The pact between the China and Pakistan state-owned military includes new investments
Irked by the Chinese projects projects on Pakistan and POK, Indian authorities have raised objections claiming that it was in their area.
“China is willing to fish in the troubled region of the Kashmir so as to accumulate bargaining chips on other issues with India,” it said. “India may consider taking actions to show its stance and prevent more reckless attempts in confronting India in the area,” the newspaper said.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by tsarkar »

^^

May 1841 - Just one Indian community - the Dogras under Zorawar Singh - beat the shit out of Chinese
August 1842 - Dogras under Dewan Hari Chand and Wazir Ratnu again beat the Chinese in the Battle of Chusul. Ladakh officially becomes a part of India.
1839-1842 - First Opium War - EIC expeditionary forces comrising 7,069 navy personnel, 5,000 British troops and 7,000 Indian troops take on Chinese forces of 200,000 inflicting 18,000-20,000 casulties for 69 killed 451 wounded. That is the reason Punjab Regiment crest shows a ship and the motto is "sthal wa jal", emphasizing their fighting prowess as expeditionary forces via sea.
1856-1860 - Second Opium War - again similar number of Indian soldiers participated
1900 - Boxer Rebellion http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/c ... e_1900.jpg

While I do not support colonial atrocities, Indians have time & again proven their fighting spirit
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Inder Sharma »

We must try not associate India, even fleetingly, with the European colonial projects that went on in 19th and 20th century China. The sense of humiliation and indignation arising from that period still tends to be pretty traumatic, and is felt personally by every Han and Hui.

Regaining back the ‘face’ for that century of shame is a major undercurrent in Chinese strategic calculus, and may be driving them towards an increasingly antagonistic position visa-a-vis the west.

That said, the chinese perceive their state as a personified projection of the han identity; and therefore, a forceful/’faceful’ projection of state power is very important in an increasingly racist Chinese military and social discourse.

In that context, the Indian military power must be prepared for a “guaranteed sullying of chinese face” , were the Chinese to breach the conventions of good Confucian manners.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by abhischekcc »

A friend of mine once recounted a conversation between a Frenchman and a Han that took place in front of him. The Han was haranguing the Frenchman over how badly the French fight and how much they have surrendered, as in front of the Nazis. The Frenchman came back and said yes, and that is surpassed only by the surrender at Nanking.

Sometimes one has to be indecent to teach decency. Hans suffer from a severe case of inferiority complex, hence the bullying approach.

Those who have dealt with bullies know that the only way to deal with them is to refuse to give in to their self image.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by darshhan »

tsarkar wrote:^^

May 1841 - Just one Indian community - the Dogras under Zorawar Singh - beat the shit out of Chinese
August 1842 - Dogras under Dewan Hari Chand and Wazir Ratnu again beat the Chinese in the Battle of Chusul. Ladakh officially becomes a part of India.
1839-1842 - First Opium War - EIC expeditionary forces comrising 7,069 navy personnel, 5,000 British troops and 7,000 Indian troops take on Chinese forces of 200,000 inflicting 18,000-20,000 casulties for 69 killed 451 wounded. That is the reason Punjab Regiment crest shows a ship and the motto is "sthal wa jal", emphasizing their fighting prowess as expeditionary forces via sea.
1856-1860 - Second Opium War - again similar number of Indian soldiers participated
1900 - Boxer Rebellion http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/c ... e_1900.jpg

While I do not support colonial atrocities, Indians have time & again proven their fighting spirit
Tsarkar ji, Great post.This is exactly what the people of India need to hear continuously to get out of the dhoti shivering mode.By the way can you expand on this post by providing details of these battles?
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Jarita »

Singha wrote:with its hyper aggressive stance on the south china sea, china is leaving the rim nations no option but to become a vassal or seek allies outside the region (japan/US/india).

seems to me the vietnamese national psyche is that beyond a point you cannot push them around before facing a response. lord knows they have suffered enough against powerful enemies who could drop bombs on that by the ton. yet they are still willing to fight. in the end its probably not about guns or money, but the character of the nation and its elites.

Vietnam is a nation that was willing to suffer every hegemonic power than suffer defeat. They suffered napalming and cluster bombing and you name it. I doubt if china will scare them unless there are insiders.
Additionally, Vietnam like other south east asian countries shares civilization roots with India. It is a partnership which is a better match.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by jai »

prithvi wrote:
RoyG wrote:I'm thinking an attack will come next year. I agree with Vasu and Shiv that their window is slowly closing and the US wont do much for us. Our goal should be to totally incapacitate the PA within a week. We will probably lose land in the East but our goal should be to keep turkey neck. This isn't going to be like 62. They will try to cut us off from the SE for good and completely embarrass us. We will also have to keep an eye on Nepal and make sure the Bangladeshis dont act funny. POK will probably be in Chinese hands. Messy.
No attack will happen.. it is a wet dream.. Chinese economy is not quite stable right now given US and Europe situation why would they create a situation which will worsen overall investor confidence on a winning story? for what..AP and Sikkim? nah.. hardly convincing...
major part of these panic stories in the press are fed by Defense cartels..I am not sure why intelligent folks can not see this..
Makes sense. This is 2011 and not 1962. They have far more to loose internationally if they start a war as India won't. No one will risk a nuclear retaliation by attacking india together and the panda is smart enough to understand this. IMO this is why even the US has not atacked North Korea till now.
Pakis would be completely foolish to attempt anything militarily against India and if they do, they risk loosing their beloved country completely. If nothing else, it may give the Americans the opportunity to openly attack targets in pukistan that they so badly want to. After all they also understand very well now that there will be no Afghan problem for them to solve if they nip the "source" - pukistan - might actually open the way for them to pull out quicker from Afghanistan...and kung fu Panda being smart will understand and will not take on US to save puke hide.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Ramen »

I think more than a border war, even one of a limited scope, the chances are more for some kind of Naval incident in the South China Sea - they seem to be really touchy about it. Maybe something along the attacking/sinking of a Naval or maybe even a merchant/oil exploration ship. Wonder if the the North Korean sinking of the South Korean ship was probably a rehearsal to gauge international reaction and see what they can get away with. I really wonder what GOI's reaction to such an incidence would be? But I would be surprised if military escalation is one of them and that is probably China's calculation too. Anyway, I hope Indian Navy is prepared for it cause proactively preventing it would be better than reacting to it after the fact.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Ashutosh Malik »

tsarkar wrote:^^

May 1841 - Just one Indian community - the Dogras under Zorawar Singh - beat the shit out of Chinese
August 1842 - Dogras under Dewan Hari Chand and Wazir Ratnu again beat the Chinese in the Battle of Chusul. Ladakh officially becomes a part of India.
1839-1842 - First Opium War - EIC expeditionary forces comrising 7,069 navy personnel, 5,000 British troops and 7,000 Indian troops take on Chinese forces of 200,000 inflicting 18,000-20,000 casulties for 69 killed 451 wounded. That is the reason Punjab Regiment crest shows a ship and the motto is "sthal wa jal", emphasizing their fighting prowess as expeditionary forces via sea.
1856-1860 - Second Opium War - again similar number of Indian soldiers participated
1900 - Boxer Rebellion http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/c ... e_1900.jpg

While I do not support colonial atrocities, Indians have time & again proven their fighting spirit
And to add to the above examples, the 1967 episode when the Chinese were given a bloody nose at Nathu La. This within 5 years of the 1962 war. http://www.claws.in/index.php?action=ma ... 56&u_id=26

And in 1986/ 87 at Sumdorong Chu when Gen. Sundarji and Indian Army stared the Chinese down.

As Shiv says maybe we need to not let the "dhoti shivering" business carry too far.

Best.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Austin »

AW&ST: China Expands Its Military Reach
How far is China’s military reach? The answer depends on what it wants to do. A Chinese warship deployed to the Mediterranean this year, so, by that yardstick, global reach is at hand. But the isolated ship only supported civilian evacuations from Libya, and had no real military potential.

Pull focus back to 300 km (200 mi.) from China’s coast and it is a different story: More than 1,000 short-range ballistic missiles are ready to clear the way for around 2,000 increasingly modern aircraft. Zoom in a bit, and the airspace is dominated by powerful surface-to-air missile systems.

“China’s power-projection capacity is in its early stage of development,” says analyst Andrew Davies of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute in Canberra. “It reduces rapidly with the distance from China’s coastline.”

The key reason is that the capability has been shaped for the need to assault Taiwan, the farthest part of which is just a few hundred kilometers from the mainland. The trump card held against the island—short-range ballistic missiles—can fly only about 300 or 600 km and the unrefueled combat radius of Chinese fighters is similar. Less obvious but just as critical, intelligence, reconnaissance and surveillance (ISR) get harder and costlier as the distance from the Chinese mainland increases.

Yet, a number of programs under way are providing the capability the country needs to fight intensively and farther—more than 1,000 km—from its shores. No single program makes China a regional superpower; they all add up to a gradual lengthening of military reach. In geopolitical terms, this means China’s military strength is seeping further into the South China Sea, the scene of a territorial claim that ranks behind only Taiwan in importance. It will continue to seep.

An example is the Tomahawk-like DH-10 cruise missile. Although overshadowed in the Western media by China’s ballistic missiles, it is credited with a range of more than 1,500 km and is more practicably usable against U.S. targets, because it is unlikely to be mistaken for a nuclear weapon. China has been turning out perhaps 100 DH-10s a year. An air-launched version carried by H-6 bombers could reach 3,300 km, enough to hit Guam, Okinawa and, from a regional perspective, all the way down the South China Sea, across the Indonesian archipelago and into the Indian Ocean.

The reach of the combat aircraft force is subtly lengthening as short-leg fighters based on Cold War Soviet types are retired while squadrons re-equip with J-10s and especially J-11s (Flankers), with their enormous internal fuel capacities. Fielding fighters with longer range not only gives China an ability to strike targets farther from its shores; the air cover means that Chinese warships can be brought into play at the same distances, and so can vulnerable aircraft such as maritime patrollers.

China’s ability to fight enemy warships at a distance is rising, too. About 40 ­H-6Ds are assigned to the anti-ship role, although ISR is especially problematic for aircraft with such ranges, since the targets will move far while they and their missiles are in flight; their performance will benefit from China’s growing constellation of ISR satellites. Distant combat also needs aircraft for airborne early warning and for detecting enemy radio emissions; such programs are under way.

Bolstering that effort, China is working on surveillance drones, and it shows interest in the class of very high-flying aircraft known as near-space vehicles—for command and control as well as ISR. The information gathered and passed by these systems stands to greatly boost the effectiveness of the one arm of the Chinese military that can already fight thousands of kilometers from home: the submarine service.

Closer to shore, China’s naval aviation forces are probably looking forward to moving on from their fleet of 80 or so JH-7 attack aircraft and C-803K anti-ship missiles (ASM) to the much larger, stealthier and possibly super-cruising J-20, whose apparent size suggests a strike radius above 1,000 km, plus the range of its missile. A squadron of Su-30MK2s already has Russian supersonic Kh-31A ASMs. And then there is the DF-21D, a potentially revolutionary anti-ship ballistic missile. The Pentagon estimates it has a range of more than 1,500 km and is operational; China says it is still in development.

The possibility of a rapid improvement in Chinese air forces should not be discounted. The country has made quick leaps before—most notably with its nuclear and especially thermonuclear weapons programs in the 1960s, when far less money was available. There is reason to suspect that development of military aviation has been inhibited while resources have been thrown at the Second Artillery, the force that controls China’s land-attack missiles.

A Chinese aircraft carrier is undergoing sea trials but is not in service. Like the first carrier for any country, it will initially be a training ship. Over the coming decade it will become a fighting ship, with gradually rising effectiveness, while more Chinese aircraft carriers are expected.

China’s long-range air transport force is slight—just 10 Ilyushin Il-76s. This is probably because China would prefer to build its own airlifters. Avic has said it is developing one with a gross weight of 200 tons; an adaptation of the Il-76 seems likely. The efficiency of the aircraft will be limited by the available engines, widely thought to be Russian, but analyst Sash Tusa of Echelon Research and Advisory points out that the domestic CJ1000 Changjiang high-bypass turbofan proposed for the C919 158-seat airliner would be a good match for the new aircraft.

One of the key changes will be the rise of the Chinese aerial tanker fleet, currently thought to amount to fewer than 20 H-6Us, adaptations of the bomber with poor transferable fuel capacity. Eight Il-78 tankers were ordered in 2005, along with 30 Il-76s, but the contract has run into trouble. Obtaining those aircraft would be particularly important because they could refuel J-11s, which H-6Us apparently cannot, write Gabriel Collins, Michael McGauvran and Timothy White in Chinese Aerospace Power, a book published in July.

No more than a quarter of China’s combat aircraft can be refueled in the air, but the faction is rising. So in that way, too, China’s reach is gradually extending. “China’s air-refueling program today appears primarily geared toward enhancing Beijing’s ability to project power into the South China Sea,” say the same authors.

The C919 is too small to be an effective tanker, and its builder, Comac, is having enough trouble developing it for its primary role. Looking further out, a widebody, the C929, is planned, however.

It should be stressed that tanker developments are only speculated on at this stage. No specific plan for a new tanker has been revealed—and nor, for that matter, is there any sign of a Chinese heavy bomber.

The Chinese air force, at least, is thinking in terms of distances needed to cover the countries around the South China Sea. It has been working toward the ability “to conduct an air campaign within a 1,000-km radius of China’s periphery by 2010—one that it has yet to realize fully—and to extend the range to 3,000 km by 2030,” according to U.S. researchers Mark Stokes and Ian Easton who, in Chinese Aerospace Power, cite Taiwanese analysis. The maritime claim is not the only explanation for that ambition; not only is Guam about 3,000 km from China, that distance also encompasses all of Indonesia. And even less of a range is needed for confronting India, whose territory is almost all within 2,000 km of its border with China.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by VikramS »

shiv:

Regarding your comment above about Sino-TSP attack and US role. Sometimes I have wondered if India was willing to give US a base in Gilgit-Baltistan-POK, would the US tune regarding Cashmere change?

A base in POK/Balwaristan will give the US another foot-hold into China, while completing an alternate route to Afghanistan through India/POK.

But while POK remains in TSP possession, it remains under PRC control. However, a POK under Indan control, can reverses the situation. Of course this requires a willingness on the part of GOI to take back what belongs to India, while giving up something in return. But then there were those joint declarations between the US and China appointing China as a guardian in S. Asia so doubt that will happen unless of course it hits the fan.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by sum »

China’s long-range air transport force is slight—just 10 Ilyushin Il-76s. This is probably because China would prefer to build its own airlifters. Avic has said it is developing one with a gross weight of 200 tons; an adaptation of the Il-76 seems likely. The efficiency of the aircraft will be limited by the available engines, widely thought to be Russian, but analyst Sash Tusa of Echelon Research and Advisory points out that the domestic CJ1000 Changjiang high-bypass turbofan proposed for the C919 158-seat airliner would be a good match for the new aircraft.
Panda has just 10 Il-76s? :eek: :eek:

And we cry about India being under-equipped in that area with ~20 Il-76 and now 16 C-17s also entering the fray!! But then maybe, the road and train reach of PLA to the border might make them less reliant on the heavy lift aircraft than us..
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by P Chitkara »

Last when I checked with serving personnel of the army in the NE, they were very emphatic - this is not 1962 and there never ever will be any 1962 again.

We may indulge in dhoti shiver but the people on ground sounded quiet confident of handling the panda.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by sum »

^^Chitkara-ji, you misunderstand my post. I am definitely not saying that we are weak and need to dhoti shiver...

Was just stunned and commenting that such a huge and militarized country like China has such a piddly airlift capability...shocking given that a 3x smaller country like India( which seems to have more heavy load capacity than China) faces flak for not having enough airlift capability!!
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by merlin »

sum wrote:^^Chitkara-ji, you misunderstand my post. I am definitely not saying that we are weak and need to dhoti shiver...

Was just stunned and commenting that such a huge and militarized country like China has such a piddly airlift capability...shocking given that a 3x smaller country like India( which seems to have more heavy load capacity than China) faces flak for not having enough airlift capability!!
If China does not have enough airlift capability and India has more than China, does it mean that we have adequate airlift capability? IMO there is no relation between what China has and what India has. We should have what we need without relation to what others have.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by shiv »

VikramS wrote:shiv:

Regarding your comment above about Sino-TSP attack and US role. Sometimes I have wondered if India was willing to give US a base in Gilgit-Baltistan-POK, would the US tune regarding Cashmere change?

A base in POK/Balwaristan will give the US another foot-hold into China, while completing an alternate route to Afghanistan through India/POK.

But while POK remains in TSP possession, it remains under PRC control. However, a POK under Indan control, can reverses the situation. Of course this requires a willingness on the part of GOI to take back what belongs to India, while giving up something in return. But then there were those joint declarations between the US and China appointing China as a guardian in S. Asia so doubt that will happen unless of course it hits the fan.
This is a tough one.India cannot give the US any bases in that region because we don't control the region in any case. But even if we did, I am not sure that the terrain and communications infrastructure (roads) are suitable for a military base there. Yeah maybe a garrison here or there - but a major base, no. Any base will have to have solid communications into the interior for logistics.

My comment itself was a fairly dubious suggestion - that is to help set up an air bridge from India over the mountains to Afghanistan. That would be totally dependent on gaining air dominance in the region. Having said that - any Chinese-Pakistan cooperation to make war with India would not remove Pakistan's commitment to the US to keep the US's supply lines open. If a war with India started by China and Pakistan together was used by Pakistan as an excuse to cut off US supply lines to Af-Pak within Pakistan (by not providing security) then the US would still have the need to supply its troops whether or not it supports India in such a war.

That is an opportunity that is theoretically usable by India. India's quid pro quo for logistics support to US troops in Afghanistan by use of an Indian base would require the US to help police the skies over parts of NWFP while India would provide escort over PoK. Whether Indian aircraft would be used or US aircraft would depend on how much of a challenge could be placed on China. Would China be willing to shoot down American supply planes from India to Afghanistan just because they are cooperating with Pakis to fight India and Pakistan has choked off the land route for the US?

If you look at a map, the logical land route to Afghanistan from India is via Pakjab and NWFP. Not via PoK/Gilgit/Baltistan.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Singha »

china had ordered 35 IL76 around 5 years ago, but thus far have got no more than 4 (incomplete airframes completed) before the whole IL76 plant shut down , stayed dormant and talk of restarting it in russia proper.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by VinodTK »

India must wake up to Chinese threat
:
• Roads: connection to all counties in Tibet with borders roads has been completed with up-gradation of all major highways. The road network increased from 51,000 kms in 2008 to 58,000 kms in 2010 and work is on to extend it up to 70,000 kms.

• Railways: The 1142 km Qinghai Tibet Railroadfrom Golmund to Lhasa is now being extended to Shigatse and Yadong in the Chumbi Valley and facing the strategic Silliguri corridor. Rail connectivity is also being planned to Link Kathmandu, Myanmar, Bhutan, Pakistan and Central Asian Republics.

• Airfields: There are eight airfields in Tibet with five air bases and another 10 in the adjacent Xinjiang region. Plans areafoot to construct another 22 airfields by 2020.

In military terms, this translates into PLA’s logistical capacity of 31,880 tonnes per day. While Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has openly talked about an assertive China, he was told by Indian military this April that China could amass some half a million troops within 21 days in a high threat scenario on the LAC without even mentioning the strategic disparity. The Chinese muscle flexing for political and not territorial gains at least this decade would come from land and not from sea as PLA Navy is still acquiring long legs and Indian Ocean/South China Sea is priority four after Yellow Sea, Korean Peninsula and Taiwan Straits.
:
The seven vital points on the LAC in Arunachal Pradesh, identified by then PM’s Special Envoy Shyam Saran as part of Border Infrastructure Report, to be linked through four inter-basin roads is virtually still on the drawing board as there are no helicopters available to lift the machines and materials since state cief minister Dorjee Khandu died in a crash last April.

The proposed highway linking up Daulat Beg Oldi to Demchok via Chusul along the LAC in eastern Ladakh sector is work in progress. The same could be said for revival of old airfields facing Aksai Chinand the road up-gradation situation no different in middle sector in Barahotiplains in north Uttarakhand. Yet, the proposal for beefing up defences on the northern borders till such time infra-capacity builds up is at present at themercy of a finance ministry mandarin, who believes that this is unnecessary expenditure in the name of national security.

With China-Pakistan theatres getting inter-linkedup more closely by the day, red flag has already gone up on Raisina Hill and Borders Road Organisation (BRO) has been asked to drop all work and only concentrate on strategic roads. This decision was taken by cabinet months ago but is still in the process of being implemented.

The urgency is such that the UPA should look at the possibility of setting up of an empowered group with financial powers on the lines of E Sreedharan’s Delhi Metro model to take on border infrastructure on a war footing. The infrastructure augmentation should be matched by naval capacity building and leveraging of close diplomatic ties with countries like the US, Japan, South Korea and South-East Asia in order to prepare for rising China. For the latter, defence minister AK Antony and his like minded friends in UPA would have to shed their cold warrior mindset as the Beijing’s string of pearls strategy could practically choke New Delhi both from land and sea.
:
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Boreas »

Varyag recent aerial view

Image

Good infrastructure at shipyard!
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Shrinivasan »

Ramen wrote:I think more than a border war, even one of a limited scope, the chances are more for some kind of Naval incident in the South China Sea - they seem to be really touchy about it. Maybe something along the attacking/sinking of a Naval or maybe even a merchant/oil exploration ship. Wonder if the the North Korean sinking of the South Korean ship was probably a rehearsal to gauge international reaction and see what they can get away with. I really wonder what GOI's reaction to such an incidence would be? But I would be surprised if military escalation is one of them and that is probably China's calculation too. Anyway, I hope Indian Navy is prepared for it cause proactively preventing it would be better than reacting to it after the fact.
Remember the Tom Clancy novel "SSN", it all starts this way in the Western Pacific around the Spartlay Islands.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by Philip »

http://spectator.org/archives/2011/10/2 ... er-militia

Xcpt:'
HomeNews & Features

China's Cyber Militia
By George H. Wittman on 10.21.11 @ 6:07AM

China increasingly relies on young civilian computer hackers for its cyber war activitiy against the U.S.

There's been an interesting new development in China's use of cyber space as an element in its intelligence and security operations. The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is reportedly funding a vast complex of part-time cyber-devotees to supplement and compliment the official structure of cyber interception and invasion.

Equally as interesting is the willingness of the Chinese authorities to allow the publication of this fact. The first official recognition of this program occurred in one chosen hi-tech factory in 2002. According to an official PLA publication, there are now thousands of such units around the country. Obviously the proliferation was considered too great to hide.

Effectively acting as a PLA-associated technical reserve, its mostly under-thirty part-timers are drawn largely from civilian companies and university-level institutes operating in electronic fields. A national guard of "cyber soldiers" provides China's central cyber security system with a particularly useful training ground and support structure for the already vastly expanded echelon of professionals committed to both the defensive and offensive aspects of electronic warfare.

Beijing views the cyber world as an immense battleground on which to gain advantage over its perceived enemies and at the same time act as a defensive bulwark against counter-cyber intrusions. Beijing believes firmly in the importance of the mobilization of volunteer talent in order to add substantially to the intellectual firepower of national security and defense activity.

The world of cyber action has a technological base that is equally useful for both military and civilian use. It has been proven true that an inspired and hardworking hacker can maneuver his way through many, perhaps most, electronic defenses. The difference between Western and Chinese amateur hackers is simply that the Chinese individual is involved in an intellectual adventure that can aid his country. The American counterpart has the opportunity and facility to experiment on his own -- for his personal enjoyment and gain. State-organized instruments established in Chinese communities already devoted, for example, to telecommunications, Internet, and electronic industries operate in an environment already acculturated to a group rather than individual goal. The PLA naturally exploits this orientation.

PLA cyber reserve units provide a source for innovative techniques. On a more mundane basis they also act as a large-scale redundancy force for both offensive and defensive cyber attack targeting. Information warfare operations can be a highly manpower intensive activity and the Chinese have utilized a readily available part-time resource to obtain these personnel.

Published Chinese military scientific reports cited in Western media note that the PLA has constructed an auxiliary instrument that carries on the assignments of what has been referred to as "stealing, changing and erasing data" targeted to provide "deception, jamming, disruption" and other objectives appropriate to cyber warfare. While such targeting appears initially aimed at military and related "enemy" operations, they are easily adaptable to strictly civilian cyber communications and development.

The proliferation of cyber attacks, invasions, and general destructive actions has caused considerable consternation in the West. While cyber security is the subject of various publications and conferences, there appears to be little official action when the issue involves China. The Russians, while quite guarded, appear more willing to discuss a broad agreement that would counter destructive cyber attacks. Basically the Chinese have shown little or no interest in the concept of a binding international cyber agreement.
....

The openness of society that is enjoyed by the U.S. and the West, in general, is contrary to the traditional tendency of the Han people for concealment. To expect otherwise is quite foolish. Sun Tzu, the famed author of The Art of War, Sun Tzu, wrote: "To secure ourselves from defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." And this is the strategic view of the PRC leadership in regard to the cyber war with the United States.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by VinodTK »

India stands up to China
In a welcome show of assertiveness, India is standing up to Chinese pressure in Southeast Asia, as well as closer to home.

A series of recent events underscore this message. During meetings with Vietnamese President Truong Tan Sang earlier this month, Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh reiterated plans for the state-owned Oil and Natural Gas Company to begin joint oil exploration with Vietnam in a contested block of the South China Sea claimed by both Vietnam and China. During Myanmar President Thein Sein’s visit to New Delhi last weekend, India extended a $500 million credit line to Myanmar for infrastructure-development projects. This announcement is likely to increase Chinese heartburn caused by Myanmar’s abrupt decision to halt a $3.6 billion Chinese dam construction project on the Irrawaddy River in late August. In September the Indian foreign ministry called for China to halt infrastructure and development-related projects in Pakistan-controlled Kashmir, which India regards as part of its territory. Reinforcing the message on borders, PM Singh visited the northeastern Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh twice this summer, underscoring Indian sovereignty over territory that the Chinese call southern Tibet.

These decisions display India’s unwillingness to succumb to Chinese military and diplomatic pressure in the region. China balked when India and Vietnam announced joint oil exploration plans earlier this summer, declaring the plan “illegal.” The People’s Daily, mouthpiece of the Communist Party, warned both countries to be cautious of jeopardizing their economic relationship with China over “small interests in the South China Sea.”

In late July, an Indian ship returning from Hanoi was reportedly harassed by the Chinese navy. The Indian foreign ministry let the Chinese off the hook but simultaneously reaffirmed the view that the South China Sea comprises freely navigable international waters, refuting Chinese claims to the contrary. The Chinese government denied the incident.

This display of firmness is a welcome sign that India will not submit to China’s unreasonable demands in Asia. Ahead of next month’s East Asia Summit, it ought to bolster the confidence of smaller countries in the region that are also facing growing Chinese pressure.
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Re: China Military Watch - Jan 11, 2011

Post by saptarishi »


I dont know how much my patriotic friends might take it,,i am posting an excerpt,from a chinese defence blog,in which the aurthor insists how being in same position china developed its aviation industry and india failed...even though the chinese copied they are developing a robust industry.a similar tone echoed by AIR CHIEF NAK BROWNE WHEN HE INSISTS THAT DRDO MIGHT BEG BORROW OR STEAL BUT THEY MUST DEVELOP MODERN AVIATION TECHNOLOGIES



http://china-pla.blogspot.com/2011/09/d ... china.html

This is the part 5 of the series of reviewing the content of the recent book that I read. I will be exploring how India and China approached the purchase of Flanker series from Russia. If you guys would like me to write about something else related to PLAAF, please email me.

Back when I started following PLA, there was a widespread belief that Russia was willing to offer more advanced weapons to India than China due to India’s greater selection of suppliers. The superiority of Su-30MKI over Su-30MKK was used to illustrate the point that India was getting more advanced technology from the Russians. With the narrative that we see from Russian/Indian news sources, it was pretty easy to concede that point. After all, India did get licensed production to AL-31FP and the more advanced Su-30MKI. At the same time, it also makes sense that India would get more from the Russians due to their greater leverage.

I have already spent one part of the series talking about Russian assistance to the Chinese aerospace industry. Today, we can see that the Chinese aerospace industry is already capable of developing most aircraft and subsystems on its own. In fact, it has advanced to the point where it can now export an aircraft like JF-17 and its production line to another country. At the same time, India still relies on importing aircraft and technology from other countries. Looking back at 1990, India had been manufacturing more advanced aircraft than China under local licensed production, but China had more development experience with projects like J-7III, J-8 and numerous failed projects. Both countries had indigenous 4th generation fighter jet projects (J-10 and HAL Tejas). In India, all of the licensed production and indigenous development were done by HAL. In China, the aircraft projects were handled by different aircraft companies like Shenyang AC, Chengdu AC, Xi’an AC, Hongdu AC and Shaanxi AC.

I think that competition between the different aircraft companies certainly provides an advantage for China over India. In the competition for 4th generation project, SAC and CAC both came up with proposals and PLAAF picked CAC’s proposal. CAC was eventually able to develop J-10 with some Israeli/Russian assistance after 18 years. When SAC was given the task of licensed production of Su-27, some in PLAAF wanted to axe the J-10 project, but CAC was allowed to continue on its own through all of the problems. And now that CAC has developed J-10 and SAC has mastered the local production of J-11, both aircraft companies have to continually perform and innovate to get orders. In India, HAL was in charge of licensed production of Su-30MKI and also numerous indigenous development projects (including Tejas). I think when HAL is the only domestic company and all foreign suppliers have to cooperate with it, HAL is not incentivized to produce more efficiently or to innovate. Today, SAC and CAC have to continually compete against each other for new projects like the 5th generation jet, naval fighter jet and UAVs. At the same time, HAL is in charge of all Indian military aviation projects from in house projects like Tejas and MCA to licensed production projects like Su-30, MRCA and FGFA. When we look at the civilian airliner industry, the different aircraft companies in China have scored many more supplier contracts than HAL has. I think even as India is becoming more competitive in the world economy, its aerospace industry will continue to struggle if it faces no competition.

At the same time, there was a difference in the approach that China and India took with importing from Russia. When Russia was promoting Su-30MKI to India, it had not finished developing the technologies for MKI. The original 8 Su-30Ks had no difference from Su-27UB and many of the promised technologies were not developed and integrated until much later. The much touted AL-31FP also suffered numerous problems and the TVC nozzle had very short service life. Eventually, most of the MKI problems were solved. Su-30 is now the most important part of a growingly powerful IAF. However, HAL still depends on Russia, France and Israel for the production of Su-30. It still looks to Russia for future upgrades to Su-30. In comparison, China was only interested in more mature products. Its goal was not to work with Russia to develop the best aircraft, but rather to advance its local industry so that it can develop next generation aircraft on its own. Su-27sk was a generation or more ahead of what SAC was producing at that time, so the goal of the J-11 licensed production deal was for SAC to learn how to produce a modern heavy fighter jet. The MKK project was completed quickly because it was based on mature technology; whereas MKI was dragged behind by yet to be developed technologies. MKK had much less capable avionics compared to MKI, but it was using a more advanced airframe based on Su-35UB. I think PLAAF always intended to produce a local variant of J-11 that uses Su-27sk, but indigenous avionics, engine and weapon package. As we’ve seen with J-11B/S, SAC has succeeded in developing and producing Chinese versions of Su-27s/ub. At the same time, MKK’s airframe will probably serve as the basis for SAC’s fighter bomber project. While MKI is a lot more capable in combat, MKK is better suited for what PLAAF needed at the time. The question is obviously whether or not India should’ve taken the same path that China did. That is something I can’t predict without knowing the Indian aerospace industry too well.

When I look at PLAAF vs IAF import procurements, I see two very contrasting philosophies. PLAAF chooses to import safe, mature products that can be developed quickly, whereas IAF chooses to import ambitious and more technologically advanced products. The former philosophy results in greater cost and time certainty, whereas the latter results in a better product in the long run. This philosophy also carried over to technology transfer when dealing with the Russians. By choosing a fully developed and mature aircraft like Su-27, SAC had more time to master the technology to produce Su-27 locally and obtain avionics upgrade as they become available through China and Russian suppliers. By choosing a more ambitious aircraft like MKI, India ended up paying Russia/Israel/France firm to complete their development while still reliant on these firms for future upgrades. At the same time, HAL had to deal with delays in MKI, whereas SAC was able to just focus on learning how to locally produce Su-27s.

It’s been 20 years since the dissolution of Soviet Union. China and India were at around the same place economically back then. Although China had already opened up and was on a better path economically, India had the advantage of been able to purchase from many foreign suppliers. Even though India got the better aircraft due to their greater leverage, I think this entry showed why China made the better procurement decision in the long run. Many have argued that China got to where it did because it was better at copying designs than most other countries. I believe that’s only part of the equation. Competition and more pragmatic procurement practices are also important in taking the Chinese aerospace industry to where it is right now.
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