SSridhar wrote:Rajesh ji,
I do understand the RoC issue. But, that does not stop us from establishing a diplomatic relationship with them, something that we have desisted from doing so far. Let me explain.
The first principle of diplomacy and state-to-state relationship is reciprocity. While we go with hair-splitting analysis of how and why RoC's claim on mainland China would stop us from according a normal diplomatic status to it, PRC has never exhibited faith in such niceties in international relationship or when it comes to India in particular. The duly signed Instrument of Accession by the Maharajah of Jammau & Kashmir has not stopped it from entering into a border agreement with Pakistan to take over a significant 5300 Sq. Km of Indian territory in Shaksgam. If questioned, PRC says that when the J&K dispute is resolved one day, it will deal with the situation then. It talks about J&K being a vestige of history etc as though we don't know that.
SSridhar garu,
That we should change our passive position towards Chinese aggressive posture is something I advocate wholeheartedly.
On the issue of diplomatic recognition for RoC, I have to quibble a bit. Diplomatic recognition of RoC or relationship with RoC means something more than simply the choice of terminology.
The question we would need to ask is:
- what does diplomatic relationship/recognition of RoC means in real terms?
- which message or nuance are we trying to convey?
- what exactly are we recognizing w.r.t. RoC/Taiwan?
- what aspect of PRC's territorial and political sovereignty are we disputing?
The fact of the matter is that a third party like India dealing with two other parties PRC and RoC,
can only give recognition to a claim made by any one of them, but cannot formulate our own claims, as and how it pleases us!
If RoC is not making some particular claim, or willing to make it, how can we make a claim on RoC's part?
And if there is no political claim of RoC that we can lend support to, the issue of diplomatic relationship does not rise!
The only issue we can lend full support to is that neither PRC (or for that matter RoC) can resolve the issue of unification through military means, and perhaps in order to avoid military adventurism by the stronger party, one can help the underdog maintain a credible deterrent. This is the position of USA in this matter, though USA has I believe decreased its level of military support to Taiwan in recent years.
Additionally, we can take the position that Taiwanese people are within their rights to go for independence if they so wish for, because PRC has never been able to exert any effective sovereignty over the island (Taiwan), no military presence, no administrative control, no tax collection, etc, and that in fact it is simply a formality. It cannot be considered separatism as such, but rather a formalization of a separate identity. GoI need not say all this in so many words, but semi-official channels can adopt such a position.
In fact, if we think it is in our national interest to see an independent Taiwan, we should go for it and lend the support. Pakistan is going to go into a Jihadic tailspin, that even PRC would not know whom they should supply nukes to be used against India, for they can just as well land in the hands of the Uyghurs, (especially if the whole Jihadi infrastructure in Pakistan gets infiltrated by Indians, as I have also
advocated elsewhere).
PRC has already played out its hand against India by proliferating nukes to Pakistan, and soon that strategy would stop bearing fruit. Now it is India's turn to supply nukes to China's neighbors - Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, and also see to it that Japan and South Korea also go nuclear. Vietnam can play the middleman in this.
On the issue of "diplomatic" relations, what we can do is to increase military, economic and political exchanges and cooperation by ramping up Taiwanese presence in India and vice versa.