Managing Chinese Threat

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Prem
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by Prem »

http://www.voanews.com/content/panetta- ... 46345.html
Panetta: US to Put More Warships in Asia
U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta says the United States will shift the bulk of its warships to the Asia-Pacific region in the coming years as part of a new military rebalancing to guarantee a strong and continued U.S. presence in the region. U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said Saturday the United States will move 60 percent of its naval fleet to the Asia-Pacific by 2020. Currently, its fleet of 285 cruisers, destroyers, littoral combat ships and submarines is evenly divided between the Atlantic and Pacific theaters.
Panetta laid out the plan in a speech Saturday to regional allies at the 11th International Institute of Strategic Studies (IISS) Asia Security Summit: The Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore."Our approach to achieving the long-term goal in the Asia-Pacific is to stay firmly committed to a basic set of shared principles, principles that promote international rules and order to advance peace and security in the region," said Panetta.The country's scaled back defense budget will shrink Pentagon spending by $487 billion over the next decade, but Panetta said the United States will use its resources to enhance the technology of its weapons systems and replace old ships with new, more advanced ones.
No China challenge
He said the U.S. was also committed to building a healthy, stable and reliable military-to-military relationship with China.Beijing has balked at a larger U.S. presence in the rapidly developing region, but Panetta sought to dispel perceptions that the rebalancing is a way of challenging China's increasing power.
"I reject that view entirely. Our effort to renew and intensify our involvement in Asia is fully compatible, fully compatible with the development and growth of China," said Panetta.]
China has been seen as flexing its military muscle in the region in recent years, by among other things, stirring up territorial disputes over the resource-rich South China Sea. Although the Philippines, Vietnam and several other countries stake claims to the area, China claims it as its own.Panetta said China was a key to developing a peaceful, prosperous and secure Asia-Pacific by "respecting" the maritime rules that have governed the region for decades. Among other topics, Panetta underlined a key treaty alliance with South Korea, emphasizing that the U.S. military presence there would not be reduced despite a drop in the overall size of its ground forces in the coming years.On military-to-military ties, the U.S. defense secretary said the United States would enhance its cooperation with Thailand, which hosts an annual military exercise called Cobra Gold. Last year, the U.S. Pacific Command conducted 172 military exercises with more than 20 different countries and plans to increase the number and size of these events in the Asia-Pacific.China respects the presence and interests in the Asia-Pacific and hopes it will play a positive role in this region. We also hope the U.S. will respect China's interests and concerns in this region," said Liu.
The U.S. defense secretary will now go on to Vietnam and India. On the latter stop, he is expected to discuss ways to deepen the defense partnership with New Delhi.
Christopher Sidor
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by Christopher Sidor »

Cosmo_R wrote:
Philip wrote:Sorry,Boris boy et al,the name of the expanse of water is the "Indo-China Sea",NOT the SC Sea.Guys,we' must get used to calling the I-C Sea by its true name.The land mass abutting the sea is called "Indo-China" and Indian culture and religion is scattered all over the ASEAN nations and this part of Asia,that has given the region its name.

The latest AWST has a report on China where the dragon is making massive efforts to be truly independent in aero-engine tech and not dependent on Russia.Contrast this with the pathetic state of Indian aero-engine development and its fixation on Kaveri as if it were a magic bullet for all our future aircraft programmes! Therefore China is begging ,borrowing and stealing engine tech from all over the world."Employ a Chinaman at your own risk".
P.
Well, here's a way. Deep ToT the cancelled F-136 program. Put in the development money and build it in India.

http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/the ... sco-03070/
from the article
In 2009, House Armed Service Air-Land Subcommittee chair Neil Abercrombie [D-HI] added the fleet reliability issue, stating that it simply was not prudent to have 80-90% of the USAF, Navy and Marine Corps’ fighter fleet dependent on one engine type, from one manufacturer, which can ground all of those fleets if mechanical flaws or difficulties surface.
I hope this is what we take away from F-35 program and not the fact that the program is too expensive, or way behind schedule, or how many countries have cancelled the orders.
gunjur
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by gunjur »

A Chinese tunnel, 'Outflanking move’ near Afghan border with interests for India: Ex-chief
China is opening its narrow border with Afghanistan with roads and probably a tunnel under the Pamir ranges skirting Jammu and Kashmir with strategic implications for India, former army chief Gen. V.K. Singh
Despite being adjoining countries, Afghanistan and China do not have a border crossing since the Wakhjir pass was shut after Mao Tse Tung’s communist forces took over China in 1949.
Singh said that in the course of his research, he has found evidence of military engineering activity on the Chinese side of the border. On the Afghan side, the nearest roadhead is close to 100km from the Wakhjir pass. The Wakhjir pass itself remains closed for nearly half the year. A tunnel under the mountains would be an engineering feat — rivalling the kind that China has demonstrated with its railway line through Tibet — that would ensure all-weather access.
In December 2009, the US was reported in the Chinese media to have requested Beijing to allow access from its territory to the Wakhan Corridor (and Afghanistan). The US wanted to use the route as an alternative supply line for Nato forces because of an increase in attacks on the convoys in Pakistan. So far such access, if any, has not been visible.

Also as posted here, china is slowly getting entrenched in afghanistan. :(( :(
rajrang
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by rajrang »

History repeats - US wants India to join it in a military alliance to contain (the local bully) China.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-18336854

The previous occasion when the US played a strong hand to include India was during the Eisenhower and Kennedy administrations during the struggle against the former SU and China. India had rejected the US. At that time, India (Nehru), to add insult to injury, preached good global behavior to the US and stongly championed the cause of China in the UN and worldwide. Later, It was India that got humiliated when China returned the favor by contemptously harming India over the next few decades.

Fifty odd years later, once again India rejects the US effort to build a coalition of countries to stop China, thus saving China a second time. For the last few years China's arrogance has specifically targeted India (Arunachal Pradesh) and S.E Asian countries (S. China Sea). Without India's participation, the US led coalition will be seriously weakened. As the world's largest democracy, third largest economy, second fasted growth rate, Indian participation would have given strong moral and diplomatic support to the US. China would have been isolated with the possible exception of Russia among all the big countries of the world.

http://www.dailypioneer.com/home/online ... ld-up.html

The last time after India had supported China all over the world during the fities, China returned the favor during the subsequent decades by (a) invading and humiliating India in 1962, (b) selling nuclear weapons and technology to TSP, an unstable country, (c) selling missiles and technology to TSP so TSP has now the ability to kill millions of Indians within hours, (d) maintaining a military presence against India all along its borders, (e) laying claims to vast amounts Indian territory, (f) protesting (thus insulting India) whenever Indian leaders visit AP. The list goes on. Now China has over-extended its hand in the S China sea. The US with a coalition of countries has China with its back to the wall, for now. But India has rescued China once again.

India has objected to militarization of the Indian Ocean and the Bay of Bengal by the US. Give another 10 or 20 years, when China will militarize the Bay of Bengal and the Indian Ocean without seeking India's permission, and India will wish that the US military was in the Indian Ocean.

India forced poor Mr. Panetta to back off and sent him home with egg on his face, forcing him to concede: (a) "we welcome the rise of a strong, prosperous and a successful China, (b) "we are not setting up any new bases", (c) "we are not in a process of what we did in the cold war that is power projection", (d) "the US will focue more on Asia Pacific region due to threat from NORTH KOREA and MIDDLE EAST." Wow! China would have been relieved and must thank India. China could not have expected more from a close ally.

Is this strategic timidity? This will be China's conclusion. Is India afraid of China? This would very well be the conclusion of some countries in the world. If Vietnam and the Phillipines think that India is afraid of China, then, this will weaken their hands when they deal with China and are more likely to settle for an arrangement that favors China.

How can India hide behind "Indian self interest" only? If India wants to be a permanent member of the UN, it has to show leadership. Permament membership is not only to protect/enhance Indian self interest. It is also about leadership. This means watching out for the interests of smaller countries (Vietnam, Phillipines, Taiwan) as well, albeit within limits, when they are being bullied by a big bad country (China). In this case, with the US leading the assault with a coalition of countries, India was not in any danger. India has first hand experience of the evil nature of China. These smaller countries are in India's immediate neighborhood. Why does India want to be a permanent member of the UN? Only for enhancing its own self interests? Wrong! It is also about leadership.

India did show leadership in Afghanistan by helping to build the country economically. India has also shown leadership by supplying troops for peace keeping operations worldwide. Similarly, in this case, at a minimum, perhaps India should have warmly welcomed expanded US military presence in the S China Sea and the Indian Ocean regions, made a reference to common interests of democracies, offered to sell arms at friendship prices to the S.E Asian countries etc. At a maximum India could have asked what the US can give India in return. For example, if China attacks India, will the US navy blockade Chinese ports? Will the US give India a nuclear umbrella against China similar to Japan? Will the US sell its aircraft carriers at discounted prices to India? Latest arms technology? The answer might very well have been a "no". Still India should have engaged the US rather than pointificating to Mr. Panetta. India lost an opportunity.

The US would have learnt an important lesson. Do not count on India in any anti-Chinese actions the US may plan.

Panetta's visit to India will be remembered for decades. So will MMS and Mr. Anthony.
harbans
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by harbans »

Excellent post Rajrang ji! India has a problem of looking at things from some sort of ideological prism that is self effacing.
Is this strategic timidity? This will be China's conclusion. Is India afraid of China? This would very well be the conclusion of some countries in the world. If Vietnam and the Phillipines think that India is afraid of China, then, this will weaken their hands when they deal with China and are more likely to settle for an arrangement that favors China.

How can India hide behind "Indian self interest" only?
India does not know what it stands for it seems. And those who stand for nothing fall for anything. India never stood for countries that shared it's heritage and way of thinking. It stood for rogues like Mugabe, Arafat, Gaddafi. Obviously most observers in SE Asian countries realize that India is acting spineless. But it is to our interests that Indo-US militaries come closer. Our engagements need to be with countries that share our core value systems. Only from there do we get depth in relationships. Only from there we put pressure on China and make more countries like Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore come closer to our security and world view.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by D Roy »

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/opi ... 939408.cms

Like I said in the IS thread, the above article is the worst apology for a sell out yet.

I suggest a sticky thread is made with previous discussions on Neville Maxwell's book and its problems and on new discussions about the invalidity of the chinese position in Tibet.
tejas
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by tejas »

Remember when IG asked to join the OIC and was turned down? Talk about a rogues gallery.
muraliravi
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by muraliravi »

rajrang wrote:For example, if China attacks India, will the US navy blockade Chinese ports? Will the US give India a nuclear umbrella against China similar to Japan? Will the US sell its aircraft carriers at discounted prices to India? Latest arms technology? The answer might very well have been a "no". Still India should have engaged the US rather than pointificating to Mr. Panetta. India lost an opportunity.

The US would have learnt an important lesson. Do not count on India in any anti-Chinese actions the US may plan.

Panetta's visit to India will be remembered for decades. So will MMS and Mr. Anthony.
I think there is no need to go this route and align with a bigger monster called the US. India of 2012 has all the detterents required to single handedly thwart China. There is no need to align with the EJ masters of the west. nuclear umbrella from the US???????? Why do we need that??? We have our own ABM systems to safeguard us if needed. Becoming a japan to america is the last thing india needs. To be frank, after all this alignment, do you think japan is safe from chinese threat because of america. I disagree sir, japan is safe because of its trade with china. On a given day, if china wants to take some collateral damage, china can blow out an small country like japan despite uncle sam.
pran
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by pran »

US is not naive and knows the quid pro quo needed. But again it is like drug addiction very hard to get rid off.In case of any alignment it expects India to bear the human cost.India at the time of need will have to show its hand, but not in a way it is being goaded by a cabal of western interests. US is afraid to pay the price of partnership after having screwed the partner in collusion with its current nemesis.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by svinayak »

rajrang wrote:History repeats - US wants India to join it in a military alliance to contain (the local bully) China.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-18336854

The previous occasion when the US played a strong hand to include India was during the Eisenhower and Kennedy administrations during the struggle against the former SU and China. India had rejected the US. At that time, India (Nehru), to add insult to injury, preached good global behavior to the US and stongly championed the cause of China in the UN and worldwide. Later, It was India that got humiliated when China returned the favor by contemptously harming India over the next few decades.

Fifty odd years later, once again India rejects the US effort to build a coalition of countries to stop China, thus saving China a second time. For the last few years China's arrogance has specifically targeted India (Arunachal Pradesh) and S.E Asian countries (S. China Sea). Without India's participation, the US led coalition will be seriously weakened. As the world's largest democracy, third largest economy, second fasted growth rate, Indian participation would have given strong moral and diplomatic support to the US. China would have been isolated with the possible exception of Russia among all the big countries of the world.

Panetta's visit to India will be remembered for decades. So will MMS and Mr. Anthony.
There is problem with this article and its message.
US can easily sign the FTA with India and create a large trade and investment engine which will make India strong to build defence. US has a large chinese lobby which seems to growing and here US effort to build a coalition of countries to stop China.
Prem
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by Prem »

First India-Japan naval drills on Saturday
http://www.rediff.com/news/report/first ... 120608.htm
India [ Images ] and Japan [ Images ] will hold their first-ever maritime exercise commencing on Saturday off the coast of Tokyo."Two destroyers, one maritime patrol aircraft and a helicopter of the Japanese Maritime Self Defence Force (JMSDF) will participate in the exercise whereas INS Rana, INS Shivalik, INS Karmukh and fleet tanker INS Shakti will represent India," the Indian Navy said on Friday.The four ships entered Tokyo after visiting Singapore, Vietnam, the Philippines and South Korea and their three-day stay there coincides with commemoration of 60 years of diplomatic relations between India and Japan, they said.The four ships of the Eastern Fleet under the command of Rear Admiral P Ajit Kumar, Flag Officer Commanding Eastern Fleet, are on a sustained operational deployment in South China Sea and North West Pacific. On completion of the exercise with Japan, the warships will be visiting Beijing [ Images ] and Port Kelang in Malaysia around the middle of June.Eastern Naval Commander Vice Admiral Anil Chopra will also be visiting Tokyo to witness the first Japan India Maritime Exercise.The government has been deploying naval warships in the East in keeping with India's 'Look East' policy to strengthen military ties with the countries of this strategically important region.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by Mahendra »

What? alliance with the annadaata of Pakistan?
Cosmo_R
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by Cosmo_R »

About the Chinese habit of pulling one map or another from 500-1000 years or the Jackie Chan dynasty. I would not worry because as many including some on this thread see the US as the 'bigger monster'. You see, the Chinese be our friends. The US is our eternal enemy. How many 'hints' do we need?

The EE Times article follows the tradition of a long line of 'useful idiots'. What this particular idiot in the EE fails to digest is that there is no reason to accept that Tibet was always a part of China.

Hey!, India could claim that Indonesia/Cambodia/Thailand were part of 'India'. All by pulling a map out of somewhere. The only reason we don't is that GoI has been more anxious to give territory away than to defend it or augment it.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by rajrang »

harbans wrote:
India does not know what it stands for it seems. And those who stand for nothing fall for anything. India never stood for countries that shared it's heritage and way of thinking.
Good points. I don't know if this is a perfect analogy, but -- Going back in history, when hindu kingdoms in Sind, Afghanistan and Punjab fell in succession during the centuries between around 700 AD to 1000 AD, the remaining hindu kings of India made no effort to liberate them. Finally their turn came - Md of Ghori. Maybe this attitude is deep rooted in Indian psyche - to mind their own business and not go to the rescue of their unfortunate neighbors.

In the present instance the timing was good for another reason. With an aggressive, decisive army chief for the next two years in Bikram Singh (combined with a very honest Prime Minister and Defense Minister), China will think twice before attacking India in the mountains. (The honesty of the PM and DM is relevant because in the event of an imminent Chinese attack, they will be wise enough to allow Bikram Singh to deal with the situation without interference.)

China could however, try to embarass India in the oceans by trying to sink a ship for example. That will not be easy with the US navy prowling the S China sea - especially if India had obtained promise of US intervention even in a local incident.

When Panetta was coming to India, I was hoping that this will eventually lead to giant naval exercises involving India's Vikramaditya, the US carriers and European navies, not only in the S China sea but also in the Yellow sea!

China with all its massive industrial production and 1.3 billion people will never stand a chance against a coalition of US, Europe, India, Japan and S.E. Asia -either today or in the future. China could have been taught a lesson that could have lasted a hundred years! Without India's moral and material support that does become considerably more difficult. (Maybe India could have got the US to try and transfer the industrial outsourcing from China to India as a quid pro quo?) When the world's only superpower comes literally begging for help, that is a great opportunity. This may be analogous to someone's boss's boss coming to you for help!

The last time nearly 20 years back, Bill Clinton taught China a small lesson when he sent two carriers in the straits between China and Taiwan as a warning to China to keep away from Taiwan. That lesson lasted nearly 20 years. The new leaders have forgotten that lesson and are misbehaving. The Chinese economy has quadrupled in the meantime. So, the job is more difficult.

I hope for the benefit of the world and India, the above group of countries minus India take a stand and teach China a second and bigger lesson - that China will remember for decades. By that time a decadent Chinese generation may not have the will to fight - and peace and prosperity will prevail in China and the rest of the world, hopefully for centuries to come.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by RajeshA »

If USA wants India to enter into a more tighter partnership, it needs to give India a few things:

1) A fragmented Pakistan with Balochistan as part of India.

2) Support for continued Indian nuclear testing.

3) An Indo-US FTA, and not insist on India opening its agricultural sector, banking sector or retail sector to them, allowing India to replace China as West's manufacturing base.
rajrang
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by rajrang »

RajeshA wrote:If USA wants India to enter into a more tighter partnership, it needs to give India a few things:

1) A fragmented Pakistan with Balochistan as part of India.

2) Support for continued Indian nuclear testing.

3) An Indo-US FTA, and not insist on India opening its agricultural sector, banking sector or retail sector to them, allowing India to replace China as West's manufacturing base.
If India had asked, who knows, maybe the US would have given 2 and 3. Item 1 may be more complicated, I don't know.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by harbans »

What? alliance with the annadaata of Pakistan?
Mahendra Ji, i share your sentiments in some ways. And Americans do have the habit of trying to make quick decisions, deals and looking pushy. This also has cost them a lot in terms of bad strategy: Vietnam, Iraq, HK and Nixon's liasoning with China, arming Paki's are all typical examples where American haste has created waste. In that sense you have absolutely good reason to fear and balk at an alliance. But does America learn from it's mistakes? Again we can debate this on either side of the divide. But sure there is lots of convergence in core views the way the US see's Afghanistan, Pakistan, Asia, Tibet, Myanmar and how we view it.

China/ Pakistan and the sort of worldview their politics and actions espouse is giving no comfort in either Washington or Delhi. So there is a lot we can leverage on for sure without going into specifics. In an all out conflict with China on the Northern border with Tibet, South China sea and IOR, India must seek to be able to stave off and inflict damage independently. But an America that could help India should never be rejected. If one's house and family is being attacked and you are short of arms and help is offered, can one afford to be arrogant about not accepting help?
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by Christopher Sidor »

D Roy wrote:http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/opi ... 939408.cms

Like I said in the IS thread, the above article is the worst apology for a sell out yet.

I suggest a sticky thread is made with previous discussions on Neville Maxwell's book and its problems and on new discussions about the invalidity of the chinese position in Tibet.
What crap is this article trying to peddle? Let us dissect this article step by step
Interested folks should lay their hands on just three books - India's China War by Neville Maxwell, India-China Boundary Problem by A G Noorani and Himalayan Blunder by Brig. J P Dalvi, the senior-most officer taken prisoner after Independence and the ill-fated commander of 7 Brigade - the formation around which the 1962 tragedy started and ended.
When any writer starts with three authors, each of which had a biased take on the situation we know where the article is headed. A.G. Noorani's view-points, and let us be very clear what is written in these books are view-points, are best described as archaic.
It may be noted that till the 10th/11th century, Ladakh was part of Tibet.
Part of Tibet yes, but not of China. Let us be very clear on that part, because it has bearing on the later part.
Still later came the Macartney-Macdonald Line of 1899 that extended the 1873 line slightly into Aksai Chin beyond the Karakoram. This line is significant. It is the only line formally communicated to the Chinese - which evoked no reply.
This is important, the lines were communicated to the Chinese and which did not evoke a reply. And why were they not communicated to the Tibetians directly is another story, which the author simply washes out. And if the Chinese had a problem with this so called line, it is not communicated.
Taking advantage of the weakness of China, the British convened the Simla Conference in 1913 with Tibet and China, to now create a buffer between China and British India. There, one of the most underhand deals of deceit was played out.
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The Simla Conference, as Neville Maxwell puts it, was one where there were two participants in a tripartite conference openly signing a secret declaration, one text of a draft convention initialled by three parties, another initialled by two, and a map initialled by all three!
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But the net result was that the conference produced nothing that was accepted by China. The McMahon Line was virtually forgotten till 1935, and here came another sleight of hand. International treaties, pacts, agreements, etc, are published in Atchison's Register much like the Lloyd's register for shipping. Having missed announcing the 1913 Tibetan Convention in the 1929 edition, the British in 1937 published what was passed off as the 1929 edition.

All copies of the original 1929 edition were to be suppressed and were recalled and destroyed. One survived - in the Harvard University library. This falsification of evidence was to enable the British to state that the Simla Convention was always valid from 1914.
British took advantage of chinese weakness and convened the Simla Conference? Statements without anything backing them up.
How does one openly sign a secret declaration? Tibet was within its right to sign a declaration of its choosing with British Indian authorities. China did not have sovereignty over Tibet. Not by any yardstick.
Is Atchison Register the final word on international treaties?
Is it accepted that anything not written in the so called "Atchison's Register" is not a valid treaty between states?
And if a treaty is not listed in the Atchison Register but gets listed some years after that, does it mean that the treaty is not valid?
Can the author please provide the reference to the register which has the necessary treaties, which say that Tibet is part of China or China has sovereignty over Tibet?
It is entirely possible that the British realizing that they made a honest-to-god mistake in not getting the treaty listed and tried to correct it. The treaty is valid from the day it is signed or is ratified.
The claim "deals of deceit" is not backed up anything substantial. It just appears to be a view held by the author, without any backing up. If the author is able to show something more substantial, we would welcome it, but till then I dont think any of these words hold any water.
Finally is there any line or alignment which Chinese had sent to British Raj claiming the boundary to follow so and so? And did India or British Raj accept it as such?
The leaders of Pakistan and India adopted the Canadian/Australian model and accepted "transfer of power from British hands and devolution of treaties concluded by the British. They were stopped from contesting that position."
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The nuances of these words may make sense only to someone steeped in international law, but was the Indian National Congress aware of the consequences? If so, has it kept this hidden from its people so far? We had bound ourselves to treaties as far back as 1792, concluded by the East India Company!
It was not hidden from me. Why does the author think that it is hidden? Our position on the macmohan line flows from this hand over of power. But we get a glimmer of the motives of the author over here and his objectivity.
Noorani adds that while the 1914 Indo-Tibetan treaty on the Mcmahon Line concerned British India, the Aksai Chin province was never a part of British India, although a part of the British Empire. This distinction is significant. Was this fact known and, if so, was this also hidden?
So if we take AG Noorani at its word, then "Aksai Chin" was a part of British Empire. So does not that immediately preclude this territory to be outside of Chinese sovereignty?
This distinction is significant is not what the author is telling us but what the author is trying to insinuate. What the author is saying that since this was not part of British India, we had no right over it. Fair enough, but if we follow this reasoning then it does not belong to Chinese either. So when Chinese built a road over a territory, they actually built it over non-Chinese territory, which they claimed was theirs.
After Independence, Tibet demanded return of the territories taken by the British! These included large parts of Ladakh, Assam and the districts of Darjeeling and Sikkim.
Yes this is true. This little know incident happened just after our independence. This is not highlighted much but is significant.
South Asian power politics had shifted with the exit of the British and, in retrospect, perhaps we should have accepted Dominion Status while our netas learned statecraft and geopolitical strategy using a military backing.
Like I said the glimmer, but the light is coming and we will find the objectivity of the author torn to shreds very soon. The English left, but left behind people still bound in awe of English These people believe that the best thing that happened to India was the horrible nightmare called British Raj.
In 1954, Jawaharlal Nehru decided to redraw maps showing firm boundary lines where earlier colour wash reflected an unsettled boundary. Aksai Chin became entirely Indian territory. Nehru further declared that the border was firm and not open to discussion.
Here we find the glimmer transform into light. All the references to INC, "hidden from its people so far" and the reference to JLN are laid thread bare. The author is out to malign JLN. This is not about taking apart nuances of the position this is about targeting one individual, without taking the merits of the situation into account. JLN was not blameless, his appointment of the incompetent Menon as Defense Minster and his political interference in the army to point of putting incompetent generals and brigadiers in charge will forever blemish this great man's reputation.
In 1956, the Chinese started building a road from Yarkand to Gartok, 1,200-km long with about 180 km in Aksai Chin claimed by India! The joke is that the Chinese completed a road right across 'our territory' without us knowing about it till 1957 - from press reports in China congratulating the building of the road!

Nehru kept this hidden from Parliament till 1959, till a patrol sent to establish the configuration of the road just disappeared.
Okie I am confused. We knew in 1957 and parliament was not informed till 1959? Who is this "we", does it include everybody excluding the parliamentarians? And Nehru kept this hidden? How come Nehru could keep some 300 plus people from knowing this, when "we" knew. Again statements without anything to back them up. Can the author please give us one convincing reason, without making outlandish claims. But this article is nothing but baked outlandish claims stitched together on tits and bits which have no bearing.
But the fault for deciding on a collision course was set by Nehru by his inexplicable intransigent approach. He and the country paid a heavy price for this. While claiming Aksai Chin, Nehru defended the government's ignorance of the road by stating that it was remote, no one lived there, nothing grew there, etc.
Again we see the author blaming JLN. And Aksai Chin is a place which is remote, no one lives there and nothing grows there. What JLN stated was true then and is true even today. But we should not forget the author is in thrall of the so called supermen called English. How dare some brown fella try to claim what is his right? Did he take lessons from the english on how to do it? :twisted: :twisted:
We unilaterally drew borders that even the British, a more powerful nation, took care not to.
We did not draw any borders. We simply reiterated our position.
To effect a border settlement would mean to admit the tacit error of Nehru and exorcising the belief that we were innocent victims in 1962 and that the Chinese cannot be trusted.
JLN error was to allow his judgement to be clouded by incompetent soldiers and his defense minister. His error was believing that PRC/PLA would not march, because of the adversarial reaction from the world, as if in international relations it matters what one thinks of another. We were victims in 1962 and yes Chinese cannot be trusted.
Those who swear of "not letting go even an inch of territory" should be given guns and sent to the border.
I am all for it. If it increases the strength of the IA or IAF much good will come of it. And for those who believe that we should not do so, please feel free to live in a dream world where the English empire still exists. There are virtual worlds available where one can live in such fantasies.
The country is being held hostage to the ego and the Himalayan blunders of one man, long dead, and probably the worst first CEO of any major country.
Funny JLN was not the CEO but was the PM. But accuracy is not the hallmark of this article. This article makes outlandish claims, without any of its claims getting backed up. If the author can make the confusion between CEO and PM, if the author can make the claim that we knew in 1957 something, but was "kept hidden" from parliament till 1959 then we have to question the objectivity of the author. This articles is just a flawed view point held by an author. The author makes outlandish claims, British took advantage of Chinese Weakness or one of the most underhand deals of deceit took place during Shimla conference of 1913 and so on, without backing them up.

Basically the problem with all these authors, be it Neville or AG Noorani, is that they accept everything done by chinese as binding on India. They claim that since Chinese did not accept the so called MacMohan line, it is an invalid border and the onus is on India to somehow satisfy the Chinese.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by harbans »

Good rebuttal Sidor ji. However another thing the author completely fails to realize is between 2 friendly countries..and exacting marking of a border is quite meaningless or else is performed very easily. Take Nepal-India, Bhutan-India. This would be the case even between Tibet-India. Ultimately sovereignty lies with the people of the region. Tibetans would not like to be under the Chinese, just like the Ladhak/ Leh, Arunachal Pradesh, Sikkim, Bhutanese people don't want to be. Given a choice to be either India or China and no independence option, they would rather be part of India. The important issue is there are already a few UN resolutions asking for Tibetan self determination which are pending. The Chinese have done nothing about it.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by rohitvats »

Gentlemen, I've been researching for some time on the Sino-Indian border issue. I have all the books mentioned in the article and then one more - India China Boundary in Kashmir by HK Kaul.

So here is an suggestion - whenever one comes across comments from AG Noorani's book, please keep one very important thing in mind - the central premise of AG Noorani's argument is that in 1947, British simply did not grant independence to India - in legal speak, Indians inherited the India of British Rule. And with it, all the treaties and obligations of the British. And it exactly because of this legal aspect of Indian independence that British drawn lines are expected to be honored by Indians - that is why all the arguments are from the perspective of British position on Indian boundaries. The fundamental flaw in this approach is that these lines were drawn as per the convenience and requirement of the British - what they thought was strategic in nature and what they thought could be defended. There is simply no mention or elaboration of where the boundaries lay under the rule of Indian kings of these frontier regions - wherever these claims existed, British chose their interests over the claims of the local people.

Prime example of the same is this - as a quid pro quo for granting jagir of Kashmir to Gulab Singh, British took the "responsibility" of demarcating boundary between Ladakh, Tibet and China and Ladakh and Lahaul-Spiti. The British interests were in terms of defending the Indian core against the Russian advance and not taking into account any claims from local rulers. For example, ruler of Kashmir has always had strong and legitimate claim to Shahidullah.

Here, read this:
Viceroy Lord Lansdowne minuted on 28 September 1889:

‘The country between the Karakoram and Kuen Lun ranges, I understand, is of no value, very inaccessible and not likely to be coveted by Russia. We might, I should think, encourage the Chinese to t ake it, if they showed any inclination to do so. This would be better than leaving a no-man’s land between our frontier and that of China. Moreover, the stronger we can make China at this point, and the more we can induce her to hold he own over the whole Kashgar-Yarkand region, the more useful will she be to us as an obstacle to Russian advance along this line.’
When the Chinese occupied Shahidullah in 1890, this was the British response:
Following the occupation, it is instructive to note the opinion of the Secretary of State for India in Whitehall: ‘We are inclined
to think that the wisest course would be to leave them in possession as it is evidently to our advantage that the tract of territory between the Karakoram and Kuen Lun mountains be held by a friendly power like China.’
On the Macartney-Macdonald Line of 1899, well, do read this:
The March 1899 Macartney-MacDonald Line, was the latest in a series of futile attempts by the British to resolve the western
sector of India’s frontiers. The Line was delimited in a note sent to the Tsungli Yamen in Beijing. The note stipulated inter alia that in return for the Chinese renouncing their ‘shadowy’ claim to suzerainty over Hunza, a little principality lying north of the Karakoram pass, the British would be willing to offer Beijing ‘a large tract of country’ hitherto ‘outside’ the Chinese domain,namely, western Aksai Chin, which, it was pointed out, even some Chinese maps had shown to be part of Ladakh.
The importance of the Hunza can be judged from the fact that British did undertake the Hunza-Nagar Campaign to bring Hunza and Nagar under their control.

Compare this with the Chinese approach - China claims anything and everything where the historic Chinese kings had a token presence.

Do keep these words in mind - Indian Office's instruction to British Indian Government in 1904 - "Questions of Indian Frontier Policy could no longer be regarded from an exclusively Indian point of view"
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by harbans »

Great Post and Great perspective on the issue Rohit! Deserves to be preserved for reference.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by sanjaykumar »

So India spurns an alliance with the US once again.

Can we expect to see Indians running off the mountains with their pants still around their ankles once again? And the US airlifting rifles to India as a show of solidarity. After all what are honour and land when one has nonalignment version 2.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by ramana »

Its not Non Alignment redux.
Both US and PRC are a duo. PRC is the monster that US threatens the world with so silly folks can run into their arms. Its a new way of domination.

Maintain a goonda in the forest who makes periodic raids to frighten the villagers who rush to the zamindar.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by wong »

A good read. China's Decision for War with India in 1962 - John W Garver.

Mao had to do it. It wasn't personal.

http://chinaindiaborderdispute.files.wo ... garver.pdf
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by sanjaykumar »

India sees the American embrace through the prism of Pakistan, the Shah's Iran or Guatemala. Deeply flawed societies at the dead end of history (no matter Persian protestations). Whereas Taiwan, South Korea and Japan and ironically China itself have taken the same alliance and lept far ahead of India. Pity India lacks the culltural confidence to use the American proximity to mutual benefit.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by svinayak »

wong wrote:A good read. China's Decision for War with India in 1962 - John W Garver.

Mao had to do it. It wasn't personal.

http://chinaindiaborderdispute.files.wo ... garver.pdf
Nobody agrees with him

The Erroneous Nature of Chinese Perceptions of Indian Policy toward Tibet
The fact that China's leaders saw Indian efforts as attempts to "grab Tibet," to turn
Tibet into "a buffer zone," to return Tibet to its pre-1949 status, to "overthrow China's
sovereignty," or to cause Tibet to “throw off the jurisdiction of China's central
government," does not necessarily mean that those perceptions were accurate. In fact,
this core Chinese belief was wrong. This belief which Chinese analysts explain
underpinned China's decision for war in 1962, was, in fact, inaccurate. It was a deeply
pernicious Chinese misperception that contributed powerfully to the decision for war in
1962
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by rohitvats »

harbans wrote:Great Post and Great perspective on the issue Rohit! Deserves to be preserved for reference.
Sir, thank you for the kind words.

The boundary problem has always intrigued me and for some time now I've been trying to get the facts straight. The problem with narrative by Maxwell and Noorani is that they present only one side of the argument - while one can expect Maxwell to presents British POV on the topic, Noorani goes a step further and presents argument as to why British case is correct.

The book by HK Kaul presents a third party perspective on why British did what they did with respect to the boundary issue in Kashmir and North-East. There are lot of intertwined issues here; over the years I've managed to collect books on the topic (at times not understanding the linkage) and one can see what was driving the British.

Time permitting, I'll put across a monograph comparing arguments from different sides.

On the threat of India annexing Tibet - well, funny how the country which was to annex did not have troops in the area and was not prepared in terms of training or logistics or weapon systems. Opposite to it is the PLA which had overwhelming superiority across the spectrum. Yeah!some offensive designs India had on Tibet... :roll:
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by PratikDas »

sanjaykumar wrote: Can we expect to see Indians running off the mountains with their pants still around their ankles once again?
I would appreciate if you didn't speak of Indian soldiers in this manner.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by sanjaykumar »

That was not in reference to soldiers. But figuratively India, ill prepared and worse provisioned. Heady with Gandhi and the wine of leadership of NAM, a beggars' club if ever there was one.


Well India spurned Eisenhower but the same despised Americans were not to evil to be beseeched for help five years later.

India. Needs. To. Grow. Up.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by wong »

rohitvats wrote: On the threat of India annexing Tibet - well, funny how the country which was to annex did not have troops in the area and was not prepared in terms of training or logistics or weapon systems. Opposite to it is the PLA which had overwhelming superiority across the spectrum. Yeah!some offensive designs India had on Tibet... :roll:
This is what made Nehru's forward policy even more inexplicable. Mao gave strict orders not to shoot back from 1959 to 1961.

The Chinese estimate was they had a 5x superior force and yet the border skirmishes kept coming.

The modern equivalent would be if the PLA Navy today tried to start a fight with the US Navy and kept escalating it until the US Navy did the inevitable smack down.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by svinayak »

China was internally under famine and chos of the communist revolution. How could it be ready for fighting and it needed supplies from the Indian side for the remote border in Tibet in 1960s.

Unless this whole thing was planned as early as 1955 when Mao waited for the international climate where he could put Nehru down. Cuban crisis and Nehru losing his shine in the western capitol after Goa liberation was time Mao chose.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by ramana »

The problem with Noorani and his tribe is they want to appease China by giving up Indian lands. Noorani bases his appeasement on falsity of British legal claims.


To me anything written by Norrani is humbug.
He is a Resident Non Indian.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by A_Gupta »

http://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/ ... cracy.html
China is a kleptocracy of a scale never seen before in human history. This post aims to explain how this wave of theft is financed, what makes it sustainable and what will make it fail.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by Varoon Shekhar »

Ramana on Noorani,
Very true, and typical of a large strand of Indian Moslem/Moslem Indian thinking, that finds it hard to identify with the Indic heritage and ethos of India. You will never see Noorani denouncing British colonialism or British colonial exploitation of India, rather his focus is on the 'errors' Nehru and others made in not agreeing to all the terms of the Moslem League. Also, on the India-China tussle, Tibet is never seen as a people, culture, ideology, philosophy and ethos matter, only a dry, legalistic one regarding the McMahon line.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by rohitvats »

One very striking feature of Noorani's book on Sino-Indian border is that while he explains at times the reason(s) for British to draw certain boundary, he never questions these reasons(or correctness of these reasons) and consequent loss to the local rulers. Only time he does question the boundary drawn by the British is when it is supposed to give "more" territory to Kashmir (by extension modern India) that what HE believes should be the case. The part of the book dealing with boundary in Ladakh seems to have been written with the objective of justifying the 1889 McCartney-McDonald Line. His quoting of Alistair Lamb and Neville Maxwell - two most biased authors on the subject - is outright preposterous. He simply leaves out those parts (which he sure would have come from his research) which elaborate and showcase the perfidy of the British.

But do read his book - but read the same in parallel with HK Kaul's book - India China Boundary in Kashmir. The entire set of arguments about boundary in Ladakh can be broken down into certain number of important events in history. While Noorani gives accounts of these events from the way British saw it, he completely overlooks the Indian perspective. Kaul's explains the vested interest of British as these very events took place and fills the space with actual developments on the ground. It is a highly interesting read - to compare the POV of two Indians on the same topic - one advocating on the behalf of British and other giving the true Indian narrative.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by rohitvats »

By the way - that ET article is downright in correct and uses facts to suit its purpose. I will post some detailed rebuttal here in some time.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by shyamd »

PRC stepped up submarine deployments in BoB
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by Varoon Shekhar »

"..one advocating on the behalf of British and other giving the true Indian narrative."

How any self respecting Indian can advocate on behalf of the British, or even equate the British narrative to the Indian one, is stupefying and repulsive.
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by ramana »

shyamd wrote:PRC stepped up submarine deployments in BoB

Does it make sense? What kind of a fool would send a sub into a pond?
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Re: Managing Chinese Threat

Post by shyamd »

I think they want an island there to set up base or something like that. So media was called up and Shiv Aroor did a special on IN amphibious capabilities and how they are planning to defend uninhabited islands in the A&N.

Some thing is defnitely up.

Put yourself in their shoes - what would you want? If I was them, I would want eyes on Vizag - sensitive area/ports - planning for denial operations (kamando ops - right now every sub in the world has little defence against commando's/divers planting explosives on submarines) in A&N command and Eastern Naval command as I know any war against PRC will be led from there.
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