Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

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RoyG
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by RoyG »

Unfortunate that AAP is a sacred cow for some on BRF. Can't see through the nonsense.
Hari Seldon
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Hari Seldon »

Era of one-party rule over, future belongs to coalition govts: Mulayam Singh

Mulayam's got a bee in his bonnet. Why sweat your pants so much all of a sudden, one wonders... SP's position in UP must be really shaky, seems like...
“Coalition government is the need of the country as no single party can come to power at Centre on its own strength,” he said.

Samajwadi Party, with 22 MPs in the Lok Sabha, provides crucial outside support to Congress-led UPA-II at Centre. “It is high time that parties, which have the common goal to achieve social change come together as in Maharashtra, Bihar and Uttar Pradesh,” Yadav said.
Aah. Or is he obeying HMV an trying to make a sikular front rather than let the popular anti-cong moo go to iots logiocal conclusion?
member_20292
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by member_20292 »

anchal wrote:fanne, this is just my reading the leaves. I hail from the UP hinterland and might dare say have pulse on the ground. My father also told me Modi wave is bigger and silent than Emergency wave against Indira.
Actually. If you go back to the 90s tallies of the BJP in UP, you will find that the more BJP polarizes the Hindus in UP, the more seats they win there. 1998 they won many, 1993 also. In 2004, 2009 with weak Hindutva, they did not win too many seats in UP.

Modi does two things. Developmental agenda + polarizes Hindutva. So BJP is set to win a 90s style number of seats in UP again. To be honest, I do think that the SP is finished in UP....even as being the incumbent in the state assembly.

UP will go to BJP + BSP.

Its funny how some people in UP are reminiscing fondly about Mayawatis term...because of SPs horrible work. I thought I'd never see the day.
Sushupti
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Sushupti »

mahadevbhu wrote:
anchal wrote:fanne, this is just my reading the leaves. I hail from the UP hinterland and might dare say have pulse on the ground. My father also told me Modi wave is bigger and silent than Emergency wave against Indira.
Actually. If you go back to the 90s tallies of the BJP in UP, you will find that the more BJP polarizes the Hindus in UP, the more seats they win there. 1998 they won many, 1993 also. In 2004, 2009 with weak Hindutva, they did not win too many seats in UP.

Modi does two things. Developmental agenda + polarizes Hindutva. So BJP is set to win a 90s style number of seats in UP again. To be honest, I do think that the SP is finished in UP....even as being the incumbent in the state assembly.

UP will go to BJP + BSP.

Its funny how some people in UP are reminiscing fondly about Mayawatis term...because of SPs horrible work. I thought I'd never see the day.
mahadevbhu bhai aap ne yeh kahawat to suni hogi: " Do naav per chadna aur G***d phaad ke marna". Janta ke liye Rammandir wali party aur neta Nehruvian ideal wala to kya hoga. yaa to neta ko party ke hissab se adjust hona padega ya party ko neta ke hisaab se. UP mein BJP ko neta ke hisaab se adjust hona pada.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by VikramS »

#priyankagandhi will contest next Lok Sabha election from Rae Bareli reports Dainik Jagran!
Sushupti
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Sushupti »

Mulayam may pull the plug on UPA soon: Sources
New Delhi: After the DMK pullout, the Samajwadi Party (SP) chief Mulayam Singh Yadav has signalled at pulling the plug soon on the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government. SP sources said Mulayam has made up his mind that he wants an early election in 2013.
The former chief minister of Uttar Pradesh has been telling his party workers to be ready for the early polls scenario, sources said. Mulayam is likely to hold a big rally after Holi and will make his intentions clear, they added.
According to the sources, Mulayam has now realised that this is the last time he can have a go at the prime minister's post. Speaking at a rally in Sangli in Maharashtra on Sunday, Mulayam said that the time for a single-party government is over and all the like-minded parties must come together.
Mulayam has deputed party leaders Ram Gopal Yadav and Naresh Agarwal to be in touch with the BJD, Trinamool, DMK, RLD, RJD and the AGP, according to the sources. "People of this country don't like the Congress and the BJP and people are looking for alternative. SP will have an important role in the government, which will be formed after Lok Sabha elections. SP can form a government with all secular parties. Mulayam Singh will be next Prime Minister of India," said Ram Chandra Kushwaha, an SP leader.
"In the upcoming Lok Sabha elections, there is 99.9 per cent chance of non-BJP and non-Congress government to be installed. There is no doubt in that," said JD(S) leader Danish Ali.
But not everyone is hopeful of a third front government. "The Third Front does not even exist. They cannot form a government. Without the NDA or UPA's support, there can be no government," Congress leader and Rajya Sabha MP Rasheed Masood said.
"I do not think that under any circumstances a third front can form a government at the Centre. That is a far-fetched notion and a tactic being employed by politicians. I think NDA will win in 2014," JD(U) leader Devesh Chandra Thakur said.
Earlier, the Karunanidhi-led DMK withdrew from the UPA government over the ethnic Sri Lankan Tamils issue. However, the government remained in power, hinging on the support of regional parties like the SP and Mayawati-led Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP).

http://ibnlive.in.com/news/mulayam-want ... picks=true
Sushupti
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Sushupti »

@firstpostin: DMK: We have decided not to even offer outside support to the UPA
Aditya_V
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Aditya_V »

Utter rubbish from Mulayam, looks like he is trying the 2009 hatchet job of pushing his voter base to INC.

Mulayam Singh talks third front again, says future belongs to coalition govts
"China which supports farmers and agriculture sector is far ahead of India. Farmers are paying the price for growing expenditure on defence sector, which is the result of not-so-cordial relations of India with neighbours Pakistan, China and Bangladesh. There is dire need to help farmers," he said.
He wants farmers to join the Aman ki Asha brigade?? :evil: :evil: :evil:
Virendra
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Virendra »

Maulana Mulayam will only play to the galleries. All these antics are for show/politics.
He will always eventually be in bed with INC.
SP and BSP are so readily in Congress camp that the thought itself sounds boring now.
It is more obvious than sounds in the public realm.
No use speculating. Waste of time.

Coming to Rajasthan :
BJP is gearing up. Vasundhara and her opponents are talking sweet and calm, atleast for now, even if for show. But so it seems.
State BJP is slowly but gradually pooling its power for the coming fight. It is good time to iron out the wrinkles of differences and infighting.
Gehlot also hasn't fared very badly. But he didn't do so bad even in his first term. Just alienated State employees by hard handedly crushing that famous strike. Guess who conducts polls in the state - State employees :D
There were rumours that the employees booted him out by doing errr magic ;) during the polls.
Anyway, Gehlot's grip on bureaucrats is frequently under question and it is said that his ministers aren't of use on this issue either.
Thats it for now :)

Regards,
Virendra
Vamsi.R
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Vamsi.R »

vijayk wrote:http://www.apherald.com/Politics/ViewAr ... st-party-/
Survey predicts TDP as single largest party
In an interesting survey commissioned by a Congress MP hailing from Telangana, it was reported that TDP may win close to 125 seats, followed by YSRCP (79), TRS(42), Congress (32) and rest by others in the event of a mid-term poll. This data is being considered very close to the actual as it is done in a very authentic way. The Congress MP’s were heard discussing in the parliament that inspite of many challenges; TDP is still going strong in the state emerging as the single largest party. When a Jagan loyalist MP tried to dismiss such things by saying that YSRCP will sweep the state winning 200 seats, the MP’s countered him saying that things are not smooth for Jagan in the state. This is quite unlike the wave seen during by polls, equally admitting that Congress is fading away drastically from the state’s political scenario. The only way things can change is if Jagan manages to come out of jail by April or May. The other aspect is also about ensuring the roots of TRS are also cut so that Telangana dominance can be got.
Does any one believe this? I don't. Jagan the crook will win. AP is lost for another 20 years.

I for one can't believe that CON party can win 8 MP seats in AP. They destroyed AP totally in 10 years.
YSRCP chances lie in the hands of Congress..
if jagan comes out of jail then he will sweep the elections coz of sympathy factor and support INC at centre
If jagan is in jail..TDP has a very good chance . but one thing is for sure NDA cant rely on AP they have to think of other alternatives
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Muppalla »

Sushupti wrote:Mulayam may pull the plug on UPA soon: Sources
New Delhi: After the DMK pullout, the Samajwadi Party (SP) chief Mulayam Singh Yadav has signalled at pulling the plug soon on the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government. SP sources said Mulayam has made up his mind that he wants an early election in 2013.
The former chief minister of Uttar Pradesh has been telling his party workers to be ready for the early polls scenario, sources said. Mulayam is likely to hold a big rally after Holi and will make his intentions clear, they added.
According to the sources, Mulayam has now realised that this is the last time he can have a go at the prime minister's post. Speaking at a rally in Sangli in Maharashtra on Sunday, Mulayam said that the time for a single-party government is over and all the like-minded parties must come together.
Mulayam has deputed party leaders Ram Gopal Yadav and Naresh Agarwal to be in touch with the BJD, Trinamool, DMK, RLD, RJD and the AGP, according to the sources. "People of this country don't like the Congress and the BJP and people are looking for alternative. SP will have an important role in the government, which will be formed after Lok Sabha elections. SP can form a government with all secular parties. Mulayam Singh will be next Prime Minister of India," said Ram Chandra Kushwaha, an SP leader.
"In the upcoming Lok Sabha elections, there is 99.9 per cent chance of non-BJP and non-Congress government to be installed. There is no doubt in that," said JD(S) leader Danish Ali.
But not everyone is hopeful of a third front government. "The Third Front does not even exist. They cannot form a government. Without the NDA or UPA's support, there can be no government," Congress leader and Rajya Sabha MP Rasheed Masood said.
"I do not think that under any circumstances a third front can form a government at the Centre. That is a far-fetched notion and a tactic being employed by politicians. I think NDA will win in 2014," JD(U) leader Devesh Chandra Thakur said.
Earlier, the Karunanidhi-led DMK withdrew from the UPA government over the ethnic Sri Lankan Tamils issue. However, the government remained in power, hinging on the support of regional parties like the SP and Mayawati-led Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP).

http://ibnlive.in.com/news/mulayam-want ... picks=true
If this is true then SP is playing absolutely according to INC plan. The polarization will happen but towards INC in UP. INC want to go to polls blaming SP to get the 10 to 15 seat bump in UP.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Sanku »

Muppalla wrote: If this is true then SP is playing absolutely according to INC plan. The polarization will happen but towards INC in UP. INC want to go to polls blaming SP to get the 10 to 15 seat bump in UP.
Absolutely agree. DMK and Mullah I Yam are all parts of this Kabuki theater. Trying to position themselves before the upcoming elections.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Muppalla »

ladcameo wrote: YSRCP chances lie in the hands of Congress..
if jagan comes out of jail then he will sweep the elections coz of sympathy factor and support INC at centre
If jagan is in jail..TDP has a very good chance . but one thing is for sure NDA cant rely on AP they have to think of other alternatives
It is a catch-22 in AP and TDP is in advantage.

Jagan's sister or his mother are not able to pull any crowds and that is the truth. TDP is slowly building over its base village after village. Jagan and INC have the same base and if INC and Jagan compete with full vigor then they will split. I cannot imagine that INC will leave the fields to Jagan and assume that he will support them at center. His support or anyone's support to Congress comes only if Congress crosses 130. If Modi can wipe out INC from North and west then by leaving all of AP to Jagan will be suicidal for INC.

Money power of Jagan will be no big deal in 2014 as TDP will also open its coffers. I thinks there will be no sweeps and it will be a tad over the half way mark even if Jagan+INC+TRS compete with TDP.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Vamsi.R »

Muppalla wrote:
ladcameo wrote: YSRCP chances lie in the hands of Congress..
if jagan comes out of jail then he will sweep the elections coz of sympathy factor and support INC at centre
If jagan is in jail..TDP has a very good chance . but one thing is for sure NDA cant rely on AP they have to think of other alternatives
It is a catch-22 in AP and TDP is in advantage.

Jagan's sister or his mother are not able to pull any crowds and that is the truth. TDP is slowly building over its base village after village. Jagan and INC have the same base and if INC and Jagan compete with full vigor then one of them has to lose. I cannot imagine that INC will leave the fields to Jagan and assume that he will support them at center. His support or anyone's support to Congress comes only if Congress crosses 130. If Modi can give INC from North and west then by leaving all of AP to Jagan will be suicidal for INC.

Money power of Jagan will be no big deal in 2014 as TDP will also open its coffers. I thinks there will be no sweeps and it will be a tad over the half way mark even if Jagan+INC+TRS compete with TDP.
Muppala Garu,
iam pretty sure that my knowledge on politics is small compared to yours.but i have observed few things
we might even see hung situation i guess.
agree that TDP is slowly gaining momentum coz of babu's yatra
but jagan has the sympathy factor with him..i observed it in the villages of Guntur and vijayawada where TDP has a stronghold
and if hegets released from jail just before elections..there will be huge momentum for YSRCP
iam a TDP supporter myself,but felt very sad when students and IT professionals were supporting jagan blindly . and when i ask about corruption by him they simply say who hasn't done it
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Virendra »

Muppalla wrote:If this is true then SP is playing absolutely according to INC plan. The polarization will happen but towards INC in UP. INC want to go to polls blaming SP to get the 10 to 15 seat bump in UP.
Nice trick.
During the polls INC and SP act like they're at loggerheads. Votes polarize between SP and INC.
Then afterwards they hug each other and make merry with the benefits reaped from fooling the mango abdul.
Well done you crooks :evil:
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by ashashi »

Will support Narendra Modi as PM candidate, says BJD doing a volte face
In an interview to a leading English daily, senior BJD leader and Lok Sabha MP Bhartruhari Mahtab said that his party would be willing to support a BJP-led government if the party and its allies have the capability to form the government at the Centre.
http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/bjd- ... 59286.html
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Sanku »

BJP should play a long term game and try for a win in Odisha on its own. Congress is almost gone, and now it needs to provide the second pole to Naveen Patnaik.

His days of running with the hare and hunting with the hound should be over.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by RajeshA »

Mulayam, I think, believes that if the elections are held in 2014, then the anti-incumbency would start hurting the chances of SP in UP. So better to have elections now.

I think Mulayam also feels that waiting too long would mean that UP would be in the grips of the Modi wave in 2014, so better to go to elections now when the wave is still manageable.

This however depends on DMK's stand. If DMK sticks to withdrawing support to UPA-II, then Mulayam is also gone. Perhaps being known as the one who brought down the UPA-II Govt, could help him in UP and bolster his credentials of being anti-INC.

If SP pulls the plug, BSP would not want to be the lone party supporting INC as that would hurt BSP as well.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by RajeshA »

Any chance of BJP making any inroads into AP in the next elections?
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by ashashi »

RajeshA wrote:Any chance of BJP making any inroads into AP in the next elections?
TRS-BJP alliance would could sweep Telangana. BJP on its own might not win any.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Virendra »

With the kind of BJP debacles in neighborhood (Karnataka), I'm not optimistic.
Are there any chances that DMK splits? Alagiri and Stalin are still not in one direction.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Yagnasri »

BJD coming near to BJP is a great news. Particularly when they are going to be near NaMo is a great news. It will start. Unlike other politicos BJD leaders have some what clean image and doing good admin work. I hope some other good and clean politicos will also come with BJP. With regard of BJP and TRS coming close - TRS is a congress creation so it coming near BJP is not possible. Even in resent no confidence vote TRS and YSR criminal gang moved it together. The only party who can be allied with BJP is TDP. But Naidu is continuing with his love affair with Communist Bas***ds and having wet dreams about 3rd front. He will be planing right into INC hands it he pushes too for into this line.

One more interesting things CBN did was to offer some benifits to Bramins - TDP being a Kamma party is highly anti Bramin by nature and actions and thereby pushed bramins into the arms of INC (because there is no BJP in AP) Now it seems the Kamma networks want to make peace with Bramins. CBN must be really desparate otherwise thing kind of thing is unimaginable.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by ShyamSP »

RajeshA wrote:Any chance of BJP making any inroads into AP in the next elections?
Some folks here post news from this site, aphearld.com. According to it, there is a chance of tie-up with BJP
http://www.apherald.com/Politics/ViewAr ... ill-open-/

It all depends on how INC, YSRC, and TRS play. If those 3 truly compete, TDP wins straight with or without BJP.
If INC and TRS go in Telangana, TDP has to go with BJP.

As the website alluded minority votes (2-5% M+C for TDP) are important to TDP as it lost by small margin last time.
They need tight control on their votebanks. If they go alliance now without any news on when the elections will be,
there is a danger Congress can do a Godhra like operations and TDP can get affected too if they go with BJP for early alliance.

A lot of ifs, buts, and what-ifs at this time. BJP goal has to be to let TDP win as much as possible. TDP is only non-Congress
centrist party left in India.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by RamaY »

HS garu,

Remember the article by MJA/NVS that I posted a moon or so ago?

Coalition govts are slowly becoming things of past. We are moving forward to single-party govts. In 2014 I predict a single party govt at center.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by RamaY »

VikramS wrote:#priyankagandhi will contest next Lok Sabha election from Rae Bareli reports Dainik Jagran!
Looks like SG is going to self-exile sighting ill health.

The field will be open for Yuvraj and Yuvarani. Yuvaraj will leave the country at the first opportunity, my gut feel 2015 time frame.

To ensure Roberto Vadra be a dus-bersenti (people should know where to go with payments :wink: ), AAP is used to throw dung on him in advance.

We need to see if/when Roberto will become Zardari. My guess in 2019 elections.... to repeat 1991 scenario.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by RajeshA »

ashashi ji, ShyamSP ji,

thanks for the info.

I had been thinking if TRS+BJP win Telangana and TDP win Rayalseema and Coastal Andhra, then AP becomes a strong contributor to NDA.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by ShyamSP »

RajeshA wrote:ashashi ji, ShyamSP ji,

thanks for the info.

I had been thinking if TRS+BJP win Telangana and TDP win Rayalseema and Coastal Andhra, then AP becomes a strong contributor to NDA.
This is dangerous for NDA as it is INC strategy* regardless of what happens to TDP. This will push into the following TRS+BJP, TDP, INC+YSRC and you see INC in AP. Non-Congress votes will be split between TRS+BJP and TDP and INC+YSRC wins in Telangana. Insecurity due to Telangana politics causes non-Telangana vote for INC+YSRC. TRS, YSRC are Shakunis (like PRP) laid out by Congress.

Whether BJP understands or keeps short-signtedness about what INC, YSRC, and TRS are all about is important for AP outcome.


* In TRS+BJP scenario, INC buys TRS and let TRS+BJP screw themselves
Last edited by ShyamSP on 25 Mar 2013 19:31, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Hari Seldon »

BJP shouldnot have pre-poll alliance with any party in AP. Period. Later, based on results, TDP and TRS can be approachable perhaps.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by RamaY »

^ Or TRS merges with BJP before elections.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by ShyamSP »

RamaY wrote:
HS garu,

Remember the article by MJA/NVS that I posted a moon or so ago?

Coalition govts are slowly becoming things of past. We are moving forward to single-party govts. In 2014 I predict a single party govt at center.
Numbers don't add up unless you're thinking INC. In UP, BSP to SP governments formed with significant assembly numbers, but INC wins good chunk in MPs in 2009. Unless BSP/Mulayam sells MP seats to INC or there is EVM magic, your prediction won't come true.
Last edited by ShyamSP on 25 Mar 2013 19:46, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Muppalla »

BJP just has nothing even in Telangana. No one is going to align blindly with them. The non-ashrafs may go either with INC /Jagan or with TDP. This is reason for MIM to clamor for an alliance with either TDP or Jagan. How other castes will align with TRS or TDP is to be seen.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by ShyamSP »

Muppalla wrote:BJP just has nothing even in Telangana. No one is going to align blindly with them. The non-ashrafs may go either with INC /Jagan or with TDP. This is reason for MIM to clamor for an alliance with either TDP or Jagan. How other castes will align with TRS or TDP is to be seen.
BJP has 3-5% scene across many districts, it triangular fight those numbers may be important to its allies. Alternatively, potential allies might think those are dead votes anyway and ignore BJP. After all, grand strategies and tactics and elaborate campaigns and rallies, BJP is nothing in AP.

Delhi-belly needs to be kicked out for her/D4 mess in Karnataka and AP. INC is still positioned good even after all their failures.
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by RajeshA »

Cross-Posting from "Two-G (2G) Spectrum Scam Tapes and follow-up" Thread

Published on Mar 25, 2013
Chennai: Setback for DMK, CBI finally nails Karuna's family
Chennai, March 25: In a major setback for DMK and its supremo M Karunanidhi's family members, the investigative agency Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) seems to have nailed its top leaders in connection with the illegal car import case.

After its massive raids in across Chennai and Tamil Nadu, the CBI reportedly have found evidence which shows that the officials of Directorate of Revenue Intelligence (DRI) allegedly covered up the illegal car imports of different members of DMK first family members.

According to sources, CBI raids revealed that the accused DRI officials have been trying to hide information regarding the usages of luxury import cars by MK Alagiri, MK Stalin and his son Udayanidhi.

CBI raids reveals that while Udayanidhi has a Toyota Estima, Alagiri and Stalin also are suspected to be using illegally imported cars violating import duty rules.

Sources reported that the investigating agency is investigating a BMW X5, a Toyota Lexus and a Prado SUV being used by Alagiri, Stalin and their families.

The latest revelations in the case might have boost up the probe by the CBI which had faced tremendous criticism following its sudden raid at Stalin's house. The agency was criticised as the raid was conducted within 48-hours of DMK's move of pulling out support from Congress-led UPA government.

Beginning from Prime Minister Manmmohan Singh to Union Finance Minister P Chidambaram slammed the CBI which later was forced to call off the raid. Now, with these new revelations against the DMK first family in Chennai, the CBI seems to have regained its lost position.
Interesting that CBI decided now to go after DMK!
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by member_23658 »

so the DMK announces that they will not support the government from outside, and within a few hours the news comes out that CBI has found evidence to nail the K family. waah what timing !
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by ramana »

It could be psy-ops from INC to make the CBI look independent. Or an over eager cop who saw an opportunity to raid DMK goons.
And was slapped even by PC and MMS!
Sushupti
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Sushupti »

Sanku wrote:BJP should play a long term game and try for a win in Odisha on its own. Congress is almost gone, and now it needs to provide the second pole to Naveen Patnaik.

His days of running with the hare and hunting with the hound should be over.
Agree with you. If it not were for ABV-LKA he would still be writing poems and giving lectures yet the ******** stabbed BJp at the firat available opportunity.
Sanku
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by Sanku »

:)
I should frame that post and put it up on the wall.
fanne
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Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Post by fanne »

In IT/Nelson survey of 2009/2010 (don't remember the year), the survey had given approx 1/3 vote to each BJD/BJP/Cong in that order with Cong predicted as falling and BJP rising. BJD enjoys clean image but does not enjoy progressive status ( Namo or Niku). BJP may still not win big in Orissa (owing to lack of org and suitable candidate), they will win and have some influence. If there is indeed a Namo wave, I would expect Orissa to fall for BJP (in Loksabha) sooner than other states. But I guess here is where strategic gurus within BJP (no not the D-4 or Aircondition pasand leaders) have to really calculate and make the right decision.
Thanks,
fanne
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